Members

Which FPL assets have the best goal conversion rates?

As Fantasy writers and managers, many of us place a lot of emphasis on underlying statistics in our research and articles.

Be it penalty box touches, attempts on goal or key passes, the key performance indicators (KPIs) in both attack and defence can help form our judgements on certain players and teams.

Of course, there is a subculture of Fantasy Premier League bosses who think the whole thing is a load of mind-cluttering claptrap and prefer to rely on the so-called ‘eye test’, gut instinct or basic figures such as goals scored and clean sheets.

There is a statistic that unites the two approaches: goal conversion rate.

This is a KPI that deals in cold, hard fact and tells us how clinical players are with the chances they are afforded.

Being presented with a host of goalscoring opportunities is one thing but if Fantasy assets are not ruthless enough when seeing the whites of a goalkeeper’s eyes, then all the underlying stats in the world mean nothing.

One only has to look at poor Che Adams’ (£5.6m) KPIs – the Southampton striker had five big chances in the first six Gameweeks, an eye-catching statistic had it not been for the fact that he failed to convert any of them or indeed a single one of his 12 attempts on goal overall.

Is goal conversion rate something we should pay more attention to, then?

It is certainly relevant: eight of the current top ten in the Premier League sit in the top half of the table for goal conversion, underscoring the very obvious point that better quality players convert a higher proportion of their chances, no matter how many or few.

The rest of this article will look at the goal conversion rate of various key FPL assets, to see if their current output is sustainable or likely to regress/improve based on past figures.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 9


Members can view goal conversion rates on the Goal Threat tabs under Players Stats.

463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez and Son to go.

    Although I’m thinking about keeping Son now this week after last night.

    Mahrez to KDB and keep Son for a week?

    1. Sailboats
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I would sell both, if its for free. Otherwise just Mahrez > KDB like you said

  2. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    First sub

    A mcginn ( I have ota)
    B lowton ( I have Abraham)

    Thanks

  3. Wally banter
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    A question in advance, its oriented on my upcoming transfer plan the reason why this post.

    Come GW13, which is the best triple up on liverpool

    1) Taa, mane (both already owned), Salah
    2) Taa, mane (both already owned), Robbo
    3) Taa, mane (both already owned), Firmi/Matip
    4) Taa, mane (both already owned), Sterling (no triple pool and double mci attack with kdb comes here)

    1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Far too far away

      1. Wally banter
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Not for my plans 😀

        1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          If you are planning a GW13 transfer now, you are very likely to end up changing plans. Pick the option now that keeps most options open, rather than railroading yourself.

    2. Cruz88
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I have had Trent, Mane and Rob for the last few weeks in preparation. Salah would be good, but I wanted Sterling.

      1. Wally banter
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Good to know someone have triple pool already... nice

        1. Cruz88
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I had Trent and Mane since the start but bought in Robertson three weeks ago for Digne as I didn't trust myself to reserve the funds for him otherwise!

    3. Pukki Party
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      1

      1. Wally banter
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Hmm, thank You 🙂

    4. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I feel that having Mane and Salah ties up too much of your budget in midfield from one team... I like the Sterling/KDB double, as it saves 2 million.

      So for the triple up on Liverpool, I would definitely do Robbo, TAA and one of Salah/Mane. Robbo and TAA are both still showing excellent attacking potential and are by far the best premium defensive options.

  4. Fernando Torres
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Maddison to Dilva for FT?

    I have Vardy, KDB, Sterling.

    1. Sailboats
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe

    4. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I don't know

    5. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Yes and (c) Silva

  5. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Comment after comment of people trying to guess or figure out what Pep is going to do. Do people ever learn?

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Ederson
      Walker Fern Ota Mendy
      Gundo KDB
      Bilva Silva Sterling
      Kun

      60' Kun > Jesus
      65' Sterling > Mahrez
      75' Mendy > Angelino

      Man City 4 - 0 Villa

      G:Kun, Sterling, KDB, Jesus
      A:KDB, Dilva, Bilva, Mendy

      This is my guess

      It will be wrong

      1. FPL.team
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        So Otamendy does start...

      2. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Nah, dodgy decision by FPL Towers will take away the Mendy assist.

    2. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Truth.

