Moving Target

Scout Report – Javier Hernandez

Following the addition of club-record signing Marko Arnautovic, West Ham United reinforced their attacking options further with the signing of Bayer Leverkusen striker Javier Hernandez for £16 million.

The 29-year-old put pen to paper on a three-year deal with the Hammers and hopes to repay the faith of Hammers manager and long-term admirer, Slaven Bilic:

“Slaven Bilic was a massive influence on me signing. Since I joined Bayer Leverkusen he has wanted me, he spoke with me, he tried to do everything he could to bring me here, but it was impossible for a lot of reasons. Now I am here though; I am going to be his player and I want to give him back that confidence and try to do my best to make him happy.”

The History

Hernandez linked up with Guadalajara in his native Mexico at the age of nine, and progressed to make his first-team debut in 2006.

He spent the next four seasons with the club, and registered 29 goals and 11 assists in 78 matches in all competitions, before joining Manchester United in the summer of 2010.

The Mexican enjoyed a strong first season at Old Trafford, producing 20 goals and five assists in 45 outings in all competitions, helping his side secure another Premier League title.

But Hernandez found it tougher to earn regular starts over the next few seasons, with injuries and the arrival of Robin van Persie in August 2012 limiting his first-team opportunities.

He was loaned out to Real Madrid for the 2014/15 season and totalled seven goals and seven assists in 23 league matches before signing for Bayer Leverkusen on a permanent basis in August 2015.

His first season in Germany was very successful, racking up 17 goals and three assists in 28 league matches.

There was a slight drop-off last term though, as he managed only 11 goals and three assists in 26 appearances.

After representing Mexico at U20 level, Hernandez made his senior debut against Colombia in October 2009.

He currently has 96 caps to his name and has scored an eye-catching 48 goals.

The Prospects

Blighted by an impotent attack last season, West Ham turned to Andy Carroll, Andre Ayew, Ashley Fletcher, Jonathan Calleri, Diafra Sakho and Simone Zaza, but failed to stumble on an assured solution. The addition of a player of Hernandez’s quality looks to be a shrewd piece of business.

The Mexican has a wealth of experience at the highest level and boasts predatory instincts that the Hammers have lacked for several seasons. His enthusiasm should also be a positive in the dressing room.

Although the 29-year-old may not be as quick as he used to be, his movement in the box remains very impressive and his all-round game has improved since he was last seen in England.

For Leverkusen, Hernandez played both as a lone striker and also as part of a front two in a 4-4-2 formation.

His addition will provide Bilic with plenty of options. The new boy could lead the line in a 4-2-3-1, 4-3-3 or 3-4-3, or potentially be stationed alongside Carroll in a two-man attack.

West Ham scored just 47 goals last season, down from 65 in 2015/16, and the arrival of Hernandez should go a long way to rectifying that key problem.

The Hammers scored from a mere 9.4% of their efforts in 2016/17 – only five teams had a worse record.

But with a goal conversion rate of 21.1% at Leverkusen, Hernandez’s arrival should help rectify the Hammers’ profligacy in front of goal.

In terms of the Mexico international’s underlying statistics, he averaged a shot every 34.9 minutes in 2016/17, which was slightly inferior to Carroll (33.7). However, the target man recorded a conversion rate of 17.9%, with 14 of his 39 attempts made in the air.

Hernandez didn’t really offer much in terms of creativity, though, producing a key pass every 82.5 minutes, slightly stronger than Carroll (93.8).

While Carroll sets you back 6.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) after finding the back of the net just seven times last term, the clinical Hernandez has also been favourably priced and comes in at 7.0. Similarly, he demands a fee of 10.7 in Sky Sports, some 0.7 more expensive that Carroll.

But West Ham face four road trips and a visit from Spurs in the first six matches, so their attacking assets are expected to struggle for investment early on.

That should allow us the opportunity for some early scouting as we assess Hernandez’s impact on the new-look Hammers forward line.

His goal scoring record certainly suggests he’ll be able to thrive at the London Stadium, although Bilic will have to ensure his side play to the Mexican’s strengths. There’s also the hope that he’ll be handed spot-kicks duties – a factor that would have an impact on Manuel Lanzini’s stock as a midfield asset.

Only West Bromwich Albion and Burnley had fewer touches in the opposition box than West Ham last season – that will need to change given that all 37 of Hernandez’s Premier League goals were scored inside the penalty area.

