Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 17

We struck gold with two of our differential picks last weekend, with Swansea City’s Wilfried Bony and Tottenham Hotspur’s Son Heung-min maintaining our recent hot streak.

For this midweek round of fixtures, we’re turning to a trio of budget and mid-priced midfielders to help propel those risk-taking Fantasy managers up the rankings.

Michail Antonio

After being used as a central striker in West Ham United’s 1-0 win over Chelsea, Michail Antonio has caught our eye ahead of tomorrow night’s home clash with Arsenal.

Priced at 7.4 in Fantasy Premier League, the Hammers midfielder is sat in just 0.2% of squads and could thrive against an Arsenal defence that has struggled on their travels.

Arsene Wenger’s men have managed just two clean sheets in their eight away matches, conceding 13 goals.

West Ham, meanwhile, come into the Gunners encounter full of confidence following that morale-boosting win over the champions.

They were able to cause Chelsea a few problems on the counter-attack and should be able to do the same tomorrow night.

Although Antonio has only produced one goal and an assist, he is the Hammers’ chief goal threat, leading the way for both shots (20) and efforts on target (10).

Fixtures against Stoke City, Newcastle United and Bournemouth over the next four Gameweeks look favourable, and with a Double Gameweek 22 on the horizon, Antonio has the potential to be an effective short-term differential.

Dusan Tadic

Thriving in the No 10 role behind lone striker Charlie Austin, we fancy Southampton midfielder Dusan Tadic to maintain his strong home form when Leicester City arrive tomorrow night.

The Serbian has registered a goal, two assists and five bonus points in his last two outings at St Mary’s and also got on the scoresheet in the corresponding fixture last season in a 3-0 home win.

Given that he’s only made three appearances over the last four Gameweeks, Tadic’s numbers really catch the eye.

He has created four big chances, with no other Saints player managing more than one, has also produced four penalty-area shots and is top for touches in the box, with 18.

Leicester’s away struggles also play a significant part in our thinking.

They have only managed one clean sheet on their travels and are ranked third for the most shots on target conceded in away matches (43).

Tadic is now available for just 6.3 in FPL and also has a favourable home fixture against Huddersfield Town in Gameweek 19.

The Saints playmaker has always posted strong underlying statistics and the return of Austin to the starting XI is now seeing them translated into attacking points.

With an ownership of just 1.9%, the midfielder can be a real difference maker in these strong home match-ups.

Johann Berg Gudmundsson

At the cheaper end of the scale is Burnley’s Johann Berg Gudmundsson.

The Iceland international has quietly been enjoying a productive campaign, registering five assists over the last nine Gameweeks.

The absence of the injured Robbie Brady further boosts Gudmundsson’s appeal.

He is now on set-piece duties for the Clarets and took all three of their corners in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Watford. He is also a threat from direct free-kicks.

His underlying statistics have been strong all season.

Gudmundsson is second to Brady for chances created among Burnley players with nine and only costs a mere 5.0 in FPL.

Tonight’s home meeting with Stoke City is very encouraging.

Only West Ham (21) have conceded more goals on the road than the Potters (20), while Mark Hughes’ men are top for the most big chances conceded, with 26.

They travel to Turf Moor on the back of a confidence-sapping 5-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, while the Clarets have won three of their last four at home.

Priced kindly, and owned by only 0.3% of FPL managers, Gudmundsson can provide a nice solution for Fantasy managers in need of a budget midfield option.

1,926 Comments Post a Comment
  1. asif316uk
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play one

    Tarkowsi (h) Stoke
    Mariappa (a) palace
    Chupo Moting (a) Burnley

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      T

    2. lilmessipran
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      tark

    3. Jive Turkey
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Tarkowski

    4. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Tarky

    5. Thiga
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Tarkowski

  2. hurrrrr
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Elliot
    Gomez - Christensen - Naughton - Chilwell
    Salah - Hazard - Richarlison - Sterling
    Kane - Niasse

    Adrian - Mustafi - Ramsey - Morata

    Good to go? Worth taking any (more) hits?

    1. Colonel Klink
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No one's coming off the bench, so if you're ever going to do it...

  3. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one to bench for this gw-

    A Zaha
    B Richarlison
    C Kola

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Close between B & C...

      1. lilmessipran
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        yea that's what is doing my head in

    2. alexdelarge
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

  4. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Last call.

    Lukaku or Firmino?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      L

    2. Jive Turkey
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Luk

    3. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Argument for both. I went Firm just because it gives me more transfer options next GW, and (assuming no injuries) I shouldn't have to transfer him out straight away.

