Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. as33
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo will play or not, any news?

    1. fantasist
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No confirmed news so its 50/50
      Difficult decision to transfer out especially with some easier fixtures coming up for Utd

  2. Najj
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start One:

    1) Livra
    2) A.Armstrong
    3) Dennis

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      3

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1

  3. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is anyone considering going Rashford/Sancho over Ronaldo for Uniteds fixture swing?

    Just thinking if Salah is a permanent captain in Ronaldo still essential?

    1. griffzinho
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I am looking at these two big time. Most United mates reckon Sancho better bet, but I am not convinced. Looking forward to seeing tomorrows game then make a move.

      1. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah I just think there could be better value in Sancho/Rashford. Plus the extra funds could be used to upgrade another slot. If you don't intend on captaining Ronaldo I'm not sure he is still essential.

        1. griffzinho
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yea. I might only look at Ronnie for GW's 22-24 coz of AFCON. I'm leaning towards Rashford, especially if I see Ralf play him CF when Ronaldo is rested or subbed off.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Definitely, will have a close eye tomorrow to see how they play, Ronaldo of course still a big option but he's expensive and will need rests in the next month so might not be an ideal time

  4. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    In which order should I have those three. One playing, two on the bench:

    Antonio
    King
    Livra

  5. Reckoner
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ok, is Ronaldo injured really, or just a rumour?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Came off injured Vs Arsenal, so could well be. Only 2 days recovery..

    2. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Injured himself a bit when celebrating his second goal.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He was flagged last night and it wasn't because of anything said in the presser

    4. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I watched the game online. Personally I think he looked injured and won't play 2 days later.

      1. Reckoner
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yea I watched too, he walked a bit awkwardly after the final whistle... then again, right before the end he did have that big sprint in the counter attack, so I wouldn't say it was a problem really.... Well, I'm defo off my idea to get him for a hit this GW 🙂

        Thanks all!

  6. Crystal Alice
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Gallagher and Mbeumo ahead of Antonio and Jiminez?

  7. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    on WC get cancelo and fodder fwd. or lpaorte/walker and benteke ?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelo & Dennis.

      1. Nightf0x
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        have denis

  8. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Antonio or Rudiger this week? Have James

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rudiger

      1. alsybach
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I’ve got the same choice, I’m confused as hell!
        Currently on Antonio!

    2. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I've gone Rudiger

  9. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez
    TAA/Cancelo/James
    Salah/Jota/Raph/Gallagher/Mbeumo
    Kane/Toney

    Foster-Livra-Chilwell-Davis

    Worth to save FT…?
    Bench order…?

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Chilwell?

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes, either ditch chilwell to reg or save FT. And with reg in i’ll have benching headache

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Downgrade Chilwell and upgrade Mbeuno to BSilva

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Only 1FT

  10. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    i really want to cap kane but want some logical help - anyone has some points in kane's favour?

    1. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2 points

    2. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No, he's now a team player, helping others. I own him...

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Don't do it to yourself

    4. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Should have had at least a goal and assist in last 2 GWs

    5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He's taller than Salah

      1. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        that helps 🙂

  11. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    How’s the lineup this week? Any bench changes?
    Gonna roll ft and work out best Raphinha replacement depending on second move next week.

    Guaita
    Trent James Cancelo
    Salah Jota Raph ESR
    Kane(vc) Antonio Dennis

    Not convinced on Mo this week so tempted by TAA(c)

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bench is Steer Livra White Gilmour

    2. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Team looks good, I’d roll also.

  12. ZAWAd25
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start 2:

    A) Livra
    B) Antonio
    C) Dennis

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      AB

      1. Amsterhammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

  13. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) play James and Rudiger, Antonio first sub

    B) play James and Antonio, Rudiger first sub

    C) play all three, bench ESR

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Jafalad
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    5. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  14. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start 1…

    A - Mbuemo (lee)
    B - Livramento (BHA)
    C - Antonio (CHE)

    * I also have Toney starting

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  15. Voodoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    De Gea in but would you swap out Guaita or Foster to bring in De Gea?

