Paddy Says

Paddy Says – Gameweek 22

The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

1,025 Comments Post a Comment
  1. skodaole2
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Bench one of

    A) Stanislas

    B) Crouch

    C) Sigurdsson

    Form says C, but Stanislas' minutes make me think of benching him. Got Crouch to have funds for Coutinho but he has 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 3 games, so difficult to bench.Thoughts?

    1. rocrocodile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Siggy.

    2. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      C

  2. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Playing defence...
    Alonso Mc Auley (have Foster) Baines
    Benching...
    Jones (1st slot) Holebas (2nd) ahead of crappy 5th mid (Whelan)

    Is this the right order?

    1. rocrocodile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes,

    2. skodaole2
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes gtg

    3. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Gtg

    4. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I would play Jones

  3. white lightning
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Am I gtg. 1ft & 3.0itb

    Foster (Valdes)
    Alonso, Rose, Lovren (Jones, Pieters)
    Sanchez (c), Alli, Lallana, Phillips, Stanislas
    Ibra, Giroud (Defoe)

    Thanks.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

  4. JimmyCoop
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Morning All - any moves here or GTG?

    Valdes
    Alonso McAuley Lovren (Pieters Amat)
    Sanchez(c) Alli Lallana Phillips (Capoue)
    Ibra Giroud Defoe

    1FT and £2.2ITB

    1. Black Panther
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      GTG, save transfer.

  5. Assisting the assister
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Captain

    A. Costa
    B. Sanchez
    C. Giroud

    Thanks all - armband dilemma

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

  6. rocrocodile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Trailing (a lot) in my ML. Want to make a semi-differential captain choice. Last time out, I went with Eriksen over Sanchez. Who should I go for this time around?

    A) Zlatan
    B) Coutinho
    C) Hazard
    D) Sanchez
    E) Giroud
    F) Stanislas

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Polster
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Zlatan

      1. Ynwalfc
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Sanchez, Burnley are awful away from home and conceded allot of goals

    3. Jacket Potato
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      C or E

  7. Phil Dagger ⭐
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Little Caution for Soton Defence Hopefuls

    Fonte is such a huge loss for them and due to it there defence is considerably weaker.

    Southampton's Record in the league When
    Yoshida Plays

    This is Important as it not only effects
    Yoshida (only 4.2 but still) But also
    Soton's other defensive assets Like Van
    Dijk , Cedric, Bertrand, Forster

    -) Soton 1- 1 Watford
    -) Hull 2 - 1 Soton
    -) Bournemouth 3 - 1 Soton
    -) Soton 1 - 2 West Brom
    -) Everton 3 - 0 Soton
    -) Burnley 1 - 0 Soton

    Conclusion-

    6 Games played
    5 Lost
    1 Draw
    No Win
    No Clean sheets
    Goals Conceded - 12
    Goals Scored - 4
    Plus fixtures were also Not difficult

    Although in Cup fixtures they have kept Cleansheets with Yoshida in the team But PL is a different beast altogether.

    1. ARKHAM
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Decent point, well made.

    2. Camp No No
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Small sample, but definitely a good warning.

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      What more do you want for £4.2m?

  8. Assisting the assister
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Also play

    A. Evans - who is 50:50 or
    B. Holgate

    1. Black Panther
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Evans

    2. Mouldmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      What do you reckon Holgate's chances are of starting?

      I'm undecided what to do with him.

  9. Black Panther
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    After transferring in Costa and Giroud to double up with Hazard and Sanchez, my captain is now even more difficult. Who would you captain from those 4?

    1. rocrocodile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Find it hard to chose myself, but I would go Sanchez if you are in front of your ML, and Costa if you're trailing. If ML doesn't matter, and all you care about is OR, I would go Sanchez.

    2. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Hazard or Giroud.

    3. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Hazard

  10. Runaway
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do with the team below?

    A) Caroll -> Rondon for free
    B) Caroll + deRoon -> Philips + Crouch (3-5-2 with Crouch first sub)
    C) Keep this GW and make Hazard + Caroll -> Philips + Kane next
    D) Something else

    Heaton
    Alonso Jones Holebas
    Sanchez (V) Hazard (C) Alli Lallana
    Ibra Lukaku Caroll
    Pickford deRoon Kelly Amat
    1.1 ITB

  11. Snooze ya lose
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    In a conundrum. Front 3 of giroud, rondon, ibra. Free transfer and money in bank. V tempted by lukaku, but seems wrong taking out Rondon v Sunderland. Any help pls?

