Spot the Differential

Taylor can provide value route into Burnley’s appealing fixtures

After a slow start for last week’s trio of differentials, we’re back again ahead of Gameweek 14 on the hunt for the next low-owned bandwagon.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider either.

This time, we’re focusing on differentials from Burnley, Chelsea and Everton, who we like the look of for Gameweek 14 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Charlie Taylor

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WOL | lee | SHU | FUL | — | whu + liv

With four clean sheets in his last six appearances and an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Charlie Taylor (£4.4m) could be a solid under the radar pick.

Burnley have seen an upturn in their defensive performances of late, which has coincided with dressing room leaders Nick Pope (£5.4m), James Tarkowski (£5.3m) and Ben Mee (£4.9m) all being available. In fact, in the five league fixtures which they’ve all started together this term, the Clarets have kept four clean sheets and conceded just one goal. 

Last season, investing in one of Sean Dyche’s backline was one of the easier decisions FPL managers had to make, given their record of 15 clean sheets was second only to Manchester City, and the current campaign seems to be following a similar path with only Aston Villa recording more shut outs to date. Encouragingly, their numbers suggest that further defensive improvements could be on the way too, with 18 goals conceded from an expected goal (xG) total of 16.13. 

With Taylor, attacking returns are unlikely (he’s assisted just once in each of the Clarets’ last two campaigns), but his relationship with Dwight McNeil (£5.7m) down Burnley’s left is one of their key attacking weapons, with a large percentage of their play focused down that side. Amongst team-mates, only McNeil and Ashley Westwood (£5.3m) have delivered more crosses than Taylor this season, so an assist, while unlikely, is not completely out of the question.

However, the real appeal lies in Burnley’s clean sheet potential, and with home games against Wolves, Sheffield United and Fulham in the next four, further shut outs could be on the way. It is also worth noting that they have a Double Gameweek in January, so signing him now can help you be one player better off for that.

Christian Pulisic

Werner on Chelsea's left as Pulisic misses out on trip to Everton
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £8.2m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WHM | ars | AVL | MCI | — | ful + lei

Christian Pulisic (£8.2m) has endured a frustrating start to the season due to injury, but returned to the Blues’ starting XI against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Tuesday night.

Making his first Premier League start since October, the former Dortmund winger played the full 90 minutes and was the most dangerous player on the pitch until shifted to the right-flank, where he struggled to make as much of an impact. However, until that switch, Pulisic showed his class, constantly running at opposition defenders with pace and trickery.

The 22-year-old’s hamstring issues have restricted him to just five Chelsea starts and nine appearances in all competitions this season, which has prevented him from finding any kind of rhythm. Despite this, he has still found the back of the net against Krasnodar and Leeds United, and fortunately, it doesn’t seem to take him long before he gets back into his stride after injury.

The Blues’ were on a good run of form going 17 games unbeaten before Everton and Wolves both managed to win by a single goal in the last two matches, but they do have an opportunity to get back on track with consecutive games to come against London rivals West Ham United and Arsenal. Interestingly, both sides have conceded most of their chances from their right-flank this season, which further heightens Pulisic’s appeal if he is to operate from that side. 

Some rotation is to be expected amid a hectic Christmas schedule, but with Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) and Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.7m) injured, Frank Lampard’s options are reduced in the wide areas, and encouragingly, they will have had a generous six recovery days by the time their Gameweek 14 fixture comes around.

Pulisic tends to deliver when he starts, and although this move does come with risk, he could be a huge differential for those willing to invest early. 

Michael Keane

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: ARS | shu | MCI | WHU | wol | avl

Michael Keane (£5.1m) has played an integral role in helping Everton keep two clean sheets in their last two games.

With James Rodríguez (£7.7m) and Lucas Digne (£6.1m) absent, the Toffees have gone back to basics, fielding a back four of central-halves marshalled by Keane. That has meant their full-backs, Mason Holgate (£4.8m) and Ben Godfrey (£5.0m), have been less adventurous going forward, but as a result, they have restricted their opponents Chelsea and Leicester City to just nine shots in the box between them, with only five on target.

