Pro Pundit Teams

Three-time top 200 finisher Lateriser on City, captaincy and the Blanks and Doubles

The reigning FPL champion of India, Lateriser, shares his thoughts ahead of the Gameweek 16 deadline.


Things are moving incredibly fast in the Fantasy Premier League world and it’s important to stay on top of things and react. Traditionally, this is the period where the engaged FPL managers make ground on the casuals (who are getting not so casual, year on year).

For your information, I am writing this article on the morning after Saturday’s games so the piece will not contain relevant information from Sunday’s matches. Due to the current fifth-gear nature of FPL, this will be a freestyle ramble of all things I want to address.

First up, we need to talk about Manchester City. They are one of the prime culprits for my poor start to the season. In my Gameweek 3 Wildcard, I got in a triple City midfield and have had two City attackers for the most part of the season.

That explains my rank (1.7 million at the time of writing, which is a lot better than the 3.1 million it was in Gameweek 12). It has taken me so long to readjust my thinking in this case and I have definitely failed to adapt. Their fixtures from Gameweek 10 to 15 seduced me like prime Demi Moore (Burnley, Fulham, West Brom an Newcastle at home) and being a fixtures guy all my life, I jumped in.

I mean, we’re talking about Pep Guardiola and the most attacking team in the country for the past three years. But one of the signs of a good FPL manager is to adapt. I didn’t and my rank shows that. After watching Manchester City play Newcastle United last night, I was convinced that the play with the Citizens is their defence not their attack. I know I’m stating the obvious but we have three viable defender options from Guardiola’s side (I own two of them), all three of whom are under £6.0m.

For what they offer for their price, I personally think that taking the odd rest/rotation from them is fine because of the significant value they offer. City are playing a different brand of football (all audition games for the Champions League knockout stages) and we need to re-align our thinking with their attack.

One manager who did adapt is my pod-partner and fellow Pro Pundit, Zophar. He’s been sitting on double City defence since his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and reaping the rewards. That move reeks of low-key shrewdness that can go a long way in having a good season. He was sitting at 970k on his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and is currently at 119k.

What about Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), though? Well, if we’re talking about the game yesterday, except for that one-on-one chance, he didn’t do much else.

Manchester City are eighth amongst all teams filtered by shots in the box over the last four matches. Yes, De Bruyne is shooting a lot and is playing further up the field, but I get the feeling that while he’s a clean striker of the ball, he takes a fair amount of time to get his shot off. As a result, a large chunk of his efforts just seem to get blocked.

Here’s some more data for you. These are the average expected per goals 90 minutes (xG/90) figures for Manchester City this year and the past three years:

SeasonxG/90
2020/211.6
2019/202.5
2018/192.2
2017/182.1

It just seems like us holding De Bruyne at the moment is for three reasons: ability, history and fear. Yes, he may explode and get a game with a penalty, an assist and a goal. But the more you actually watch Manchester City, the further away such a haul seems given that Pep Guardiola is channelling his inner Louis van Gaal these days.

I myself haven’t made the decision whether I’m holding or selling him but I will need to before Gameweek 16. To fund Harry Kane (£11.0m) into my team, I either need to downgrade Jack Grealish (£7.8m) to Raphinha (£5.4m) or move De Bruyne to Son Heung-min (£9.7M). It’s fair to say that I’ll be scouting some players tonight and Sadio Mane (£11.9m) is also someone I am monitoring closely.

A lot of you will be on a Wildcard while reading this article and I’d like to reiterate and say that don’t have a single-minded, tunnel-vision focus on just the Blank and Double Gameweeks. Every Gameweek counts and focusing on just Gameweek 18 and 19 isn’t going to help you. I urge again to look at the fixtures for players you are bringing in on your Wildcard before Gameweek 18 and after Gameweek 19.

At the moment, I’m looking at going chipless in Gameweek 18 and maybe using the Triple Captain chip in Gameweek 19. It is with this thought that I recruited both the Manchester City centre-backs before Gameweek 15 so as to play them in Gameweeks 18 and 19, and I particularly like their fixtures from Gameweek 20-22.

