Great Expectations

Great Expectations – Andreas Weimann

After the first nine Gameweeks of the previous campaign, Andreas Weimann cut a peripheral figure for Aston Villa. Having started just five times under Alex McLeish in 2011/12, the young Austrian looked to have assumed the role of bench-warmer once again – with two starts and no goals to his name as November arrived, Paul Lambert’s continual first-team tinkering proved severely detrimental to his game time.

As the season unfolded, however, Weimann’s prospects improved in leaps and bounds. While Christian Benteke hogged the headlines with a series of barnstorming displays in his debut season at Villa Park, Weimann’s contribution up top was also crucial over the final few months. Ending the 2012/13 campaign with seven goals, four assists and 13 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) bonus points, Weimann registered 105 points over 26 starts to suggest he may be ready to offer us a genuine, budget-friendly alternative for our three man forward lines next time out.

Key Factors

  • Similar to our previous Great Expectations article on Villa right-back Matt Lowton, an increased tactical consistency should help Weimann’s prospects. Lambert’s tinkering meant the Austrian was utilised in a variety of positions last time round – although fielded on the left, through the middle and in “the hole”, he finally looks to have nailed down a front right role in a 4-3-3, with Gabby Agbonlahor on the opposite flank and Benteke through the middle.

  • As the battle for relegation heated up, Weimann became a key member of Villa’s first XI. He started just 12 of Villa’s first 24 league fixtures, with a further four appearances off the bench, but from Gameweek 25 onwards he started every one of his side’s matches – given that Villa ended the campaign with five wins and two draws from their last 10 games, their improving form indicates Lambert’s side was finally starting to gel as the season came to a close.

  • Weimann’s eye for goal highlights his capabilities against some of the more established sides. The youngster bagged a brace against United and also notched against the likes of Liverpool and Arsenal, racking up three sets of double figures last time round. Indeed, his crucial presence in the first XI is highlighted by Villa’s attacking output – they scored 39 goals in the 26 games he started (1.5 goals per game) compared to eight strikes in the 12 games (0.66 goals per game) without Weimann in the starting line-up.

  • While Benteke’s 19 goals, four assists and total of 166 FPL points made a mockery of his initial 6.5 starting price last term, the Belgian is primed for a significant price hike which could well knock him off many radars. A cost of 8.5 to 9.5 for Benteke looks realistic and with Agbonlahor also finishing the season strongly, his value is likely to be frozen across the Fantasy games, with a possible increase to 7.5 in the FPL on the cards. Weimann should remain the budget option for Lambert’s forwards, then – a cost around 5.5 to 6.0 in FPL could well prove a bargain as he looks to push on from last term’s first-team breakthrough.

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1,304 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sheep
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    How much will BAE be?

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    1. King Nil Miss ✩
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      5.5 - 6.0

      is my guess

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    2. FACUPARSE
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      £1.50p

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  2. charlie1X
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Can't say shite (signs off)

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  3. King Nil Miss ✩
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    If Kone ends up at WBA, at what price will he be in FPL?

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    1. SuperOsçarBaby
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      i hope under 7.0m

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  4. isacki: full casual
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    David Brent exists in real life. Terrifying.

    Think he might actually have a point about happy staff sell though.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-22946358

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    1. Manani
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      what would you do if you have David Brent as the boss?

      WOuld you quite your job, or love it?

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      1. Granville
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        At first, I thought this was another Joe Kinnear post 🙂

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      2. isacki: full casual
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Quit...

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    2. Bubbles
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      One of the most cringey TV programmes I have ever seen.

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Gervais appears to have dined off it for the rest of his career. 😆 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2FToyZil3I

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  5. Parm
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Home/Away clean sheets last season for cheaper sides.