Against teams like Sheffield United, the onus might be on Everton to be more expansive, and in turn demand more from their full-backs in the final-third. However, this more pragmatic, well-drilled system is likely to stick for the visits of Arsenal and Manchester City, which bodes well for further defensive shut outs. 

Keane is the only player to have started all 16 games in the league and EFL Cup for Everton this season, and has been consistently good in recent weeks. Against Leicester, he made more blocks and clearances than any colleague, and won all of his aerial duels. His threat from set-pieces is also worth noting ahead of their next two fixtures. Arsenal have improved defending dead-ball situations, but will be without the influential Gabriel (£5.0m), while only West Bromwich Albion have conceded more headed attempts than Sheffield United this term.

With two headed goals already from corners, and clean sheet potential too, Keane could be set to profit.

908 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Rhodes your boat
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any updates on balbuena?

  2. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    lads:
    a. KDB to Mo (free)
    b. Roll ft

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        cheers mate

    2. AD2110
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      save

  3. Nay08
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    folks I need help.
    let's say I won't use any chips for BGW18/DGW19. just gonna use free transfer (plus some hits if needed) to sort my team out for DGW19, will sacrifice BGW18 a little bit, but still gonna try to field as many players as possible.

    so, any recommendations for players that are:
    1. Good for DGW19, OR
    2. worthy to hold for both BGW18 and DGW19
    players that also have a good value(fixture or form) from now until gw18/19 will be considered more. you know, to maintain a good amount of point acquire.

    my team right now:
    Martinez/4.0
    Chilwell/lamptey/bednarek/masuaku/4.0
    Salah/KDB/Bruno/Grealish/ASM
    DCL/Bamford/Watkins

    1. deshawn7
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I would try to get one of Son or Kane who are playing both GW 18 and 19. You could try to upgrade Grealish

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Good for 19: Salah, Bruno, Ings/Adams, Bamford, Coufal/Cresswell, Chilwell/James,
      Good for both: KDB, Son, Kane, Martinez

    3. Nay08
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      thanks guys

  4. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Captain choice is doing my head in.

    A. Salah
    B. Son
    C. Bruno
    D. Kane

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I have all 4

      Going C or D

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      BDCA in that order

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C) can see lots of goals in the United Leeds fixture

  5. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who is the best TC candidate in DGW19? Salah? Vardy? Ings? Kane?

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Have to be Salah.

    3. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Werner

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Excuse me?

        1. R.C
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          You will thank me later 😉

          1. NABIL - FPL otai
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            I hope not 😛

    4. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    5. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    6. 2999 - Lady of Legend
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Safe Salah
      Punt Soucek

  6. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Feels like KDB is being massively overlooked as a captaincy option just because of the disappointment last week

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bruno being overlooked as well?

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bad feeling to have

    3. Jersey Boy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Saints home form is 2nd best in the league behind Liverpool

  7. Fuddled FC
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Vestergard & Bruno > Taylor & Son?

  8. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Someone talk me out if brining in Kun for a hit. Or dont, ill probably still do it. 2.5 million rank, nothing to lose!

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Typically takes him a few games to get his eye in. I wouldnt.

    2. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Don't do it...

  9. deshawn7
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Already played my Free Hit earlier this season, facing a 50% blank squad on GW 18...

    Martinez (Ryan)
    Robbo Cresswell R.James Lamptey Justin
    Son Bruno Grealish Zaha Soucek
    Kane Bamford DCL

    Intending to
    GW 14 Save FT
    GW 15 Grealish + Zaha for Salah + 4.5m
    GW 16 Cresswell for 5.0m Def who is playing GW 18
    GW 17 Undecided but might save FT
    GW 18 Ryan for Johnstone / McCarthy (who have double GW on 19)

    Q: Who are the best 4.5 to 4.7m mid who are playing GW 18? Thinking the likes of Hendricks, Bissouma
    Q: What's the best trick to maximise a non-Free Hit GW 18 and then DGW 19? Should I then bench boost on DGW 19 or just focus on a triple captain like Salah?