I’ll briefly talk about captaincy in Gameweeks 16 and 17. Scanning through the fixtures, Mohamed Salah (£12.6m) and the Spurs attacking duo stand out as captaincy options. The game against the Cottagers seems like a more Kane than Son game as I expect Fulham to sit deep, which means more chances closer to the box for the England international.

That said, Fulham are on a bit of a resurgence and are in the best five teams for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last four matches. Spurs, on the other hand, are second only to West Brom for expected goals (xG), but we’ve seen that this does not seem to matter with them too much because if they score, it is very highly likely that their premium FPL duo will be involved.

I just happen to trust Salah and Liverpool a lot more than Spurs at the moment, which is why Salah will likely have my armband in Gameweek 16. Unlike Fulham, Newcastle are in the worst five defences in the league for expected goals conceded in the last five matches.

Gameweek 17, though, is where I’m looking to captain a Spurs attacker. A match against Leeds United should be considered as a prime fixture for captaincy and on paper, this just looks like a Son game to me, given the space Leeds United offer their opposition. The one good thing about this game is that we know that Bielsa is stubborn about his style of play and we can rely on him to offer the opposition tonnes of space to run behind. This captaincy call in Gameweek 18 might be what influences my transfer decision later tonight, depending on how the games pan out.

I hope you’ve enjoyed reading what is possibly my last article for the calendar year. Here’s hoping that 2021 is a much better year for all of us.

As a side note, I would like to thank Fantasy Football Scout for the opportunity to write for them and all of you for reading my articles, supporting me and always providing me with valuable feedback.

Given the year that we’ve had, I’d just like to add a small note on mental health. I haven’t had a good season from an FPL point of view (so far) but I’m slowly beginning to climb the table. That hasn’t affected my enjoyment of the game at all.

Firstly, those of you that are struggling should remember that at the end of the day, this is just a game and that is exactly how you should treat it. If you ask me personally, I’m really enjoying this challenge of a bad start and am simply focusing on making good decisions week on week.

One of the best things about this game is that it enables you to talk to likeminded strangers from all over the world and develop new friendships. That is the essence of the FPL community. That is the primary. The rank is secondary. A lot of you ask me about my rank goal and I personally feel it is too early to think about that. FPL is about assimilating information between Gameweeks and then making decisions. Focus on that and make good decisions and leave the rest to chance because the rest isn’t in your control.

Secondly, the ‘perceived’ bad luck appears greater than it is because of the slow-drip of games that we are witnessing. So if you do end up watching a lot of matches, you do end up seeing a lot of chances missed, which just leads to a greater tilt. Just know that on an average, it takes four to five chances for a player to score a goal and these single incidents become magnified in your head because in most cases, you are watching one game at a time. Expectation management during FPL is a thing so that you don’t drive yourself crazy.

 I repeat, it’s just a game.


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1,821 Comments Post a Comment
  1. KGFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Best defender to replace Matip:

    1. Lowton
    2. C Taylor
    3. Holding (allows me another player for BGW)

    1. Maddamotha
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Taylor

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      2

    3. Fantasydreamer
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Holding

    4. King Kohli
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      2

    5. Gooner Kebab
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      2

    6. KGFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      TA!

  2. King Kohli
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Who scores more from gw 17 till gw 19?

    A. Cancelo (che, CRY)
    B. T. Silva (MCI, ful, lei)

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Thiago probably also 2 games #rotation

      1. King Kohli
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Think he misses out today and plays the next three.
        Considered two for Cancelo as I will anyway get him on my FH for gw 18.

    2. KGFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      A, can see him getting an attacking return

  3. Fantasydreamer
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Martinelli or saka for next 3?

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Lol look below.
      Prefer Martinelli if he gets minutes

    2. KGFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Martinelli risky but more upside

      Saka more assured starter but you can best hope for an odd assist

    3. Fantasydreamer
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Cheers both - my exact thoughts - I may try and run GW18 with 8/9 men and no free hit so think saka may be better choice for then.

  4. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    5th mid instead of Harrison
    Need some GW18 players
    Saka, Martinelli?

  5. Heiro
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Hi all,

    Mitchel -> Alioski or Ailing?