    1. jimmythegent
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Stick. Your 3 forwards have great fixtures

    2. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      You have a perfect 3 in front, don't play with it!

    3. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Thx guys, that's what I wanted to hear!

  12. Rolls-Royce
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hi.

  13. jimmythegent
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hi guys,

    Would you play Friend (WH) or Jones (sto)?

    Also are we fancying Holgate to keep his place or safer bet with Williams (can't afford the full backs)?

    Help appreciated

    1. Mouldmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Friend a good shout this week.

      I have Holgate with no starting back up and am nervous.

      1. jimmythegent
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks mate.
        Holgate will be a must have if he keeps his place.

  14. gunner79
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Costa captain anybody?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I would if I had him.

  15. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    How do I look?
    GTG?

    Grant
    Evans* Walker Alonso
    San(C)hez Lallana Alli Phillips
    Ibra Lukaku Giroud

    Subs: Jakupovic Holebas DeRoon Amat

    Cheers and good luck guys..:)

  16. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Giroud(c) anyone?

    1. jimmythegent
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      He's in great form

      1. Karan14
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Feel like putting the armband on him, ML leader also doesn't own him.

    2. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      V tempted, even though I also have Sanchez

  17. JIM BOB
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Chance of Nyom starting?

    1. Mr Q
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I neeeeeed him to start (but its not likely)

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Decent chance

  18. Jumping Jurgen
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Front 8 currently:

    Sanchez Eriksen Firmino Pogba Capoue

    Rondon Ibra Stuani

    Would you
    A) Transfer Pogba - Philips to free up cash for Rondon to Giroud (4pt hit).

    B) Pogba - Philips and wait.

    C) nothing/something else?

    Any help much appreciated.

  19. Ange Ball
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which one would you have for this again week

    A) Hazard Costa
    B) lallana Costa
    C) Pedro Costa
    D) Firmino Costa
    E) Stick with Aggy Alli/De Roon

    1. #Swish41
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Just this week, A, long term E

  20. Polster
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Time to play Bench boost? Or any suggest?

    Courtois (Grant)

    Daniels, Cedric, Brunt (Fabio, Jones)

    1. Polster
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Firmino, Alli, Hazard, Phillips (Stanislas)

      Ibra(C), Lukaku, Giroud

    2. Mr Q
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Keep to dgw

  21. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Upgrade Stuani or Capoue

    1. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Reply fail to Jumping Jurgen

  22. blind faith
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Bench McCauley or Daniels?

    1. Polster
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      McAuley

  23. Blanka
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    And you!

  24. Woody01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Snodgrass > Stanislas (or someone else)? Swapping Haz for Erikson after this GW.

    Currently

    Heaton
    Prodl / Gibson / Alonso
    Hazard / Lallana / Snoddy / Phillips
    Lukaku / Ibra / Sanchez

    1. Kazza_
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      depends who on your ench i wud try save this week

  25. purple.emu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    It all boils down to haz vs Sanchez

    Livermore and snoddy not playing gives the edge to haz

    Think is gotta be hazzard he is due a haul!!

    1. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      My gut says Chelsea will score big today so I picked Haz over Sanchez but in reality it is very close.

  26. Kazza_
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    any leaked liverpool teams yet?

  27. Mr Arsenal
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Will Origi start today....?

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No chance

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        is that you Jurgen ?

    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I don't think so but I'm keeping anyway this week, getting rid next week. I see him playing atleast 20 minutes and that could be enough against swasea.

  28. GOAL11 X
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    BENCH 1
    ★ Rose
    ★ Defoe

    1. purple.emu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rose definately

    2. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rose

    3. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Defoe

    4. #Swish41
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rose easy

    5. GOAL11 X
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      TQ 😀

  29. FPL Blow-In
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Aguero to Costa for free? Or Nah

    1. #Swish41
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I've decided to keep for the next 3, his fix are much better than costas

    2. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Not this week, wait and see

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers guys. Nervous with no Chelsea attack

      1. Ange Ball
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Aguero will be benched Gabriel Jesus will start

  30. #Swish41
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Gtg chaps?

    Foster
    Azpi Walker Pieters
    Sanchez(c) Phillips Lallana Eriksen
    Ibra Aguero Defoe

    (Pickford Amat Love Marney)

    If Sergio doesn't fire soon, plan to get Kane in and upgrade Amat!