Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Seen some saremongering today and yesterday that spurs forums seem to think that Kane starts on bench today. How likely is this, certainly if fit he will want to chase the golden boot?
    The small risk may sway my captain choice, though

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      “Forums”

      Trust people that go to the game.

    2. Vlad Tepes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Source?

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/04/07/spot-the-differential-gameweek-33-6/?hc_page=9#hc_comment_17941660

        couldn't find anything on Spurs forums myself, though.
        Saw a couple of similar comments yesterday also

    3. DAZZ
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Kane is fit otherwise he wouldnt have made an appearance when the Chelsea game was won. No reason to be benched! And he is hungry, he wants goals, dont worry he SHOULD start

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        No doubt he's raring to go, bu it's ultimately Poch's decision. As they can expect to win the game , he may want to protect him

        1. DAZZ
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Full week to recover, doesnt need 14 days rest if he played in chelsea game

    4. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I don't think it's scaremongering - it's a valid concern given Poch's comments about needing to see Kane in one more training session before deciding.

      1. Amsterhammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah this. It was the same scenario earlier in the year when he was rested after flu. Anyone with a decent amount of football knowledge will tell you, it's an easy fixture, he's coming back from injury, Poch was ambiguous in his statements and they have more important fixtures coming up. It makes total sense that he'll get reduced minutes.

    5. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No need to risk him really if there is any doubt,Spurs have enough about them to deal with Stoke without Harry.

      1. Point-one short
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        A 1 pointer would be funny.

    6. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He played 20 mins v Chelsea 6 days ago. Trained all week. He’ll start imo

    7. The Mandalorian
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      its only scaremongering if you own Kane 🙂

    8. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mixed opinions on this, it appears. I will leave it until deadline whether to switch armband

    9. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I’ve had a look too at a couple of Spurs forums on the match day threads.

      There isn’t any concrete information, just fans having their say. Some say he won’t start and some say he will. Same for Son and Lamela.

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        fair enough, at the end of the day we'll have to assess the risks ourselves

  2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) Salah
    B) Murray

    1. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You'll get Murray points either way.
      Salah is rumoured to not even be in the squad.

  3. Queens of the South Age
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Starting 11 and sub order look good?

    Ryan
    Alonso Kiko Mustafa
    Sanchez Alli Izquierdo Hazard (c)
    Jesus Vardy Wood

    Hennessey Morgan Cook Lawton

    1. Queens of the South Age
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Damn mobile typos.

    2. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      "Lawton" hahaha

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Haha. And Simba's dad making an appearance. 🙂

    3. LÖrKingMuch
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nice team, looks good, good luck

  4. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Good morning fellow managers,i hope your team selections are going well.

    1. Point-one short
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers Ogie. Week after wc and 2 non-starters. Could be better...

  5. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Kane Lingard to outscore Salah Vardy next two weeks??

    1. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      And how many of you keep Salah?

      1. palace ash
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        He's dead to me

  6. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Firmino and salah to Kane (c) and hazard for -4. Tasty

    1. Scotty B
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Very

    2. seewhyaxe
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      How you afford that?,

    3. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Deffo

  7. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    If Liverpool reach the semi finals of the CL expect lots of rotation in GW35 & GW36

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely. See the season that they reached semi-final of Europa.

  8. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Still think this team strong enough ? I do

    Foster 
    Maguire Ota Monreal 
    Salah Sane Sterling Milo
    Firm Aubam(c) King

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Got all chips

    2. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I would be worried if that was my team.

    3. LÖrKingMuch
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Give it a substitute bench and its strong enough 😉

  9. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Guys need suggestions desperately

    kaku,salah -> kane,ramsey(-4)

    and then auba->kaku gw thirty four?

  10. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Gudmonsson to Ibe for free?

    BB in 34

  11. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Play who?

    a. DDG

    b. Hennessy

    Cheers

  12. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Wildcard team GTG?

    DDG Ryan
    Vertonghen christensen Chilwell Lowton Dunk
    Mahrez Alli Willian Lingard Gross
    Aubameyang Vardy Wood

    3.5 ITB

  13. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is the CL semi finals right after GW 34 and 35?