    Villa: 4 Home Clean Sheets, 1 Away Clean Sheet.
    Fulham: 4 Home Clean Sheets, 4 Away Clean sheets.
    Toon: 4 Home Clean Sheets, 2 Away Clean Sheets.
    Norwich: 8 Home Clean Sheets, 2 Away Clean Sheets.
    Soton: 3 Home Clean Sheets, 4 Away Clean Sheets.
    Stoke: 7 Home Clean Sheets, 5 Away Clean Sheets.
    S'land: 7 Home Clean Sheets, 4 Away Clean Sheets.
    Swans: 5 Home Clean Sheets, 5 Away Clean Sheets.
    WBA: 5 Home Clean Sheets, 3 Away Clean Sheets.
    WHam: 6 Home Clean Sheets, 5 Away Clean Sheets.

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    1. isacki: full casual
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Swansea were big on away CS last year, but West Ham and Stoke being joint top with them will be a bit of a shock as they're meant to be 'home teams'. Really it just shows they're tight defensively.

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Think this is a good example of why rotation should not be based on home/away alone, but more on the fixture, as there are so many away CS you'd miss.

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        1. In Tommy We Trust
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          So if you were creating a rotation spreadsheet would you include every game other than the top 7 at home or away rather than a simple home/away rule for all?

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          1. tw
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            that's what i've done in the past when I've tried to figure out my defensive rotations

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          2. isacki: full casual
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Yeah, that January WC Excel rotation spreadsheet worked off fixture difficulty instead of home/away alone (although home/away was factored into the fixture difficulty).

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            1. In Tommy We Trust
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 10 months ago

              Think I will look into the clubs that failed to score the most at home and include them in the rotations. Anything above 6 might get included

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              1. In Tommy We Trust
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 10 months ago

                just re read that. Teams that "failed to score" is what I mean. not the amount of goals scored

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              2. isacki: full casual
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 10 months ago

                Ah neat, pity QPR got relegated 🙂

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                1. In Tommy We Trust
                  • 13 Years
                  10 years, 10 months ago

                  🙂

                  If the cut off was 6 then it will only catch Villa, Stoke and Swansea at home. If I lowered it to 5 it would catch Newcastle, Norwich, Sunderland and Liverpool 😯

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                  1. isacki: full casual
                    • 12 Years
                    10 years, 10 months ago

                    Ironically Liverpool doesn't surprise as remember the number of times we got let down by them freezing in front of their home fans? Guess the other three had problems scoring both home and away this year.

                    Certainly would be quite happy to play a defender away at Sunderland and Norwich.

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                    1. In Tommy We Trust
                      • 13 Years
                      10 years, 10 months ago

                      Need to think about this a bit more. Can't get out of my head playing a Norwich defender away for example. Might try and create something that counts the clean sheets and fail to scores up for the rotation in question

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I think that you have got West Ham's wrong ... 🙂

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      1. Parm
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Ah yes, 7 home and 4 away, silly me.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          No, blimey - it is 6 - 5, according to Jussi's stats!

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      2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😯 I take that back! 😀

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      3. GreenWindmill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Nope.

        Home - Villa, Fulham, Man City, Newcastle, Swansea, Wigan
        Away - Liverpool, Newcastle, Norwich, Stoke, West Brom

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Aye. 🙂

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          1. GreenWindmill
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            West Ham only kept 7 home clean sheets in their promotion season - impressive stuff last year in that light (or any other light come to that!)

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            1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 10 months ago

              Especially if you had to watch Collins more than once, as I did! 😉

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              1. GreenWindmill
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 10 months ago

                Ha! Any idea what the preferred line up next season might be shaping up to be Doos?

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                1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 10 months ago

                  None whatsoever, so far. Security has been as tight as a gnat's bum! Sorry!

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                  1. GreenWindmill
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    10 years, 10 months ago

                    Ah, not to worry - be sure to let us know as the resident expert on the Hammers 🙂

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    3. floydy_floyd
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Need a Norwich defender rotating then.

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    4. Manani
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      it's all about getting it in the right time.

      there's a streak of CS for all the lower team, if you catch that, than you will have a good time.

