Pro Pundits - Zophar

The best strikers to buy, sell and hold based on FPL goal threat from open play

With so many goals already this season, it’s all about strikers in Fantasy Premier League – but which ones should we sell, keep or buy?

We have already witnessed 103 goals over the first 28 matches of the campaign, an average of 3.68 per game. To put that into perspective, the previous Premier League record across the course of a full season was an average of 2.82 goals per game. 

With nets bulging up and down the country, it is natural to assume that the bulk of the goals will be scored by strikers and, with the new handball regulations leading to more penalties being awarded, it is only natural to favour front-men on spot kick duties.

The FPL Eye Test - Gameweek 3 3

For example, the following forwards take penalties for their respective clubs:

  1. Neal Maupay (£6.5m) – Brighton
  2. Chris Wood (£6.5m) – Burnley
  3. Richarlison (£8.0m) – Everton
  4. Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.0m) – Fulham
  5. Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) – Leicester City
  6. Callum Wilson (£6.4m) – Newcastle
  7. Danny Ings (£8.4m) – Southampton
  8. Harry Kane (£10.5m) – Spurs
  9. Charlie Austin/Hal Robson-Kanu (£5.4m) – West Brom
  10. Michail Antonio (£6.4m) – West Ham
  11. Raul Jimenez (£8.6m) – Wolves

CHECK OUT THE FULL PENALTY TAKERS LIST HERE

That’s a pretty large share out of the 20 teams. So, while 3-5-2 has been gaining popularity over the last few years, the number of penalty takers available at budget prices in forward positions may very well help cement the classic 3-4-3 as the preferred formation.

But do we want to be investing in strikers who rely exclusively on penalties? While there could be merit in that approach, surely we want to investing those who offer plenty of threat from open play as well.

So, let’s have a look how the league’s strikers have done so far using the Fantasy Football Scout Premium Members Area.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

1,592 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ragsyboys
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 1 day ago

    Barnes or Sterling for this week ? Have KDB

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Sterling.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Sterling

      1. ragsyboys
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Sure he starts ? Game time not a worry ?

  2. jason_ni
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 1 day ago

    If sheffield are paying record fee, you'd have to assume brewster gonna be first choice right?
    Have him, but had been toying moving him out for ings, may as well hold now.

    1. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Will be handy in future

    2. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Sheff United have Fulham gw5 against a pacy Brewster out to impress.

  3. Galza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 1 day ago

    W/C ok...?

    McCarthy
    Robbo / Castagne / Lamptey
    Salah / KDB / Bruno / Grealish
    DCL / Wilson / Mitrovic

    Button / 4.5 / Cooper / Ferguson

    Any recommendations on a 4.5 mid?

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Dale Stephens is 4.4 if don't like him than Franck Zambo Anguissa

      1. Galza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Cheers.
        Anguissa top of my list currently

    2. Nikolai Volkoff
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Bissouma, Burke, Mendy

      1. Galza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Thanks Bam Bam.
        Mendy looks good until Ndidi comes back.

    3. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Alzate

  4. eazy
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 1 day ago

    Wc or not?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo KWP Davies
    KDB Salah Havertz
    Werner Adams Mitro

    Got 2FT

    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Use the 2 FT and reassess after the break

    2. Rains of Castamere
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Mitro to Wood
      Davies to Holding

      WC during international break if needed.

    3. Shineonme
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Adams and mitro are a worry for me

      1. mirkomen77
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Werner Mitro > DCL jimi/ings

  5. Betarna
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Will Tarkowski return to Burnleys starting XI again and send Dunne back to the bench?

      1. subhojit123
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        No IMO

      2. ivantys
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Yes, he already started the league cup

        • Dsmythy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Of course he will. Their best defender.

      3. rozzo
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        I like the look of Trossard.

        Had a load of chances but is it a case of he can't finish or just been unlucky?

        Would Foden be a better pick?

        1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Trossard looks more nailed. Foden has higher potential.

        2. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          I prefer Trossard

        3. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Been unlucky. Brighton have looked great all round this season and Trossard has hopefully nailed his spot in that team.

          Foden or Trossard? I guess it depends in whether you can stomach Pep rotation. I’s be tempted to go Trossard tbh since I don’t have the patience.

      4. ratchet
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Any love for Auba? If you were on a WC, why wouldn’t you have him longer term?

        1. SouthCoastSaint
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Playing too wide for my liking

        2. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          I am never comfortable captaining him, and for 12m you expect to be doing that regularly.

        3. Shineonme
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Price is to high where he is playing wide

      5. subhojit123
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        How does this WC team look -
        McCarthy
        TAA Robbo James Dunne 4.0
        KDB sterling podence Costa Burke
        Ings Jimmy DCL

      6. SouthCoastSaint
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Do you really want Brewster with those fixtures or are you just facilitating a more expensive midfield?

        1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          More expensive midfield. But I will be tempted to play hin next week against Fulham

        2. Olson
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          It's not like anyone can defend anyway

      7. BoleynWin
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Considering James on a wildcard due to the next two plum fixtures on paper, my worry is that Chilwell & Azpi will be the preferred fullbacks for Lampard. Likely shift for Robertson long term for the double Pool defence.

        Opinions welcome gentlemen....

        1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          If you have a half decent sub defender could be an OK risk

      8. Wiltonj
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Bruno and wilson to Jimi and Mahrez for -4 ??

        Dont really wanna get rid of bruno but only way to get Jimi in

      9. Bank$y
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        A unique signing for Sheffield. Google checks out. http://www.brewsterpartners.co.uk/

      10. Toothless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Martinez
        Saiss James Justin
        J.Rodriguez Salah KDB Zaha
        DCL Bamford Jiminez

        Steer Taylor Mitchell Son

        1FT £0.2m ITB

        Really stuck between:

        a) Son -> Mahrez
        b) Son -> Podence then use cash to upgrade defence next GWK (i.e. James to TAA/Robo).
        c) Save and have 2FT over break. (and probably do B's transfers anyway).

