Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 23

With forwards still struggling to bring in the points, we’ve chosen a pair of midfielders and a budget defender as our first trio of differentials for 2018.

A Bournemouth winger who has quietly been producing sensational numbers in recent weeks takes centre stage. A Chelsea stalwart with kind fixtures also catches the eye, while the prospect of a double-figure score has drawn us back to a West Brom defender favoured heavily in the early season.

Jordon Ibe

Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe is emerging as a fresh budget fifth midfielder option on the back of some fine recent showings.

Setting us back just 4.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger has impressively registered more shots (17) than any other midfielder over the last four Gameweeks.

Indeed, only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (seven) has produced more efforts on target than Ibe (six) over that spell.

The Cherries winger notched his fourth assist of the season in the 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 22 and has also impressed with his creativity.

He has registered 13 key passes over the same four-match spell, which is bettered only by Brighton’s Pascal Gross (14) among midfielders.

Ibe is benefitting from a sustained run in the side.

The signing from Liverpool has started the last five, having previously only been selected in the starting XI for seven of the opening 17 matches.

It remains to be seen if Ibe can retain a starting role on the right flank, though Ibe’s convincing recent form could force the returning Junior Stanislas to compete with Ryan Fraser for a role on the left.

Eddie Howe’s men entertain Arsenal tomorrow, colliding with a Gunners rearguard that has shipped eight goals in their last four encounters.

Arsene Wenger’s side, who will be without key defenders Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal, have also allowed 46 shots from inside the penalty area over their last four matches. Only West Ham United (47) have conceded more.

Ibe, meanwhile, has helped the Cherries fire 50 shots from inside the box since Gameweek 19, more than any other side.

With the fixture list (whu che STK hud NEW) also kind for some time to come, the 0.4%-owned winger looks an enticing option for those getting frustrated by the injury-prone Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Cesc Fabregas

A home fixture against a Leicester City side that has managed just a single clean sheet on their travels this season brings Chelsea’s Cesc Fabregas into our thinking.

The Spain international has registered a modest one goal and four assists so far but is impressively creating a chance every 22 minutes – more frequently than any player who has made at least two starts.

Fabregas is currently benefitting from playing as the most advanced of the three central midfielders for the champions, pulling the strings behind Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata.

Chelsea’s upcoming schedule remains favourable over the coming weeks (bha BOU wat WBA), so the 3.4%-owned playmaker could also provide a longer-term solution.

Available at just 6.8, Fabregas can be a cheaper option from the Blues attack at a time when Morata and, to a lesser extent, Hazard are struggling to justify their premium price tags.

For those Fantasy managers who need to find differentials capable of double-figure hauls, the Chelsea midfielder looks worthy of serious consideration over these next five Gameweeks.

Ahmed Hegazi

Although the West Bromwich Albion defender is nominally part of 18.9% of FPL squads, a high proportion of those are doubtless unmanaged ‘ghostship teams’, ensuring that the Egyptian is now a differential of sorts among active managers.

It is fair to say that this afternoon’s home clash against Brighton has all the hallmarks of a 0-0 draw – both sides have had four goalless draws this season, more than any other teams.

The centre-back, who has now returned to his original starting price of 4.5, has picked up bonus points on three occasions when the Baggies have kept a clean sheet.

He has registered an eye-catching 219 clearances, blocks and interceptions, which is 102 more than any team-mate and third overall among defenders.

Hegazi also boasts a significant set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more big chances (four) than the three for the Baggies centre-back.

Most significantly, Brighton have conceded more goals (14) from set-plays than any other side this season and also rank first for the most set-piece chances allowed, with 112.

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Hegazi is finally back on the radar as an option – albeit in the short-term.

1,378 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    These three over Oggy (first bench)?

    Alonso/Jones/Duffy

    I appreciate Oggy and Duffy are just as likely as eachother to get points - but have Arnie, so perhaps spreading over two teams is the best option.

    1. Chazz69
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Who's Oggy by the way ?

  2. Goujon82
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Curveball question - I want a DEF to play this week but that is geared to perform well for the next 3 Gameweeks...thoughts? Fighting H2H and points league battles, it’s never easy is it!:-)

    Options “may” be;

    - Jones
    - Alonso
    - Azpi
    - Ogbonna

    Current team by the by is with 3.1m ITB;

    DDG
    Ota, Christensen, Smalling (not guaranteed he’ll play)
    Sterling, Alli, Lingard, Son , RLC (may not play)
    Firmino, Morata (C)

    Pope, Kenny, DCL, Kiko (bench was decent and now fodder)

    1. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Alonso is the form player

      1. Goujon82
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers Homer21, I agree, just finding it hard to pull the trigger on kiko -> 7.3 and clear all my ITB cash for other moves but u think it’s the right call over next few weeks when I play top 2 ahead of me in H2H..

  3. Johnmph
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Gross -> Lingard for free a no-brainer?

    1. MGD
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Did that move 🙂

    2. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Decent transfer, but only a no brainer if you have 2 FTs

    4. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      It is until Gross scores 😉

    5. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Not a no brainer. It is Lingard after all....

