Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 15

Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez came through for us in midweek with a goal in the 5-0 victory over Huddersfield, and we’re backing two other big-name midfielders to shine as differentials this time around.

Our third selection sees us take a chance on a Southampton striker who proved in Gameweek 13 that he can still find the back of the net when given the pitch time and service.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

Everton’s club-record signing is beginning to make his mark on Merseyside and he looks set for further profit with Huddersfield Town visiting Goodison Park this afternoon.

A goal and two assists in his last three Gameweek starts provide indication that the Iceland international has now settled at his new club, following an indifferent start.

The midfielder’s underlying statistics illustrate a growing influence.

He has registered more shots (five) than any team-mate over the last four Gameweeks, and has also created two big chances. The former Swansea City midfielder has supplied 19 crosses during the same spell, more than double that of any other Toffees player.

Confidence levels in the Toffees camp will have been boosted by the emphatic 4-0 victory over West Ham United, and also by the arrival of Sam Allardyce as manager.

This afternoon’s match-up will be Big Sam’s first game in charge and looks to be a platform to claim back-to-back victories.

No team has conceded more goals than Huddersfield (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they have also given up more big chances (13) than any other side over that period.

Now down to 8.0 in Fantasy Premier League, having started the season at 8.5, Sigurdsson will be a factor today and could yet feature in our seasons.

Everton’s fixture list for the rest of 2017 remains favourable, and we might see the 2.1%-owned midfielder emerge as an effective differential under Allardyce.

Gameweek 15 looks as good opportunity to take a chance on a player who has been a firm Fantasy favourite in seasons past.

Charlie Austin

After playing just seven minutes in midweek, and with Shane Long an injury doubt, we fancy that Charlie Austin will be handed a start when Southampton travel to Bournemouth on Sunday.

The striker made the most of his first start of the season in Gameweek 13, scoring twice in the 4-1 victory over Everton.

His performance could not have been more impressive. Austin registered six shots, with five coming from inside the penalty-area.

His lack of pitch-time so far this season means the forward resides in just 1% of FPL squads. But given his proven track record, he may well be worth a look as a third striker differential.

He tallied six goals and one assist from just 11 starts last term and produced 18 goals and eight assists back in 2014/15.

His aerial prowess, in particular, could be a major factor against the Bournemouth defence. Only West Bromwich Albion (39) have conceded more headed attempts (36) this season.

Available at just 6.0 in FPL, Austin may be viewed as a possible rotation option, with his historical fitness issues perhaps meaning he won’t be able to start every match over this congested period.

But with a favourable Gameweek 15 match-up, and strong home fixtures against Leicester City and Huddersfield coming up, he could warrant a gamble.

Philippe Coutinho

The forgotten man in the FPL midfield shake-up can be a major game-changer for Fantasy managers.

After being an unused substitute in the 3-0 win over Stoke City on Wednesday night, Philippe Coutinho is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Brighton & Hove Albion.

While it’s been a stop-start campaign for the Brazilian so far, he’s still totalled three goals, two assists and eight bonus points from just seven starts.

Now down to just 8.8 in FPL, he could be a great option to double up on the Liverpool attack, alongside Mohamed Salah, for the favourable run of fixtures heading into 2018.

While today’s opponents Brighton have been relatively solid at the Amex Stadium, conceding just seven goals, there is every chance the free-scoring Reds can prosper.

The Seagulls rank sixth for the most big chances allowed in home matches, with 12, and fifth for shots on target conceded (29).

Meanwhile, Jurgen Klopp’s side currently boast the Premier League’s in-form attack. They lead the way for both goals scored (11) and big chances (13) over the last four Gameweeks.

When he’s been on the pitch, Coutinho has been hugely influential, averaging a shot every 20.5 minutes, which matches the prolific Salah.

While Coutinho mainly relies on efforts from range, he has also created a chance every 29 minutes, superior to both Salah (50) and Sadio Mane (51).

An FPL goal involvement rate of 50% highlights Coutinho’s importance to the Liverpool attack.

If you’re seeking a differential with the potential for a big tally, the 5.2%-owned Reds midfielder fits the profile perfectly.

2,220 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Teror
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Real benching headache for me here: Niasse or Pogba?

    All signs point to Pogba due to Arsenal's home form, solid defence and Mourinho's awful record away... BUT... Wenger has only beaten him once in his career... hmm...

    1. *Reformed-Character*
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      This is an easy one for me.....start pogba it's not even close

      1. Kun Tozser
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        This

      2. Teror
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Huddersfield's away record is awful though.

      3. Yozzer
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        This

        Niasse wont start.

