Pro Pundits - Lateriser

‘Enjoy the ride, adapt and stop planning’ – FPL’s reigning India winner says to focus on the short-term

The Double Gameweeks are here.

But it hasn’t been a smooth ride. Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers have had so many unexpected detours (a lot of off-roading) on the way, but battered, bruised and with a lot of dents, we’re finally here.

Just know that you are not the only ones facing these twists and turns. It won’t be the last time unexpected rescheduling happens either.

FPL managers all over the globe have been meandering their way through these unexpected times and you’ve just got to enjoy the ride and adapt. It’s the only option you have really.

So what do I intend to do differently? First off, stop planning. Be more short-sighted. Normally, when making moves, I look at the next five to six Gameweeks.

Instead, I am going to play for the points available and have a more short-term approach when planning my moves.

This means I’ll likely look at the next three Gameweeks when making my moves and no more than that.

Why? We could literally have unexpected cancellations and changes (Double Gameweeks) at any time. So planning mid-term doesn’t have much value in my opinion.

Secondly, and I have said this multiple times this season, I’m all for wanting to chase price rises, but honestly, I can’t say it enough, this is the season to delay your transfers as far as possible.

The fantasy landscape is changing daily and new bits of information are appearing on a daily basis, which might drastically affect your transfer strategy.

You might think that your transfers might not be affordable the next day, but when you look closer, there is always another way.

Has the recent Double Gameweek news for Aston Villa and Newcastle and the lack of a double for Leeds United and Southampton changed my plans?

FPL Transfer Traps Gameweek 6 1

I currently own only Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) from the two teams and before Blank Gameweek 18, I sold Jack Grealish (£7.7m) and Che Adams (£6.0m).

I had heard murmurs of the Leeds vs Southampton game being called off and I just don’t trust the fitness of Villa’s players and the lure of two premium Manchester big hitters was too much for me.

It was a gamble and it won’t be the last time I’ll need to roll the dice this season.

It just seems like a season of difficult decisions given the sheer number of consistent big hitters but it is what it is.

Just a small note on Aston Villa, the nature of the COVID-19 outbreak is unknown at the time of writing and we don’t necessarily know how the squad has been affected.

It is a very thin squad that is very reliant on 10 to 14 players and if the majority of the first team squad is affected, I don’t know how much I’d trust them.

Keeping this in mind, their players come into the don’t buy/ don’t sell category for me until we know more about them.

Auto Draft 1

Speaking of difficult decisions, one big decision that FPL managers will likely be making this season is whether to sell Son Heung-min (£9.8m) or Harry Kane (£11.1m) for a premium Double Gameweek asset in Gameweek 19.

The one thing I’ll say is if you’re doing it to get in a premium big hitter like Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) or Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m) who are genuine captaincy options, then it makes sense to me.

If not, it becomes a very difficult decision (one that might not necessarily be the right one) given their fixture in Gameweek 19.

Then it comes down to gut and the kind of FPL manager you are.

If I was to hold one of Son or Kane, at the moment I’d lean towards holding Son primarily because of the price difference.

I see a lot of people selling their Arsenal and Leeds United assets for Double Gameweek players.

It is important to not have the blinkers on for the doubles because both of these teams in addition to Spurs have very good games in Gameweek 19 and it might not be the smartest thing to sell them just to buy additional minutes in the Double Gameweek.

You need to look at the next couple of Gameweeks while making these decisions and then make the call.

A few things I have noticed in the last few weeks is that players like Son, Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) and KDB have looked very tired in the last 30 minutes of games and I feel like in comparison, Liverpool and Chelsea both having some time off will play into their hands.

I’m personally expecting an upturn in performances for both of these teams in the coming weeks.

Having some time on the training ground with the full team without playing games can be underestimated and I think that will show.

It is worth noting Chelsea have all their players fit now including their full-backs and it’s easy to forget that when they, along with Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) were fit, Chelsea were creating chances for fun.

They have a decent looking Double Gameweek (both Leicester and Fulham are in the worst five teams for big chances conceded at home this season) and I quite like their fixtures in the mid-term as well.