      11. Leeds23
          2 months, 1 day ago

          McCarthy (Ryan)
          Saiss, Robertson, R.James, Justin (Lamptey)
          De Bruyne, Salah, Maddison, Podence (Mandy)
          Jimenez, Ings (Brewster)

          1.5 million in bank to potentially play with during the international break any tips to improve?

        • Nikolai Volkoff
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Looking forward to Havertz's performance this weekend. Chelsea v Palace early kick off could trigger a lot of early transfer activities

          1. _Ninja_
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            The Int break will trigger alot of Havertz to Son transfers.

        • CelticBhoy1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Anything worth a hit?

          Ryan
          TAA Keane Taylor Justin
          Salah J Rod KDB(c) Soucek
          Kane Werner

          Subs: Brewster Bissouma Egan

          1. Shineonme
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            nice team

        • fpork
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Play ASM or Son (depending on who is fit), or transfer Son to Mahrez?

          1. Rains of Castamere
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Play Son with ASM first sub.

            Son fixtures from GW5 are heaven.

            1. fpork
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Thats what I am currently at. My only "concern" is that I will end up wildcarding anyway, and then not benefit from the transfer.

        • Foresting
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Werner to Jimi for a -4?

          Good or bonkers??

          1. Annie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            you know what's going to happen if you do and if you don't

            1. Foresting
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 1 day ago

              All to well 😉

          2. Pukki Blinders
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Bonkers

          3. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            I think you will get those 4 pts back and more over the next 4-5 weeks. I think the best thing is to forget about Chelsea assets until they start firing. Better to be one week late than 6 weeks early. It’s a yes from me.

            1. Pukki Blinders
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 1 day ago

              The 4 pts will pay itself off over 4-5 weeks... but it can be done for free next week so how can you justify doing it for a hit?

              1. Rasping Drive
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Because this I expect Jimenez to outscore Werner by more than 4 points.

                1. Rasping Drive
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 1 day ago

                  *this week

          4. Shineonme
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            no way keep werner

        • Nimby
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Right. Is this a crazy thing to do? Team sheet first.

          Ramsdale
          TAA Saiss Bertrand
          Salah (c) J-Rod ASM Soucek
          Jimenez Calvert-Lewin Ings

          Button, Lamptey, Son, Mitchell

          I've already done one transfer. Would it be stupid to do a -8 to sell ASM and Son for Foden and Mahrez? I think the potential upside is very large and could be for a while into the future. I'm obviously reluctant or I wouldn't be asking.

        • I Member
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          On WC:

          Martinez
          Robertson, Coady, Justin
          Salah, KDB, Barnes, Foden
          Jimenez, Ings, DCL

          Steer; Lamptey, Mitchell, Stephens.

          0.5 ITB

          What to do with the 0.5?

          A) Robertson -> TAA
          B) Coady -> Semedo
          C) Keep it ITB for a rainy day (maybe Barnes -> Zaha in a couple weeks)

          1. Pukki Blinders
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 1 day ago

            B, don’t like Coady

          2. Shineonme
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Robbo to TAA for me

          3. nico05
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Id hold for this week. Robbo to TAA not a bad shout but Robbo is attacking very well right now

        • Pukki Blinders
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Start Taylor or Lewis this week? Lascelles a doubt...

          1. nico05
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Taylor for me

        • Bolivian Seaman
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Arsenal, Rapid Vienna, Molde, Dundalk

          Tottenham,Ludogorets, Lask, Antwerp

          Playing six games in a group is a bit silly after seeing these groups. Arsenal Pl6 W6 D0 D0 Tottenham Pl6 W6 D0 D0

          1. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Hopefully means both teams play their respective stiffs in the Europa league.

          2. Dsmythy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Never that easy

        • FantasyFooty01
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Into week 4 of last man standing, who should I pick? comment below.
          Already picked:
          Leicester
          Everton
          Manchester United

        • Yossarian79
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          I have 1 available transfer and 1.1m

          Thinking of playing my wildcard but probably gonna wait until after the international break.

          McCarthy Ryan
          TAA Taylor Justin Holding Mitchell
          KDB Podence Salah Son Bissouma
          Werner Wilson Adams

          However I am gonna transfer out Son. Please give me your opinions on the following:

          A: Mahrez in for Son
          B: Mahrez in for Son and Jiménez in for Werner for -4
          C: Mahrez in for Son, Jiménez in for Werner and Ings for Wilson -8

          1. nico05
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            B. C is way too big of a hit imo

        • fpork
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          I wouldn't do B or C. E.g. with C, how likely is it that Ings+Jimenez will outscore Wilson+Werner by 8 points? I think it could go either way tbh.
          A: This is something I am considering myself. If Son is not fit, you need to play Mitchell or Holding.

        • nico05
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Could get anyone's thoughts please before I do my transfer this week? I have 1 ft and 1.5 to spend.
          Mccarthy
          TAA Justin Doherty Lascelles (Mitchell)
          Fernandes Salah DeBruyne Podence (oriol Romeu)
          Mitrovic Martial (Davies
          A. Mitro - DCL
          B Martial - Jimi
          C. Both for a -4
          D. Something else?
          Thank you for looking

        • Usmanov
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Which of these two options?
          1) Mahrez and DCL
          2) Barnes and Ings

        • Dele
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Callum Robinson worth a look at?