Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

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915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Le Bluff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 16 days ago

    https://twitter.com/cityreport_/status/1275237696651354114?s=19

    https://twitter.com/City_Xtra/status/1275349926948605952?s=19

    Multiple sources starting to report that Aguero is to undergo surgery on his knee injury in Barcelona this week. Surely out for the rest of the PL season.

    Which City assets does that make more attractive? Jesus the obvious one but hardly looked great these last 2 games.

    1. Klaren
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Sterling is also likely to get more minutes playing striker so I guess it could make him a more attractive option.

    2. Karan14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      This could benefit a lot of their assets.

      Jesus could play more or Sterling could play as striker which could mean Foden and Mahrez get more mins on the wings.

      1. Le Bluff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Agreed.

        On a WC atm. May just stick with KDB as my only City asset for now. Rashford and Son are potential cash cows to move to Jesus/Sterling/Foden/Mahrez etc in a few weeks time.

  2. Energetics
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 16 days ago

    Leno and Grealish to Martinez and Son for -8?

    Big hit bit Leno is injured and Son fixtures looks much better than Grealish moving forward.

    1. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Is leno your only keeper?

      1. Energetics
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        No I have McCarthy also

    2. seanmcging
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Also looking at Leno to Martinez, but Aguero to Vardy for my -8. Do you have Bruno?

      1. Energetics
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Yeah I have Bruno!

    3. El Presidente
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Martinez? Not for me.

    4. LIARS POKER
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Last decision on wildcard, appreciate advice:

      A) DDG + Lascelles/Holgate rotation
      B) Martinez + Maguire

      1. Energetics
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        A

      2. Patron
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 16 days ago

        I’d say A

    5. Bishopool
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Looking for differentials and most trustworthy players to catch leaders....

      FH team.

      Pope
      TAA Ritchie Chillwell Doherty (Simpson)
      Salah(C) Bergwijn Fernandes (Hayden, Guend)
      Vardy Ings Jimenez

      Differential options:

      a) Richarlison?
      b) Kane?
      c) Good to go as presented?

      1. Trophé Mourinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Rich vs Nor

    6. Patron
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 16 days ago

      What do you think about Alli instead of Son? Is it too risky? Didn’t see much of Son in that last game.

    7. ALegendJ
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      Who's your captain?

      1. ChelseaBlues223
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Bruno

      2. Patron
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 16 days ago

        I’ll go Salah or Mane, whoever I pick on WC. I have a ‘rule’ to pick only premium players as captains this year (10m or above).

        1. fish&chips
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          I bet Vardy punished you earlier in the season

          1. Patron
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Haha you bet! I didn’t even have him at the time when he was banging. Then I got him and he went over 10m haha so was captain material for me.

    8. Gudjohnsen
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 16 days ago

      FH team:

      Martial or Rcharlison?

      1. lilmessipran
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Richa

      2. Patron
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 16 days ago

        You have Bruno I assume, what about DCL?

        1. Gudjohnsen
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          Have DCL and Fernandes

          1. Patron
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Anyways I would pick Richa, and if you even have Rash, then its Richa for sure.

    9. UTG
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Who to start?
        Aurier - West Ham H
        Soyuncu - Brighton H

        1. lilmessipran
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          Aurier

      • easy_conners
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Anyone think Ighalo is worth a shout with the upcoming uptick in fixtures for Utd?

        1. lilmessipran
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          Starts/game time are a concern

      • EmreCan Hustle
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Madness to captain Vardy? First game. Too risky?

        1. lilmessipran
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          Not at all good option

          1. EmreCan Hustle
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            How come? Its Brighton at home.

        2. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          I think there are better options.

          1. EmreCan Hustle
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Fernandes?

        3. Lord Flashheart
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          not a bad option, but i hate capping in the first game

          1. EmreCan Hustle
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Same

      • Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 16 days ago

        Choose 2 out of these 3:

        A) Martial
        B) Richarlison
        C) Son

        Selling Mane & Grealish have Salah too.

        1. UTG
            1 month, 16 days ago

            I prefer A+B

            1. Karan14
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Cheers!

          • Le Bluff
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A and C but I'm assuming you have DCL? Feel that DCL is the best value fwd in the game alongside Jiminez.

            1. Karan14
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Yeah I agree about that.
              DCL will be coming in for me.
              I'm not feeling the Son love yet not convinced by Spurs.

          • lilmessipran
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            BC

          • Krupinho
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Only like Son from those 3, other two very hit and miss. Greenwood could even take Martials place

            1. Karan14
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Hit & miss? LOL
              Check their total points and price.

        2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          Morning all...Team for GW31 is...

          Pope (Hendo)
          TAA Lascelles Taylor Saiss (Egan)
          Mane Salah KDB (Saka Dendoncker)
          Jimi(c) Vardy Ings
          0.6m ITB

          A Save FT ?
          B Vardy to Rashford
          C Egan to Justin James
          D Salah to Fernandes
          E Ings to DCL

          1. easy_conners
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A.

        3. MadFinCha
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 16 days ago

          1. DCL or Ings ???
          2. Best budget Gk to keep for rest of season?
          3. Which one for Newcastle defence cover: Dubrovka, Fernandez or Lascelles ?
          4. Which one to leave out of Fernandes, Son, Rashford or Jiminez????.

          1. UTG
              1 month, 16 days ago

              1 - DCL
              2 - Martinez
              3 - Lascelles
              4 - Son

            • lilmessipran
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              1 dcl
              2 pope/foster maybe Martinez
              3 lascelles
              4 rash/son

          2. Gudjohnsen
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Rashford or DCL this gw?

          3. Shark Team
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            500k up in ovr rank just in this gw. Finally my bad season is getting better

          4. easy_conners
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A. Save this week.