    Got 4.5m max

    1. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Ayling

  6. n-doggg
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Any changes to this WC team? Vardy and rashford in for Kane and son for DGW potentially

    Johnstone, McCarthy
    TAA, Taylor, Justin, kwp, alioski
    Salah, son, Bruno, raphinia, soucek
    Kane, adams, bamford

    1. Footieboot
        3 months, 25 days ago

        WHU defence needed for sure.

      • Ruffio
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Alioski place at risk when cbs come back for Leeds as Dallas back to lb and ayling rb

    2. Ruffio
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      How’s this for Wc team?

      Areola. Johnstone

      Kwp. Trent. Coufal. Justin. Dallas

      Raphinha. Salah. Bruno. Soucek. Lookman

      Bamford. Vardy. Kane

      Any hell appreciated.

      1. Gandalf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        The midfield after would worry me albeit 2 free transfers after would improve it downgrading the attack

        1. Ruffio
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Cheers. Could swap Kane and lookman for Adams and Son?

      2. JabariParkersEyelid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 25 days ago

        I think you have too much money in your attack and that will be a problem for later moves.

        Only need 1 of Vardy/Kane, redistribute more funds into your midfield.

    3. Footieboot
        3 months, 25 days ago

        WC Team - FH18 BB19

        McCarthy - Johnstone
        Taylor -Stones - Robbo - Coufal - Struijk
        Bruno - Salah - Son - Raphinha - Soucek
        Kane - Bamford - Adams

        Would it be worth it dropping Stones for a DGW Defender? Also, Robbo + Struijk or Matip + James. Unsure of Matip's fitness though.

        1. Ruffio
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Struijk by no means nailed

      • Jones Kusi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        RMWCT

        McCarthy Johnstone
        Robbo Stones Dallas Justin Taylor
        Salah Bruno Rashford Soucek Rapinha
        Firminho Adams Bamford.

        Plan is to BB gw19 and firminho is a 1 gw punt.

        1. D.Glynn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Firmino a place gone for Vardy? Very similar to mine

          1. Jones Kusi
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            I will get Vardy gw17

      • Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Can’t believe I have this guy but: chances of Mendy playing (city)?

        1. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Seems like Pep only giving him the odd game here and there. Would expect him to come in for one of the games soon though but certainly not nailed

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Thanks

      • fish&chips
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Sorry bottomed

        How important do we think the FH chip will be for GW29? My thoughts are that we would expect a lot of big teams to blank due to FA Cup QF commitments so if you don't have it you'll either end up:

        - bringing in poor players to field a team
        - accepting a poor score through not being able to put a full team out.

        For this reason I'm wondering if it might be better for me to WC in GW19 (was originally going to FH), and try and build to a decent BB in GW26 from there. Thoughts?

      • Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Those BB in 19, how many DGWers will you have

        Currently looking to have 12

        1. drughi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          13-14

        2. wilkinson
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          14

        3. Kip
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          I’m looking at 14 or 15

        4. OptimusBlack
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Robbo Dallas Coufal James
          Salah Burno Adams Bamford
          That's what i have now planning to get
          Raphinha Vardy Maddison Soucek and Fabianski

        5. Concrete
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Cheers all

      • Vertigo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Is Holgate nailed?

      • Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Would you do grealish —> raphinha so that you can go KDB to mane next week?

      • Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        KDB & Bamford -> Zaha & Kane for free? FHing 19.

        1. D.Glynn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Do not sell Bamford

        2. fish&chips
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          No I don't think so this week, especially with bamford now on pens

        3. Puntillimon
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Keep bambam. Perhaps kdb to son

        4. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Why would you lose Bamford? On pens now also so even better than before

      • D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 25 days ago

        On a Wc. Aguero as 1gw punt to hold Vardy place. Y or N

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Not directly Vardy due to rest?

          1. D.Glynn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 25 days ago

            I reckon so that's why I'm thinking of Aguero for 1 gw

      • Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Is it worth -8 to replace Grealish and DCL? Which combo?
        A. Raphinha Vardy
        B. Maddison Martial
        C. Rashford Adams

        1. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          No.

      • Boss Hogg
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Mahrez worth a punt?