There are some good picks in that team both in attack and in defence should you fancy it.

Some of you are wondering about whether you should Bench Boost or not.

In my opinion if you have players from the likes of Leeds who have a good Gameweek 19 fixture, I’d still use the chip and play the Bench Boost.

The case for you to Bench Boost is even stronger, especially if you have used your Free Hit chip in Gameweek 18.

I say that is the case because if you wildcard in Gameweek 25 for the Double Gameweek in 26, your bench spots will need to be likely focused on Blank Gameweek 29 and that is something to consider while you’re making your decision.

Otherwise, one of the prime advantages of having used the Bench Boost chip is so that it’s out of the way and you can focus funds on your starting 11 (plus two bench spots) rather than spreading them over 15 players.

It is very difficult to give an answer with regards to this conundrum because it is very team dependant but generally when it comes to using your chips, there will be many more mini Double Gameweeks in play the way the season is going, so there are going to be more opportunities than you think for chip deployment.

I intentionally decide to just talk a little bit of macro-philosophy with this article ahead of the Double Gameweek but all of you are aware of the numbers and the good picks so I thought it might be worthwhile to outline a few things that might not have caught your attention.

I’ve been making steady progress with my season after a terrible start.

Despite having games called off for my Manchester City and Spurs assets and despite not deploying my Free Hit chip in Gameweek 18, I’ve climbed from a 3.1 million Overall Rank (OR) in Gameweek 12 to a 1.54 million OR at present.

I was very happy to get a 300,000 sized green arrow in Gameweek 18 despite taking a hit, owning nine players and not deploying the Free Hit chip which tells you that quality matters over quantity.

If the odds are stacked against you in a particular Gameweek in terms of numbers of players, it still isn’t the end of the world because if you have the right players, you could still climb up the table.

Also, it is worth mentioning that Zophar & I had the pleasure of interviewing the creator of LiveFPL.net recently and it was a pleasure getting to chat with Ragabolly.

He’s a PHD in quantum physics and still claims to not be a genius.

He’s a very humble guy and it’s an interview worth watching if you haven’t already. You can see it here.

We also did our standard podcast of The FPL Wire where we talk about Double Gameweek 19 in depth which you will find below. Thanks for reading and good luck this Gameweek!

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

5,989 Comments Post a Comment
  1. I Must Break You
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 2 days ago

    What's the latest news on Fabianski. Is he good to go?

    1. UNDERWORLD7
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Haha wondering the same, think I saw a tweet of him training earlier today but not sure

      1. I Must Break You
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Playing my BB relies solely on whether he's going to play both games or not

  2. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 2 days ago

    GTG?

    Martinez
    Coufal - Robertson - Dias - James
    KDB (C) - Salah - Grealish - Fernandes - Soucek
    Antonio

    (Peacock-Farrell) (Bamford) (Dallas) (Brewster)

    0 FT - 1.3 ITB

    1. MarkoSD
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      gtg

      1. Reeker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        TC KDB a possibility by the morning

    2. Reeker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Considering James to Cancelo (-4) and TC KDB

  3. Bobby_Baggio
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 2 days ago

    Sorry for long post. Which of the below transfers? Have no city which worries me. 0.3m ITB.

    Johnstone
    Justin - Robbo - Coufal - Balbuena
    Salah - Son - Bruno - Soucek
    Kane - Bamford

    McCarthy - Raphinha - Adams - Alioski

    A) Robbo + Balbuena + Raphinha > Dias + Stones + Foden -8.
    B) Robbo + Balbuena + Raphinia + Adams > Dias + Stones + Foden + Antonio -12 (Will BB).
    C) Robbo + Raphinha > Dias + Foden -4.
    D) Robbo + Balbuena > Stones + Dias -4.
    D) Robbo + Balbuena + Son > Stones + Dawson + KDB -8

    1. MarkoSD
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      d

    2. Sloane426
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Why are you selling robbo?

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        money to buy others

  4. Avery
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 2 days ago

    Fplstats
    Looks like we’re going to get lots of action soon today. Currently some key ones..

