Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 23

With forwards still struggling to bring in the points, we’ve chosen a pair of midfielders and a budget defender as our first trio of differentials for 2018.

A Bournemouth winger who has quietly been producing sensational numbers in recent weeks takes centre stage. A Chelsea stalwart with kind fixtures also catches the eye, while the prospect of a double-figure score has drawn us back to a West Brom defender favoured heavily in the early season.

Jordon Ibe

Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe is emerging as a fresh budget fifth midfielder option on the back of some fine recent showings.

Setting us back just 4.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger has impressively registered more shots (17) than any other midfielder over the last four Gameweeks.

Indeed, only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (seven) has produced more efforts on target than Ibe (six) over that spell.

The Cherries winger notched his fourth assist of the season in the 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 22 and has also impressed with his creativity.

He has registered 13 key passes over the same four-match spell, which is bettered only by Brighton’s Pascal Gross (14) among midfielders.

Ibe is benefitting from a sustained run in the side.

The signing from Liverpool has started the last five, having previously only been selected in the starting XI for seven of the opening 17 matches.

It remains to be seen if Ibe can retain a starting role on the right flank, though Ibe’s convincing recent form could force the returning Junior Stanislas to compete with Ryan Fraser for a role on the left.

Eddie Howe’s men entertain Arsenal tomorrow, colliding with a Gunners rearguard that has shipped eight goals in their last four encounters.

Arsene Wenger’s side, who will be without key defenders Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal, have also allowed 46 shots from inside the penalty area over their last four matches. Only West Ham United (47) have conceded more.

Ibe, meanwhile, has helped the Cherries fire 50 shots from inside the box since Gameweek 19, more than any other side.

With the fixture list (whu che STK hud NEW) also kind for some time to come, the 0.4%-owned winger looks an enticing option for those getting frustrated by the injury-prone Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Cesc Fabregas

A home fixture against a Leicester City side that has managed just a single clean sheet on their travels this season brings Chelsea’s Cesc Fabregas into our thinking.

The Spain international has registered a modest one goal and four assists so far but is impressively creating a chance every 22 minutes – more frequently than any player who has made at least two starts.

Fabregas is currently benefitting from playing as the most advanced of the three central midfielders for the champions, pulling the strings behind Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata.

Chelsea’s upcoming schedule remains favourable over the coming weeks (bha BOU wat WBA), so the 3.4%-owned playmaker could also provide a longer-term solution.

Available at just 6.8, Fabregas can be a cheaper option from the Blues attack at a time when Morata and, to a lesser extent, Hazard are struggling to justify their premium price tags.

For those Fantasy managers who need to find differentials capable of double-figure hauls, the Chelsea midfielder looks worthy of serious consideration over these next five Gameweeks.

Ahmed Hegazi

Although the West Bromwich Albion defender is nominally part of 18.9% of FPL squads, a high proportion of those are doubtless unmanaged ‘ghostship teams’, ensuring that the Egyptian is now a differential of sorts among active managers.

It is fair to say that this afternoon’s home clash against Brighton has all the hallmarks of a 0-0 draw – both sides have had four goalless draws this season, more than any other teams.

The centre-back, who has now returned to his original starting price of 4.5, has picked up bonus points on three occasions when the Baggies have kept a clean sheet.

He has registered an eye-catching 219 clearances, blocks and interceptions, which is 102 more than any team-mate and third overall among defenders.

Hegazi also boasts a significant set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more big chances (four) than the three for the Baggies centre-back.

Most significantly, Brighton have conceded more goals (14) from set-plays than any other side this season and also rank first for the most set-piece chances allowed, with 112.

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Hegazi is finally back on the radar as an option – albeit in the short-term.

1,378 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play masuaku or dcl?

    1. Sendmelentils
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      masuaku

    2. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Masuaku

    3. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      The veggie lasagne

  2. Petes Sake
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Rooney and Lacazette > Aguero and Wilson?

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes do it

    2. Baer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Next week

  3. Earn your Spurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    What's best for next week - £2.1m itb?

    a> Son -> Salah
    b> Mustafi -> Azpi
    c Mustafi -> Other (Jones?)

    DDG, Eliott
    Alonso, Otamendi, Kenny, Masuaku, Mustafi
    Sterling, Lingard, Arnie, RLC, Son
    Kane, Firmino, Rooney

    1. @FPLDIARYFPL
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Need salah long term so has to be A

  4. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Would you play Albrighton and Duffy above VVD and Otamendi?

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I wouldn't - both VVD and Ota have goal threat as well

  5. darko
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Get rid of Eriksen or Alli for Lindgard?

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Eriksen.

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Alli

    3. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Either - probably Erik

    4. darko
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers

  6. WVA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Prices rises and falls really are appalling this year, just is not making sense, people on minus 102 at 1am are not dropping! Last year was much better and much more predictable.

    Anyway G2G or should i start Dunk over Ogbonna????

    Ddg
    Alonso Otamendi Zanka Ogbonna
    Salah Sterling Son Lingard
    Kane(c) Morata
    Speroni Dunk Obiang McBurnie

  7. FPL Jogger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Which option is best?

    Pope
    Jones Christensen masuaku Duffy
    Salah Sterling Alli Lanzini
    Kane(c) Aguero
    Elliott Robertson DCL RLC

    A) Robertson & Alli >> alonso & lingard (-4)
    B) jones/christensen & Alli >> alonso & lingard (-4)
    C) lanzini/Alli >> lingard
    D) hold

    I like the idea of B as it frees up a million to strengthen bench(DCL/RLC) next week but I’m wary of taking hits

  8. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Alonso worth the extra 1.7 over Christensen?

