Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. the snazzy viking
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Pros and cons I'm gathered so far from Salexit:

    Pros:
    + UCL possible rotation
    + Allows another route to get in Kane and/or Lukaku
    + Won't start today and has no DGWs
    + Spurs mid in, 3 fixtures vs 1 in the next 2 GWs
    + Can get back for FH35 and GW38 (suitable for most chip plans)
    + Differential in selling him
    + Plenty of other captain options elsewhere
    + Other mids in great form and with DGWs to come

    Cons:
    - Chasing golden boot
    - Still has great fixtures for the rest of the season
    - Lot of money tied up in him for most, thus more to buy him back
    - You don't go into the DGW with 2 frees
    - 29 goals and 11 assists, could be highest scoring player ever in FPL
    - More information if you wait until next week (at least)
    - Can a Spurs mid really cover Harry Kane? and if doubling up, would it be better to wait to get a City mid in?
    - Salexit not an option if without FH

    Feel free to comment any others that I could add to the list 🙂

    1. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Hulk please!

    2. the Penman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sums it up well for me. I have my FH intact and my midfield looks so much better for the next 2 without him, so have Salexited. With some fear, though.

      1. the snazzy viking
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        can definitely see why so many have done the same

        I'm undecided myself - after reading over the comments from last page, I'm torn between keeping and selling even when I thought I'd made my mind up long ago

    3. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Hulk it up

    4. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      This was needed.

      And this has made my mind to remove Salah and bring in Alli !!!

      FH35 intact ...

      Points over pounds

    5. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You can sell Salah with no FH if you still have WC

      1. the snazzy viking
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        True, but that's another transfer in and out presuming you'd want him back for BGW35 and to sell afterwards, but can still see worth in that decision

    6. casual
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Great post. fwiw I sold for exactly those reasons. The benefits of keeping are based on the past. The landscape has changed with the injury and LFC's UCL position

    7. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      It sounds east getting him back GW38 but that will likely require saving some money in the bank. No one is really going to want to take a hit that week.

  2. FPL-(VAR)dy
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Austin Albrighton

    OR

    Barnes Gross
    For GW 34??

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Barnes gross

    2. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  3. seewhyaxe
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    wildcarded gw 32 and still took a -4 in gw 33. FML

    Decided to do Mkhi to Willian, Firmino to Vardy. Keeping Salah, hope it doesn't backfire

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Good moves

  4. Mackans
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Alli if price doesn't matter?

    1. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Eriksen

    2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Eriksen I think. I’ve gone Alli though cos for me that price difference is important and allows Auba > Kane.

    3. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Alli

  5. UpAndAway
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What's everyone doing with Mkhi? Just 0.2 ITB.

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Sold for Son

    2. seewhyaxe
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Willian, Gross, Lingard choose?

      1. UpAndAway
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I have the first two, plus 3 Man Utd already. Arnie?

  6. Kryten
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Salah reported to not be at the team hotel... Fair enough but why are they in a hotel anyway the games in Liverpool

    1. Mr. Jenkins
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Zero local distractions and team mentality

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      True. Also this kind of reporting is pretty hit and miss

  7. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    My WC team is :

    Ryan
    Mustafi - Morgan - Dunk
    Mahrez(vc) - Willian - Salah - Gross
    Auba(c) - Barnes - Kane

    Lloris - Ibe - Lowton - Masuaku

    Leaves me with 1.6m itb

    Ready to change Auba > Lukaku in GW34

  8. Zambian FPL Addict
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Dunk will get 15 points this week, goal, CS and 3 BPS

    1. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Hope not I don't own

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He's more likely to score at the wrong end...

  9. Lee8686
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    0 FT and 0 ITB

    Take Salah out for a hit or GTG with Kenedy to come in??

    Pickford
    Maguire, Mee, Montreal
    Salah, Arnautovic, Ramsey, Mahrez
    Vardy, Aubameyang(c) Kane

    Adrian, Kenedy, Schindler, Marriappa

  10. Weasel51
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any help massively appreciated

    A) GW34: Auba + Son > Lingard + Kane

    B) GW33: Salah > Alli ..... GW34: Auba > Lukaku

    C) GW33: Salah > Alli ..... GW34: Auba + Son > Kane + 8.1

    1. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Tricky one, I think Kane is going to go for it for the rest of the season and this means Ali, Son and Erikson will probably score big too.

      I would say B

  11. Tsumo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    On WC. Should I get A.Christensen or
    B. Vertongen
    I have no other Chelsea or Spurs defenders.

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  12. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you have first on bench(come in for Salah)?

