Pro Pundit Teams

Three-time top 200 finisher Lateriser on City, captaincy and the Blanks and Doubles

The reigning FPL champion of India, Lateriser, shares his thoughts ahead of the Gameweek 16 deadline.


Things are moving incredibly fast in the Fantasy Premier League world and it’s important to stay on top of things and react. Traditionally, this is the period where the engaged FPL managers make ground on the casuals (who are getting not so casual, year on year).

For your information, I am writing this article on the morning after Saturday’s games so the piece will not contain relevant information from Sunday’s matches. Due to the current fifth-gear nature of FPL, this will be a freestyle ramble of all things I want to address.

First up, we need to talk about Manchester City. They are one of the prime culprits for my poor start to the season. In my Gameweek 3 Wildcard, I got in a triple City midfield and have had two City attackers for the most part of the season.

That explains my rank (1.7 million at the time of writing, which is a lot better than the 3.1 million it was in Gameweek 12). It has taken me so long to readjust my thinking in this case and I have definitely failed to adapt. Their fixtures from Gameweek 10 to 15 seduced me like prime Demi Moore (Burnley, Fulham, West Brom an Newcastle at home) and being a fixtures guy all my life, I jumped in.

I mean, we’re talking about Pep Guardiola and the most attacking team in the country for the past three years. But one of the signs of a good FPL manager is to adapt. I didn’t and my rank shows that. After watching Manchester City play Newcastle United last night, I was convinced that the play with the Citizens is their defence not their attack. I know I’m stating the obvious but we have three viable defender options from Guardiola’s side (I own two of them), all three of whom are under £6.0m.

For what they offer for their price, I personally think that taking the odd rest/rotation from them is fine because of the significant value they offer. City are playing a different brand of football (all audition games for the Champions League knockout stages) and we need to re-align our thinking with their attack.

One manager who did adapt is my pod-partner and fellow Pro Pundit, Zophar. He’s been sitting on double City defence since his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and reaping the rewards. That move reeks of low-key shrewdness that can go a long way in having a good season. He was sitting at 970k on his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and is currently at 119k.

What about Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), though? Well, if we’re talking about the game yesterday, except for that one-on-one chance, he didn’t do much else.

Manchester City are eighth amongst all teams filtered by shots in the box over the last four matches. Yes, De Bruyne is shooting a lot and is playing further up the field, but I get the feeling that while he’s a clean striker of the ball, he takes a fair amount of time to get his shot off. As a result, a large chunk of his efforts just seem to get blocked.

Here’s some more data for you. These are the average expected per goals 90 minutes (xG/90) figures for Manchester City this year and the past three years:

SeasonxG/90
2020/211.6
2019/202.5
2018/192.2
2017/182.1

It just seems like us holding De Bruyne at the moment is for three reasons: ability, history and fear. Yes, he may explode and get a game with a penalty, an assist and a goal. But the more you actually watch Manchester City, the further away such a haul seems given that Pep Guardiola is channelling his inner Louis van Gaal these days.

I myself haven’t made the decision whether I’m holding or selling him but I will need to before Gameweek 16. To fund Harry Kane (£11.0m) into my team, I either need to downgrade Jack Grealish (£7.8m) to Raphinha (£5.4m) or move De Bruyne to Son Heung-min (£9.7M). It’s fair to say that I’ll be scouting some players tonight and Sadio Mane (£11.9m) is also someone I am monitoring closely.

A lot of you will be on a Wildcard while reading this article and I’d like to reiterate and say that don’t have a single-minded, tunnel-vision focus on just the Blank and Double Gameweeks. Every Gameweek counts and focusing on just Gameweek 18 and 19 isn’t going to help you. I urge again to look at the fixtures for players you are bringing in on your Wildcard before Gameweek 18 and after Gameweek 19.

At the moment, I’m looking at going chipless in Gameweek 18 and maybe using the Triple Captain chip in Gameweek 19. It is with this thought that I recruited both the Manchester City centre-backs before Gameweek 15 so as to play them in Gameweeks 18 and 19, and I particularly like their fixtures from Gameweek 20-22.

I’ll briefly talk about captaincy in Gameweeks 16 and 17. Scanning through the fixtures, Mohamed Salah (£12.6m) and the Spurs attacking duo stand out as captaincy options. The game against the Cottagers seems like a more Kane than Son game as I expect Fulham to sit deep, which means more chances closer to the box for the England international.

