Pro Pundits

Navigating the end of the FPL season with three-time top 200 finisher Lateriser

The reigning FPL champion of India talks both Manchester clubs, Everton, Michail Antonio and Gareth Bale in his musings on the season run-in.


A big Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Double/Triple Gameweek is here, the end of the season is on the horizon and we all have very few transfers left to play with.

In this article, I’m going to discuss a few factors that should be in your consideration while you’re planning your team for the weeks to come.

Third straight league start for Bale as fit-again Zaha returns on Palace bench 3

Let’s talk about Manchester United first. One thing that you should take into account is estimating how reliable they are going to be in Gameweek 38. They play their final game of the season against Wolverhampton Wanderers on May 23 when the Europa League final will be only three days away. Keeping this in mind, I would think that the main United assets will play either 60 minutes or will be rested in that final round so if you are looking to shift them after the triple-header in Gameweek 35, that isn’t the worst idea in my opinion.

When it comes to predicting the Red Devils’ teamsheet for the Triple Gameweek in 35, I am hoping that the 6-2 advantage over Roma leads to some of United’s regular starters either getting some rest or playing limited minutes in the second leg, which increases their chances of more action in the Premier League this busy week. When it comes to Mason Greenwood (£7.1m), Edinson Cavani (£7.9m) and Paul Pogba (£7.6m), the emergence of the French World Cup winner as an option on the left of midfield has made all three of these players prone to rotation – but you’d think they’d be good for at least two starts in the Triple Gameweek ahead, even allowing for a benching.

Calvert-Lewin offsets longest goalless streak with another Fantasy assist

One team that seems like a good buy irrespective of form at the moment is Everton. They have a good-looking double in Gameweek 35 and, yes, I know their home form is poor but facing Sheffield United and Wolves on their own turf in Gameweeks 36 and 37 just seems like a great opportunity to invest again in Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.5m). One thing that doesn’t change with him is that he is extremely talismanic for Everton.

I looked into the numbers and 46% of the big chances that they have created this season have fallen to him. Despite their perceived lack of form, only five teams have created more big chances than Everton in the last six matches (2.33 per game).

It is also worth noting that Everton’s next four opponents conceded 2.45 big chances per game on average in their last six matches, which bodes well for Calvert-Lewin. He could have easily have had a brace against Aston Villa in Gameweek 34, as well.

Injury updates on Gundogan, De Bruyne and Calvert-Lewin ahead of midweek matches

A lot of us don’t currently own Manchester City assets, but I think they are well worth a discussion. After they host Chelsea on Saturday they have a six-day break before they face Newcastle United at the start of Gameweek 36 and Pep Guardiola on many occasions has spoken about rhythm. I am expecting the first-choice team to feature more in the last three Gameweeks of the season where they face Newcastle United (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (a) and Everton (h). I expect that Pep will play strong sides in these fixtures as he builds ‘match rhythm’ for his players before the Champions League final. Currently, in the FPL top 10k, the highest owned Manchester City attacker is Ilkay Gundogan (£5.6m) who is only rostered by 4.3% of managers. Here are the top 10k ownership figures of other prominent Manchester City attackers:

Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9M) – 0.87%
Riyad Mahrez (£8.0M) – 0.31%
Phil Foden (£6.0M) – 0.39%
Sergio Agüero (£10.3M) – 0.01%

There is definitely an opportunity to indulge in some ‘Pep Roulette’ at the end of the season and make some quick differential gains. It is also worth noting that the Champions League final is six days after Gameweek 38 so there isn’t as big a worry about rest as there would be for Europa League finalists.

Latest on Antonio, Lingard and Soucek as Masuaku enjoys advanced role at Wolves

The ever-enticing battle to make the top four is great news for Fantasy Premier League managers. None of Leicester City, Chelsea, West Ham United or Tottenham Hotspur can afford to take their foot off the gas. Players from three of these clubs are options in my opinion. Leicester do have the FA Cup final blank in Gameweek 36, but Chelsea are the exception for me here given the sheer number of games they potentially have until the end of the season.

The return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham’s attack comes at a really good time as many FPL managers will be looking to shift Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.3m) out in Gameweek 36 when Leicester City blank. The Hammers’ striker had five shots in the box against Burnley and looked really, really good. He has a great end to the season and should definitely be in your consideration when Gameweek 36 arrives.

I was fortunate enough to get Gareth Bale (£9.1m) in my team this Gameweek and, given their fixtures and attacking style of play, I think all the main three Spurs forwards as well as both their full-backs (who were bombing forward on every occasion) are good options for the season run-in despite having only one fixture in Gameweek 35.

The thing I love about Bale is that he’s an elite level finisher and whatever chances he does get, you just expect him to bury them. Tottenham have good fixtures right until the end of the season, and something to play for, so their players look like good purchases especially after this Double Gameweek.