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    5. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'm going to probably double Cardiff and Swans at the back. Cheap and will rotate.

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      1. Parm
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Swansea may not be cheap this season, and also have European commitments....

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        1. Manani
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          very good point.
          will be like newcastle this season

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        2. Count of Monte Hristo
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Thursday/Sundays fixtures for the foreseeable. I'm avoiding.

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        3. Kings of Lyon ★
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Good point actually. Is there scope for them to get knocked out early doors?

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          1. Count of Monte Hristo
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            They go straight into the group stage as far as I know so that takes them up to December with a busy fixture list.

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            1. Marknlard
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 10 months ago

              Swansea have qualifiers for the Europa League first.

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    6. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      8 at home for Norwich is impressive. I guess away CS are less significant for alot of those teams as most of us are likely to bench a cheap defender playing away in favour of one playing at home.

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      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Fair point above Isacki. Maybe needs more thought rather than just home and away.

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        1. isacki: full casual
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Think we looked at this last preseason but Google results no longer seem to link to the right page pre HC.

          Off the top of my head I remember a lot of CS were lost away.

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    7. ★FC Borecelona★
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Can't believe I never owned a Norwich defender last year

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    8. Sheep
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Norwich the most predictable then. Need to get one their guys in...

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      1. thetinkerman
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        A £5m (or less) Ruddy is one of the first names on my team-sheet

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    9. pundit of punts
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      new season, new players, new mangers, new formations. i think you can't really rely on last season's stats to predict cs. Newcastle for example were very good in 11-12 but poor in 12-13.

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    10. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Boy does Norwich do well at home.

      Southampton has some interesting stats as well.

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  6. Joga Bonito®
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Morning lads, I've not had a chance to watch much of the confed cup, has there been any outstanding performers?

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    1. tw
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nigeria were outstandingly poor despite scoring 6 goals.

      Spain were outstanding. completely dominated Uruguay. 2-1 does not do the game justice as Spain had so much control.

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  7. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Australia - Iraq 0-0 HT.

    Australia need to win qualify for Brazil.

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    1. FACUPARSE
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Bring on Mark Viduka...

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    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Do Australia have any decent players anymore?

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      1. Manani
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Tim

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      2. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Best 3 players

        Bresciano M. .
        Cahill T.
        Holman B.

        Not really.

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        1. Willis.
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Kruse

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            You're right.

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    3. /
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Iraq have a football team? 😯

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    4. SuperOsçarBaby
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      c'monn iraqq

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    5. Willis.
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Iraq will explode Australia's WC hopes.

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Glad I didn't bet on HT/FT.

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  8. /
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    If Swansea have a decent first few fixtures, we must all have Rangel in our teams.

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    1. Bubbles
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not if he's priced £8m.

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      1. /
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        8m? Who do you think he is, Demel?

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  9. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Insigne:"It would be a wonderful feeling to lift the trophy."

    Insigne(c) 😎

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    1. Sess!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      9 spain 2 italy is the way to go.

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      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        +2

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    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      😆

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  10. Predicting clean sheets - home vs. away
    Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Home vs Away. Just like to say, that in four years of doing my own Season Ticker, last year was particularly unusual in terms of Home/Away results, particularly among the lower orders, in which I count the Hammers, presently. 🙂

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    1. King Nil Miss ✩
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Plus lack of CS, at least that is my feeling, not sure if true though.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Not very. The problem is, the clean sheets were away, rather than at home!

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    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      That's just it, it's unusual and unpredictable. I don't know how to judge CS potential away from home for the lower half of the table.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        As a matter of interest, Crystal Palace have the largest gap in their Home/Away ratings of the promoted sides ... 🙂

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        1. Marknlard
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          You'd be crazy to get a Palace defender anyway!

