Paddy Says

Paddy Says – Gameweek 22

The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

1,025 Comments Post a Comment
  1. balint84
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Heaton or Grant? 🙂

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Heaton

    2. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Always Heaton.

  2. Sharky’s Machine
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Play Carroll v Mid or Jones v Stoke?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Carroll

    2. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Jones. Wouldn't be that suprised if Boro kept a cs

    3. TheEgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      cazza

  3. TheEgyptianKing
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Cech
    Mccauley - Alonso - Holebas (Pieters - Amat)
    Alli - Lallana - Hazard (c) - Phillips (Capoue)
    Aguero - Ibra - Defoe

    Any immediate transfers i should do?

    1. londonmayor
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Amat or Peters - look to upgrade

  4. Slippy
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Costa or Hazard captain?

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Hazard.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Thank me later, Larry.

    2. TheEgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      50/50, ive gone Haz, but costa could try prove a point

    3. My Name Is Prince
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Haz a bit safer to start, right, so I'd go got him... Costa could start and score a brace too though... Close to a flip of a coin...

    4. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Costa. Go with the anytime goalscorer odds. And he'll have a point to prove..

      1. Epic Fail
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        When does "having a point to prove" ever work?

        1. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          When you have the type of personality Costa has & you're playing a poor away team in front of your own fans

          1. Epic Fail
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            He's a good option because of the latter, the former means nothing.

            1. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
              • 13 Years
              7 years, 5 months ago

              Ok

    5. Numb
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Costa

  5. Goonerette
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    OPINIONS: Do you think it's worth playing all out attack?

    Valdes (Heaton)
    Lovren Koscielny (Holgate Ake Holebas)
    Lallana San(C)hez Alli Stanislas Phillips
    Lukaku(VC) Giroud Defoe

    Cheers

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah

    2. TheEgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      For sure, its a pointless chip

  6. drughi
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Holebas>McAuley for free ? yay or nay ?

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      If no other issues, that's a fine move... Why not Brunt though?

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        0.1 off

        1. My Name Is Prince
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          McAuley is fine then

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      yes

  7. My Name Is Prince
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Not for this week but in general:

    A) Alli - Eriksen - Costa
    B) Alli/Eriksen - Coutinho - Kane

    (I've included Alli & Eriksen in both because in A I would just get both of them whereas in B I'd have to decide between the two...)

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. DantheManinaPan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Eriksen/Coutinho/Costa

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Could swap between Kane and Costa according to the fixtures or form... Eriksen/Coutinho sounding like a popular choice! Cheers!

    3. WithEase
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    4. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B .. Pen, Free-kick, Cornor-kick, and Explosiveness

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        With Eriksen right?

    6. skodaole2
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B with Alli

    7. My Name Is Prince
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Will see how the games unfold today and think about it again! Cheers all!

  8. 8ball
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Costa in for Giroud for free or
    Costa in for Defoe -4

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Neither

    2. Evasivo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Neither, wait.

  9. Evasivo
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    We happy this is right set-up?!

    Heaton
    Alonso Kos Holebas
    Hazard Eriksen Phillips Sanchez(C)
    Negredo Giroud Ibra(vc)

    Jaku Evans Capoue Amat
    0.4ITB

    Thanks

    1. zøphar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      hazzzzza cap

      1. Evasivo
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I saw from your tweets you were split between him and Sanchez. What made u turn the corner?

        1. zøphar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          home stats for sanchez vs home stats for hazard ,

          tbh its a toss up, we cant predict the future

  10. TheTinman
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    When does that scouser start leaking Liverpool line up

    1. Evasivo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      11.30am today

      1. TheTinman
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Nope

        1. Evasivo
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          11.31?

  11. ..dom
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    a) Capoue to Pedro
    b) Aguero to Costa AND Capoue to Coutinho for a -4

    Any help appreciated!

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B it could pay itself back this week

    2. O Fenomeno
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm considering very similar move to B. I'm just finding it hard to sell Kun...

  12. WithEase
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Pick two to start:

    Alli
    Antonio
    Carroll

    1. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Alli & Antonio

      1. WithEase
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers!

  13. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Going with Giroud(C)!

    Last time I captained a striker against Burnley I got 26 points thanks to (C)harlie!

