Spot the Differential

Man City injuries could allow Mahrez to reward Fantasy owners

With many of the highly-owned players failing to deliver in recent weeks, differentials are becoming more and more important to Fantasy Premier League managers.

In Gameweek 7, the top 10 points-scorers all had single-digit ownership levels, proving that many of this season’s top performers are still hiding away.

It was another good week for this regular column though. Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m) and Chris Wood (£6.2m) lived up to their billing by registering a goal each.

Let’s hope for more of the same this weekend. Here are three exciting players owned by 5% or less ahead of Gameweek 8.

Riyad Mahrez

Mahrez has been in exceptional form recently

Price: £8.6m 

Ownership: 4.9% 

GW8 Opponent: Wolves (H)

A player averaging 6.4 points per game is always hard to ignore in FPL, although Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) is much more of a hidden gem right now because he plays for Manchester City.

Had it not been for their ‘Pep Roulette’ rotation system, the former Leicester man probably would have been an essential asset weeks ago.

However, a unique opportunity has emerged which makes Mahrez a viable option, at least for now. 

With fitness concerns over Kevin de Bruyne this weekend and the risk of Bernardo Silva missing out (perhaps long-term), Mahrez seems likely to be involved from the start against Wolves.

Despite only starting four league games since August, he has registered two goals and five assists – one every 57 minutes. 

Mahrez has the same amount of FPL points as Sadio Mané despite offering a saving of £3.0m, which shows how appealing his points per million is.

The Algerian’s underlying statistics almost seem too good to be true and some may say that they are skewed. But form is all that matters to me. 

Over the last two Gameweeks, among all midfielders, Mahrez has the most number of touches in the opponents’ half (127) and the most number of touches in the final third (90). 

For good measure, he’s also had 9 attempts on goal during the same period – only John McGinn has had more. That in itself speaks volumes and boosts his credibility.

Man City are due to face a potentially fatigued Wolves team this weekend that lacks the squad depth to effectively manage their Europa League and Premier League commitments. If Mahrez starts, it would be hard to say he won’t be involved in the goals.

Andriy Yarmolenko

Yarmolenko has been in good form recently and earns a recall to the differentials picks

Price: £6.0m

Ownership: 4.0%

GW8 Opponent: Crystal Palace (H)

For this first time this season, I’ve decided to repurpose one of my picks from last week. 

Yarmolenko’s wnership has increased by 2.7% but is thankfully still below the 5% threshold and capable of propelling his owners up the rankings.

The West Ham midfielder has now registered three goals in his last four league games. For all midfielders priced at £6.5m or less he currently has the best points per game average (5.5). 

Also, during the last two Gameweeks, Yarmolenko has registered the joint-fifth most amount of touches in the final third among all midfielders (54). 

This Michu-esque form shows that he’s getting in the right advanced areas and is being rewarded for his efforts.

It is clear that Yarmolenko’s minutes were being managed in August and early September, to ease him back in after his long injury lay off but he’s now beginning to play the entirety of games. 

For this campaign, he is currently averaging a goal for every 125 minutes played, which is very respectable for a budget midfielder. 

Provided he stays fit and can maintain good performance levels he could end up with at least a dozen goals by the end of the season. 

West Ham’s next opponents are Crystal Palace. The Hammers have scored 10 goals in their last five matches against the Eagles and I expect more from them with Yarmolenko at the helm.

Oli McBurnie 

McBurnie will probably enjoy playing against Watford’s poor defence

Price: £5.9m

Ownership: 0.1% 

GW8 Opponent: Watford (A)

If you’re short on cash up top and are willing to take a substantial risk on an uber-differential then look no further than Oliver McBurnie (£5.9m). 

The Sheffield United forward has started four consecutive Premier League games for his team and, since Gameweek 6, among players priced at £6.0m or less, he has the joint-third highest number of shots on goal.

That period has pitted the Blades against Everton and Liverpool, so there’s every reason to believe he can continue to provide threat against Watford.

 Of course, it’s a concern that he’s only scored one Premier League goal during his entire career, which includes an additional 16 appearances for Swansea City. 

But last season he demonstrated his ability to find the net regularly and seems to be gradually adapting to life as a top-flight centre-forward.

In the Premier League, he clearly won’t match his goal tally from last season but I expect him to gradually improve by each Gameweek. 

Vicarage Road on Saturday could serve as an ideal opportunity for him. The Hornets have been completely woeful recently, even after their managerial change. 

McBurnie and Sheffield United could cause them more trouble after having impressed against some of the league’s more established teams since Gameweek 1.

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Lessons Learned from Gameweek 7

911 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Can I save the FT?
    Is starting Kelly over Tomori an option given Sou home scoring record and Che dismal CS record?

