Paddy Says

Paddy Says – Gameweek 21

Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.80
SanchezARS1.83
GiroudARS1.83
KaneTOT2.00
PerezARS2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
WilsonBOU2.29
SonTOT2.40
DefoeSUN2.50
BentekeCRY2.50
IheanachoMCI2.60
HazardCHE2.62
AlliTOT2.70
LukakuEVE2.70
BatshuayiCHE2.70
HernandezHUL2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.72
Chelsea2.29
Arsenal2.40
Watford2.40
Southampton2.50
Man United2.75
Man City2.75
Middlesbrough3.00
Bournemouth3.10
West Ham3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

1,888 Comments Post a Comment
  1. columbo
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Someone must have been drunk writing this article, evens shorter than odds on.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Only excuse is that they sorted the numbers in Excel and the letter got in before the numbers. If not then yeah, they're drunk

      1. columbo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Paddy, however, has gone for Harry Kane at evens, compared to Alexis on 1.83.

        That's not an excel fault! I

  2. screamer73
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Lukaku or Defoe? Have Baines

    1. GE
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Lukaku

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Defoe better value imo. On pens as well.

  3. Will
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Last min WC decision (shoulda left 5 mins ago!!)

    Best 3td striker in a 3/5/2?

    Currently on crouch

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on budget, for cheap I'd say Barnes.

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yes keep it on crouch

    3. GE
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Diomande/Barnes

  4. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    I think Mark is lying about oversleeping. Think he has recieved an offer from China. Poor attempt at covering up.

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      😀

  5. GE
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    On a WC: Keep Aamat (bought him at 4.0) or ship him out for who?
    I have 1.0 itb.

    My bench (playing 3-5-2): Robinson, Chambers, Amat, Diomande

    All of my 11 are regular starters, except Giroud.

    1. GHB
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      May as well gamble with Yoshida. Amat is terrible even if he plays

      1. GE
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Then I will lose 0.2. No problem?

  6. Pete Campbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Any games at risk of postponement?? Which ones most at risk? Live in the US so I'm out of the loop.

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      All good mate

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Temperatures between 5-10 C so I doubt there will be much snow

    3. Pete Campbell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fantastic

  7. NestorC
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who to bring in for Ake

    A) Pieters
    B) Smith

    Thanks

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Pieters

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Bored Bear
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B

  8. Lucky_Z
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Heaton
    Alonso▪Cedric▪Holebas▪ McAuley
    Alexis (C)▪Hazard▪Stsnislas▪Phillips
    Aguero (VC)▪Ibrahimovic

    Subs: Jakupovic▪Amat▪Walcott▪Anichebe

    A) GTG
    B) Walcott => Coutinho and bench McAuley

    1. Lucky_Z
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B for -4

      1. Guru Mediation
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Not for a minus 4

  9. mranonymous
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    who is most nailed in Swans backline?

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fabianski and Taylor, bit would personally steer clear

    2. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'd strongly advise you to step away from the screen.

    3. Lucky_Z
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Mawson maybe, but none of them is an option

    4. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Stop drinking

    5. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Have they got a backline?

      1. Lucky_Z
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        This

      2. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Lol'd

  10. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Can I get opions on this WC please!! I'm royally screwed:

    Heaton Grant

    Rose Baines Jones Chambers Brunt

    Sanchez Eriksen Alli Phillips Stanis

    Lukaku Giroud Ibrah

    1. twoplustwo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      4th mid looks a bit on the weak side for me in the long term

    2. Lucky_Z
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Very good. Similar to mine when I projected WC, but dedided to save for DGW. However there will be benching headache at some point

    3. Individual
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good dude

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        THanks all. You're very kind.

    4. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      You've got 5 defenders all of whom are good enough to play.

      Suggest you're gonna be playing 3-4-3 with that setup.

      Downgrade one (probably Jones from those) to bench fodder, upgrade Phillips or Stan if you can reach the 7/8m bracket

  11. Sonic Huth
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Ake out or not?

    1. Jimmy Boy
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Out until he's a proven starter, it will still be incredibly cheap to get him back in if he proves to be. No point in having someone consistently getting 0-1 points a week for now

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Nope, if anything will be a least a great 5th enabling defender.

  12. trinzoo
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who to bench:

    A) Allen (sun)
    B) Philips (tot)

    1. Bored Bear
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Bench Allen imo.

    3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      allen

    4. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'd bench Allen despite the fixtures.

      1. trinzoo
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks all, really helpful!

  13. NorwichCityLad
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Is Benteke a good option with those fixtures?

    Costa > Benteke

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Can you afford Defoe instead?

      1. NorwichCityLad
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah

        1. NorwichCityLad
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          I just like fixtures

          1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE FOR THE LAS…
            • 7 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            OK. I think Defoe is more reliable despite the fixtures. Good luck.

  14. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Could it be worth getting Pedro for up front etc ?