  10. CroatianHammer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Wildcarded - James, Justin, Ryan, Brewster, Antonio, Sterling out. I don't want Chelsea defenders right now, since they're stuttering somewhat and unreliable in many ways. Even I, Antonio fan, think he might not be locked after regaining fitness.

    Anyway, Sneaky Salah in, for footballing purposes only. Hate the guy. BamBam, Alioski as some Leeds oomph, Johnstone for cheap saves, Wilson and Lewis to cap it off. Gives me GW18 and 19 players, and removes some non-playing subs without costing me TV. Down 0.3, gained 0.1 back already

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Why do you hate Salah? xD

      1. CroatianHammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Because the git broke COVID regulations. I also have the same feelings towards Greenwood, Foden, Grealish, Rice, Mount, and Chillwell... Not saying they had to try and live up to Rashford, but they did need to not be so stupid as to think their paycheque gave them a free pass.

        1. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Yeah to be fair he was in a bad spot as it was his brother's wedding. That's a pretty big life event to miss. Still selfish on his part and his family as well

          1. CroatianHammer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            My dad's 70th is this weekend, and I'm not there... daughter couldn't fly in for a family holiday this past summer... a wedding is something that could definitely have been missed. A skilled footballer, but the man has no common sense.

        2. Ian J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          We never found out if & how much Liverpool fined Salah for breaking rules?
          Should have been a lot as he missed a couple of games, brought shame on Liverpool FC & messed up fantasy teams!

  11. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Help me here fellas. 0.5 itB and 1 FT. Have WC for GW 16

    McCarthy
    Justin-Targett-Chilwell
    KdB-Grealish-Bruno-Jota*
    Jesus-Vardy-Adams

    Steer-Bissouma-Ayling-Mitchell

    Still tinkering should i ditch Jesus also or keep. If i keep i can bring Jota replacement for up 5.5 because i want to do Bruno to Salah in GW 15.

    Or to ditch Jesus and Jota for -4??

    I would apreciate any help here. Cheers

    1. deshawn7
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You need to ditch Jota ASAP, his price is free falling.

      I would keep Bruno.

      You could spend the next 2-3 GWs downgrading both Jota and Jesus to Soucek and Bamford and then upgrade Grealish to Salah if it fits.

      1. Niho992
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I will bring Salah in GW 15 and i will bring back Bruno on WC in GW 16

        Q is would you sell Jesus for a hit? I dont think he will start

  12. Yank United
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    If you do a free transfer in GW18 and then use the FH chip, will your transfer still be in your team for GW19?

    I hope that question makes sense.

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Don't think so mate

    2. Kabayan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Wipes all transfer

  13. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Save here, then make some punts with 2FT next week before WC?

    1FT - 0.8m ITB - WC available

    McCarthy (Button)
    Chilwell Zouma Taylor (Justin Mitchell)
    Bruno Salah KDB Grealish (Bissouma)
    DCL Adams Bamford

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save or KDB to Son

      1. Il Capitano
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, I did Son > KDB last week, going to be stubborn and stick with it until GW16

    2. FPLHaggis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Roll

  14. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Meslier* Steer
    Chilwell* Zouma* Dias Lamptey Mitchell
    KDB Bruno* Salah* Grealish Soucek*
    Bamford* DCL Brewster
    Have 7 DGW players.1ft, 2.6 itb
    Lamptey a doubt but was going to play him rather than Soucek vs Chelsea.
    Actually have money to do Lamptey to Robbo. Later downgrade Dias and DCL to afford Son for Grealish.
    Other idea or sound OK?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sounds good..or just KDB to Son

  15. DickFranDyke
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    James Justin to Dallas this week?
    Wilson to Bamford next week?

    Current team
    Martinez Button
    Coufal,Zouma,Lampety,Taylor, Justin
    Bruno,KDB,Son,Salah,Podence
    DCL,Wilson,Watkins

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah to both

  16. tyron
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    would yall rid vardy this week if yall already have kane?

    options are

    a. Save ft
    b. vardy to dcl
    c. vardy to ings/adams

    1. FPLHaggis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'd just roll this week.

    2. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah if already got Kane roll and reassess next week.