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      1st leg between Gw35 & Gw36 and 2nd leg in the following week

      1. _Ninja_
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Ah ok Cheers, rotation looms I guess.

  14. timPgoodwin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Should I play Schmeichel or Fabianski?

    1. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Fab

    2. Nang
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Schmeichel

  15. Arteta
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any of you going without de Gea? I'm not sure why but I fancy Schmeichel to outscore him ...

    1. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Plenty! I'm playing Ryan

    2. Boydinho
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cheaper defensive cover in Morgan, Chilwell, Simpson though thats not the case in Man U

    3. TooDifficuIt
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      First thing i did this week is getting rid of him

  16. damiang2233
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey and one of Alli, son or Erisken for Mhitayaran and B Silva??

    Thoughts?

  17. Claudio555
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any risk Aubameyang won't start tomorrow?

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Can’t see it as Laca played Europa

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I think he’ll start on the left that’s why I’m not captaining him

    3. Yozzer
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Always a risk. Can't see it though. No euro games

    4. DAZZ
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cup tied in Europa, 95% certain of a start

    5. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Only if he gets injured between now and then

    6. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      "We are focusing on the Premier League and the Europa League with the squad. We rotate a little bit from one game to the other after considering the recovery and the slight injuries or risk of injuries. As well we consider that some people, like Aubameyang, are not available in the Europa League but they are available in the Premier League. So the rotation is quite natural."

      Can't see it myself.

  18. drughi
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    VVD Baines Davies
    Milivojevic Mahrez Salah* Willian
    Kane (C) Auba Wilson

    elliott mariappa naughton shaqiri

    0.6 itb, anything worth a hit ? bench order correct ?.

  19. james 101
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg? Set up right?

    Ryan
    Christensen Chillwell. Lowton
    Alli(VC), Son, Mahrez, Willian,
    Vardy, Kane(C), Lukaku

    DDG, Kante. Mariappa. Smalling

    Thanks - and good luck!!

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      very nice

  20. Kun Tozser
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    DDG
    Kiko Robertson Mustafi
    Salah Willian Mahrez Arnie Grob
    Auba (c) Wood

    Karnezis Lukaku Lowton Bailly

    1. LÖrKingMuch
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      So you're 100% confident that Lukaku will come off the bench. 🙂

  21. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Good luck to all WCers this week, hope we've made the correct decisions, and prove that the wait for 33 was the correct one

    1. Yozzer
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      It will not prove anything at all..everyone situation different.

    2. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers mate!

  22. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    salah and barnes to ibe and kane ??? -4 hit ?

  23. Thunder Warrior
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is Salah, Lukaku and Son to Kane, Hazard and Groß for -8 madness??

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yep

  24. VIRATKOHLI18
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Start Frimino or PVA

  25. Rebeltactics
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Why are people picking Ryan? Surely Pope has a better run in....

    1. Boydinho
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Heaton may get playing time though

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      We still don't know if Pope will play all games with Heaton fit again.

    3. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      2 DGWs

    4. Andy'81
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He's cheaper and has less competition for his place is all I can go off.

    5. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'm paying the 0.2 eatra for Fabianski's superior DGW37 fixtures.

  26. S.Agueroooooo
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    RMT on WC (fh 35, bb37)

    Fabianski
    Alonso, Dunk, Morgan
    Alli, Son, Mahrez, Gross
    Auba, Kane, Barnes

    DDG, Christiansen, lowten, king

    Auba>lukaku next week

  27. dd dd
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    what is the preferred GW for BB and Triple captain please?

    1. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Depends on team and If you have your WC.

      BB34 and TC Kane in 37

      1. dd dd
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        i just played my wildcard so want to know which DGW to concentrate on.
        thanks

  28. GreenArrows
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Opinions, gtg and roll the FT?

    Ryan
    Azpil Morgan Mustafi
    Salah Son Mahrez Willian Gross
    Auba (C) Vardy

    DDG Barnes Lowton Smalling

    1FT 0.7itb

  29. R.C
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Lowton or Tarkowski

  30. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    G2G lads? I have 1 FT

    DDG

    Monreal Christensen Dunk

    Salah Son Willian Mahrez

    Kaku Auba(C) Murray

    Subs: McCarthy, Kenedy Morgan Lowton