“Little Pea’s” return to the Premier League provides Fantasy managers with a mid-price option capable of producing 15 goals, something that was lacking throughout much of last season.

Indeed, with Arnautovic, Ayew, Lanzini, Michail Antonio, and Robert Snodgrass all vying for pitch-time in the Hammers’ attacking midfield berths, Hernandez should enjoy a decent supply line and solve our third forward conundrum.

Further Reference

Javier Hernandez Wikipedia

Javier Hernandez Transfer Markt Page

Javier Hernandez 2016/17 Goals

2,087 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SW6
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I don't know how Sky get away with it. They post a story saying "Sky Sources" feel Barcelona are confident of signing Coutinho, then gradually reduce the odds on Sky Bet and watch the money roll in over a self-fabricated story. Seems pretty illegal to me

    1. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Murdoch owned companies have never broken the law, as we know 🙂

    2. AriseSirGiggsy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Wouldn't they make more money by increasing the odds?

      1. SW6
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        If the odds start to fall it adds credibility and covers their backs as the number of bets pick up.

        On the one hand if you're dumb enough to bet on football transfers you kinda deserve it but some people know no better

        1. AriseSirGiggsy
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Longer odds are more likely to attract bets....
          If the logic is, "I just read it in the media therefore I know something others don't" then u should be barred from betting due to mental incapacity

    3. jmcclory123
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Speculation isn't illegal.

      Changing odds based on ones speculation isn't illegal.

      Not Illegal + Not Illegal = Not Illegal

      1. SW6
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        I'm fully aware it's not actually illegal but its so brazenly manipulative and immoral it would be shocking if you forgot who the company doing it was

    4. nobwak
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      How is it illegal? :S

      1. SW6
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Technically its not as I said above. But when a company has such a strong influence on the mass spreading of football (mis)information and also makes a profit off people betting on that information the waters become very murky

  2. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Ive been set on this team for over 24h. What do you guys thing?
    Foster
    Tompkins Alonso Cedric
    Ramsey Zaha Alli Phillips
    Jesus Lukaku Morata

    Myhill Dunk Carroll Lascelles

    Cheers

    1. Viiksisika
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Tomkins aint nailed

    2. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Ramsey to Willian.

      1. nobwak
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Disagree as he has Morata for Chelsea, yet no Arsenal without Ramsey.

        1. Forever mirin
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Willian is the better player, plays in a more advanced position and is on some set pieces. If it's obvoius who the better pick is, "cover" doesn't matter.
          If the decision was very close I tend to agree with you though..

          1. nobwak
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 10 months ago

            Yeah, see your point. Whether he's a better player or not is debatable, especially as they play in different positions - I take the rest of your points though.
            Ramsey is more nailed though, Willian is under threat when Hazard returns.

        2. bojack
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          I don't think there's any such thing as attacking cover, but that's a personal view I guess 🙂

          Willian to me is better value than Ramsey as he has some set pieces.

    3. thepeen555
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      only 24hrs eh?

      1. TheSteel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah. Thats pretty good for me

  3. leocarter27
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Best 4.5 mids? Carroll and..

    1. Markus Suttner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Romeu, Stephens, Roque Mesa

    2. StalkingDwarf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mesa imo. Should also be nailed for Swansea.

    3. b91jh
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mesa/Obiang?

  4. Markus Suttner
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I've got Suttner
    Markus Suttner
    I just don't think you understand
    He's just 4.5 mil
    He's better than Prödl
    I've got Markus Suttner

    1. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Suttn it!

  5. Arteta
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    https://www.arsenal.com/news/bellerin-chambers-holding-and-wilshere-return

    Bellerin, Holding, Oxlade - Chamberlain, Chambers and Wilshere spotted in today's training pictures.

    Sanchez and Mustafi not back yet.

  6. Waxys
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Best 4.5 mid Carrol and???

    1. Prison Mike
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      RLC or Chalobah maybe

    2. Hot Fuzz
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      romeo or mcarthur i guess..... carrol is ok....4.5...u knoe what i mean..

  7. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Team A or B?

    A) Foster (Elliot)
    Bailly* Cedric* Trippier Daniels (4.0)
    KDB* Salah* Willian (RLC Carroll)
    Lukaku Kane* Chicha*

    B) Foster (Elliot)
    Valencia* Bertrand* Trippier Daniels (4.0)
    Alli/Erik* Zaha* Willian (RLC Carroll)
    Lukaku Jesus* Lacazette*

    1. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      What do the stars denote?

