Pro Pundit Teams

My Digne replacement and why I’m changing formation for FPL Gameweek 10

Gameweek 9 was an amazing Gameweek for me. After taking my first hit of the season, I managed to get a total of 88 points and a Gameweek rank around the 20K mark, which was one of my top ranks in a single Gameweek ever. 

Consequently, I got a massive green arrow that propelled me to inside the top 30K in the overall rankings with the Wildcard still available.

Out of my starting eleven, four players delivered a double-digit haul and only my two Aston Villa assets blanked. Even Alex McCarthy (£4.5m) managed to get seven points without a clean sheet or a penalty save so I could not be happier with my boys.

Even though I mentioned in my last article I was planning to keep Mohamed Salah (£12.2m) in my team, ultimately, I decided to sell the Liverpool star for Bruno Fernandes (£10.8m). There was plenty of doubt if Salah would miss one or two matches due to coronavirus (COVID-19) and it coupled with the appeal of captaining Fernandes against West Brom, made me change my mind.

And so, on Friday night, I decided to pull the trigger, bringing in the Portuguese maestro and trusting him with the armband. This decision worked pretty well after Fernandes scored yet another penalty and collected three bonus points in a tougher than expected home match for Manchester United.

Nevertheless, Salah could start at Brighton after playing against Atalanta on Wednesday night and we all know how he can punish his sellers in any given week. However, after Brighton, he plays against Wolves and both these opponents are well-organised teams. 

For this reason, I will take my chances without Salah for two Gameweeks, looking to probably bing him back in Gameweek 12, when Liverpool play against Fulham (possibly by using my Wildcard in that exact Gameweek).

Additionally, I needed a defender to replace the injured Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) and Lucas Digne (£6.2m) was the standout choice to me. Everton’s three immediate fixtures were excellent, his assist potential is only second to the Liverpool fullbacks and I thought he had good potential for clean sheets or attacking returns in the short term.

I was very happy to see him bombing forward even more than he usually does, playing as a left wing-back in a 3-4-3 formation against Fulham. This new system suited him perfectly and he delivered two assists in a crazy first half at Craven Cottage. Sadly, for Everton and for his fantasy owners like myself, he suffered an ankle ligament injury in training this week and will be out for the foreseeable future.

Gameweek 10 plans

How Kane, Son and De Bruyne fared in midst of FPL fixture swing

Looking at my team ahead of Gameweek 10, I am a little bit concerned about the fact that I don’t own any Manchester City players for their back-to-back home matches against Burnley and Fulham.

My initial plan was to get Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) in for Son Heung-min (£9.5m) but I find it hard to justify using a free transfer to sell such a reliable source of points, regardless of how bad Spurs’ schedule may be. 

I think Son was clearly underpriced by FPL this season, especially if we compare him with other heavy-hitters such as Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.6m) or even De Bruyne, who costs £2.1m million more than the Tottenham superstar right now.

Another thing we know about Son is that he is one of the most clinical finishers in the world and he doesn’t need many chances to score goals, as we saw in Gameweek 9 when he scored with the only real chance he had in the whole match.

And so, given Son’s price, form and overall career numbers, I decided I am going to keep him in my team for now. This way, I can use my transfers to improve weaker links in my squad, even if it means going without De Bruyne for their match against Burnley. I will re-assess this decision ahead of Gameweek 11 and if Guardiola’s team looks better attacking-wise than they have looked lately, I might decide to get him in by then.

CHANGING FORMATION

Even though 4-3-3 has been working pretty well for me so far, I think now is the time to finally switch formation and get back to the more conventional 3-4-3. There are several factors that clearly make me think this is the correct timing for a change:

  • 1) Two of the best defenders in the game (TAA and Digne) are injured for an unknown period of time;
  • 2) Clean sheet potential for good defensive teams such as Wolves, Tottenham and Burnley doesn’t look good in the short-term given their tough schedule;
  • 3) There is, finally, a cheap midfielder who I think will be able to compete with the best defenders in the game in terms of expected points and value.

With all these factors in mind and with £4.4 million available in the bank, I decided to bring Diogo Jota (£6.7m) in for Mario Lemina (£4.5m). The most recent Liverpool acquisition seems to have settled perfectly into Jurgen Klopp’s plans and, priced at £6.7 million, I don’t think he even needs to start every match to be worth every penny.

