Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Hakuho FPL
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    captain suarez!

  2. Jose
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    I have Aguero and Suarez. Do i get Sturridge or Dezko?

    1. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      i've been stressing over that for days. i went sturridge.

    2. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Dzeko! Look at his form!!

  3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Sorry to repost, again 😀

    Will Ramsey Start?

    I thought I would compile a list reasons why Ramsey SHOULD start today. Of course there are arguments against, but this is proof enough for me to keep and not risk another hit.

    Exempt from injury list:

    Ramsey is not included on the injury list in the Arsenal website so one would assume he is fit enough to play.

    Newspaper reports:

    'Aaron Ramsey (thigh) should also be in the squad, along with full-back Kieran Gibbs, out since the FA Cup semi-final win over Wigan with a hamstring injury.'

    Source: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2621900/NORWICH-vs-ARSENAL-Latest-team-news-stats.html

    Bib theory:

    Ramsey is seen training in a green bib along with Özil, which wouldlead us to assume that he is playing, unlike team mates Flamini and Wiltshire (and others) training in a yellow bib.

    Source: http://www.arsenal.com/news/news-archive/20140510/training-galler

    Wenger has 'confirmed' he is starting:

    'Arsene Wenger has confirmed that the Welshman will return the starting XI today, to get him up and running for the Hull game.'

    This leads the following source to include him in the lineup.

    Source: http://app.fanatix.com/?referrer=http%3A%2F%2Farsenalnews.net%2F#article/fanatix-news-239213

    Included in provisional/predicted squads:

    Ramsey has trained all week with the team:

    Source: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2625077/Jack-Wilshere-Aaron-Ramsey-Abou-Diaby-train-Arsenal-prepare-Norwich-clash.html

    I hope this pretty much sums up why Ramsey should, and hopefully will play.

    Have a nice day 🙂

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Taking the piss now 🙄

      1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        😳

        Just don't want people to miss it with the new post.

    2. Top Drawer Jeff
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      You have presented a strong argument that he will....so I'm saying YES !!!!

    3. Hakuho FPL
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      wtf

    4. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Everytime I read this I am more and more sure that he will start. Keep it going mate 🙂

    5. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Why do you need to keep reporting this?

      1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Taking advantage of the new post. There will be numerous scaremongers about him not starting close to or after the deadline. I want to settle those rumours.

        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Check guardian team sheet.

          He will start on the bench.

          1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            The Guardian is always right? Of course it isn't. If it was we would use it and wouldn't wait nervously until an hour before the game.

            1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 2 days ago

              And are you always right? If you are, I'd expect you to be number 1 in the world if you're going to ram your opinion down everyone's neck so close to the deadline.

              1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 2 days ago

                Of course I am not. I didn't have this information earlier. This isn't my knowledge, it is a collaboration of knowledge and sources posted here and those that I found.

                1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
                  • 13 Years
                  10 years, 2 days ago

                  Here is no new data here. We all know he's trained all week. What is the point of this? It's so redundant.

                  I hope he is benched now.

        2. mutatedllama
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          I for one am thankful for the repost. Cheers.

    6. Grounderz
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      This should be hulked up, as opposed to the ones you posted in the previous article - to get more attention to this.

      Thanks. I think the Ramsey case has been a headache. I could easily take him out for a hit for Sterling, but I will need something convincing to do that hit. I hate making these sort of decisions when we're close to the deadline.

      1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Precisely why I did post it here. Even if people searched order by sticky they wouldn't have seen it as it would be stuck on the old post.

        1. Grounderz
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          The mods aren't doing their job now! 😆

    7. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      You may want to check the definition of proof. 😉

      1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        This

  4. Hibs Kid
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Will stones play or take a 4 point hit and take him out for jags?

  5. Jacketts Potatoes
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Cash ML rival is 2 points ahead. He's taken a -4 so is technically 2 behind me.

    I'm concerned re game time (or even starts) for
    Mata
    Kun
    Rambo

    My bench is punch and rosenior

    Do I look at -4 hits?

    Maybe

    Punch/Rambo to sterling
    Or
    Mata to Haz/stevieG

    Please help lol

  6. Arvin-ation
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    A) Sterling + Ramsey + Sturridge

    B) Schurrle + Sterling + Aguero

    Thanks in advance! 🙂

    1. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      B

    2. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      B

  7. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Morning Guys

    Rank dropped to 5,024 last week due to injuries & non shows, after 20 weeks inside top 5K - want to finish back inside that ranking. 56 points clear in ML.

    But concerned about game time for Evra, Mata, Ramsey, AJ, and Aguero, have Chester Injured and Williamson away to Liverpool as only defensive sub

    Are any of these -4 hits worth it?

    A) Mata to Gerrard
    B) AJ to Sterling
    C) Williamson to Skrtel

    1. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      B

    2. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      B by some distance

    3. QPR expects... glory!
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      A

  8. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    4 of Gerrard's last 5 double figure hauls have come away from home. (NEW)

    Schurrle's 2 of 3 double figure hauls have also come away from home. (car)

    1 of Hazard's last 4 double figures have come away from home. (car)

    Making me edge towards Schurrle..