    A. Mounie
    B. Schindler
    C. Francis

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mounie

  13. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Do you think lukaku will drop tonight? If not need to do ibe > cork before deadline so can do auba > lukaku next week

    1. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      He'll drop for sure if he blanks tonight

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You also can do Ibe > Cork after deadline, right ?

    3. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Should drop but no guarantees. Some will start to buy tonight ahead of GW34

  14. AzzaroMax99
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Sorry for repost!

    1. DDG or Hennessey
    2. VVD or Lowton
    3. Play Kenedy (3-4-3) or Lowton (4-3-3) for Salah

    Ddg, Hen
    Mustafi, VVd, Tark, Lowt, Morgan
    Salah*, Mahrez, Son, Wilian, Kenedy
    Lukaku, AubaC, Barnes

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      DDG and Lowton

  15. The Tinkerman
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Salah is gone, I feel naked.

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Cover yourself in a spurs mid blanket

  16. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best option? On a WC (BB37):

    A) Alonso + Smalling
    B) Vert/davies + Moses
    C) Valencia + Christensen

    1. soup natsi
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Can see the rationale but don’t like any of these

      1. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Alternate suggestion?

        1. soup natsi
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Vert + Valencia possible?

    2. Red Rock
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Prefer Alonso but I doubt by 37 Smalling will be playing.

      Moses seems pretty nailed so B, though if you really want/need United then C

    3. Respect My Authoritah
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Agreed with the above. I think I'd prefer A with Monreal/Mustafi right now

      1. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Already have mustafi

  17. soup natsi
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Need to bench two
    a. Maguire (NEW)
    b. Morgan (NEW)
    c. VvD (eve)
    d. PvA (bou)
    e. Ake (CPL)

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B E I think

      1. soup natsi
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        First one will come in for Salah. Curious though, why Morgan?

        1. Stats Don\'t Lie
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Maguire better attacking threat and not sure id double up :/

        2. Red Rock
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          You’ll be play Maguire, spreading the risk

      1. soup natsi
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks a lot mate

  18. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Correct set up with Lingard on the bench ?

    DDG
    Alonso - Simpson - Lowton
    Willian - Mahrez - Son - King
    Kane (c) - Lukaku - Auba (vc)

    Bench : Lingard, Tarkowski, Mariappa

    1. Red Rock
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Will King do anything? At least Lingard has a chance to score. Play the better attacker

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I think so. City have one eye on the coming UCL. That should give United more chances.

    2. Lignja
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      First no Salah team that i like. Gl

    3. Dilemas
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yh I think you will be fine with lingard on the bench. Are you going with Kane for sure?

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        80% .. His record against Stoke is worth the bet.

  19. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What is the view in the cheapies department?

    A/ Gudmundsson
    B/ Ibe
    C/ Kenedy

    A feels like the strongest option but there are injury concerns. With that said he is touch and go for gw33 already.

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Get Ibe

      1. HNI
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Ya ibe is gonna score vs liv and manutd in a aide which is already on beach

    3. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

  20. merin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with Salah here?

    DDG Fabianski
    Smalling Christensen Morgan Lowton vdH
    Salah Son Willian Mahrez Ki
    Auba Firmino Vardy

    FT: 1, ITB: 0.7

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Save. Play 4-3-3 maybe.

  21. gunnerlover
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who do we think will start for City today? Tempted on Sane but Sterling should start shouldn’t he?

    1. Takedog1
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      silva

      1. gunnerlover
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I think he will actually be rested!

  22. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is McCarthy nailed?

  23. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Went from Mo Salah to No Salah. Let's do it !!!

  24. Takedog1
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    play ddg or fab

  25. Point-one short
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Ryan(HUD)
    Alonso(WHU), Vertonghen(stk), morgan(NEW), Lowton(wat)
    Mahrez(NEW), Willian(WHU), Son(stk),
    Auba(c, SOU), Vardy(NEW), Barnes(wat)

    DdG| Salah, Mkhi, Smalling
    1FT, 0.3ITB

    GTG?

  26. Richd
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I wish I went Ibe instead of Kante. But maybe im a secret genius.
    Or severe alcohol and drug dependencies I dunno

    1. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Kante is a filthy casual pick

  27. frenchfries
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Play one:
    A) Gudmundsson
    B) Lingard
    C) Dunk
    D) Lowton

  28. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Kane price rise hurting me! can't do Groß > King to afford the Auba upgrade now.

    Looking at getting rid of Son for Lingard GW34 to afford Kane now or a chelsea player

  29. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Alli?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Alli

    2. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Alli

  30. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I just can't face removing Salah in my WC. Will never be able to get him back easily. Still have FH but doesn't tempt me!

    Choose Mustafi or Smalling ?!

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mustafi