      1. Prison Mike
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        The players that are different haha doesn't look too nice though does it

        1. bojack
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          🙂

          KDB isn't for me. Eriksen.

          1. Prison Mike
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 10 months ago

            Alright cheers!

  8. Where dahoud at
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Best midfielder at 5.0

    NOT RLC

    1. Sahil Yadav
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Carroll at 4.5
      No good options at 5.0 at this moment

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Mili from crystal palace, pens, free kicks and nailed.

  9. Sahil Yadav
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    “No! You stick to what you’re doing, try, try and try again. Each missed chance is not a failure, it is information - use it and go again.”
    -Klopp

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Klopp needs to drop the act.

      He's as ruthless as any other German

  10. Hot Fuzz
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I have to ask a serious question ....i am reading and reading soooooo many posts, topics etc.{don't get me wrong i love this site}... and only seeing the herd like teams for rmt.... what does it mean until we got all the same team no one is happy? the template is Some cheap rotatable keepers with cedric lindehoef and friends plus alli willian etc and dont forget kane kaku and a strong bench if possible?????? no one have the guts to try something different?? i think its time to stand out and be a black sheep in the ffs herd...good luck to everyone 🙂

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Don't worry bud. You'll always have me going against the herd

      1. Agger
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Waxys is the type of guy to Triple Captain Rooney Vs Man United away.

        1. Waxys
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          I am not opposed to handing Rooney the DGW triple captain captaincy depending on his form throught the season

        2. Hot Fuzz
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          I love it guts right??

      2. Hot Fuzz
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        waxys....thanks to the fpl gods for you.... hahahahaha

    2. Agger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'm trying something different too but you don't dare post it here because every reply you'll get will be template suggestions.

      1. bojack
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Depends who you listen to!

      2. Hot Fuzz
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        whats your idea??

    3. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Game's more fun when you make your own decisions ay it.

      Hard not to be influenced a bit when you spend 95% of your day on here though.

      I need a life.

      1. Hot Fuzz
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        thats me too man.... addict

  11. SilverSpurs
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Foster, Elliot
    Trippier, Dawson, Cedric, Dunk, Mee
    Alli, Sane, Ramsey, Loftus-Cheek, Ince
    Kane, Lukaku, Austin
    1itb

    Thoughts?

  12. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    RMT

    Foster Elliot
    Cedric Trippier Ake Dunk Rangel
    Sane Zaha Willian Alli Carroll
    Chicharito Kane Jesus

    Got a mil in the bank. Any advice on where to spend it to improve this lot?

    1. nobwak
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Very strong team, well done.
      Maybe get Lukaku for Jesus, or upgrade Sane to Mane?

    2. bojack
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I'd choose Eriksen or Mané over Sané if I had the 1.0 spare.

      1. Hart-ake
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        A triple-up of Spurs attack? Mane over Sane is something I'm considering, but would like to get a better idea of who is the best option in the Liverpool attack first...but yeah, it's an idea.

        I am reluctant to get rid of Jesus really, but I guess Lukaku is probably the better option.

        I was looking at strengthening my 5th mid and getting rid of Carroll but there is really no-one better at 5/5.5.

        Cheers!

  13. b91jh
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone watched Soton's preseason?
    How does Boufal performing?
    He has potential to get price rise imo if he could be a starter

  14. cylus11 ( Manager) - Russia…
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Any good goalkeepers at 4.5 differntial type who will do well throughout the season.

    1. Licky
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Hennessy?

  15. Iwobi
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Chicharito or Rooney?

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      The skipper for the first gameweek as Chicharito is likely to blank against united. Then bring in Chicharito after the first gsrmsedm

  16. jimmy.floyd
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Forster Elliot
    Cedric Kompany Trippier Hegazi Rosenior
    X X KDB Willian Tarroll
    Kane Kaku Austin

    Two midfielders for 14.0?

    1. b91jh
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Lanzini+Zaha or Mkhitaryan+Snodgrass

  17. whosinmidfield
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I need help with this one
    A. Kane Pogba Lindelof humemier
    Or
    B. Rashford Alli Alonso Bailly

  18. Fanta sea
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Draft Comparison:
    Team A:

    Forster / Foster
    Tripper / Daniels / Bertrand / Lowe / Rangel
    KDB / ZAHA / Willian / R.L-C / Redmond
    KANE / Lukaku / Chicharito

    Team B:

    Forster / Foster
    Tripper / Daniels / Bertrand / Lowe / Rangel
    ALLI / COUTINHO / Willian / R.L-C / Redmond
    AGUERO / Lukaku / Chicharito

    In Team B I can change Aguero to Laca or Jesus and spend the extra mil on defence.

