Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Gameweek 22

Our usual Saturday morning scour for overlooked Fantasy options brings a couple of midweek two-goal heroes into consideration. We also place out faith in City’s twinkle-toed playmaker as the Etihad side entertain out-of-sorts Palace later this afternoon.

Olivier Giroud

Despite failing to cement a starting berth until the tenth Gameweek of the season, Olivier Giroud (9.2) sits three goals shy of the league’s joint-top scorers (Romelu Lukaku and Jamie Vardy – 15 goals), having bagged his first brace of the campaign at Anfield. Although that performance harvested his first score in excess of eight points, the Frenchman has displayed laudable consistency, registering nine goals, two assists and just three blanks since Gameweek 9.

Poring over the underlying statistics across the previous four Gameweeks, Giroud ranks top among forwards for attempts (15), top for shots inside the box (14) and joint-top for penalty-box touches (36). With a trip to Stoke City next on the Gunners’ agenda, it’s also worth noting that the ex-Montpellier recruit has amassed the joint-third-most shots on target (12) in road clashes – even though he was afforded cameo roles in four of Arsenal’s opening five away fixtures.

The Britannia Stadium hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for Arsenal in recent years (three losses, two draws), yet the North Londoners chart second for goals scored (21), second for attempts (162), top for shots inside the box (121), top for big chances (29) and top for shots on target (57) in away match-ups, which bodes well for their attacking prospects against Mark Hughes’ charges.

David Silva

Even by his own admission, David Silva (10.0) has struggled to rediscover his groove since returning from an ankle injury, carding a solitary assist in seven Gameweeks. The Spain international was a notable omission from Manchester City’s starting line-up against Everton on Wednesday, but this was hardly a surprise, given that Manuel Pellegrini alluded to monitoring Silva’s minutes earlier in the week. Regardless, the Sky Blues missed the playmaker’s invention against the Toffees so will be keen to reinstate him for Crystal Palace’s visit.

Notwithstanding his limited attacking output of late, the 5%-owned Silva ranked joint-third for key passes (12) – behind Kevin De Bruyne and Mesut Ozil (both 18) – between Gameweeks 17 and 20, underlining his rich capacity for assists. Indeed, the former Valencia player demonstrated his class with six assists in five outings at the start of the campaign.

Regardless of their blank against the Merseysiders, Man City have been the league’s most dominant attacking force on home turf, racking up six more goals (29) than second-best, Everton (23). Moreover, no side has chalked up as many attempts (204) and shots on target (78), so they’ll fancy their chances of breaching the Eagles’ rearguard as they look to get their title tilt back on track.

Roberto Firmino

Banishing a run of seven matches without a goal, Roberto Firmino (7.7) snagged a quick-fire brace against Arsenal, propelling himself back onto our radar. The Brazilian’s head-turning performance against Manchester City in Gameweek 14 – which yielded one goal and two assists – proved to be a false dawn, yet his recent statistics augur his development into a viable mid-priced asset.

Over the last four Gameweeks, Firmino ranks joint-fourth for attempts (12), joint-fourth for shots inside the box (eight) and joint-fourth for shots on target (five) among midfielders. In addition, only three of his counterparts posted more key passes (12) during that time frame, illuminating his dual threat from a Fantasy perspective.

Considering that Firmino’s attacking returns have arrived against Arsenal, Man City, Chelsea and Leicester City, one could argue that he relishes the challenge of his raising his game against sterner opposition. As such, the stage is set for Firmino to come up trumps when the Reds play host to one of their fiercest rivals, Manchester United. Certainly, Liverpool will be boosted by the fact that the Red Devils are winless in four away ties and shipped seven goals in their last three on the road.

1,296 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JacquieH
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    I've played my wc, can you look at my defence and advise of any changes and who to play?

    Adrian
    Alder,Azpil,Sagna
    Payet,Alli,Ozil,Mahrez
    Kane,Lukaku,Aguero

    Bench
    Hennessy Arnautovic, Smith, Ryan Bennett

    Thanks

    1. Rabbinton
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Looking good

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Bennett> target/simpson

    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    I sometimes find it interesting to look at managers' records vs certain clubs. I know we captain players, but if my captain is playing against a Eddie Howe team, I'm confident he won't park the bus. But if they're playing an Allardyce team, the thought of a 5-4-1 double-decker makes me nervous.