        I'm deciding between 20 or 30 mins of Niasse vs RLC

      4. StoichkovFPL
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        this

    2. Victor6359
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Pogba

    3. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      If we knew both were starting Niasse all day long.

  2. *Reformed-Character*
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Sane out for mane -4 ? I can't see sane starting with ban risk....plus I don't like his next fixture against uniteds massive great bus

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Sane starts

    2. Pep says
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I got priced out with the rise/drop Thursday night. I was very tempted. If he doesn't play, I could live without a city mid for their 3 fixtures following West Ham

  3. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morata Gross > hazard Wilson -4. Yes or no?

    1. StoichkovFPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      a bit sideways..no

    2. Victor6359
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No for me

    3. Live Lad
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No. I thought about it long and hard as I have the first two. H + W might be better this week but you know what Gross and Morata are capable of. I would hold for now and see if Hazard becomes essential.

  4. StoichkovFPL
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Would you choose:

    A) Moreno/Mee, Zaha
    B) Alonso/Azpi, RLC

    1. Sahil Yadav
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B. But not because of Alonso/Azpi but because of Rlc over Zaha

      1. StoichkovFPL
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        what?? interesting. think this GW will give me the answer zaha or rlc than. if both blank and play meh you may be right..

        1. Sahil Yadav
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          I think you should go for B anyway. Azpi and Alonso are worth the extra money over Moreno/Mee but not Zaha over Rlc

          1. StoichkovFPL
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 5 months ago

            cheers. will probably do next week free

  5. Grounderz
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one, have 2 FTs available for 2 trades:

    (1) Lukaku / Monreal / Otamendi ➡ Kane / Williams / Christensen
    (2) Sane / Monreal ➡ Hazard / Duffy
    (3) Lukaku / Monreal ➡ Kane / Morgan

    Current team:

    de Gea / Elliot
    Otamendi / Monreal / Moreno / Mee / Mariappa
    Salah / Sane / Sterling / Loftus-Cheek / Carroll
    Lukaku / Morata / Vardy

    1. StoichkovFPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      3

  6. HurriKane
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Is Rooney nailed on guys ?

    Everton face these 5 teams in next 7

    HUD new SWA wba bou

    1. StoichkovFPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      he had some rest if I remember correctly. After scoring 3 think he will play defo

  7. Victor6359
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you bring in?

    A: Azpi

    B: Alonso

    Cheers

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A but it's close

    2. Live Lad
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A this week
      B might get rested
      Not much difference between the two. Should get A if you do that this week.

    3. Sidekick_08
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers fellas

    4. StoichkovFPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B long term but he may be rested this GW

  8. Pep says
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    This would be a decent week to glance at the Men in Black article with Haz and Kane both on pens

  9. istanbul05
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Opinions guys?

    A) Lukaku and King to Niasse and Hazard (-4)
    B) Lukaku and King to Diouf and Mane (-4)
    C) Kaku to Firmino (giving me cash for King to Ramsey next week)
    D) Save

    Fabianski,
    Otamendi, Daniels, Mee,
    Salah, Sane, Richarlison, RLC,
    Kane, Kaku, Morata.

    Elliot, Naughton, King, Mbemba

    Thanks!

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A. Don't touch Diouf he's playing at right wb and delivering next to nothing

  10. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    I'm disappointed with myself, bottling Salah (c) again for Kane :/

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      It's not too late......

    2. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Same :/

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I have both and gone Hazard

        1. Stockport Hatter
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          Gone Hazard instead.*

          1. GreenArrows
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 5 months ago

            I would captain Hazard if i had him

  11. Nerdlinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all.

    Start
    A. Abraham (stk)
    B. Zaha (wba)

    Cheers

    1. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Abraham

    3. Victor6359
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

    4. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Abraham. Missed 2 games - will be keen to make a banging return!

  12. Bis_78
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Come on people, quick question. I will need to do this today or it will be too expensive.

    Considering fixtures and rotation:
    A) Trippier, Zaha, Kane
    To
    B) Kabasele, Hazard, Morata

    A) keep
    B) Change

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Pep says
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No! No! Trippier and Kane could have a field day today. Next week if your happy to go without Kane, it's looks a better move but I still don't like the move itself

  13. SUPER MOKH
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Pope
    Azpi-Ota-Daniels
    Salah-Sane-(H)azard-RLC
    Kane-Morata-Abraham

    Elliot, Surman, Moreno, Hunemeier (1ft, 0.2itb)

    GTG?

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yep

  14. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Really struggling here. Feel like this squad is a as and I have two fTs and no idea how to make best use of them.