  6. Danstoke82
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Anything need doing with this lot? 1FT still to use

    Pope (Stekelenberg)
    TAA Otamendi Soyuncu Lundstram (Kelly)
    Salah KDB (VC) Mount (Cantwell) (Saka)
    Aguero (C) Tammy Vardy

    £0.2ITB

    Thanks in advance

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I'd play cantwell ahead not soy

  7. MikeStrutter
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Which one would you play?

    A) Dunk (EVE)
    B) Lund (whu)
    C) Soy (sou)

    Cheers.

    1. Wally banter
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Dunk

    2. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      C, but would expect 3 x blanks

    3. Party time
        2 years, 1 month ago

        B

    4. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Admittedly it looks like Sterling has his mojo back but I went Kun on wildcard. Best course?
      A. Stick long term.
      B. Stick for next two and switch to sterling when 2ft are banked.
      C. Take advantage of fixtures and switch Kun to Salah before Sterling later.
      (also have mane/Kdb)

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        C. Play the fixtures. Next two with Aguero then switch to Salah.

    5. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Keep yarmolenko for next 2 right ? Tempted to switch for husson odoi but fixtures say keep despite a possible price drop for the Ukrainian.

      1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah - still in shock at his last benching. Terrible decision by the manager.

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks . Think he was rested after international

          1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Yet he came on early as a sub. Was either stupidity or arrogance from Pellegrini

      2. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Has to be a hold. Might switch next week even with NEW for CHO.

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks

    6. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Who to captain?

      Vardy, Salah, KDB?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Down to 2 Salah or kdb

    7. the vanisher
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Otamendi owner.
      keep or sell?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Keeping

      2. Wally banter
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        definite keep atleast for next two

      3. LordRougeGrog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Sell. You’ll free up bandwidth for other issues if you’re not fretting over Otamendi

      4. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Keep

    8. KingOllie
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Which one would you play??

      A) Coleman (bha) - may have lost his place to Sibide
      B) Soyuncu (sou)
      C) Tomori (bur)

      1. MikeStrutter
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        C

    9. ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Has their been any man city midfielder or forward that has played 90 min on the weekend then 90 min midweek and has then started on the next weekend game?

      I dont think so which is why I think it makes sense to captain KDB instead of Sterling

      1. antis0cial
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Pep did say this about Sterling after game last night though "His physicality is incredible. He is strong - the day after the game, he could play another game - his regeneration is incredible"

        1. LordRougeGrog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Classic trolling from Pep this

        2. ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Unfortunately this means absolutely nothing

    10. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Hello guys. Would you save a FT here?

      Pope
      TAA, Digne, Söyüncü
      Mane, Sterling, McGinn, Yarmolenko
      Wilson, Aubameyang, Abraham

      subs: Button --- Lundstram, Rico, Dendoncker --- 1 FT, 0 ITB

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Big yes . Who's your captain ?

        1. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers. One of the big guns, we'll see

      2. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Yeh easy save

      3. Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Yes, or ship Digne. But that can wait.

    11. ZeBestee
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Have both Mahrez and Kun.

      Ditch at least 1? That is Mahrez.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Keep both for next 2 games

    12. MikeStrutter
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Would you captain Sterling or KdB?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Playing safe kdb

    13. ShaunGoater123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Have a dilemma and would appreciate any advice.

      Was planning on taking out son and pukki for martial and Vardy however with how son played and given he’s very streaky I’m now second guessing it.

      Do you prefer dendonker & pukki > tielemans & Connolly? Would go 5 in midfield and feel I need some Leicester.

      Both would be for a -4

      1. LordRougeGrog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Do nothing. These are not urgent transfers, and taking a hit isn’t necessary. 2FTs next week will be very useful.

        The urge to make changes is strong, when you resist it consider it a positive decision you have made.

        1. ShaunGoater123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Sound advice. Will lose more value on pukki though which is a shame.

          Worth just moving him on for someone?

          1. LordRougeGrog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            0.1M here or there isnt serious. 2 FTs will give you options and a new GW will offer new opportunities/challenges. Good luck

    14. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      A) Jorginho > Martial
      B) Dilva + Pukki > KDB + King
      C) Pukki + Jorginho > Tammy + James

      2FT 2.5m

      Pope Button
      TAA Robertson Tomori Soyuncu Lundstram
      Sterling Dilva Mount Jorginho Cantwell
      Vardy Aubameyang Pukki

    15. mik-hail-tal
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone sees something I don't? 1FT & 1.1ITB
      Ryan
      Digne - Lundo - Walker
      KDB - Mount - Mané - Maddison - Cantwell
      Agüero - Firmino
      (Button-Soy-Lowton-Wickham)

      A: bank transfer
      B: Wickham to Connolly
      C: Agüero + Wickham to 2 out of Vardy/Rashford/Abraham/Wilson/Jimenez for a hit.