        1. drughi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          good one

        2. Gooner Kebab
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          U know the risk, a 0 or a 10

        3. fish&chips
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          As an owner for the last 3 weeks I'd say no. But he should start although I've been saying that for 2 weeks already

          1. fish&chips
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Also have to consider that city aren't prolific anymore. So it's not like he plays every other game but has the chance to be involved in 3+ goals whenever he plays

            1. OptimusBlack
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              Same as u bro am selling after this GW immediately

      • Gooner Kebab
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Play one
        A) DCL (MCI)
        B) Balbuena (sot)
        C) Neto (mun)

        1. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          A

      • KAPTAIN KANE
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Kane or Salah captain?

        1. Puntillimon
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Kane if you have him

          1. KAPTAIN KANE
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Cheers

        2. IRBOX ⚽
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Spurs worst xG in the league over the last four (apart from WBA). Eye test they have been absolutely dreadful. Fulham are resurgent and ranked 5th for xGc over the same period. Therein lies your answer

          1. KAPTAIN KANE
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Cheers Irbox

        3. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Salah

          1. KAPTAIN KANE
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Thanks Houldsworth

      • wolves_simmo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Who to captain?

        A) Bruno - WOL
        B) Salah - new

        1. The Units
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          A

        2. Ozils Nozle
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          It’s a tough one but Salah for me. Extra couple days rest against depleted side. Can see Bruno doing alright though as Wolves a bit leaky. Toss a coin

        3. Puntillimon
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Salah

        4. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          B

      • PLerix
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        A) Vardy, Raphina, Bowen/JWP, Pope
        B) Rashford, Adams, Maddison, Meslier

      • Jet5605
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Is Justin a wise pick on a WC? I read posts on here yesterday that Peirera could be back?

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Pereira back mid Jan earliest.

        2. Marcin the Pole
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Justin will keep his spot. He's been immense.

        3. Pep Roulette
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Justin will surely play for the whole of January

        4. Mr. O'Connell
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          He's been "back" since week 3

      • Boss Hogg
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Bench one of these:

        a. DCL
        b. Cancelo
        c. Dallas

        ???

        1. T88MYE
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          I’d go DCL

        2. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          C

        3. joeydordon
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          I went dcl same choice

      • Marcin the Pole
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Anyone else mental enough to go with no Spurs for the next 2? Is it a suicidal idea?

        1. Boss Hogg
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          I’ve gone with triple Spurs!

          1. Brimble82
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            This.

        2. Kip
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          I’m having none for gw16&17. Doesnt bother me. I have good captain options and rather use my FT to get as many DGWers as possible for BB19.Will get some on FH gw18

        3. IRBOX ⚽
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          None required this week, will need one next GW against Leeds

          1. Vertigo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Irbox, sorry to but in here, but is Holgate nailed for the foreseeable future?

        4. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Toyed with idea but chickened out and got Kane in and will reassess next week whether to go KDB > Son or Mané

      • Kip
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        For GW 17 & 19, would you rather have:

        A) Fabianski + Raphinha
        B) Johnstone + Maddison
        C) Johnstone + Mount

        1. Houldsworth Hatter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          A

      • T88MYE
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        I’m a little stuck - is this good for 16?

        McCarthy,
        Dias, Dier, Chillwell, Dallas,
        KDB, Salah(c), Bruno, Son
        Bamford, Adams

        Steer, Watkins, Justin, Stephens

        1m ITB & 1FT.

        - Do I roll and use 2 next week in prep for 18/19.
        - Make a move now? What would we suggest. Chillwell > Creswell/Coufal?

      • Pep Roulette
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        WC locked. Going Mane(C) over Salah!

        1. D.Glynn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 25 days ago

          No Salah or double up?

          1. Pep Roulette
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Double up

        2. IRBOX ⚽
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          What’s the rationale there mate? Pure punt? Salah’s attacking stats plus pens make him the obvious choice imo

          1. Pep Roulette
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Mane was central to everything yesterday! I might switch to Salah if I want to play safe!

      • Tshelby
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Burn a ft??
        How to upgrade this team?

        2FT 0.0 ITB

        Martinez
        Chilwell, KWP, Dias, Coufal, Kilman
        Grealish, Bruno, KdB, Salah, Soucek
        Bamford, DCL, Adams

      • Khalico
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Who to captain for this week and why?
        Son, KDB, Grealish, Salah, Bruno
        DCL and Bamford

        Im looking between Bruno/Son, maybe Salah.