Since joining the Reds, his expected goals and assists per 90 minutes are pretty close to what Salah and Mane have been doing for years and, even if these excellent numbers decrease over a larger sample (which I doubt they will), I think he will have no problems justifying such a cheap price tag. To me, he is the clear front-runner for the award of best value player in the game this season and if he manages to nail a spot in Liverpool’s starting eleven, I think he will be pretty much an essential pick for every fantasy manager in the world.

With my free transfer locked in and, after taking no hits in the first eight Gameweeks of the season, I am now considering taking my second hit in a row to get rid of Digne for Rúben Dias (£5.5m). 

However, I am still debating if I should play Stuart Dallas (£4.5m) and sell Digne next week for free instead. Dallas played out of position against Arsenal last weekend and he was pretty close to scoring his second goal of the season while bombing forward the whole match. Unfortunately, Leeds travels to Goodison Park and Anfield next, which means the chances of him getting clean sheets anytime soon are very slim.

Manchester City’s defence, on the other hand, looks really good this season and I think Dias could be worth four extra points over Dallas in the sum of the next two Gameweeks. In fact, bookies give Manchester City a 55% chance of getting a clean sheet this week and he also offers a decent threat from set-pieces. 

If I decide to take a hit for Dias, I will be able to field a very strong defence with the Portuguese centre-back alongside Andrew Robertson (£7.1m) and Ben Chilwell (£6.0m). This will allow me to use my free transfers in midfield and attack in the next Gameweeks, which I think is really important.

Anyway, this will definitely be a late call for me and it’s possible I decide to just get Jota this week and hope that Marcelo Bielsa plays Dallas as a box-to-box midfielder again.

CAPTAINCY

Having made the decision of going without De Bruyne this week, I have no choice but to trust Fernandes with the armband yet again. Since joining Manchester United, he delivered more points away from home than at Old Trafford and I expect Southampton to play an attacking style of football (as they always do), which hopefully will benefit Fernandes’ potential for points.

FANS ARE BACK

Other than that, I was very pleased to know that half the Premier League’s clubs will be able to welcome back fans starting in Gameweek 11. For now, only 2,000 supporters will be allowed in the stands but, after almost six months of empty stadiums, it’s definitely a nice improvement.

That being said, I don’t think this change will have any impact on my FPL decisions. I don’t think there will be a huge advantage for the 10 teams allowed to have fans in their home matches and I will only consider this factor whenever there is a really close decision between two possible transfers I might be considering for my team.

Thanks for reading and good luck this week!

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1,060 Comments Post a Comment
  1. nadman89
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 8 days ago

    captain poll

    a) KDB vs burnley and no pope with rest

    b)vardy vs the worst team in history

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      B

    2. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      B

    3. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Vardy

    4. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Salah (he says hopefully)

    5. Puntillimon
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Or Bruno with good away record against a high line?

    6. Puntillimon
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Btw, who is the backup Burnley keeper?

      1. Il Capitano
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Peacock-Farrell

          1. Puntillimon
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            I rmb he did quite well when he came in last season

      2. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Pretty sure Derby 07/08 were/will be worse

      3. Bouncebackability
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        You definitely weren’t around when Derby were in the Prem. Fulham would hammer them!

      4. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        A
        Despite two CSs, Burnley in the last two actually conceded the same amount of big chances and more shots/shots in the box vs. Fulham (despite easier opponents)
        They massively outperformed their xG conceded of ~3, but Pope being out shout address that

    7. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Vardy only has one goal playing at home this season. Is this a new thing or has it been the case previous seasons?

    8. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Did Rogers/LEI have a press conference this week?

    9. Whats the Mata?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      Would you get Ruben Dias or Cancelo?

      Bearing the festive period in mind and the fact that I've got Mitchell too.

      1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        I think you already know the answer if you are presenting that argument. Go with the safe option

      2. Tingate
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Dias is more nailed now Mendy is back but Cancelo has explosive potential

      3. Giggs Boson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Dias

        (Cancelo owner)

      4. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Probably Dias - try applying a 75% weighting to Cancelo's expected points and see which is higher

    10. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      PVA should be on penalties tonight

      1. Salan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Penalties HT may be.

    11. Disturbed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 8 days ago

      So who is everyone dumping - Kane or son?

      1. AnfieldLad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Son

      2. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Neither

      3. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Kane > Vardy -4. I'm doing it. Waiting on the last of the pressers to confirm.

      4. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Kane

      5. BeWater
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Kane to Bamford so I can do Barkley to KDB.

        • LSK
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          I’ll keep them both. Two highest scoring players in the game. Both came in at low prices. Won’t the gift horse in the mouth.

      6. fpork
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Son->Salah or keep FT?

