Spot the Differential

Wood’s aerial presence could cause problems for Arsenal in Gameweek 25

Gameweek 24 saw double-digit returns for 17 players, 10 of whom have ownership of 5% or less – encouraging our search for effective differentials.

Options such as Jack Stephens (£4.4m), Nathan Redmond (£6.2m) and Aaron Mooy (£4.8m) all delivered for those willing to think outside of the box, while two of last week’s selections, Joe Gomez (£5.3m) and Sébastien Haller (£7.0m), returned eight and seven points respectively.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks who we like for Gameweek 25 and beyond.

Chris Wood

Ownership: 1.5%

Price: £6.2m

GW25-29 fixtures: ARS | sou | BOU | new | TOT

Chris Wood’s (£6.2m) goal in the recent win over Manchester United took him to 10 for the campaign, which means he is now one of only 12 players to have scored 30 or more Premier League goals since the start of the 2017/18 season.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining the Clarets from Leeds United in August 2017, with his latest goals helping to deliver back-to-back wins for Burnley, who now sit 13th in the table, just four points behind fifth.

His tally could be even higher this season, with his 24 big chances only bettered by Jamie Vardy (£9.9m). That points to a player who more often than not, is getting into good positions in front of goal.

With Arsenal, level with Burnley on 30 points, due at Turf Moor on Sunday, Wood’s aerial ability could be key.

His five goals from set plays are more than any other player this season, whilst only Newcastle United have conceded more attempts from dead ball situations than the Gunners.

Sean Dyche’s team appear to have moved up a gear when it comes to attacking in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given Wood has scored in his last two games, more could be on the way.

Harvey Barnes

Ownership: 0.9%

Price: £5.9m

GW25-29 fixtures: CHE | wol | MCI | nor | AVL

In recent weeks, Harvey Barnes (£5.9m) has established himself as one of Leicester City’s main offensive threats.

The 22-year-old winger has scored three goals in five appearances during January, netting against Burnley and West Ham United in the league, with his performance in the 4-1 win over the Hammers arguably the best of the season to date.

Barnes’ ability to create has caught the eye, too.

He has assisted seven goals for the Foxes so far this season, which is two more than James Maddison (£7.6m).

Whilst rotation is a slight concern, he’s now started 16 of the last 21 league matches, and seems to be finding his feet at the top level.

Leicester currently sit third in the Premier League table and look well-placed to finish in one of the Champions League spots. They have an opportunity to move 11 points clear of their opponents Chelsea, who sit fourth, this weekend, while it’s also worth noting Frank Lampard’s men have struggled to keep clean sheets away from Stamford Bridge this season, with just one in 12.

Under the tutelage of Brendan Rodgers, there aren’t many hotter prospects than Barnes right now in the English game.

Martin Dubravka

Ownership: 1.6%

Price: £5.0m

GW25-29 fixtures: NOR | ars | cry | BUR | sou

Since arriving on Tyneside in January 2018, Slovakia international Martin Dubravka (£5.0m) has firmly established himself as Newcastle United’s number one.

In a season where the Magpies have often struggled in front of goal, Dubravka has produced a number of key saves.

In fact, his total of 97 is the best of any goalkeeper in the league, six more than second-placed Bernd Leno (£5.0m), which combined with six clean sheets, has seen him rise to fourth in the overall goalkeeper standings, on 92 points.

Newcastle boast one of the best home defences in the league this season, conceding just 12 goals in 12 games – only Liverpool (9) and Sheffield United (11) have conceded fewer.

They have also improved their form in recent weeks, having drawn at Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton and won 1-0 at home against Chelsea.

Surprisingly, only 1.6% of FPL managers own Dubravka ahead of his home match against Norwich City.

A clean sheet is a real possibility with the Canaries only scoring six Premier League goals on the road all season. They’ve also created the fewest amount of Big Chances (seven) over the last six Gameweeks.

With a kind fixture run, Dubravka could be a major influence in the second half of 2019/20.