    1. Magerost
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Gerrard for me I think, after considering him or Haz for ages.
        I think Liverpool are most likely to get a penalty.

      • RabMac
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        You have not taken account of average PPG.

    2. # Young Gun SEAMUS #
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Arsene Wenger has confirmed that the Welshman will return the starting XI today, to get him up and running for the Hull game.'

      It is FAKE or REAL ??

      1. Viper
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Where did you read/hear it?

      2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        can't find the quote on twitter so fake

      3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        the fact he says "get him up and running for the hull game" and not the cup final tells me it's pretty much fake

        1. QPR expects... glory!
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Or that he's getting 45 minutes...

      4. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        It isn't a quote from Wenger, but the source I found stated that directly, just meaning that Wenger had confirmed him to start. I couldn't find confirmation anywhere though.

    3. Santi sensei
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Play Dann or Ramsey ?

    4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      @BenDinnery (from physioroom)

      Confident #Ramsey won't play 90 mins, if pushed I'd say bench

      https://twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/465422436146872320

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        They are notoriously poor at predicting

      2. drughi
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        I dont need him to play 90 minutes, 65 minutes is enough

    5. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Guys, where to use my 1 FT?

      Speroni
      Ward evra bardsley
      Yaya nasri eriksen ramsey
      Suarez (c) aguero borini

      Boruc, mata, molsson, vlaar

      0.6 in the bank....

    6. The Pep Revolution
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      In your opinion who is the best midfielder for 8.7m to have for this week?

    7. Jönny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Cheers Mark. Hope the last day offers you some crumbs of comfort!

    8. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Play Ward or Sterling(-4) ??

      *I'm leading by just 6 pts in ML

    9. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Will Ramsey

      a) start
      b) bench
      c) not be named

      1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        B

      2. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        B imo

      3. Santi sensei
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        I wish he starts 🙂

      4. Notorious
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Start and play 60 minutes.

        1. QPR expects... glory!
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          *59

          1. Notorious
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            I could live with that after his brace in the first half. 😎

      5. LewanGOALski
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        B IMHO

      6. Orion
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        A

    10. Magerost
        10 years, 2 days ago

        If Gerrard and Hazard both were differentials to rival you are chasing, who would you get in?
        He got Sterling.

        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Haz

      • donbenjam
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        HAZARD (C) - Good choice?

        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Yeah

        1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Sonogo

        1. Yome
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          That is similar to the bib theory

      • Art Vandelay
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        My rival is only 4 points ahead. Two main differentials are

        Him Sturridge Mata Demi

        Me Borini YYT Baines

        Should I just see what happens or take a hit to a) cover Sturridge or b) Borini to someone else.

        Alternatively Yaya (c)?

        Good luck all

      • matpower_
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        A) Mata to sterling
        B) Ramsey to sterling
        C) Mata/Ramsey to Sterling/Gerrard (-4)
        D) Mata/Ramsey to Sterling/Hazard (-4)

      • Albert Cole
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        John Terry out for any defender, worth -4? Or just play... Guy Demel?

        1. Messiah Hazard
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Terry out to Azpi

      • Sting
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Would you do Nasri > Yaya (-4) ?

        1. Sting
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Or Mata > Hazard (-4) ?

          1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Ye

          2. QPR expects... glory!
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Yes

        2. Wild Rover
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          No

        3. Messiah Hazard
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          No

        4. QPR expects... glory!
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          No

      • Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        There is no chance that Aguero won't start imo. Pelle has said he is fully fit and if he benched him and they lost he would be slaughtered.

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          he will start, aguero sellers and non aguero owners saying he won't

        2. Trigg ⭐️
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Play him, let him run riot, get an early lead.

          If it's 0-0 after 70, Aguero on the bench or not, it gets nervous.

      • Trigg ⭐️
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Is anyone chasing doing Adebayor (C) today?

        I'm way off my ML leader, but if I was maybe 25 behind, I think I might do it.

        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Do it

        2. Az
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Good diff! Do it 🙂

      • # Young Gun SEAMUS #
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        play eriksen for ramsey

        or

        play sterling for johnson

        ???

      • Blue Gaffer
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Need some advice on the following potential transfers:

        Wickham---Sturridge
        Mata---Sterling
        Jones----Naughton (-8)

        Would leave me with

        De Gea (Davis)
        Alonso Naughton Zabaleta (Azpilicueta) (Chambers)
        Sterling Eriksen Yaya Puncheon (Ramsey)
        Suarez Sturridge Aguero

        Currently 5 points ahead of rival these point hits would leave me 3 points behind.

        & Are subs correct.

        Only £0.1 in bank

      • Doctor X
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Chasking bloody 30 points. Leader doesn't have Sturridge or Hazard.

        Who to Captain? 🙁

        A) Suarez
        B) Sturridge
        C) Hazard
        D) DEko

      • BONKER
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        One nailed on defender for 5.9 or less please ????