    Could De Gea lose his place or at least be rotated a bit over Xmas?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd be wary as Rangnick may opt to play Henderson, give it a game first

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Especially after his embarrassing incident on Thursday

      2. Amsterhammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I think this too. Henderson better with his feet too.

  16. revelc
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play one

    A Antonio
    B A.Armstrong
    C Livra (have Mccarthy)

    1. ShackledAce
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. PAs lag
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  17. PAs lag
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I need help to bench one
    A. Alonso
    B. Redigere
    C. Toney

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

      1. PAs lag
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

  18. ShackledAce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1FT, 2.0 ITB.

    A) Vardy -> Kane
    B) Livra -> Reguilon (and bench Antonio)
    C) Save

    Sanchez
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Alonso
    Salah, Jota, Raph, ESR
    Vardy, Antonio

    Foster, Gallagher, Livra, 4.5

    1. Norco
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Save

  19. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Ronaldo now
    B) Kane now, Ronaldo next week

    1. Norco
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
        2 years, 4 months ago

        B

      • LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        B

    3. Norco
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Quick vote, start one:

      1. King
      2. Antonio
      3. Livra

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        3

    4. Mikei
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Play 3 from:
      Livramento
      Gallagher
      Dennis
      Antonio

      Thank you.

      1. Norco
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        So bench one?

        Gallagher bench.

        1. Mikei
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Thanks.

    5. bozankrkic
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hi guys. Please start one of these:

      A. Benteke
      B. Mbeumo
      C. Livramento

      Thanks

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        C

      2. Make United Great Again
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        C

      3. bozankrkic
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thank you both.

    6. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What changes should I make to my WC team? 0.7ITB. Thinking maybe to put Bernardo instead of Toney?

      Dea Gea
      TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
      Salah Jota Esr
      Kane Toney Dennis

      Bench: Gunnerson White Luiz Brownhill

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Not sure i would be on Kane or Toney.

        1. LLoris
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Who would you put in instead

    7. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Captain Kane, suicidal?

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes but if you dont mind failure, go for it

      2. JBG
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes

      3. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        maybe

      4. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        No. He's due. Unlucky not to be in the points last 2 weeks.

      5. Make United Great Again
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        With Salah in red hot form. Just don’t understand why you’d do this.

    8. thewhitepele
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What's the move here? Have 2ft and 0.8m itb. Going to give Kane & Son this week.. Tough to get TAA in without a hit, maybe something to prepare?

      Ramsdale
      Cancelo James Reguilon
      Salah Son Raph Gallagher
      Kane Antonio Toney

      Foster, Livra, Johson, Brownhill

    9. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Anyone jumped on the Ollie Watkins train? Villa attack under Gerrard looks decent.

      Not the best fixtures, but he’s got a good record vs big teams. Just sold Hwang for him

      1. JBG
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I did

        1. Make United Great Again
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Let’s go. Hatrick Vs Leicester this week 😉

      2. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        soon

      3. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Sold Antonio for him last night. If Antonio looks like he'll start scoring again I'll get him back in but Watkins looks better lately

      4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I wanted to get rid of Kane for him a week early, think he could haul big this week. I'll likely wait until GW17 now

    10. Bishopool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Who one to play? Others on bench:

      a) Jimi
      b) Gall
      c) Duffy
      d) Amartey
      e) -4pts transfer to Watkins/Moura/Wilson/Rowe

    11. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hi,
      Which two to start from following;

      A) Alonso
      B) Vardy
      C) Toney
      D) Gallagher
      E) Livramento

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        A and B

      2. Norco
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Surely Vardy and Alonso?

    12. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Defence is TAA, James, Alonso, Cancelo, Livra. Thinking Alonso to Dias. City great chance of clean sheets in next 4/5 gws. Chelsea not so much. Yay or nay?

      1. Norco
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        If you have no pressing issues then sure. Seems luxury transfer

    13. Norco
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      GTG? 5-4-1

      Ram
      TAA Cancelo James Reg Livra
      Salah Jota Foden Maddison
      Vardy

      Subs: Antonio King 4.5

      I suspect Foden may not even start.