            1. easy_conners
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Reply fail to smudgers.

          5. Starlydon
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Would there be any love for a deeney punt for this week only?
            After that Burnley game last night, their small squad, a small gap between games and he is nailed!!

            Am I right also in saying he takes pens at Watford??

          6. ChelseaBlues223
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A Rich and DCL
            B Rich and Barnes

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              A

          7. Silecro
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Greenwood and Ighalo to hamper Martial playing time? By that I mean not on subs but maybe even ocassional bench

            1. Dybala10
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Why I'm going for Rashy.

          8. Krupinho
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 16 days ago

            WC Team, who to drop to get Saint-Max in starting 11, thoughts?

            Pope
            TAA Doherty Aurier Lascelles
            KDB Salah Fernandes
            Jimi (c) Rashford Ings

            Button Saint-Max Dend Holgate

          9. How I met your Mata
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A or B

            A Rashford and Son
            B Vardy and Pogba

          10. TeddiPonza
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Captain Salah or Bruno?

          11. Fernandito
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 16 days ago

            A. Son & Martinez
            B Alli & Schmeichel

          12. ASOUSA12
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Guys, any help appreciated..

            FH draft:

            XXX
            TAA Doherty XXX
            Mane Son Fernandes XXX
            Jimenez DCL XXX

            A) Pope + Maguire + Richarlison + Rashford (3-4-3)
            B) Schmeichel + Maguire + Van Dijk + Vardy (4-3-3)
            C) Patricio + Van Dijk + Martial + Ings (3-4-3)
            D) Pope + Robertson / Van Dijk + Barnes + Rashford (3-4-3)
            E) Pope + Robertson / Van Dijk + Traore + Vardy (3-4-3)

          13. Catastrophe
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            On FH:

            A) Rashford, DCL, Salah, Lascelles (Guendouzi) - no Vardy or Ings
            B) Vardy, DCL, Martial, VVD (Aurier) - no Ings
            C) Ings, DCL, Salah, AWB (Lascelles) - no Vardy or 2nd United attacker
            D) Rashford, Ings, Richarlison, VVD (AWB) - no Vardy

            Rest of Team:

            Pope
            TAA, Doherty, X
            Mane, Son, Fernandes, X
            Jimenez, X, X

            Cheers.

          14. Lord Flashheart
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            if i ignore salah/mane for until after the city game, i can get this team on WC:

            Pope, martinez
            TAA, Doherty, Azpi, aurier, lescelles
            KDB, son, fernandes, martial, traore
            Rashford, Jimenez, ings

            is it worth it?
            what should i change?

          15. Valar(Keith)
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Any Lloris punters here) loves save points and they have a dream run with a lot to play for

            1. Dybala10
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Going Aurier instead but I can see the appeal.

          16. Jam0sh
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Which combo you'd prefer

            A) Rashford & Sarr (in 3-4-3)
            B) Martial & Alli (in 3-5-2)
            C) Sarr & Son (in 3-5-2)

            1. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Hmm tough choice, all of them are good options. I would maybe choose C

          17. Sgt Frank Drebin
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            Thoughts on my WC team? Would like to have Bruno so much but just can't fit both him and Salah... Also have some troubles picking goalkeeper, somehow Pope doesn't convince anymore (can't afford both him and Salah anyways) so so far I settled on McCarthy. Southampton plays much better away from home and maybe now without fans it will make them improve at home...?

            McCarthy
            TAA - Doherty - Saiss
            Salah - KDB - Son - Martial
            Rashford - Jimenez - DCL

            3.9 - Holgate - Guendouzi - 4.0

            1. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Other thing that worries me is that it is so templaty...I will probably have get my captainces right most of the times to gain ranks?

            2. Rushford
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Have a similar team (post below). Debating whether 4-4-2 or 3-4-3 is better value. I like DCL but also think Vardy is a safe option given all the rotation that will come

              1. Sgt Frank Drebin
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 16 days ago

                Peronally I never was a big fan of Vardy... I don't he's a good value for money. DCL has great stats recently and is also 3m cheaper

                1. Rushford
                  • 2 Years
                  1 month, 16 days ago

                  Yes, that was a bit unclear on my part. I mean that I currently pick Vardy over Rashford because of how nailed he is and Rashford has lost pens. I am debating DCL vs Doherty atm. Could also change Vardy for DCL and get both DCL and Doherty.

                  1. Sgt Frank Drebin
                    • 3 Years
                    1 month, 16 days ago

                    I think DCL and Doherty are both a great value

                    1. Rushford
                      • 2 Years
                      1 month, 16 days ago

                      Could change to this. Actually think Pogba+DCL can outscore Vardy+Boly.

                      Pope
                      TAA Doherty Maguire
                      Salah KDB Fernandes Son Pogba
                      DCL Jimenez

                      Martin Nketiah Kabasele Lascelles

            3. Jam0sh
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Looks good to me. Template might not be a bad thing

          18. Rushford
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 16 days ago

            WC team G2G?
            Pope
            TAA Boly Doherty Maguire
            Salah KDB Fernandes Son
            Vardy Jimenez

            Martin Greenwood Cantwell Lascelles

            Biggest doubts are Pope and 4-4-2 vs 3-4-3. Not sold on Salah long term but will be heavily captained this GW. Also a little worried I will regret Greenwood in case Pogba or Rashford becomes essentials. I don't see that many good options for Greenwood given how Arsenal look.

            1. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 16 days ago

              Maybe do Greenwood to Nketiah?