      7. tabby98
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Mccarthy
        Chilwell, Reece James, Justin
        Salah, Son, Ziyech, Grealish
        Kane, DCL, Bamford

        Bench: 1. Nyland 2. Mitchell. 3. KWP. 3. Stephens

        GTG?

        Should I do Kane ---> Vardy (C)??

        1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          That's the move I done or you can leave it as it is and Salah(c)

      8. SDTA
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Good afternoon.

        Thinking of doing Zaha -> KDB + Kane -> Vardy (-4)

        Leaves me 0.2 ITB.

        Worth it?

        Thoughts appreciated.

        1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Yes I think so

        2. Tingate
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Looks good to me and should make the hit back this week.

          1. SDTA
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Thanks both. Vardy will have armband so hoping he can cover loss.

      9. Rolls-Royce
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 8 days ago

        Down to these two options:

        A) KdB(C) -4
        B) Vardy(C)

        Which one?

        1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          B

        2. Puntillimon
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          B

        3. Il Capitano
            3 months, 8 days ago

            B

          • Tingate
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            B

        4. john25
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Hey guys, really can't decide if I should stick with this team or take a -4 to bring in either Vardy or KDB to captain.

          This is my current team for this GW:

          Martinez (4.0)
          PVA Robbo Chilwell (Lamptey, 4.0)
          Grealish Son Bruno(c) Jota (4.5)
          Kane DCL(vc) Bamford

          3.6 ITB. No FT left. What do you suggest?

          Cheers

          1. Puntillimon
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Keep

        5. DagheMunegu
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Who score more ?

          A: Ziyech Kane Bruno (c) +8
          B: KDB Vardy (c) Bruno
          C: Salah (c) Jesus Bruno

          1. Tingate
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            B

        6. Gorky
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Who to bench:

          Martinez/Guaita
          KDB/Rodriguez/Jota/Bruno/Grealish
          Kane/Bamford/Wilson

          (In process of doing Son/Zaha to KDB/Jota)

        7. HaffNanner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          A. Kane > Vardy(C)

          B. Kane, Ziyech > Watkins, Salah(C) -4

          C. Save transfer, ignore Vardy, get Salah for GW12 instead

          1FT, 0.6ITB
          Martinez
          Robertson Chilwell Masuaku
          Fernandes KDB(C) Ziyech Grealish (Stephens)
          Kane DCL Bamford

          1. Tingate
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Just Kane > Vardy

            Wouldn't be bringing in Watkins whilst Barkley is out.

            1. HaffNanner
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              That's what I'm leaning towards. Thanks

          2. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            A or C. I went with A and will bring in Salah in GW12

            1. HaffNanner
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Thanks

        8. jamiet
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Afternoon All,

          Unsure on which one

          A) ASM & Townsend > Tielemans & Raphina
          B) ASM & Townsend > Maddison & Soucek

          Current Team

          McCarthy (Steer)
          Konsa, Chilwell, Dallas (KWP, Mitchell)
          Salah, KDB, Townsend, ASM (Bissouma)
          Kane, Werner, DCL

          I am leaning towards A as that way the price points are ok to transfer with one move but i feel maddison is gonna have a banger

          Any help would be great

          Cheers in advance

        9. citizenkane
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Some help here would be appreciated guys:

          Martinez

          Robbo Chilwell Masuaku

          Grealish Bruno Son Hamez

          Kane DCL Bamford

          Steer Ferguson Stephens Lamptey

          2FT, 3.4 ITB

          A) Hamez > Jota
          B) Hamez + Kane > KDB + Vardy (have exact funds for this)
          C) Hamez + Son > KDB + Jota
          D) Hamez + Son + Kane > KDB + Jota + Vardy (-4)
          E) Something else

          Obviously want all three of KDB, Jota and Vardy but doesn't seem right for a hit. Which move would you prioritize this week?

          1. Tingate
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            B for me

            1. citizenkane
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Thanks, leaning towards that myself

        10. Mr_Barbs
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Podence to Jota look good this week?

          Would probably bench soucek or Ziyech

          Ramsdale
          Robbo, Chillwell, Cresswell
          Salah(C), Ziyech, Grealish, Soucek
          Watkins, DCL, Kane

          Steer, KWP, Podence, Mitchell

          1. AnfieldLad
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Yeah looks good, don’t bench Ziyech that’s silly

            1. Mr_Barbs
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Thanks, yeah Soucek the obvious one to drop to the bench

        11. JJeyy
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Best defender under 5mil?

          Jamal Lewis has good fixture but Newcastle unpredictable

          1. thomashl
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Masuaku maybe? Good fixtures long term, have Cresswell myself

            1. JJeyy
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              yea I like whu, just not sure about playing him for villa and leeds which seem tough fixtures

          2. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Dallas 4.5

          3. nadman89
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            justin

        12. Tipster90
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Hello, i would like to hear some opinion about these potential transfers? A or B?

