Metrics

Top 10k eye Salah and Son as Man City assets falter in wide-open captaincy battle

Fantasy Premier League managers ranked inside the top 10,000 are eyeing Sunday’s matches after a score of captaincy blanks on Saturday.

At this high level, Manchester City duo Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) and Ilkay Gündogan (£5.8m) were the most popular candidates for the armband ahead of an appealing home meeting with Sheffield United.

However, the two players scored just three points between them on Saturday afternoon, all of those coming from Gündogan while Sterling remained an unused substitute.

As you can see, 26.2% of the top 10k selected Sterling as their Gameweek 21 captain, more than any other option.

It is worth saying that his majority was about as slim as it gets with Gündogan running him close with the support of 25.3%.

Their failure to deliver points at the Etihad Stadium has set the top 10k for a seismic Sunday afternoon.

Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) will be the key player, having soaked up 17.3% of the armbands in the upper echelon, the owners of which are sure to feel at ease at Gameweek 21’s half-way stage.

If the Egyptian produces a sizeable haul at West Ham United then we could see a big shift inside the top 10k. 17.3% backing is arguably small enough to result in large green arrows for his faithful followers.

And if Salah does blank for a sixth successive Premier League match, the poor displays by Sterling and Gündogan, as well as a lack of a clear captaincy leader, certainly take the pressure off.

The same goes for the 9.5% of top 10k managers who captained Son Heung-min (£9.8m) for a trip to Brighton.

The South Korean’s last away goal came in the Gameweek 13 win over Liverpool but if he does register a big score at the Amex Stadium then the same factors mentioned for Salah captainers could do wonders for his backers too. 

An examination of the top 10k vice-captains also heaps the hype on Salah and Son.

The Egyptian is waiting in line to claim 24.5% of top 10k armbands in the even of a no-show, which we saw with Sterling on Saturday.

Son completes the top-two among top 10k vice-captains with a 15.0% share.

The potential for a top-10k reshaping in Gameweek 21 is best shown by the breakdown of effective ownership.

Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m) was the only player at that level to achieve over 100% in this department for the weekend’s fixtures with Salah (87.7%), Gündogan (84.4%) and Son (67.2%) all falling short.

And it is telling that João Cancelo (£6.0m), John Stones (£5.2m) and Sterling completed the top seven for top 10k effective ownership for Gameweek 21 but combined for a total of zero points against Sheffield United.

Furthermore, Stones and Cancelo are now the most-owned defenders in the top 10k after the Gameweek 21 deadline.

The centre-back was already a fixture at this level, his 62.% ownership actually dropping from 63.2% between the two most recent deadlines.

But this was the first week that Cancelo launched himself into the top-five most-popular top 10k defenders again. He was owned by less than 37.6% of these top-level managers for Gameweek 20, rising to 58.9% ownership for Gameweek 21 only to score zero points.

The top 10k appear to be losing their patience with Stuart Dallas (£4.8m), who has dropped out of the top-five popular defenders ahead of a trip to Leicester.

Dugout discussion - souars + wbamci

In midfield, Gündogan’s first blank since Gameweek 18 occurred just as his top 10k ownership spiked. He was only in 36.2% of their teams for the 14-point haul at West Bromwich Albion but became the third-most-popular top 10k midfielder (59.2%) for a three-point score against Sheffield United.

Unsurprisingly, the only other sizeable shifts are in the forward line that, due to injuries, has largely been in flux over recent Gameweeks.

Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) remains the most fashionable forward in the top 10k although his ownership has dropped from 83.5% to 72.3% between the two most recent deadlines.

Michail Antonio (£6.5m) has earned a top 10 ownership increase of five percentage points after his impressive display at Crystal Palace even though he faces Liverpool on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m) looks to have been the most popular replacement for Harry Kane (£11.2m) who, of course, was turned to as a replacement for Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) the week before.

The Spurs man was the third-most fashionable forward in the top 10k in Gameweek 20 with 53.7% ownership at that level.

Calvert-Lewin occupies that slot for Gameweek 21 and is now in 51.5% of top 10k squads.

Chip usage was relatively minimal for Gameweek 21.

As you can see, barely anyone touched the Triple Captain, Free Hit and Bench Boost buttons while just 1.9% of the top 10k played their second Wildcard.