    Heaton

    Otamendi Tomori Lundstram

    Sterling KDB Mane Son

    Pukki Haller Abraham

    McGovern Cantwell Kelly Soyuncu

    1. Arse Craic
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      KDB is out. Cantwell a doubt

    2. Moose™
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      KdB and Cantwell is doubtful right?

      1. kennethrhcp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        plenty of decent cover in there

    3. Holmes (specialist in failu…
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I would roll Tomori. Both will probably concede, atleast Tomori is getting some attacking returns

    4. kennethrhcp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I'm starting Tomori over Kelly if that's any help. have Diop 1st sub & then Kelly

      looks gtg. save ft

  2. Goonerforever.
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    If you had a choice right now
    A. Otamendi
    B. Digne

    Price difference not to be considered

    1. The_Fish
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 11 days ago

      A

      1. Goonerforever.
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Thanks

  3. The Overthinker - I blame R…
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Aubabababababab

    1. Ljungberg
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Captain?

  4. Stormbringer22
      2 months, 11 days ago

      KDB --> Dilva.

      I am doing it! (talk me out of it... please

      1. The_Fish
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I can't, I like it.

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        your team your choice 🙂

      3. Yank Revolution
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Mahrez may score more?

    • fakelund
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      GTG?

      Pope,
      TAA, Lundstram, Zinchenko
      Cantwell, Mane, Mount, Sterling
      Abraham, Auba (c), Pukki

      Heaton, McGinn, Tomori, Kelly

      1. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I'm playing McGinn over Cantwell. Could go either way.
        Good team!

    • QueefParkRangers
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      KDB out.

      In?

      Sterling + Tomori

      or

      Auba + play a 4.5 def

      1. Rainer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Million dollar question!

    • MJM
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Ignoring money, do we think Felipe Anderson or Yarmolenko is the better pick?

      1. Internal Error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Both are good. Yarm probably more of a goal threat and Felipe has better assist potential IMO

    • Rainer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Mahrez is owned by 5.8% 😮

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        4.9%. Have you read the article?

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Munday.

        2. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          unsure if you're kinda making a joke or not

          the article may have an error

        3. gaurava1216
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Have you not bothered to check live ownership? @Cruel

      2. kennethrhcp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        after this article... will he surpass 10% by deadline?

      3. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        lol@cheating scouts

    • Bring the Cavalry
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Hanley > 5.1 max

      Any suggestions?
      Madness I know but I’m thinking sokratis wth those fixtures

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        madness yep

    • wolves_simmo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      What to do? 1FT 0.0itb

      - If cantwell out ill only have 10.

      Pope
      Otamendi - TAA - Tomori
      Zaha - Salah - Sterling - Cantwell* - Son
      Abraham - Pukki

      Subs: Aurier* - Maitland-Niles - Greenwood

      1. farmerfat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        You could take a punt on Cantwell - Saka or easy transfer Aurier to any other defender.

    • dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      With 1 free transfer, WC in tact and .2 in bank would you make any transfer or is team ok to go and carry ? Or WC?

      Pope
      TAA Otamendi Diop Van Dijk
      Salah Sterling (c) Mount Cantwell *
      Pukki Abraham

      McGovern Rico Greenwood KDB*

      1. Sever4ever
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Same situation. Will save FT and WC

    • The_Bucc
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Pope
      TAA - Ota - Soy(!) - Lundstram
      Sterling - KDB(!) - Mane - Mount
      Tammy - Pukki

      (Greenwood, Montoya, Dendoncker)

      1 FT, 3m in the bank.

      KdB + Greenwood
      to
      Auba + Yarmolenko (-4)?

    • Bobby Digital
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      What to do here?

      Ederson
      VVD TAA Lund
      Sterling(c) Salah McGinn KDB* Cantwell*
      Pukki Abraham

      Button Kelly Greenwood Aurier*

      1.2m ITB 1 FT

    • Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Nice differentials

      1. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Thanks, You too xx

    • Erez Avni
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      choose one only for gw 8

      a. mahrez
      b. son
      c. dilva

      1. Stormbringer22
          2 months, 11 days ago

          C

      2. S.Kuqi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Adrian -> Pope or Roberto?

        1. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I'm bringing in Roberto

          1. The Road to Turfdom
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            As a sole keeper or to rotate if I might ask?

            1. S.Kuqi
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              For only playing gk. Don't mind rotating gks

            2. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Sole keeper. Decent fixtures in the short term at least.

          2. Nigel Knows
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Frees up cash I guess but I read he’s a bit dodgy... is that others being harsh?