      1. Johnmph
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks guys. Now I'm less sure of the move 😀

        1. jack149331
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          just change it its bait brighton playin chelsea next week

  4. MGD
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Pope
    Otamendi - Jones - Christensen
    Salah - Eriksen - Sterling - Lingard - Arnautovic
    Kane (C) - Firmino

    Elliot - Masauku - DCL - Mbemba

    Captancy good? Bench good?

    World anyone play Elliot/Masauku instead?

    1. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Play Elliott

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Elliot won't play anyway and West Ham defence away from home is not great

  5. My Name Is Prince
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Alli —> Lingard or shave?

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Keep Alli.

    2. waterboy
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, but grow a full beard.

  6. Brasil82
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    A) Morata, Richarlison and Pickford or B) Ederson, Ramsey/Fabregas and Firmino?

    The only thing making me indecisive is Chelsea's upcoming fixtures. Makes me think I should stick with Morarta...

    1. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B, Morata is nowhere near his best form

      1. Brasil82
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks Homer. And Fabregas, Ramsey or Richarlison?

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Morata and Rich are 2 of the worst performing players recently that are highly owned

      22pts and 27pts in last 9 weeks. Why do owners not know this?

  7. Toastie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Foster
    Alonso,Mee,Christensen,Otamendi
    Arnautovic, Sterling, Salah, Richarlison
    Firmino, Kane

    Speroni,Quaner,Gundogan,Zeegelaar 0.2 itb

    GTG or should I consider getting Lingard in?

    1. Brasil82
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I would stick

  8. Junior ⚽
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Start

    A) Duffy (wba)
    B) Ogbonna (hud)

  9. Yogi_mike
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Alli> Lingard Free? Have Kane n Son or save

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save

    2. Brasil82
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. Bojaninho
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      yes

    4. Captain Tsubasa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    5. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      SAVE IT!!!!!! -bant

  10. COLLIN QUANER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Can't wait for Lingard to blank

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      You’ll be waiting a long time then

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Probably will this week but enjoyed his 23pts last 3 for 6m

  11. Bojaninho
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    hi Guys, strapped for time as flying before deadline.

    Foster,

    Otamendi, Alonso, Ogbonna

    Salah, Sterling, Arnie,Son, Lingard

    Firmino,Kane

    Elliot, DCL,Mee, Mbemba

    Maybe Mee>Jones
    1.2 itb, 1 ft, not sure what to do. May just save 2fts easier to manoeuvre next week.
    Tempted to captain Lingard.

    Any thoughts please?

    1. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save and fly

      1. Bojaninho
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        thanks Homer... 'look at this country Urgayyyyy (points to Uruguay)

    2. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Captain Salah, Mee to Jones looks good.. I’d play Jones over lindgard then and jobs a good one lol

  12. FPLShaqiri
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    elliot (adrian)

    christensen/ota/schindler/vertonghen (mbemba)

    pogba/salah/alli/rich (rlc)

    morata/kane (dcl)

    1FT, 0.1m itb

    Options:
    A: dcl -> mcburnie/bench fodder (avoid price drop, then maybe get chupo or VVD next week)
    B: Save
    C: Get Lingard (Is he essential? If so do I remove Alli or Pog?)
    D: Other suggestions welcome

  13. Ozzydragon86
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Any obvious changes other than Shaw next GW?

    Adrian - Elliot

    Christensen - Shaw - Stones - VVD - Mustafi

    Sterling - Salah - Mahrez - Carroll - Romeu

    Kane - Aguero - Firmino

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      You have crap 4th 5th mid because too much money on defence and not even Alonso

      1. Mr Mourinho
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        seconded

  14. Mr Mourinho
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who would you choose DDG or Jones?

    1. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I’ve got both lol

      1. Mr Mourinho
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        I have both as well. I need to let one go to fund other areas

        1. Homo Neanderthalensis
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Ahh I see. I wouldn’t advice letting any of them go personally.. any chance of you having Kane? Downgrade to Aguero will free up 2 million odd.

          1. Mr Mourinho
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            This is my current :
            Ddg Elliot
            Alonso Ota Jones Kelly Edwards
            Sterling Arnie Lingard Milli Cork
            Kane Aguero Firmino

            I want it to look like :
            XX XX
            Alonso XX (city) XX Kelly
            Salah Sterling Lingard Arnie Milivojevic
            Aguero Kane Quaner

            Hence, the above. What say?

            1. Homo Neanderthalensis
              • 10 Years
              6 years, 3 months ago

              I prefer your original teams defence etc.

              Maybe Firmino down to Bournemouth’s Wilson... that frees up 3-4 million and you can keep that lovey defence.
              Do you really need 2 expensive strikers and one medium? Points are coming from midfield mostly this year.

    2. Foozeball
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Jones. cheaper and BAPs magnet

      1. Mr Mourinho
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        What about save points from DDG?

  15. Foozeball
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Playing 4-5-1 and already have Kane with Depoirtre as a 2nd striker.
    Who should I pick for the 3rd striker?