Which FPL assets topped goal threat, creativity and clean sheets this month?
1,630 Comments Post a Comment
  1. HNI
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    I just had Wood looking at Arse

  2. Yank Revolution
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Hmmmm...Man U on the last minute trail of Josh King...

    1. HNI
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Callum Wilson is more like it. Isnt Josh king injured? Ole said they will look at Bruno for goals as his shooting is top notch

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        King, not Wilson, is the word from Sky Sports...but, seems a longshot (even they admitted as much)

      2. The Ejiptian King
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Bournemouth confirmed that we bid for King last night and it was rejected.

    2. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Not gng to happen ornstein tweeted..

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Probably not...Im intrigued tho!

  3. sufcben
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Hendo
    Williams - Lund - TAA
    Mane - Martial - Maddison - KDB
    Vardy - Abraham - Firmino

    Button - Rico - Kelly - Dendonker
    2 FT's 0 itb
    A. Mane + Abraham - Grealish + Aguero
    B. Mane + Maddison - Salah + Grealish
    C. other ?

  4. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Hayden the best max 4.3 midfielder, right?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      yes

  5. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Mane DCL to Grealish Auba?

    Henderson
    TAA/Lund/Targett
    Salah/Mane/KDB/Mahrez
    Vardy/Ings/DCL

    Button/Rico/Soy/Dendo

    1. Here's Tom with the We…
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I like those moves

    2. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      And then how to deal with gw28?

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        What and try not to get points in before gw28?

        1. Emm7980
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          But he would have 6 to deal with. A little too many for me 3 weeks out. Unless your planning a FH ofc. Then this is all irrelevant.

          1. Bavarian
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            Exactly

          2. Here's Tom with the We…
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            Why would he have 6 to deal with? Only needs to field 11. And 3 transfers between now and then.

            1. Emm7980
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 3 months ago

              Fair point, if the bench is half decent you could manage with the 3 transfers between now and then. Still a few too many imo, and that bench isnt great.

    3. Emm7980
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      2 gw28 blankers on top of the 4 you already have. But otherwise I would.

  6. jorgenoj
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    What to do here?

    Ryan - Button
    TAA - Soy - Lund - Rico - Holgate
    Salah - KdB - Martial - Grealish - Dendoncker
    Vardy - Ings - Greenwood

    6.3 ITB.

    Greenwood to Auba or Jimenez?

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Greenwood to Auba this week & then Vardy to Jimenez next week may be..... thats i think is better move

  7. FPL ElasticO
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Which transfers worth doing for free??

    A. Doucoure & Soy >>> Grealish & Lascelles
    B. Doucoure & Soy >>> Traore & Ritchie
    C. Doucoure & Soy >>> Traore & Stevens also got Lundstram & Hendo

    1. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Like the Ritchie punt

  8. Bavarian
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Who to play?
    Cantwell or Ings?

    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Cantwell

  9. FC Hakkebøf
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    What to do here guys?

    Gazza*
    TAA Holgate Lund
    Salah (C) Mane* KDB Martial
    Vardy Abraham* DCL
    ____
    Button; Hayden Aurier Reid

    0.2 ITB 1 FT

    A) WC
    B) Take a hit (what would you do?)

    1. Emm7980
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Grealish and auba for mane and tammy seem the moves this week, but keep, an eye in the blanks incoming.
      Maybe Traorefor mane, and firminio/auba for tammy.

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Need to get rid of gazza as well...

        1. Emm7980
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          I still don't think It needs a WC ,personally I'm more than likely going to be playing Aurier. No CS I know it's doubtful but maybe something going forward.
          So maybe play him or hayden and take a - 4 to sort your keeper and mane/tammy.
          Not gone on hits for a keeper mind.