    3. tyron
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      thanks guys

  17. FPLHaggis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Where can one find out how many managers have already used BB/TC/FH?

  18. Sewell36
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Lookman or Cavaleiro?

    Cavaleiro playing up top and on pens / set pieces but feel more likely to be rotated over Xmas than Lookman - also that .3 may come in handy

    1. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      My preference would be neither. Get soucek.

  19. Supernova
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Am I crazy for thinking about Reguilon? I have the funds for KWP to him on a FT.

    The only other part of my team I would think about changing is something with Watkins + 1.1m, Wilson is in that bracket but I don't fancy their fixtures at all.

  20. Kitman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    For the next few weeks - KDB or Fernandes?

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Both here

      1. Kitman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I have KDB but feel like changing to Bruno for DGW might edge it

        1. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          are you FH 18?

          1. Kitman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            certainly am

            1. Scholes Out For Summer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              Ah fair play. I just cant seem to get over the fact that it seems like poor value for a FH. the games are rubbish

              1. Kitman
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 4 months ago

                You never know if it'll get any better though is the issue

                1. Kitman
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 4 months ago

                  as in will there be another better blank GW this season with more favourable fixtures? who knows.

  21. JELLYFISH
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Chances of Lamptey starting against the blades?

    1. MGMT
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      75%

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Low id say. Everytime Potter mentions him re injury, he doesnt start.

    3. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Potter says he's recovering well and a decision will be made later so there's a decent chance.

  22. MGMT
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez (4M)

    Chilwell - Lamptey - Targett ( Dallas,Mitchel)

    Kdb - Bruno - Salah - Zaha (anguissa)

    Kane - Watkins - Bamford

    1.2 itb and 2 FT... what would you do?

    1. cigan
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Mitchell > Lewis/Taylor/Coufal

  23. 272MK
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Justin --> Taylor ?

  24. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sell or not to sell Jesus for a hit?

    1. DGW Sane TC Fail....
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      i can see why you want to get rid, but you have to keep for a hit

      1. Niho992
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yea. I will keep probably

  25. ymx
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    From this GW on:
    (1) Salah/Bruno/KDB + DCL/Kane/Bamford
    (2)Son/Bruno/KDB + Vardy/Kane/Bamford
    ???

    1. Clay Davis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      So basically...
      1) Salah + DCL
      2) Son + Vardy

      Would have to be 1 for me with Salah vs WBA next week

      1. ymx
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah that makes sense
        Scared of a Vardy Haul...

    2. Footieboot
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Wow if you can afford no.2 I think I would definitely go for it. 5 potential big hitters every week is insane. What is your TV out of curiosity?

  26. Canarinha
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Monitor Stones and keep for one more week?

    yes or no?

    1. Footieboot
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      he will play against soton

    2. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Can you afford to bench him?

      1. Canarinha
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Vestergaard-Lamps-Dallas my other options

  27. deshawn7
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Used up my Free Hit and Wildcard already for this season... How should I then navigate the BGW 18 and DGW 19?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      6/7 for 18, BB or TC 19

  28. De Gea is GOAT
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best set and forget keeper guys. Struggling to pick out of the 4.

    A) Pope
    B) Fabianski
    C) Lloris
    D) Martinez

    Defence:

    Ryan
    Chilwell James Robbo Taylor

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      D or A

    2. Delhidynamo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C

  29. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1. Mahrez -> Son. (Leaving 1.2m ITB).
    2. KDB -> Son. (Leaving 4.6m ITB).

    McCarthy.
    Stones, James, Chilwell.
    KDB, Salah, Mahrez, Fernandes, Lookman.
    Bamford, DCL.
    Forster, Dallas, Brewster, Ferguson.
    1ft, 2.4m ITB
    Shaping up to be a FH 18 + TC 19 with 11 DGW'rs.

  30. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Pick the best
    A- Grealish + Vardy
    B- Neto / Podence + Kane
    C- Son + DCL
    D- Rashford + DXL