Selling Spurs assets for any Double Gameweek alternative would be very, very difficult especially if Leeds are again going to play without Kalvin Phillips (£4.9m). In his absence, they conceded four big chances against Brighton at the weekend.

That’s it for me for this Gameweek. I’ve been fairly pleased with how the last three rounds have gone for me where I’ve climbed from an overall rank of 1.13 million in Gameweek 31 to 804k at the moment. I’m hoping to finish on a strong note and carry a bit of momentum into next season. I’m certainly looking to do a reflective article at the end of this campaign or before the next one so look out for that. I made so many bad decisions at the start and one common factor stands out to me – overconfidence.

For now, I’m deciding whether to Free Hit in Gameweek 35 or Gameweek 36 and had been waiting on news about the Liverpool double. Now that it’s confirmed that it’s Gameweek 35, I have eight players with two or more fixtures and I might instead be happy to Free Hit in Gameweek 36 where I can target Manchester City, Everton and Spurs players.

I hope you find this article useful. FPL Wire did our longest pod of the season this week with Tom Freeman (who in my opinion is the best FPL manager in the world) and Zophar. You can watch below.

Pro Pundits 27
1,025 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    *Oops, reply fail.

  2. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Again

  3. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    We need a hot topic on which one to keep out of Kane & Son

  4. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Do we think dean Henderson starts all 3?
    I currently have leno and he probably won't start vs WBA.

    Leno-->hendo(-4)?

  5. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    3UTD, 2/3 Pool, 1/2 EVE, 1/2 LEI

  6. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    C vs Sheffield United.

  7. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    oops reply fail accident

  8. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Faillll

  9. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kane is still the better option,one blank doesn't change things one bit for me atleast.

  10. Dreaming of glory
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ohhh never thought about rudiger being rotated. I think you could be right, for me kepa will either play 1 league game or play in the cup - not sure if he is cup keeper or not?

    Chelsea need 4th so they may not rotate too heavily but with a selection of cbs and rudiger being injured last wknd he may well play this weekend, miss the midweek game then play in the fa cup final. He’s probably easy to move on now as well with 2 bad DGW fixtures and a blank next week anyway

  11. Obamawang
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Thanks, guys.

  12. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Reply fail.

  13. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Reply button not working

  14. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    3UTD, 2/3 Pool, 1/2 EVE, 1/2 LEI ...

  15. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    wtf&

  16. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is there any other good week to BB?

    My team has only 7-8 DGWers and so many other deadwoods. Probably need -12 or -16 to have a good BB team. So would you

    A BB with -12 or -16 with 12 doublers
    B FH with 11 doublers (optimized)
    C Take -4/-8 and save BB, FH

  17. FPL_Motty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    How many of you guys are going to play Lingard this week?

    Would you use a 2nd FT to bring Watkins in and play ahead of Lingard or save it for 36 and play Lingard??

  18. Dreaming of glory
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Both IMO as their fixtures mean you will want them back!

    If ur selling one it depends on price. Son > rash/pogba/green and then back again is an easy enough move.
    Not sure who is a good move for Kane if you have nacho, possibly dcl or Watkins but Kane could outscore both over next 3 weeks even with the extra fixture

  19. Netters2018
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Yeah kepa plays cup games the pl game before the semi final kepa played and mendy was rested

  20. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    This is a reply

  21. matz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    sorry about reply fails - ive been deploying some upgrades which i hoped no one would notice..

  22. Rains of Castamere
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    FH draft #1

    Henderson
    Maguire Castagne Trent
    Bruno Salah Aubameyang Zaha Mount
    DCL Iheanacho

    Forster / ESR, Dann, Phillips

  23. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Bad timing Sir 😉

  24. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Hey Holmes

  25. nicecat
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Forster . Leno
    Shaw . Holding . Dallas . Rudiger . Veltman
    Bruno . Salah . Son . Gundo . Jota
    Kane . Nacho . Welbeck

    0.1itb, 1ft

    I'm 0.1 short of Leno > Henderson, which I like since Leno is messing with me.
    Who else do I replace for a hit? Should I downgrade Gundo?

  26. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Lingard Rudiger to Greenwood Struijk or maybe Zaha Phillips?

    Or move out Kane ?

  27. Rains of Castamere
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    @MATZI11A Don't think anyone noticed tbf

  28. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    lots of FPL hearts will be broken in tdgw 35

  29. FPL_Motty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Oh dear haha

  30. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Hey folks, what moves would you recommend here. Will FH36

    Mendy
    Taa Shaw Digne Holding -- Rudiger
    Salah Bruno Gwood Maddison -- Lingard
    Nacho Kane -- Davis

    A: Maddison >> Jota....start 2 from Holding, Rudi or Kane
    B: Convert Maddison >> DCL (-4)..start 2 from Holding, Rudi or Kane
    C: Lingard >> Jota....start 1 from Holding or Kane