    16. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Can I get away with saving with the below? .5 itb. Cpt either Sterling or KDB.

      Pope
      TAA Soy Rico
      KDB Sterling Mane Mount
      Vardy Tammy Haller

      Cantwell Tomori

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Definitely mate. Decent team

    17. Don Kloppeone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Morning all. Another middling to poor GW, getting a bit fed up of not being able to climb ranks!

      Anything you would change here?

      1FT 0.3itb
      Pope
      TAA, Boly, Lunds
      Mané, KDB, Maddison, Mount
      Aguero (C), Wilson, Abraham
      (McGovern) (Rico, Willems, Dendo)

      Cheers

      1. Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        This looks very strong going forward, keep FT.

        1. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers mate. Bench/ order make sense. Defence is a bit of a headache as I’d play 4 of them easily

        2. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          That was meant to be a question re bench/ order!

      2. LordRougeGrog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Personally I find owning Calum Wilson very frustrating, so I d change him to Pukki or even Chris Wood. That extra money will give you some options in weeks to come.

        1. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I get the cash itb argument but surely bringing Pukki in now isn’t the most sensible?!

          1. LordRougeGrog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Nobody has a crystal ball, but Pukki is a guaranteed starter in a team that looks like it will score goals and where the recent injury crisis is abating. Plenty of options to move from a 7M player if he disappoints, or look at Wood/Ings/Maupay who will yield less returns but free even more cash. Good luck choosing.

            1. Don Kloppeone
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              Thanks for the reply. It’s a fair argument.

              Tbh I’m tempted by a risky move of:
              Wilson, Maddison > Jiménez, Dilva (-4) just to try and shake things up as I’m not managing to make rank gains at all atm!

    18. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      1 FT to use, beste move here guys:

      A) McGinn -> Dilva
      B) Pukki -> Vardy
      C) Pukki -> Wilson

      Leaning towards A, feeling Pukki will score against ManU

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        A is good for higher risk, higher reward

        1. Pompel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Txs, surely need some differential to climb ranks atm

          1. Don Kloppeone
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Tell me about it! My worst season start for years and can’t climb out!

    19. Taegugk Warrior
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy or Auba (already have maddy & soy)

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Auba

      2. LordRougeGrog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Vardy. With the extra cash you can upgrade Madison or Söy

    20. BobbyV
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      A. Son to Dilva or
      B. Son to KdB

      1. BobbyV
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        I also have Sterling

    21. Mr. Mystic
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Good to go?
      Pope
      Trent Ota Soy
      Sterling (c) Mane Kdb Mount
      Vardy (vc) Abraham King
      (mcgovern, Lundstram, Cantwell, Kelly)

    22. KingOllie
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Haller -> Jimenez
      or
      Save FT?

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Savw

    23. Lestat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I need help!!
      Current team:
      Ryan
      TAA, Otamendi,Lundstrum
      Salah, Sterling, Cantwell, Mount
      Aguero, Pukki, Abraham

      Subs: Button, Lowton, Hanley, Hayden
      Bank 0.0
      2 Free transfers

      27 points last week, overall 470 points.
      What changes should i make:

      A: Otamendi to Rico and Pukki to Wilson
      B: Salah to KDB and Aguero to Aubameyang
      C: Hayden to KDB and Aguero to 6.4m striker possibly King (6.3)
      D: Salah to KDB, Aguero to Aubameyang and Hayden to Martial (4 pt hit) for a punt

    24. Feed tha Sheep
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Which one on a WC?
      A. Soy
      B. Tomori

    25. VIVA_RONALDO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Who to C:
      a) KDB
      b) Kun

      1. HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Eye spy with my little eye, someone beginning with K(db)

    26. Starlydon
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      (A) martial
      (B) Madison
      Seems simple but causing me a real headache!!!????

      1. Lestat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        martial

      2. Basil1977
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Any help i've brought in Martial this week.