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes definitely if you can afford

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Depends how you spend the 1.7 and if he gets rotated

      1. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks both. Think I'll go for it.

  9. sundelland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Ryan
    Bellerin Jones Ogbonna
    Salah Sterling Lingard Mahrez/pogba/son
    Kane Morata Firmino

  10. KingoftheRunts
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Bench 2:

    Ogbonna, Dunk, Depoitre, Wilson

    Thanks

  11. FPL Ultras
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Differential = Son
    I captain Aguero

  12. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    worth starting RLC over ogbonna?

  13. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Which Man City midfielder is most at risk?

    Manchester City have made a £45m bid for Shakhtar Donetsk's Brazilian midfielder Fred, 24. (Manchester Evening News)

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Not D Silva, KdB, Sterling or Fernandinho ... who does that leave ?

      It just makes rotation even worse, but maybe a few players will leave too

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Fernandino

    3. Ramboros
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Fernandinho

    4. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Fernandinho

  14. Gaffa914
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on salah (C)

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Risky - he's had a knock and not clear if he's fully fit even if he does play

    2. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Bad move

    3. @FPLDIARYFPL
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldnt say a bad move. Most consistant player in the game. Theres not a stand out C pick this week so why not?

      1. WINNING!
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Kane Hazard Sterling to think of a few

  15. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Defensive confusion this week. Choose:

    GK to play:
    1. Elliott
    2. Adrian

    Three Defenders:
    A. Jones
    B. Dunk
    C. Christensen
    D. Otamendi
    E. Dummett

    1. FPLHaggis
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      1, A C D

    2. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      2 A C E

  16. Armchair Pundit
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Rate my team

    Adrian

    Christensen,Jones,Mustafi,Stones

    Sterling,Salah,Lingard

    Morata,Kane,Firmino

    1. Armchair Pundit
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Subs:Pereira,T.Carroll,Lewis Cook,Tomkins

    2. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Not bad, but would downgrade Morata and invest in midfield personally

  17. FPLHaggis
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Pope (Elliot)
    Christensen Jones Ogbonna (Kenny Francis)
    Salah Sterling Son Arnie Lingard (c)
    Kane Firmino (DCL)
    2.8itb 0FT

    Good to go?

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Nice team - could upgrade Christensen to Alonso but maybe not worth a hit

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Good but I'd capt Kane

    3. @FPLDIARYFPL
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Nearly the exqct same team!! So going to say gtg!:)

      Im seeing this midfield in a lit of teams so hopefully thats a good sign?

  18. Sendmelentils
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play Duffy (West Brom) or Ogbonna (Hud) ? Both away games

  19. LaCazettio
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Kiko Fem back this Gw?

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Unlikely

  20. Babit1967
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    How’s the team looking?

    Foster

    Alonso Ota Jones

    Salah Sterling Lingard Alli Millijovic

    Kane C Firmino

    Subs Pickford DCL Mee Kiko

    1.5 mil in bank no ft, looking to do Alli to KDB next gw

    1. Sendmelentils
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      yes

  21. Arteta
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Adrian (Pope)
    Azpilicueta Bellerin Ogbonna (Robertson Mbemba)
    Salah Sterling Sane Eriksen Son
    Aguero Calvert-Lewin (Quaner)

    Any suggestions? 2.5m and FT available.
    I see many possibilities but I should have 11 starters so I'm leaning towards saving and doing a mini wildcard next week.

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Probably save

    2. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Eriksen>Lingard
      Upgrade CL GW24

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Azpi to Alonso seems like an obvious move, but I think you're right about saving a transfer.

      Leicester are vulnerable to set pieces and Morgan is out so Azpi to Morata's noggin could pay out.

      Eriksen to Lingard looks like an option too.

    4. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers guys! I'll decide what to do after lunch 😀

  22. Rory Rocky man
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Morata or aguero ??
    Have morata free transfer to aguero
    Yes or no??

    1. Sendmelentils
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'd bank the transfer this week

    2. El Matador
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Next week

  23. Steirish
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play lossl or Adrian? already have ogbanna playing

  24. Tibbs
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Last conundrum:

    play

    a) Ogbonna (hud)
    b) Kabasele (SOU)?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. Kaptenen
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

  25. Bobby_Baggio
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Start one

    A) Adrian
    B) Speroni

    Captain one

    1) Kane
    2) Lingard
    3) Son

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A1

    2. Kaptenen
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A1

    3. Tibbs
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B 1

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers what's your thinking with Speroni over Adrian?

        1. Tibbs
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Have only scored 2+ goals in 3 games away (Chelsea first game of season included). Personally just find a Burnley side away who have only scored 11 away from home to take a point today.

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 13 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            Fair point mate thanks

  26. Kaptenen
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play one
    A) Masuaku
    B) Depoitre

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      On A dunno if dep will even start

  27. Delph & Safety
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Next week smells points. Might get away with a hit or two.

  28. Benditlike
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    G2G?

    Foster
    Ota - Jones - Alonso -Ogbonna
    Salah (VC) - Son - Arnie - Sterling
    Kane (C) - Firminho

    Sub: Elliot, Mee, RLC, DCL

    Should i start Mee over Ogbonna?

  29. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Any one worried Salah will start from the bench ?

    1. Alexis Nonsense
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No, he scores anyway 😛

  30. Lexi2014
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Makasu or Lascalles?

    1. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Lascalles

    2. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      lascelles for sure