      3. Tonyawesome69
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Any suggestions?

        Risk greenwood to start?
        Risk dedoncker to cantwell?

        pope
        VVD TAA lundstram digne
        mane sterling(c) kdb* mount
        pukki abraham

        heaton greenwood rico dedoncker

        1ft and 1 itb

        1. Nigel Knows
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Dendoncker to Saka

      4. Nutella
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Have 2 FT and 0.2 ITB, would you make any changes to this or just let the transfer go to waste?

        Pope
        TAA | Lundstram | Ota
        Cantwell | Sterling (C) | Salah | Mount
        Barnes | Tammy | Pukki

        4.0 | Kelly | Soy | KDB

        1. kysersosa
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Would you lose much of you took Cantwell or KDB out now?

          1. Nutella
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Bought KDB for 9.7 and Cantwell for 4.7 so losses would not be huge. If KDB is out for GW9 is going to drop to 9.8 he will get the bullet though.

        2. Boris Bodega: Holly's …
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          If you're happy with it, keep as is. Looks very good to me.

        3. kysersosa
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Transferred I mean

        4. Nigel Knows
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I’m having Nutella in toast for supper

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Ew

      5. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Right subs/set up?

        Pope
        Ota, Diop, Tomori
        Sterling, Son, Cantwell(I know a doubt), Mount
        Pukki, Abraham,(A)ubameyang

        Button, Lundstram, Soy, kdb

        1. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Lundstram over Diop...

          1. Nutella
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Seconded

      6. Pep Roulette
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        So Alisson might play this weekend?

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Yeah.

      7. BelgiumFTW
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        2 Free transfers available

        I got KDB , Cantwell, Ceballos who are uncertain. Also i have Aguero.. Since he started in CL , i see him getting benched.

        Should i sell aguero + kdb?

        Or keep kdb benched for 2 weeks and get in Auba for augero and upgrade ceballos to yarmolenko or something?

        Gimme your opinions!! Tnx xx

        1. SHOOTER MCGINN
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I'm in the same boat and haven't decided what to do yet. Agüero to Auba looking most likely right now, but I'll be so annoyed if he starts and hauls. Then again Auba is a 100% starter and is likely to do something.

      8. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Lundstram over Diop

        1. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Reply fail.

          1. Christina.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            +1

      9. Christina.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Yarmolenko has better goal threat stats in last 4 weeks than Mahrez.

        😯

        1. Wild Rover
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          You'll never win it if you keep giving help to the minions 😉

          1. Ask Yourself
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            He’s feeding them poison

      10. TeddiPonza
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Which option? Bought KdB for 9,9m

        A. Hold KdB and play Rico and Greenwood
        B. KdB to Mahrez and play Rico or Greenwood
        C. KdB to Son and play Rico or Greenwood
        D. KdB and Greenwood to Yarmolenko and Tammy and bench Rico

        Thanks.

      11. I Member
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        "Mahrez seems likely to be involved from the start against Wolves."

        What is this based on?

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          The need to put him in the differential article.

          1. I Member
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Based on recent minutes surely Bilva and Sterling are firm favourites to start on the flanks. Unless Bilva drops into the midfield three I don't see Mahrez starting.

        2. Wild Rover
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          He's not owned by less than 5% either

      12. Manani
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        play Greenwood or for a (-4) get Yarmelenko

      13. davies
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Any suggestions lads?*

        1FT / 0.9 ITB

        Heaton
        TAA Otamendi Lundstram
        Sterling Mane Son Dendoncker
        Abraham Pukki Greenwood

        Button Rico Soyuncu KDB*

        *I’m wildcarding next week...

        Cheers.

        1. gaurava1216
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          If WC then make a change
          Donkey to Saka 1 week punt
          KDB if bought at 9.8 or 9.9 to Mahrez

      14. Jellyfish
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I know its been asked 1000 times but...

        Soyuncu or Tomori?

        1. The Road to Turfdom
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          S or both

        2. kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Tom

        3. gaurava1216
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          both

        4. Nigel Knows
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Tomori

      15. Warby84
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Surely spurs rest come in Defence and midfield after mid week, surely poch won’t rest Son...

        1. Nigel Knows
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Slaughtered if he rests his best players and loses

        2. SHOOTER MCGINN
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I'd be very surprised. Son and Kane are the only players consistently scoring at the moment and Son only played 63 mins against Southampton.

      16. King Kohli
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Not a bad week to punt on TAA(c)!

        1. gaurava1216
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          terrible week to do it

        2. Nigel Knows
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 11 days ago

          When did leicester last concede 2 goals in a match?

          Has Rodgers Leicester ever conceded more than 2?

          1. markmcr
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Crystal Palace 2014 🙂