    Fabianski / Elliot
    Otamendi / Alonso / Mee / Cedric / Marriappa
    Sane / Richarlison / Salah / Zaha / Carroll
    Kane / Jesus / Murray

    Thinking :

    A) Jesus > Morata, Cedric > someone better
    B) Murray > Rooney, Sane > Sterling (madness?)
    C) anything else?

    Any help appreciated. Slept hardly at all thanks to 8-week old son!

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I like B. It's not that bad. I like risks though. Took a -20 this week to sort my mess out!

  15. DantheManinaPan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Loftus-Cheek or Abraham?

    1. Hagnus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Abraham

      1. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        +1

  16. MrMajeika
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    edging towards Kane over hazard for captain after reading these posts. took a -8 hit though to bring in hazard so does that mean I should be captaining him to make those points up?

    1. Sidekick_08
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      The captain decision has got nothing to do with that imo. Just captain whoever you think will score the most pts.

  17. Sidekick_08
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Which one to start?

    A. RLC (wba}

    B. Calvert-Lewin (HUD)

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B

  18. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Looks like Robertson is starting over Moreno today.

    1. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Source?

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Friend who's very rarely wrong.

    2. MFC86
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Says who ?

  19. GreenArrows
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    gtg, all set?

    Pope
    Daniels Mee Moreno
    Salah Silva Richarlison Fernandinho
    Lukaku Kane (C) Morata

    Elliot RLC Jones Duffy

    0.0itb 2FT

  20. theroadrunner
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    captain haz, kane or salah. currently on haz but he might troll.

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      on william hill anytime goalscorer favoured kane over haza and salah

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Kane deserves the armband for his goals in the last two game weeks. His next haul is due.

  21. azambadboy
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    need your help..
    4-5-1
    GK: Pickford (Speroni)
    DEF: Otamendi Holgate Moreno Azpilicueta (Kenny)
    MID: Salah(C) Mane Sterling Shaqiri Hazard
    FWD: Morata (Diouf Austin)
    Hazard > Aguero?
    Austin > Abraham?

  22. SH
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Would you change anything? Ayew in place of Moreno or Ward?

    DDG
    Christensen Ward Daniels Moreno
    Hazard Salah Sterling Choupo
    Kane Lukaku

    Elliot Ayew Romeu Dunk

  23. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Seriously tempted to do this...

    Really worried Morata rested and Choupo injury doubt. -8 Bavies Choupo Morata to Maguire Hazard Austin??

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Why would Morata be rested?

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Predicted teams sites called Hazard midweek and now they predicting Morata

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Like the moves but -8 is harsh

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Maybe not McGuire

    4. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      What if Austin doesn't start. Calm it

    5. Mick J
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Austin is perhaps a bit short-term, but just getting Hazard in this gameweek will make the moves profitable. Go for it!

  24. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Dont know who to bench, so please help me :

    1. richarlison
    2. gross
    3. niasse

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Probs 3

    2. Andriy Shevchenko is Back
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I am planning to bench gross

  25. nadman89
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play choupo moting or RLC . Does cm definitely start if he isn't injured or could he come on and play 20 . Ideas ?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      If he doesn't start likely doesn't play

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I would think C-M will start if fit and Hughes seemed confident he would be OK

  26. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Hi, folks. Really wanna get rid of jesus, but with just 1.0 itb I do not see anything long term I can do. Do you?

    Fab/ Elliot

    Otamendi, Daniels, Maguire (Ward, Clarke)

    Hazard, Salah, Richarlison, Gross (RLC)

    Vardy, Jesus, Morata

    1. Mick J
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Jesus will play and score against West Ham. Save the transfer this gameweek and swap Jesus next when he has Man United and you have two free transfers.

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Jesus to 5 mil. RLC to kdb/mane/couthino

      1. XabiAlonso
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Next week

  27. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Daniels, Jesus to Alonso, Firmino for game week 16?

  28. emperor90
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you start?
    a)Mustafi against MANU
    b) Ward against LEI

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      a

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A after seeing utd tactics against good teams

    4. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. Mick J
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A.

  29. asif316uk
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who to captain and why?

    A. Hazard
    B. Sane
    C. Salah
    D. Kane

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      on william hill anytime goalscorer favoured morata over kane then haza and salah 🙂

    2. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      D - Nailed, on pens, Watford poor form at home

      1. asif316uk
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Currently on Hazard who murdered me last week for captaining him

    3. Mick J
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Hazard against Newcastle at home seems pretty obvious to me. Morata might get rested and Kane might be tired and have an off-day. Salah seems like the next-best candidate to me.

  30. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    on william hill anytime goalscorer favoured morata over kane then haza and salah

    1. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Interesting

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I think you said.
      Bookie odds don't actually reflect the likelihood of an event anyway

      1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        They reflect how many punters think something Will happen