    Predicting risers
    Antonio
    KDB
    Vardy
    Stones
    Mitchell

    Predicting fallers
    Son
    Zaha
    JWP
    Lewis
    McCarthy
    DCL

    1. Shatner's Bassoon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      There's a list of about 30 players apparently dropping. Not sure how much to trust it.
      Kane not far off a drop too.

  5. jimmy.floyd
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 2 days ago

    A Holding Kane to Coutal Vardy (-4)
    B Kane Son to Antonio Salah (-4)
    Have Cresswell...

    1. MarkoSD
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      a

    2. Boly Would
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      A

  6. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 2 days ago

    mccarthy + raphinha + Dallas + Adams.... Worth BB ?

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Probably

    2. Liastro ⭐️
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Same as me - as I have WC I’m gonna save for later I think

    3. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 2 days ago

      Not yet. They could all get a DGW in GW 23.

    4. Corona is not good 4 U
        3 months, 2 days ago

        I have the same and do not benchboost. All have only one game. There will come better chances.

      • MarkoSD
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        no

    5. Corona is not good 4 U
        3 months, 2 days ago

        1) Play Kane
        2) Kane -> Vardy for - 4?

        Thank you!

        1. LSK
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          1

        2. MarkoSD
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          1

        3. TFP
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          really finely balanced.

          *Reasons not to do it*

          Vardy is now 34 yrs old, isn't quite the player he was, and has some recent history of being rested [e.g. on 28 Dec].

          Kane has SHU

          Kane will have a catchup double soon.

          *Reasons to do it*

          Vardy hasn't played in nearly a fortnight, so really needs the minutes -> He's certain to start the first DGW... and then will almost certainly start the second because it's a 6 pointer vs Chelsea.

          Kane has Liverpool in GW20.

          Vardy has Leeds & Fulham on the horizon.

      • Willmissudimitrypayet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Wood to Antonio?

        A) Yes!
        B) No, save FT

        Thanks guys, feel free to explain too if you want

        1. LSK
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          A

        2. MarkoSD
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          a

      • xuwei
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Coufal definitely going to start both? Wondering if I should consider Ogbonna

      • HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Punty pick.....
        A. Werner
        B. Jesus
        C. Firmino

        1. Underdog333
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 2 days ago

          C or A, Werner hasnt shown me enough so real punty, bobby has a chance of a return

        2. HaffNanner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          A

        3. MarkoSD
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          a

      • UNDERWORLD7
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Is Fabianski fit does anyone know?

        Many thanks.

        1. HuttonDressedasLahm
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Back in training, but...

          1. UNDERWORLD7
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Ahh yeah true, ok cheers then bud

        2. Toughie
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          According to the man himself, he is fit

          1. UNDERWORLD7
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Ok cheers man!

      • All about the galacticos
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        -4 for Antonio, or no hits play Holding?

        1. UNDERWORLD7
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Play Holding

      • Tmel
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Still have wildcard left but no FH:

        1) TC KDB
        2) TC Salah
        3) Save TC

        1. HaffNanner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          3

      • FingerNFudge
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Bruno or rashford?

          1. HaffNanner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Bruno

        • Nespinha
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Would you BB with this bench?

          Mccarthy, KWP, Raphinha, Taylor

          1. Underdog333
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 2 days ago

            No

          2. aborg
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            I can only see Leeds with some points potential, the rest are 2 pointers probably bevause of the opposition they face.

            1. Nespinha
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              It would be to use a chip now. Having a benching keeper won't last forever

        • HaffNanner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Martinez (Button)
          Robertson Dias Coufal (Dallas Mitchell)
          Salah Fernandes Grealish Soucek (Stephens)
          Kane Vardy Bamford

          A) Grealish, Kane > KDB, Antonio (-4)

          B) Robertson, Stephens, Kane > Cancelo, KDB, Brewster (-8)

          C) Leave it. Ride without KDB

        • Amans94
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Using BB, A or B?