    4. FantasyFootballSprout
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Firmino for me. Lukaku is terrible value

  5. George James
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Do we think Pedro starts tonight?

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Willian more likely to imo

    2. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Both?

  6. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Moreno ->

    A) Kenny

    B) Ogbonna/Masukau

    1. Colonel Klink
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      A

  7. mojoindojo
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Play Mbemba or take out either Moreno or Ramsey? Already on - 4

    Pickford
    Kola Ward Christensen Mbemba
    Salah Hazard Sterling
    Kane DCL

    Foster Morata Ramsey Moreno

    1. mojoindojo
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      And RLC...

  8. United10
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    could Salah start on the bench this week?

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      anyone could

    2. KISSES
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      No

    3. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      It would be strange imo

  9. BenjaminEJones
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morata > Firmino for -4?

    Niasse, Duffy & Francis are current bench.

  10. Jive Turkey
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    2 FTs;

    Best combination in for Morata & Daniels?

    A) Lukaku & Ogbona

    B) Firmino & Jones

    C) Lacazette & Jones

    Thanks.

    1. Digital-Real
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B but will Jones start?

      1. Jive Turkey
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        I think he will. Better question is how long can he stay fit I suppose

  11. Digital-Real
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Do we think Phil Jones will start?

    1. KISSES
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Hope so, could happen if Rojo not 100%

      1. Colonel Klink
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Is Rojo ahead of Jones?

  12. Captain Tsubasa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Will Wimmer start? Where will i see line ups the fastest?

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      respective teams' twitter

  13. Qaiss
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Jones to play tomorrow?

  14. Essrick
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Smart move to transfer in Austin instead of DCL? Easier to downgrade from Austin if needed than upgrade DCL

  15. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    OMG Falafel!

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Ban

  16. Delph & Safety
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Salah over Kane?

    You’d expect them to come back fighting after the frustration of the derby. And it’s Alan Pardew.
    But we know Salah isn’t great for Baps either if it’s a high scoring game.

    What does Jonty and Az think about Brightons hopes against Spurs?

  17. Fred the Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone fancy Aguero for the armband?

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Yep definitely if I had him.

    2. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      not a chance

    3. KISSES
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Over Kane?

      1. Fred the Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah? He has disappointed before

  18. Sims
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Team ready for the weekend

    Gomes

    Kola Ota Tarkowski

    Salah Coutinho Sterling Hazard (RLC)

    DCL Kane Firmino

  19. Hobolicious
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Morata to:

    A) Lukaku
    B) Firmino
    C) Save

    T. Carroll to:

    1) RLC
    2) Save

    (If I do both it will mean -4.)

  20. Pellegrini Falcon
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    DCL or punt on Rooney?

  21. william prunier
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Villa Ronke with 2 changes, looks like he's shipped Morata

  22. sunzip14
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    A) Firmino a good captain option? Have Salah & Hazard too.
    B) Palace & Watford prediction?

  23. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    already on a -4
    DDG myhill
    Sakho Daniels Duffy maguire Mbemba
    Hazard Coutinho Salah Richarlison Delph
    Kane Morata Niasse
    sakho & morata out, niasse unlikely to play take more hits or ride it out with 10 men?
    temped to take more hits

  24. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    % chances of Kiko playing?

    1. Yozzer
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      I'd say on the negative side but possible. Sounds like he not be risked

  25. Yozzer
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone think Christiansen may get a rest?

    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      always a chance. I don't think so

    2. Magic Box
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      Luiz is injured, so no.

      1. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 5 months ago

        He's fit and back in the squad.

        1. JJO
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 5 months ago

          he is not

  26. Fantasy Gold
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    If Mee doesn’t start I’ll pour more gravel down Dyche’s throat.

    He’s been warned.

  27. Scholes Balls
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Is Sterling going to start tomorrow?

  28. asif316uk
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Who to play.

    Mariposa (a) palace
    Chupo Moting (a) Burnley

    I'm playing a Burnley defender

  29. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    What's the better hit?

    A) Morata -> Aguero
    B) Morata -> Rooney - upgrade Gross next week
    C) Morata -> Firmino - upgrade Gross next week
    D) Fabianski -> De Gea

  30. Weasel51
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 5 months ago

    Risky: Morata >> Firmino
    Boring: Fuchs >> Kenny

    HELPP!!!

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 5 months ago

      B