    1. Evasivo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Last time I captained Giroud he got a red card 🙁

  14. Yankee Toffee
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Lads, need a bit of bench help.

    Play 3
    A. Alonso
    B. Walker (mci)
    C. Baines (possibly crocked)
    D. Holgate (possibly benched)
    E. McCauley (SUN, but got a -3 last week and I'm bitter)

    Cheers!

    1. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      AEC with Walker first sub.

    2. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A C E

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Abe

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Sorry, ace

  15. Mesh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who to captain?

    A. Costa
    B. Hazard
    C. Sanchez

    1. WithEase
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      C

    2. Sharky’s Machine
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B or C, I'm on C

    3. makaveli70
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

  16. Fozzyb34r
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Do we think Origi will start?

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No

    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      doubt it

  17. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Would you do Kane + Benteke to Giroud + Lukaku (2 FTs)?

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No. I would just do Benteke, but if you can't afford it, leave and look elsewhere.

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers, 2 FTs and struggling to decide how to use them!

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Just use one. Save them for the 9 day post fa cup fixtures.

          Or just save. It's a hard thing to do losing a free transfer but if you're just making your team worse...

  18. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Brunt is listed as a doubt in every major newspaper. Why not flagged when some players who are clearly fit still are?

    Still don't understand.

    1. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Is he?
      Pulis didn't say anything about him.

  19. Clucas
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    OK guys, wish me luck. Coutinho Captain even though I own both sanchez and hazard. It s all or nothing if you wanna raise. Good luck for all of you!!

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Not a bad option at all, good luck.

    2. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Good luck.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Is he matchfit to start?

    4. KAPO KANE
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm tempted to do the same mate, put off by gametime and the fact they play first...although this paid off last week captaining Kane!

  20. Mr_Majestyk
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Struggling to make a decision this week.

    Heaton
    Alonso Jones Baines
    Haz Sanchez Lallana Phillips
    Ibra Carroll Giroud

    Jak DeRoon Evans Amat

    1- Save FT
    2- Carroll to Lukaku
    3- Giroud to Kane
    4- Evans to ?
    5 -other suggestions

    Thanks

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      2

  21. LakhaneeFC
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Good morning, bottomed out:

    1. Any last minute update on Costa?
    2. On Giroud?

    Because I missed the Costa news last GW just want to make sure there's so obvious omission this GW that I'm not aware of?

    Thanks,
    /Sid

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Giroud will 100 percent start

      Costa is fit, just depends on the whim of conte. Could be benched with unchanged side.

      1. LakhaneeFC
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Alright, thank you!

        I want to captain Costa, but is that too much?

  22. BraxterStockman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who should I play?

    A) Holebas
    B) Cedric

    Thanks!

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Evasivo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

  23. HammersFan
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who to play?

    Rose
    Valencia

    Who to captain?

    Sanchez
    Hazard

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rose, Sanchez for me

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      VH

  24. KAPO KANE
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Good morning my fellow FPL addicts!

    Just need a little help with captain choice!
    A) Hazard
    B) Sanchez
    C) Aguero
    D) Coutinho

    Thanks!

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Sanchez is the favourite.

    2. Evasivo
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      You and everyone else!

      I'm going Sanchez but tempted with Hazard and Alonso tbh

  25. Ram_giri
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Lads, need some help sorting out my defence.

    Main Team: Baines Chambers Brunt

    Bench: Rose, De Roon, Yoshida

    Plan to keep Baines and Brunt.

    A. Rose
    B. Yoshi
    C. Chambers

    Which of them do I play?

    1. Angin out the Begović
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yoshi

    2. KAPO KANE
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rose easily

    3. Ram_giri
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks guys. Will probably put in Rose and hope for some attacking returns!

  26. Angin out the Begović
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Draft Team here.. Who to Captain :S

    A) Pedro
    B) Firmino
    C) Lukaku

    1. allaboutthemagic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Tough one but I'd go Pedro out the 3

    2. Ram_giri
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B would be a great differential

      1. Ram_giri
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Could you please help me out with my post above?

  27. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Pieters to Brunt - yay or nay?

  28. allaboutthemagic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez or Haz for C?!

  29. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who to start?

    1. Holebas
    2. Defoe

  30. Jacksax
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Can only get one from West Brom
    Phillips of Foster?

    1. Ram_giri
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Philips

      1. Jacksax
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Agreed! Cheers