    So... Kane vs Aguero = Allardyce vs Pardew

    A few meaningless stats for you. 🙂

    • Pardew's last five trips to Man City have ended (MCI score first)... 3-1, 4-0, 4-0, 0-2, 5-1, with the 5-1 in the league cup this year.

    • This was his only visit to the Etihad with Palace so far. The two Prem home games ended in a 2-1 win and a 1-0 defeat.

    • On the other hand, Allardyce's last three trips to White Hart Lane ended in a 3-0 win, 2-1 win and a 2-2 draw - all with West Ham. Prior to that he'd suffered three convicing defeats (2010-2012 with WHM and Blackburn though).

    • Allardyce also managed a home win vs Spurs, meaning his last five vs them = 3W, 1D, 1L.. and even that was only 1-0.

    1. BENOIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Allardyce had better players at his disposal when West ham manager

    2. Alittude
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Hmm very interesting thank you

  2. Gilberto.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    I have 2FT, is there anything worth changing on the below?

    Butland (Hennesey)
    Cresswell, Simpson, Alderweireld (Dawson, Ward)
    Özil, KDB, Ramsey, Mahrez (Barkley)
    Ighalo, Kane (c), Lukaku

    Thanks

  3. Zombie
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Last try:

    bench whom among: Lukaku, Ighalo, Ozil

    1. BENOIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Luk at a push

      1. Zombie
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah, push is needed..How I wish my AOA was still available!

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      If it was my team, Ighalo.

      1. Zombie
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        While thinking deeper, I am finding it's not a bad decision considering how Swans defense has been recently

        1. *sigh*
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          Swans were playing well defensively under new manager until last game when they had a player sent of early.

    3. Vedas
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Terrible dilemma this week, just pick one and hide behind the sofa!

  4. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Time to move on... Good Luck everyone! 😀
    -----------Lloris
    Walker-Williams-Simpson
    -KDB-Payet-Yaya-Sigurdsson
    -----Kun-Kane-Ighalo
    Bench: Rudd, Watson, Nyom, Shawcross

    1. Zombie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Oh you lucky you..having Watson rather than the dilemma 😛

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Hehe, glad I have low TV 😆

        1. Zombie
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          Watching the RSA test?

  5. BENOIT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A.) Carroll ------> Afobi 

    Or 

    B.) save FT and play Willian (EVE)

  6. Bulldogs FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    It's been quite a headache the past 2 days on who to bench, so I've decided to go AoA!!

    so I need to pick 2 out of this lot now...
    a) Bellerin
    b) Kolarov
    c) Azpi
    e) Smith

    1. Vedas
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      a
      b

  7. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Arnie to Alli.

    Worth hit. Y/N?

    1. Mayo for Sam
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Noway not for a hit, Arnie could score and them early Kickoffs are dodgey for the low scores

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Good, that helps. Arnie can be benched anyway if I play Luka.

  8. Gaffa914
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    If rose doesn't start will he come off the bench

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Tough to predict. I would start him and hope for best

    2. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      History would suggest it is unlikely.

  9. Mayo for Sam
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A Azpillicueta
    or > Sagna
    B Cresswell
    C Save

  10. merin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Butland
    Bellerin Walker Simpson
    KDB Özil(v) Mahrez Alli
    Aguero(c) Lukaku Ighalo

    (Hennesey Dann Dawson Sanchez)

    FT: 1
    ITB: 0.3

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Yes.

  11. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Worried about lack of spurs attack but it's not worth a hit is it? Currently going with

    Ozil mahrez payet kdb
    Aguero lukaku ighalo

  12. Alittude
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Kane or kun captain if I'm starting alli and alder as well? Is that enough tot coverage without the armband?