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      B

  19. Where dahoud at
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    So iv done abit off moving around and settled on this. Please feel free to comment!

    Foster

    Luiz, cedric, dawson, daniels

    Coutinho, de bruyne, willian

    Lukaku, chico, kane

    BENCH. Elliot, rangel, kante, rlc

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Very good team. WBA risky. Go Yoshida for Dawson, as SOU will keep more CS early on

    2. Prison Mike
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Looks good! Why not do kante to Carroll for the extra 0.5?

  20. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Hello ladies - welcome back and all the s***.

    Let's get back to it. First draft, baby....

    Foster (Elliot)
    Walker / Trippier / Lowe (Yedlin / Hune)
    Coutinho / Sane / Willian / Tadic
    Kane / Lukaku / Chico

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Oh and Carroll as a non-playing mid.

    2. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Walker is a rotation risk and overpriced get Kompany and upgrade someone else

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Walker > Kompany
        Lowe > Ake

        1. Waxys
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah good plan

  21. @chapellefpl OR 577TH
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Here's one to get your brains ticking

    A) kdb and Jesus
    Or
    B) Coutinho and Lukaku

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      b

    2. Markus Suttner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      B

  22. rnrd
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I can't chose between Jesus and Aguero and I think I actually came down to the right conclusion.
    That will be none of them.

    The way I see it is Sergio will probably will get some huge hauls and could be lethal against deeper opposition. However, his gametime will be managed considering his injury record and I believe he might not even start against bigger opposition as Pep has often critized his commitment on defensive duties.

    On the other hand Jesus will probably get more gametime, be more consistant in the long run but will also be managed.

    10.5 to 11.5 is a high price bracket to afford points being spread.

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Nah they'll both start

  23. Markus Suttner
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Top 10 free-kick takers in the league imo (in order)

    1. Markus Suttner
    2. Gylfi Sigurdsson
    3. Christian Eriksen
    4. Philippe Coutinho
    5. Alexis Sanchez
    6. Leighton Baines
    7. Chris Brunt
    8. Kevin de Bruyne
    9. Wayne Rooney
    10. Robbie Brady

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Willian has to be in the top 10.

      1. Markus Suttner
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 10 months ago

        Meant to include him, forgot

    2. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Brunt over Rooney lol pass the weed bro

    3. Agger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      1. Markus Suttner
      2. Markus Suttner
      3. Markus Suttner
      4. Markus Suttner
      5. Markus Suttner
      6. Markus Suttner
      7. Markus Suttner
      8. Markus Suttner
      9. Markus Suttner
      10. Markus Suttner

    4. J T
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Alonso???

  24. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    I definitely preferred last years drafting options for the first few GW's.

    We have been priced out of any decent full squad this year.

  25. Uncle Avram
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Ok heres the latest

    Now settled back on 3-4-3 again

    Foster/(Myhill)
    Cedric/Alonso/Ake/(Long)/(Hunmeier)
    Willian/Salah/Alli/Sane/(RLC)
    Jesus/Laccazette/Chicha

    Alli for Ericsson?

  26. Sánchez
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Hernandez price really generous.
    Suddenly making a really strong team seems a bit too easy

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      If you enjoy your third striker having a tricky set couple of opening games and probable blanks. No match fitness either.

  27. TheTwelfthMan
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Hey guys. Sorry for the constant self plug, but this is a good read. After my well received guide to defenders, I've written a comprehensive guide to midfielders. My opinions on some age old questions, general tips, followed by my recommendations on who to pick and who to avoid.
    http://the12thman.in/fantasy-premier-league-guide-part-3-midfielders/

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      I read it. Good advice +1

  28. b91jh
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    A) Kane+Rashford+Mkhi+KDB
    B) Kane+Lukaku+Sane+Lanzini

    which one?

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      B

  29. LangerznMash
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 months ago

    Favoured 4.5 rotation pairing...
    A) Brighton (Dunk) + Huds (Zanka?)
    B) Palace (Tomkins?) + Stoke (Johnson)
    C) Leicester (Simpson?) + Newcastle (Yedlin)

    Question marks over the starters.

    1. Waxys
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 months ago

      Trust City for that