That said, Fulham are on a bit of a resurgence and are in the best five teams for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last four matches. Spurs, on the other hand, are second only to West Brom for expected goals (xG), but we’ve seen that this does not seem to matter with them too much because if they score, it is very highly likely that their premium FPL duo will be involved.

I just happen to trust Salah and Liverpool a lot more than Spurs at the moment, which is why Salah will likely have my armband in Gameweek 16. Unlike Fulham, Newcastle are in the worst five defences in the league for expected goals conceded in the last five matches.

Gameweek 17, though, is where I’m looking to captain a Spurs attacker. A match against Leeds United should be considered as a prime fixture for captaincy and on paper, this just looks like a Son game to me, given the space Leeds United offer their opposition. The one good thing about this game is that we know that Bielsa is stubborn about his style of play and we can rely on him to offer the opposition tonnes of space to run behind. This captaincy call in Gameweek 18 might be what influences my transfer decision later tonight, depending on how the games pan out.

I hope you’ve enjoyed reading what is possibly my last article for the calendar year. Here’s hoping that 2021 is a much better year for all of us.

As a side note, I would like to thank Fantasy Football Scout for the opportunity to write for them and all of you for reading my articles, supporting me and always providing me with valuable feedback.

Given the year that we’ve had, I’d just like to add a small note on mental health. I haven’t had a good season from an FPL point of view (so far) but I’m slowly beginning to climb the table. That hasn’t affected my enjoyment of the game at all.

Firstly, those of you that are struggling should remember that at the end of the day, this is just a game and that is exactly how you should treat it. If you ask me personally, I’m really enjoying this challenge of a bad start and am simply focusing on making good decisions week on week.

One of the best things about this game is that it enables you to talk to likeminded strangers from all over the world and develop new friendships. That is the essence of the FPL community. That is the primary. The rank is secondary. A lot of you ask me about my rank goal and I personally feel it is too early to think about that. FPL is about assimilating information between Gameweeks and then making decisions. Focus on that and make good decisions and leave the rest to chance because the rest isn’t in your control.

Secondly, the ‘perceived’ bad luck appears greater than it is because of the slow-drip of games that we are witnessing. So if you do end up watching a lot of matches, you do end up seeing a lot of chances missed, which just leads to a greater tilt. Just know that on an average, it takes four to five chances for a player to score a goal and these single incidents become magnified in your head because in most cases, you are watching one game at a time. Expectation management during FPL is a thing so that you don’t drive yourself crazy.

 I repeat, it’s just a game.


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1,821 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    On wildcard, for GW16-17+DGW19, which one?

    A. James + Maddison + Martial
    B. Ogbonna + Soucek + Kane

    1. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      B

    2. DandyDon
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Martial is the other one I like the look of for DGW but will probably go Vardy. Not having Kane for next two is a worry though, I'd probably go down the Kane route as you're on a WC and can always switch to Martial or other for DGW.

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        That’s what I thought...but could it be better not to plan any transfers, as there could be injuries and covid cases.?..besides Martial and Maddison have very good last 4gw stats.

  2. DandyDon
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    Had my first great gameweek of the season. 72 points gave me a week score of 51,000. Double leeds defence, KWP, Matip, Bruno, Mane, Bamford suprinsingly all it took. If only i'd left the captancy on Mane from the previous gameweek as KDB failed.
    Sold him for Salah so I can stop hiding behind sofas.

    DCL to Vardy for a -4??
    Surely Vardy starts on the bench with only two days between fixtures so I should just wait a week?

    1. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Hold

    2. Konstaapeli
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Nice one! I'd wait a week.

      1. DandyDon
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        thanks yea think so.

    3. james 101
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Vardy’s form is outstanding.

      One of the few players worth a hit

  3. Concrete
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    With DGW 19 in mind

    Lamptey to Dallas
    Grealish to Raphina

    Y or N.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Yes

  4. james 101
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    Bottomed...

    GTG / bench right?

    Martinez
    Robbo Stones Zouma
    Salah Rashford Bruno Soucek Son
    Bambam Vardy

    (Steer Dallas 3.9 4.4)

    (0.5m in the bank but no FTs)

    Thanks!!

    1. james 101
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Anyone?

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      That'll do James, that'll do.

      1. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Ha. Cheers!

    3. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Gtg

      1. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Thanks!

  5. Tarzan
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    Martinez + Zouma -> Robertson +McCarthy?

    FH in Gw18

    Sounds very wrong to remove high scoring players, but i feel Aston Villa have very difficult fixtures and Robbo has high ceiling in DGW

    Too punty?