    1. BENOIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      The rest of your lineup should have no bearing

  13. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Should I start Targett in case he starts and have Cresswell as first sub? Toby and Williams my other two starters

    1. TotalJustice
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      yes

  14. TotalJustice
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Kasper
    Kolarov Target Bellerin
    Mahrez Payet Ozil Arnie
    Aguero(vc) Kane(c) Lukaku

    Hennessey Moreno Evans Westwood

    1FT 1.8M ITB

    Arnie >> ?? (Cause of tough fixtures)
    Please suggest

  15. trequartista
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Help me out please ,
    Bench one

    Ramsey Yaya Mahrez Ozil Payet
    Kane Lukaku Ighalo

    Currently thinking Lukaku. Also think I'll captain Payet

    Also, I could use the AOA chip too
    Defenders are - Toby, Sagna, Dawson, Bellerin

    Thanks.

  16. John wick
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Guys how does she looks?

    Gomes
    Toby Evans Collins
    Ozil kdb payet mahrez
    Costa igalho kane (c)

    Bench hennsy stanilas wolly ward

    1. Huddersfield
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      good to go

      1. John wick
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Confused between Kane and igalho

        Kane good fixtures

        Igalho again good fixtures and MNF

  17. bros
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Who to bench

    A ozil
    B mahrez
    C alli
    D Payet
    E ighalo

    Thanks

    1. mayofc2000
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Thats tough i say Ozil

  18. mayofc2000
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Please quick question.
    (a) Who should i captain Kane, Aguero, Mahrez or KDB
    (b) Is it worth bringing in Payet for Ozil or KDB for -4 hit?

    1. Milford
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      a) Kane = Aguero > KDB > Mahrez
      b) Wouldn't drop any of them, tbh, but Payet needs to get in. Mahrez? Or your fourth?

  19. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Bench one:

    A)Arnie
    B)Ozil
    C)Lukaku

    1. Milford
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      At least not Øzil. Probably Arnie a tad over Lukaku, but it's a coin toss.

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Same issue. Arnie on standby. I'm sure I will be on here regretting it later

      2. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I just feel Arnie's big game scores are tempting me to play. Hes got pts vs spurs, Chelsea, Everton, united and city this season already. And stoke are rather good at home.

    2. Olivier Bernards watch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Filthbomb
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Benching Ozil myself.

  20. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Don't know why people are dropping Ozil
    Arsenal are scoring a lot lately
    Ozil was just unlucky to not be in the goals last match
    I am sure he will be back this time
    Lukaku looks easier to drop to me

  21. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Which keeper has the best prospects over the next few weeks? Lloris or someone else?

    Need to upgrade Butland with those tough games coming up...

    1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Hart and Adrian are good options fixture wise

  22. Milford
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    I'm playing Alderweireld, of course, but which two out of these three to play?

    Azpi (EVE), Kosc (sto), Morgan (avl)

    I have Lukaku, will probably bench.

    1. Sherry? Sherry.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I think I'd go Morgan and azpi

  23. Sherry? Sherry.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Bench two from
    A) Azpi - eve (h)
    B) Bellerin - stk (a)
    C) Simpson - avl (a)
    D) smith - nor (h)

    Thanks

    1. Olivier Bernards watch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A, d

  24. Olivier Bernards watch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Please help! Have 2 fts and no idea how to use them!

    Schmeicel

    Kolarov, Francis, Moreno

    Payet, Mahrez, alli, Ozil

    Kun, Kane, lukaku

    1.1 itb.

    1. Sherry? Sherry.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I'd consider Giroud in for Lukaku

  25. MJFainty
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all,

    Would people be more inclined to play Cech or Butland this GW?

    Cheers

  26. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Have City sorted themselves out defensively even without Kompany?

    Wondering about bringing Hart in for Butland...

  27. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Need to bench either Ozil, lukaku or ighalo.....any views?

    Ozil mahrez kdb payet alli
    Kun ighalo lukaku

    Just completely clueless on who to bench...

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Özil or Lukaku

      I'm benching Özil myself fwiw

  28. awgJose
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Silva -> KDB? Can't think of any smart move here

    Butland, Hennessey
    Bellerin, Dier, Wollscheid, Ward, Dawson
    Özil, Silva, Payet, Mahrez, Alli
    Aguero, Lukaku, Ighalo

    1. awgJose
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      2 FT & 2.4 itb

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I'd upgrade on a def/gk. Maybe wolly or Hennessy to Williams or Schmeichel.

    2. YoungPretender
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Wollscheid > Cresswell maybe?