  10. Henning
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Added a option to my last post.

    1 FT and 1.1 m in the bank

    1. DCL and Mane out for Agüero and Grealish

    2. Soyuncu out for Lascells/Fernandez

    3. Mane and Soyuncu out for Grealish and VvD/ Robertson

    4.Keep ft

    Ryan Button

    TAA Soyuncu Sidibe Stephens Lundstram

    Salah Mane KDB Traore Perez

    Vardy Ings DCL

  11. yer old da
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Is this G2G and just roll the transfer, or Kelly > Lascelles? Feels like I can roll it with Lundstram likely coming on for Mane...

    McCarthy
    TAA(vc), Soyuncu, Rico
    Salah(c), Mane*, KDB, Grealish
    Vardy, Ings, DCL

    Subs: Martin, Lundstram*, Kelly, Dendoncker

  12. Pep bites Kun
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    I was surprised not to see Pogba as part of the possible January transfers.

    Bale to Spurs I'm presuming is just a rumour, but how would Spurs fans feel about such a move?

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I would love it to happen. Highly highly doubt it though.

      Problem is we have around 4/5 wingers already

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        I noted no transfers in, even though Eriksen has gone - surprising?

  13. Coys96
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Worth going Son over KDB on WC for next few?

    Want a Spurs asset and City blank in 28. Would leave me with no City attack but money to get Aguero in for Auba / KDB for Son if I wanted.
    Has the ability to explode in any game

    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I would want KDB for West ham

    2. Whazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Honestly why not. I'm bored with Kdb and 0 shots in the box/on target in the last 4

  14. Lav
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Whats the difference between Ownership and Effective Ownership?

    Mane 75.5% ownership, 135% effective ownership in the TOp 10k.

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      EO effected by (c) I think

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      EO is + the captains.

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      So, anything over 100% EO means their points won't help you if you're merely an owner (unless you have captained them).

      1. The Legend Squad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Exactly. If you own Mane and don’t captain him and he is 135% EO... if he scores 10 points that will be 35%*10 = 3.5 points that the average team get that you don’t

  15. The Ejiptian King
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    How does this look for a WC? I'm aware that there's no KdB, gotta take some risks.

    McCarthy
    TAA VVD Egan Lascelles Williams
    Salah Son Grealish Barnes Hayden
    Aguero Auba Ings

    Aguero or Auba becomes Vardy in 28.

    1. Here's Tom with the We…
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Have you got the BB chip left?

  16. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Cantwell likely to start?start cantwell or greenwood?

    1. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I’d go with cantwaell

  17. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Schmeical to Henderson or Dubravka?

  18. doppelganger
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Start 3 of 5 :

    1.Soyuncu vs che
    2.Rico vs avl
    3.Ings vs pool
    4.Sidibe vs wat
    5.Lund vs cry

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      3, 5, 2 or 4

    2. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      5-2-4

  19. FPL Blow-In
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    How’s this look?

    Henderson
    TAA, Digne, Lundstram, Lascelles
    Salah, Kdb, Manè, Grealish
    Vardy, Greenwood

    Button, Ings, Cantwell, Rico 0ft 1.1itb

    1. LFC4EVER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Mané seems to be out, so I’d put Cantwell as first sub. Greenwood will likely get you a point, as a sub as well. Might as well gamble on Rico or Ings to have better returns, imo.

  20. LFC4EVER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Play one:
    Adama (away at Man U)
    Ayew (home against Sheffield)

    Thanks!

  21. kiddyfit
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    hi guys, i am new to this. can you please help me with any advice?
    Pope
    Alex-Arn, Stevens, Soyuncu
    Salah, De Bruyne, Grealish, Perez
    Vardy, Pukki, Jimenez
    or
    Pope
    Alex-Arn, Stevens, Evans
    Salah, De Bruyne, Grealish, Traore
    Firmino, Ings, Jimenez

    and maybe even the 3rd choice:
    Pope
    Alex-Arn, Van Dijk, Stevens
    Salah, De Bruyne, Traore, Cantwell
    Aubameyang, Jimenez (or Abraham), Pukki (or Ings)

    sorry for a lot of info, thanx

  22. Riggs
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Cantwell or Ings? And who to be the third def besides Robbo and TAA, Lund or Kelly or Soy?