  15. Snapes on a Plane
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who to replace Origi with?
    A) Rondon
    B) Negredo
    C) C.Willson

  16. Gommy
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Which 2 to start from:

    A) Pieters (sun)
    B) Chambers (wat)
    C) A Smith (hul)

    Cheers

  17. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Sell for giroud

    A) Deeney
    B) origi

  18. Sergeant Garcia
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Negredo (wat) or Lallana (mun) ?

  19. fitzy
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C2H6dwsW8AAPmfG.jpg:large

    This should be posted any time someone mentions the AOA chip.

    1. Ziro
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Love this. Not playing mine till GW38.

  20. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    United fans I know are really confident about tomorrow. Probably comes from their good run and performances. But they've struggled against the big sides and form goes out of the window in these types of games. I just hope they don't sit back like they did at Anfield.

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      It was 100% the right tactic to use last time out. I'm sure we'll come at you tomorrow, our form is unreal.

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        I think it might be a tight game. Mourinho's natural instinct in these games is to not lose before anything else.

        1. Jazz!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Yup, but we'll be eyeing up the win. It's there for the taking. 🙂

    2. Numb
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Impossible to predict those games

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah, could be anything really. From our point of view, I just hope we risk Matip.

    3. makaveli123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      You are right. The history shows that the form has little to say on the outcome. Think we will see a different game than at Anfield.

    4. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      In the past I dont like how Mourinho plays these big games, trys to get a goal lead then park the bus. Often backfires....

    5. KingNidge
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Think the sitting back and bus parking is being rather over played looking back mate.. United were the better side in that first half at Anfield and controlled the game berbs.. Liverpool came into it more in the second half as the home team would be expected to and Jose tightened things up and ultimately got his point.. we're a much better side now and at home we will be looking to get at your defence from the first whistle.. if i was you i would hope they do sit back

  21. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Captain Defoe or captain Sanchez?
    Home fixture, mike dean and Stoke playing poor away are the points which made me captain Defoe .

    About Sanchez, he faces Swansea. Do I need to say anything more?

    Views on this.
    Any help choosing one of them would be appreciated

    1. MTPockets
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Sanchez

      • FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Defoe if you need to make up ground in OR.

        Sanchez if you're within the top 100k.

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Only 3 cs for Pulis side all season. Has TP lost his touch?

      Still worth having Wba def for their nice run of fixtures?

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        This

    3. ShaunGoater123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      In a mess any advice appreciated, have Evans and Barragan out, with Amat as next defender. Anything I do is for a hit:

      A) Evans to brunt - long term as nice fixtures but risk not playing today
      B) Barragan to friend- boring but solid
      C) use it as a AOA chance. Would need to switch obiang for any midfielder up to 6.9, if so who do you think?

      Any help appreciated!

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        C. Pedro.

        1. ShaunGoater123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          That's what I was thinking. Chelsea double up and then for two weeks then either him or haz out

    4. Crazy RedDevil
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Crouch or Defoe?

    5. StoneMountain
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Good to go on a WC?

      Heaton (Jaku)
      Daniels, Pieters, McAuley (Morgan, Amat)
      Alexis, Alli, Lallana, Stanislas (De Roon)
      Ibra, Aguero(c), Giroud

      Thanks!

    6. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Anything wrong with captaining Hazard this weekend?

      1. Ziro
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        nope. g2g.

        1. goriuanx
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Where you going?

          1. Ziro
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            To the top of your ML 😉 3rd as of now. 😀

            1. goriuanx
              • 13 Years
              7 years, 4 months ago

              Go on son 😉

      2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        im hoping he really punishes the sellers this week

      3. bring_on _the_fantasy
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        apart from his awful away form?

    7. bojack
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Paul Pogba has found a way back into my XV.

      I don't like it and neither does he.

      1. Sergeant Garcia
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Trust the process.

    8. Siva Mohan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Pedro owners could benefit.. was replacement for Costa when suspended

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Didn't Hazard play as a false9? But hope you are right as I just brought Pedro in

    9. Cantonascollar7
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'm thinking of doing the following.....

      Costa to Lukaku
      Barragan to Chambers

      For a - 4

      Current team is:
      Valdes Grant
      Alonso Cedric Ake* Amat* Barragan*
      Phillips Sanchez Stanislas De Roon lallana
      Kun Costa* Ibra

      Good idea or not? Any thoughts much appreciated.

      1. GoonerByron
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Do you have AOA?

        Just play that and only Costa -> Lukaku if you do

        1. Cantonascollar7
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Yes I've still got all of my chips mate, thanks for the advice!

    10. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      What are the maximum hits you are willing to take before using your WC?

      1. Numb
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        -8

      2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        -12 maybe

      3. Dasher0303
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        -12 or -16

      4. Lawrø
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        -8

      5. Cantonascollar7
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        -8