That brings the total top-10k usage for the latter up to 35.2% for the season so far.

Thus far, 55.1% of the top 10k have used two chips in the second half of the campaign.

24.0% have used only one while 14.3% of managers at this level are one chip away from exhausting their supply.

It is worth considering the Wildcard squads among the top 10k for Gameweek 21 to get an idea of any emerging trends.

There is already some consideration for Chelsea players with 33.2% of the top 10k Wildcards selecting Ben Chilwell (£6.1m) for Gameweek 21 – someone who is yet to trouble the overall template at this level.

These Wildcarders are less fussed by Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) it seems. The West Ham right-back is owned by 49% of the top 10k for Gameweek 21 but is not among the top-five most-popular Wildcard defenders.

Son (73.2%) was chosen by more Wildcarding managers than Salah (64.2%) while Sterling (46.8%) looks a differential for those who pulled the trigger on a new squad considering just 34% of the top 10k managers own him for Gameweek 21.

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915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Party time
      3 years, 3 months ago

      That Ings disallowed goal is just nonsense.

      PL is a forked league

      1. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'll take it you don't own Martinez 😛

        1. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I'm a Matrinez owner so that bit was great, however I had a double on that being a draw along with the WBA vs Fulham game. 120 squid down the swanny!

      2. Weeb Kakashi
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Very harsh on Southampton. Thats a clear pen denied and the offside is BS.
        Your Ings(C) deserved to be a success. Hard luck

        1. Party time
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Yeah buddy. This is actually my last fpl season. Premier league is rigged & it stinks tbh

            1. Salan
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Agree it's rigged, especially this season. Too obvious

          • Flair
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Ouch. I did read the pen being denied was legal as it deflected off of Cash's leg on to his hand. Farce of a rule though.

        2. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          It's still beautiful for Martinez and Targett owners 😉

        3. zon
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          There should be a 1 cm marginal for error in the advantage of the attacker when drawing these offside-lines. They can't reach 1 mm accuracy with current frame rates.

        4. The Son-dance Kid
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          VAR, just like the DRS in cricket, is not being used for what it was brought in to do - i.e. remove the howler. That it is overturning marginal decisions is the biggest atrocity to happen to sport

      3. mojoindojo
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        How long is Kane out for?
        Planning on holding him as I can play Saka and Antonio.

        1. A. PRISE
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Doesn't look good man

      4. Taegugk Warrior
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Who is lei forward now...?

        1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Perez and Ihenacho

      5. Gobigorgohome
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Rival : Son Rodrigo Mount Azpi + 12

        vs

        me : Dier Barnes(C)

        bye bye Cup unless Barnes scores at lest 2 goals

        1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yes

      6. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        As frustrating as it is to see our players failing it is welcome to see the 'template' fail. Usually by this stage we all have the same core of the team. Diversity makes it more fun.

      7. Arteta
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'm huge Leeds and Liverpool fan today. Captain Salah, Mané, Bamford, Dallas let's go crazy!!!!

      8. Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Got 4.6m ITB and 1 FT any suggestions?

        Martinez
        Stones Cancelo Cresswell
        Salah Bruno Son Gundogan Raphinha
        DCL Antonio
        (Forster Bamford Dallas Kilman)

        A) Raph > Grealish
        B) Stones > Dias
        C) Bamford > Watkins
        D) something else?

        1. Amans94
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Solid team.

          A looks like a good move otherwise, would save FT, Villa are playing Arsenal so not essential to bring in Grealish.

          Stones to Dias looks too sideways for me.

      9. CroatianHammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Well, seems I picked badly with keeper. Didn't expect Villa to keep a CS, did think WBA could... 8 point swing right there.
        -44K after subs, and here's hoping for a magical game at WHU.

      10. marcus2704
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Any thoughts on Lacazette as a pick? I have Bamford and DCL at the moment, happy to shift either of those tbh

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Essentially there's very little to pick in the forward positions.

          All the genuine, wide attacking players who are clearly forwards have been reclassified into midfield.

          So all the prime picks are there with less room for punts in the middle and prime attacking players cutting in from wide attacking positions.

          Hopefully someone will see sense for next season?