    A) Wilson
    B) Ayew
    C) Mcburnie (bench fodder lol)

    C would let me upgrade Lingard to D.Silva or anyone else in that price bracket after the Stoke game

    1. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Scout
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      who have you got? was thinking of playing 5-4-1 but not sure if the defenders will get me points? was thinking of bringing bellerin and VVD in

  16. Mufc123
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    best midfielder under 5.8 mill? ibe?

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      nah ritchie i'd go for

  17. Scout
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    david silva for lingard or pogba? worth it or no?

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      wouldn't man city have west brom next week good fixtures coming

      1. Scout
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        I've got sterling just not sure whether to change silva or not?

        1. jack149331
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          i'd keep city players over united as man u have burnley and spurs comin and city have good fixtures

          1. Scout
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            ok thanks
            what do you think of playing 5-4-1?
            would be

            VVD otemendi jones Alonso bellerin
            salah silva sterling son
            kane

            1. jack149331
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 3 months ago

              any alternative to vvd?/

              1. Scout
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 3 months ago

                anyone that is 5.4m
                not liking vvd?

    2. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I ditched Silva for Pogba. He just seems like a long term uncertainty with his situation, especially with Gundogan back and playing well who can take his place in the team.

      1. Scout
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        thats why I'm not sure? if he will be playing because he had personal issues before are they still going on.

  18. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Mee to Jones worth a -4?

    1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Why?mee has an ok fixture..

  19. Razor425
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Do we think Elliot plays today and surely I should start him over Adrian in case he does?

    1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Guys,should i start adrian(hudd) or foster(brig)..already have cresswell??

      1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Sorry ...post fail

  20. Ribus
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play Kenny or DCL?

    1. Chazz69
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Kenny

      1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Why Kenny?he is up agnst spurs and kane loves scoring against them!!

  21. Goujon82
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone have a gut feeling on Smalling and if he’ll play..?

  22. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Guys,should i start adrian(hudd) or foster(brig)..already have cresswell??

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Foster

  23. wulfrunian
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Morning all!Any suggested moves?

    Elliot
    Alonso-Schindler-Jones
    Salah-Sterling-Atsu-Alli-Arnie
    Kane-Firmino

    Adrian-Wilson-Ogbonna-Robertson
    1ft 1.5itb

    cheers

    1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      g2g mate but...i just feel you could do atsu--◆lingard

      1. wulfrunian
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        My mistake 0.2 itb

        1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          then play ogbonna instead of atsu imo...

          1. wulfrunian
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            cheers mate

  24. Jaga
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Just cant decide. Should I captain Kane to be safe with the pack, or Hazard for the differential???

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Your rank?

      1. Jaga
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        I am first in my mini league, 218k overall

        1. wulfrunian
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Hazard for me.

        2. wulfrunian
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Kane if your target is the ML.

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Kane. Why risk it?

    3. Scout
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      go for Kane

  25. Toplad
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Rob Elliott playing today?

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      yer he told me

  26. thisisdiz
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play 2 :
    Zanka
    DCL
    Otamendi
    Cresswell
    Arnie

    Thanks!

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      ota and arnie for sure

    2. Scout
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      ota and arnie

    3. thisisdiz
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks mate!

  27. iluminus_srb21
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Foster
    Christensen-Dunk-Masuaku
    Arnautović-Salah-Hazard-Lingard-D.Silva
    Kane(c)-Depoitre

    Elliot-Murray-Otamendi-Kabasele

    any thoughts, guys?

    1. Yogi_mike
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I had Masuaku too for Ota but.. Nvr bench Ota.. Hudd at home will score.. Imo

  28. Mr Flibble
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    I've got -

    Pope (Adrian)
    Otamendi Christensen Jones (Dunk Ogbonna)
    Sterling Salah Atsu Son Arnie
    Kane Aguero (Calvert Lewin)

    Sorely tempted to take a hit and do Christensen&Son to Alonso&Lingard but resisted all week and think saving is probably better.

    Really want to play Dunk but Atsu is playing Swansea and I think he could do something this week and can't make my mind up. Who scores more?

    GTG ?

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Good to go.

      1. Mr Flibble
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers

  29. chrispaterson1
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Lingard, Son, Salah or Aguero as Captain this week? Am I being stupid and is there an obvious pick out of the 4? I know Lingard is being captained by many.

    1. Scout
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      would go for aguero

      1. chrispaterson1
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Reason mate?

        1. Scout
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          guaranteed to play with Jesus out. Liverpool def not good . city on form aswell so likely to score in my option

          1. Halftime
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            VVD should strengthen their defense a bit.

            1. Scout
              • 6 Years
              6 years, 3 months ago

              yeah should but how much by? reckon city will score

        2. Scout
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          help below please

  30. Scout
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    what team do you think is better a or b

    DDG
    VVD bellerin otemendi jones alonso
    salah sterling son silva
    kane

    or

    DDG
    otemendi jones Alonso kenny
    salah silva sterling son
    kane rooney

    both teams have only one sub that plays regularly

    1. chrispaterson1
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A - don't think everton will do anything at spurs