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    3. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      WBA and Stoke were pretty bad for that

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    4. isacki: full casual
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah, I do recall seeing your ticker last year 🙂

      Rotation was conspicuous in its absence last year actually. Got the impression big defenders were more popular than previous years.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I had Baines over two very long periods ...

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        1. isacki: full casual
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Might also support the home CS effect being stronger in previous years. From last year's preseason analyzing the 11/12 data, NEW/SWA, NEW/SUN and FUL/SWA came out with about as many CS as City and some way ahead of several CL clubs.

          https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhHMqHs1T8hndHlIeXRXb2tJZGhnYl9abktuU3V2cHc#gid=0

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    5. In Tommy We Trust
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Villa 4 home, 5 away
      Fulham 5 home, 6 away
      Newcastle 9 home, 6 away
      Stoke 6 home, 3 away
      Sunderland 8 home, 4 away
      Swansea 9 home, 5 away
      WBA 8 home, 2 away

      Stats for 2011/12

      Proves Doosra's claim

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    6. thetinkerman
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      When you think about it though, why should teams lower in the table be stronger at home and weaker away from home in terms of defence?

      If anything, you'd expect them to try to attack more in front of their own fans, whereas away from home, you'd expect them to sit back and try to counter.

      I'm not saying this is the case with all teams, but I think each team having their own tactics/game-plans depending on opposition means that we can't just rely on whether they're playing at home to predict clean sheets.

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      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I think Hughton, Big Sam, Pulis and Adkins were all big on going for 0-0 away from home.

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    7. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I have the data for the last 4 years. Happy to post specifics about any team you care to mention who has been in the Premier League in that time (there are 30)

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  11. SPorting
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    With the fixtures only a day away and a new season on the horizon, which FFS regulars are we missing?

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    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Lots.

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      1. SPorting
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        As helpful as ever LR.

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        1. Lateriser 12
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          My pleasure.

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    2. tw
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      tons

      unreal
      bemba
      Pepin

      Acqua and Snake not been on a ton..

      I know there's more i'm forgetting

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  12. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    With the fixtures only a day away, we should all light up, or drink up.

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    1. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'll second that

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    2. /
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      With the fixtures only a day away, we should start every comment off by saying 'with the fixtures only a day away'

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    3. tw
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      why not both for a hit? 😉

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  13. r0nh
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    What happened to my goal keeper post?

    Was it removed?

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    1. Ginkapo FPL
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Its moved to the bottom of the last page, its ok we still know its there

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    2. thetinkerman
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Under HC, being at the top of the page shouldn't be so important as discussions have the ability to transcend page boundaries now!

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  14. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    NEW POST 😎
    shar.es/xvxSE

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  15. Kings of Lyon ★
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Not sure if this has been mentioned before but with Chelski playing in the Super Cup again is there a chance that they will miss GW2 again and therefore have a double in GW1?

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  16. New Post!
  17. ElementWire
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Can't access the under 21 fantasy site at work and forgot to make my changes yesterday meaning i go in with my semi final team. For some reason I think my overall rank of 58 will drop significantly. Can anyone tell me the deadline in GMT so I can see if I can find a way before however doubtful it is?

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    1. Demí
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      4:45 BST.

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      1. thetinkerman
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        🙄

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        1. Demí
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          ?

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          1. thetinkerman
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Ah, you mean 4:45pm. I though it was a wind-up, i.e. 4:45am

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      2. ElementWire
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks that gives me enough time to find a way.

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  18. Sess!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Just heard the Joe Kinnear interview and he doesn't even say Yohan Kebab, he says Kebart. Still ridiculous mind you, just not as funny. Hatem Ben Afree was the highlight for me 🙂

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  19. Brutus619
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I don't understand all this love for Ricky Wolf Winky. Is it because people expect him to really hammer in goals like Cisse when he first joined Newcastle or is he going to be the new Lambert/Holt and basically score quite a few goals spread across the season?

    As in is he a top top striker or are people loving him as they want him as their "third" striker with strong value?

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