            A) DCL, Balbuena —> Antonio, Cancelo (Brewster as 3rd sub, -4)
            B) DCL, Balbuena, Brewster —> Antonio, Targett, Watkins (Dallas 3rd sub, -8)

            Thanks.

          • OptimusBlack
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Who to TC ?
            A- MO Salah
            B- Vardy

          • corderz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            A) DCL Raphinha Forster > Antonio Gundogan Johnstone (use BB)

            B) DCL Son Raphina > Antonio KDB Burke

            C) DCL Son Raphina > Antonio Sterling Smith-

            1. corderz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              Martinez Forster
              Robbo Chilwell Cancelo Coufal Dallas
              Salah Bruno Son Raphina Soucek
              Vardy DCL Bamford

          • turd ferguson
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Salah (c) it is...until the morning then I will toss the coin again

            1. Shatner's Bassoon
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              Precisely why I'm planning a late lie-in

          • aborg
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Thinking to use BB. I do not have a playing bench goalie and not sure what to do with Mings (who has double GW but not sure of AVL outcome) and Kilman who has a single GW but is not assured a start.

            A) Should I keep Mings and do Kilman to Cancelo?
            B) Should I just do Mings to Cancelo and save money to buy a goalie for a -8 hit?
            C) Any ideas?

          • mgilbert86
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Am I crazy to not feel confident holding KDB and Fernandes into this GW? Feel like chances its a single for both are too high for my liking.

            1. Mr.K
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              You'd be crazy to feel confident this season.

          • damiang2233
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Foden or Soucek for Neto?

            1. Nightf0x
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              Same in here add traore ghazi gundogan to the miz too

          • Coaly
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            C.Taylor to West Ham’s Dawson?

            1. popcoin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              yeh!

              1. Corona is not good 4 U
                  3 months, 2 days ago

                  This will help not much.

                  1. Corona is not good 4 U
                      3 months, 2 days ago

                      Sorry, wrong answer.

                • Corona is not good 4 U
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    I think Dawson because he has two games. Taylor will play not against West Hame and will get only one point against Liverpool.

                    1. Corona is not good 4 U
                        3 months, 2 days ago

                        sorry ... West Ham ...

                  • Nightf0x
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    Leno
                    Target dias saiss (dalas dier)
                    Salah son bruno neto (saka)
                    Dcl vardy bamford

                    Which?

                    A) FH
                    B) dcl neto -4 to antonio/watkins & gundogan/foden/ghazi/traore/soucek
                    C) do B) + saka out -8 & bench bamford
                    D) do B) + sais out -8 to coufal

                  • popcoin
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    Evening folks. Quick sanity check:

                    Raphinha -> Salah
                    Kane -> Davis
                    (-4)

                    Current team:
                    Martinez (4.0)
                    Dias Stones Coufal Saiss (Dunne)
                    KdB Bruno Son Soucek (Raphinha)
                    Vardy Kane (Brewster)

                  • Flynny
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    Taken a  - 4 for this bb squad. 0.4mitb

                    What to do with balbuena?

                    A....balbuena to holding - 8

                    B....robbo and balbuena to Chilwell and cancelo  - 12

                    Martinez Johnstone
                    Robbo dias coufal dallas balbuena
                    Salah bruno kdb grealish soucek
                    Antonio Watkins Bamford

                    Thanks

                  • Mufc202020
                    • 1 Year
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    Is Sterling over Salah ridiculous??

                    1. londontom
                      • 4 Years
                      3 months, 2 days ago

                      No, very reasonable

                    2. corderz
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 2 days ago

                      Is sterling over KDB ridiculous?

                      1. EffPeeEll
                        • 1 Year
                        3 months, 2 days ago

                        worse than riciidudilous

                        1. corderz
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 6 Years
                          3 months, 2 days ago

                          Reasons being?

                  • londontom
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    -4 hit
                    A. Kane->Vardy/Antonio
                    B. Maupay->Antonio which also means leaving Targett or Lookman on the bench

                  • corderz
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 2 days ago

                    A) DCL Son Raphina > Antonio KDB Burke

                    B) DCL Son Raphina > Antonio Sterling Smith-Rowe