    1. Tarzan
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      For free.. As i have 2FTs

    2. james 101
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Martinez fixtures are bad for a few.

      I think I’ll transfer him out too.

      Though I’m considering Pope

  6. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 24 days ago

    Would you feel comfortable keeping either DCL or Grealish for DGW or ditch both?
    Grealish is a long term player I think but could always get him back GW20 og 21 and 2 games exciting always so someone like Raphina punt for 1 week...

    1. Concrete
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Next 3 fixtures alongside the doubles, I’m more inclined to move on and get back

      It’s just the value tied up him in

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Grealish that is

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      I have kept Grealish and dumped DCL a couple of weeks ago.

    3. james 101
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Ive just ditched both.

  7. Footieboot
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Is Williams a good shout given Matip's injury?

      1. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Could be incredible value

      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        The other one, Phillips is it?, looks a better bet BUT no would avoid both

    • Jet5605
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      On WC. Who gets the last striker spot? Can bring in Adams or Antonio ahead of DGW19 if I go for Wood but am already planning Kane > Vardy in DGW19. Should I pick Adams to save a transfer or does Wood's next two fixtures make him the better choice?

      A - Adams
      B - Wood

      McCarthy - Johnstone
      Robbo - Justin - Balbuena - Taylor - Dallas
      Salah - Bruno - Son - Soucek - Rafinha
      Kane - Bamford - Wood

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        A

    • Akshatjazz
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 24 days ago

      play McCarthy or Martinez ?

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Mc

        1. Akshatjazz
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 24 days ago

          play Kwp or Coufal ?

      2. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Mc

    • willos_wanderers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Do I play:

      A) Martinez (Che)
      B) Meslier (Wba)

      1) Justin (Cpl)
      2) James (AVL)

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        B
        1

      2. Akshatjazz
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 24 days ago

        B & 2

        1. Akshatjazz
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 24 days ago

          sry its 1

      3. GreennRed
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        A1

    • Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Would be so nice to have Antonio back for dgw but can we trust him with staying fit?

      Che Adams a safer option ?

      1. Akshatjazz
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 24 days ago

        you can bring Rodrigo from Leeds and then upgrade somewhere else

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Cheers. Have klich already though

      2. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Coin toss mate

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Cheers .

          Might go Adams and soucek and Bowen in midfield.

          Gl

      3. Jet5605
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Not sure Antonio would be risked to play two games three days apart in the DGW

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          True

      4. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Adams probably safer but leave it until the last minute. Antonio could play and build minutes before the double

    • The Head-Ake
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Why are people going for Cancelo now? His next 2 aren't that great. BB in 18 would get him in and he doesn't have DGW19

      1. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Chasing points?

        1. The Head-Ake
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          As in?

      2. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Because they’ve kept 8 clean sheets in 10. I could easily see them keeping Everton at bay give they’re missing attacking assets and have only averaged one goal per game over last 7 and Chelsea are on poor form. Plus he looks good attacking and Pep said he’s ‘incredible’ in regards to his fitness and how many games he can play.

    • Harper
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      No luck with Goalkeepers this season, Not a single cleansheet in 15 gameweeks! Went for Fabianski a few gameweeks ago, should have just got Martinez. I was not expecting 4 CS in 4.

      1. james 101
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Pope?

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Think my keeper kepts 2 cs only so far

    • Jet5605
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 24 days ago

      Which one starts this week?

      A - Adams (WHU)
      B - Rafinha (wba)
      C - Justin (cry)

      1. Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        B

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        A

    • Vazza
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Who would you keep on a WC?

        A. Grealish
        Bought for 7.2m.
        Difficult fixtures now but easier fixtures from GW20.
        One YC away from suspension (until GW21)

        B. DCL
        Bought at 7.0m
        Easier fixtures now but difficult fixtures from GW20
        Two YCs away from suspension (until GW19)

        1. Concrete
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          B

        2. Pépé Pig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          A

      • Concrete
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        With DGW 19 in mind

        Lamptey to Dallas
        Grealish to Raphina

        Y or N..

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          I'd keep grealish one more week

        2. Heiro
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Lamptey apparently due back the GW before the DGW but his fixtures aren't great...

          I have him and holding at the moment but might go to Struijk if he's nailed for a while.