            A) Kane, Son > De Bruyne(C), Vardy (-4)

            B) Kane, Barnes > De Bruyne(C), Wilson (-4)

            1. Dirty Harry
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Wilson -4 seems silly

            2. Tingate
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              A for me.

              I wouldn't lose Barnes before Fulham at home.

            3. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              I would keep one of the Spurs players but not a fan of option B

              1. Tipster90
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  Thanks, I would also like to keep one of the Spurs players but De Bruyne and Vardy are a very attractive tandem.

                  1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
                    • 2 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    You know the risk. Both Son and Kane are the highest scoring players in their position and most Spurs goals involve both of them. However KDB and Vardy have great fixture. High risk high reward

              2. Sun Jihai
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Why not just Kane to Vardy?

                1. Tipster90
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    Well, De Bruyne is my first pick(captain choice 99%) and I can’t put him in without one more transfer made..

                2. HonestBlatter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  A

              3. thomashl
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                2FTs - what to do?

                A) J.Rod -> Jota
                B) Robbo Son -> Cancelo Salah
                C) Kane -> Vardy (lot of value tied up)
                D) Cresswell -> Cancelo

                Martinez
                Robbo Chilwell Creswell
                Son Bruno(c) Grealish JRod
                DCL Kane Watkins
                (4.0 - Lamptey Kilman Bissouma) 1.3 itb

                1. Dirty Harry
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  Getting rid of Robbo is ridiculous imo

                  1. thomashl
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    Yup, not inclined to do it unless it is to raise funds for salah. Don’t really want to do it this week anyways, with Lamptey out

              4. KAPTAIN KANE
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                GTG? Captain yet to be decided!

                Martinez
                James | Dallas | Kilman
                Sterling | Bruno | Grealish | Jota
                Kane | Vardy | DCL

                Steer | Soucek | Mitchell | Lamptey*

                0ITB

              5. Little Red Lacazette
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Hello all. Am I all set?

                Martinez
                Coufal Chilwell Kilman
                Grealish Son Bruno Salah(C)
                Bamford Kane DCL

                Steer Dallas Bissouma Lamptey

                1. Tonyawesome69 WC31 & FH…
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  I would probably start Dallas over Kilman but tight call

                  1. KAPTAIN KANE
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    This

              6. Rupert The Horse
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Rashford is now a doubt. Thats settled then, I have to take -4.

                1. Camzy
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  No way Rashford doesn't play. He'll be fine. Trained today as well.

                  1. Rupert The Horse
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    My head's in a spin.

              7. B0mberr
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                A - Jota and Dias in (for TAA and Podence) for a -4
                B - KDB, Bamford and Dias ( for TAA, Podence and Kane) for a -8

              8. cigan
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Eff it, Mane > Salah done with my FT. Digne can wait until next round

              9. davewg59
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Salah or Bruno captain guys?

                1. cigan
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 8 days ago

                  I'm probably going DCL with Salah VC

                  1. cigan
                    • 2 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    Have Bruno as well

              10. milanista10
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Who you reckon scores more this GW?

                A) Ayling & Rodriguez +4
                B) Dias & Bamford

              11. Rupert The Horse
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Lots of news coming out, hold those transfers for a bit.

              12. tim
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                KWP or Targett first on bench?

                Taking a punt on Mitchell starting.

              13. JenkoJunko
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Squad: 1FT 0.3ITB
                Mcarthy
                Chillwell Cresswell Telles
                KDB Bruno Ziyech Grealish
                Vardy Bamford DCL

                Forster / Kilman / Bissouma / N Williams

                A. Hold and roll
                B. Grealish to Jota

                Thanks all and GL

                1. Il Capitano
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    A

                  • Tingate
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    I'd hold, good squad!

                  • Camzy
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    That's a very good team.

                    Hold. Maybe consider Ziyech > Jota.

                  • JenkoJunko
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    3 months, 8 days ago

                    Thanks all! Hold and Roll it is. Jota is definitely appealing and worried about lack of pool cover but think best to hold this week and maybe sacrifice Ziyech/Grealish for Jota/Salah next GW.