        3. Concrete
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Thanks!

      • Heiro
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Is anyone due back soon for Leeds at the back?
        Looking at Aiyling but Struijk 0.6 less.

        1. FPL.team
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Llorente

        2. Concrete
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Ayling maybe a better option anyway and worth the extra?

      • CAP
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        G2g? Banking the FT.

        Martinez
        TAA Taylor KWP
        Salah (C) Grealish KDB Bruno
        DCL Adams Bamford

        Steer, Dallas, Coufal, Bissouma

      • karsworde
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        RMWCT Please!

        McCarthy | Johnstone
        Robertson | Justin | Dallas | Coufal | C. Taylor
        Salah | Bruno | Son | Soucek | Reed
        Kane | Bamford | Wood

        0.5 ITB

        Will transfer Son out before GW19!

      • Paul Psychic Octopus
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Who would you bench (1st sub)?

        A. JWP (WHU)
        B. Watkins (che)
        C. Bamford (wba)

        1. Garlana
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Definitely not C

        2. Harper
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          A

      • pug_chops
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Pick 1 to bench
        A) Zouma (AVL H)
        B) Taylor (SHU H)
        C) Dallas (WBA A)
        D) Grealish (CHE A)
        E) Adams (WHU H)

        1. T88MYE
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          I’ve gone D

          1. T88MYE
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            Well..I’ve benched Watkins

          2. pug_chops
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            Interesting. He seemed an obvious starter but now I'm not so sure

        2. Zim0
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          A

          1. pug_chops
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            Thanks. I think I might just do that

      • T88MYE
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Lost on a few pages back.
        I’m a little stuck - is this good for 16?

        McCarthy,
        Dias, Dier, Chillwell, Dallas,
        KDB, Salah(c), Bruno, Son
        Bamford, Adams

        Steer, Watkins, Justin, Stephens

        1m ITB & 1FT.

        - Do I roll and use 2 next week in prep for 18/19.
        - Make a move now & What would we suggest?

      • Vovhund
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 24 days ago

        Bottomed:

        Please rate this WC-team with BB GW19 in mind:

        McCarthy-Areola
        TAA-Justin-Dallas-Coufal-Taylor
        Salah-Bruno-Son-Soucek-Raphinha
        Kane-Bamford-Antonio

        Could go Kane to Vardy and Taylor to Reece James GW19.

        Antonio - I know... But I'm betting on him being ready for DGW 19

        1. Vazza
            3 months, 24 days ago

            Antonio is a bold move. He won’t play two 90 games (I hope you realise that)

            1. Vovhund
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 24 days ago

              With GW 19 three weeks away he might. Otherwise I would be happy with 120 min combined. If he's not fit at all he could easily be made into Che Adams

        2. karsworde
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Bench two:

          A) Justin (cry)
          B) Coufal (sou)
          C) C.Taylor (SHU)
          D) Soucek (sou)
          E) Dallas (wba)

          Got McCarthy in goal. I've currently got D & E on the bench

          1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            B and A

        3. Dark Side Of The Loon!
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          With no chips and just FTs can field 8 in BGW18 and 9 DGW players in 19. Does TC Salah look good for double. Will have the following team:

          Martinez*
          Dallas Coufal Creswell
          Salah Mane Bruno Son* Soucek
          Vardy Bamford

          1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            Or even James over Creswell

        4. Dosh
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Grealish --> Son for a -4?

          1. Pépé Pig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 24 days ago

            No

        5. tabby98
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 24 days ago

          Pick 2 for a WC team
          A) Justin
          B) Dallas
          C) Stones

          1. Vazza
              3 months, 24 days ago

              C

              1. tabby98
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 24 days ago

                and the second?

          2. Vazza
              3 months, 24 days ago

              Who’s a better pick

              A. Alioski
              B. Balbuena

              I’m likely to BB in DGW19

              1. Vazza
                  3 months, 24 days ago

                  Anyone please?

                • Fozzyb34r
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 24 days ago

                  A

              2. aardvark22
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 24 days ago

                Play Raphinha (WBA A) or Soucek (SOU A)?

              3. Drogo
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 24 days ago

                Ok, think I am finally done.

                WC team

                Johnson - McCarthy
                Zouma - TAA - Dallas - Coufal - Justin
                Mane - Salah - Bruno - Soucek - Raphina
                Wood - Bamford - Adams

                FH on GW 18
                BB on GW 19

                G2G?

                1. OptimusBlack
                  • 7 Years
                  3 months, 24 days ago

                  Great