Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. drughi
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Vardy>Kane for free ?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No

    2. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Si

    3. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      sure just ready to shift him after a week

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No chance, Vardy has great fixtures coming up and a bit of form, Kane has neither. He's a risk with needing a rest but I'd take it if I still had him

      1. Drexl Spivey
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Surprised so many are dumping Vardy.

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I did it many weeks ago for Kane which has been a disaster but I felt it was worth a punt at the time but Spurs still look average at best and their really good fixture run is over after tomorrow. Doing it now though just seems crazy to me especially as I think Norwich will be difficult for Spurs with their improved defensive performances

    5. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Don't sell the party

  2. Leeroy357
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Use or lose a transfer this week, not sure I need any changes
    0.4m ITB

    Ramsdale
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Chilwell - Reg
    Salah - Jota - Foden - Son - (Brownhill)
    Antonio - (A Armstrong) - (Davis)

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Armstrong is toilet, move to Dennis as that frees up funds and he’s way bettet

    2. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Armstrong to King or Dennis.

    3. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      That front 3 needs some help!

    4. FPL-Albion
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Surely you get rid of injured Chilwell?

    5. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Use on Chilwell to free up funds and then invest in your frontline

  3. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which one for the next two weeks?
    Silva
    Gundo
    Toney

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Toney

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Silva

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gundogan

    4. Not again Shirley
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      From what I saw of BRE they aren’t that attacking and the number of goals they have scored backs that up. I have Toney myself but think there are better options.

  4. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Captain?

    A Salah
    B Son

    1. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You need to ask!?

      1. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes. Just checking! I'm obviously going Salah.

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Leeroy357
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      has to be salah

  5. Aaa
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Guaita
    TAA/James/Rudiger/Liv
    Salah/Jota/Raph
    Kane/Toney/Armstrong
    (Foster/Lookman/Gallagher/Duffy)

    1ft 0.2itb

    Roll this week and sort the mess next week?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yep

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Roll

    3. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah

  6. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    0FT 0.3m ITB

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo Livra
    Salah (C) Son (VC) Jota ESR
    Vardy Toney

    Foster - King White Brownhil

    Play King or White over Livra?

  7. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez
    TAA / Cancelo / Livramento
    Salah / Jota / Son / Gallagher
    Vardy / Toney / Wilson
    Steer Coady Williams Allan
    1 FT & 0 ITB
    A- Save FT
    B- Gallagher > Cornet
    C- Gallagher > ESR

  8. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Keep FT now and before GW16, Son Raph out ?

    Rambo/Foster
    TAA/Cancelo/James/Alonso/Duffy
    Salah/Son/Raph/Gallagher/Mbeumo
    Vardy/Toney/4.4

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Son and Raph are too good to drop considering Duffy, Toney, Gallagher and Mbeumo could all score less in the next 5

  9. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you bench Lamptey or Rudiger if you are also playing James?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bench Rudiger

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rudiger, last time I did it it backfired but I expect them to concede today so I think one is enough

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers guys.

        Benching Rudiger and Antonio makes me think i should fix Foster and bench boost!!

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Lamptey

  10. LoneWolf1989
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Mendy,
    Tomiyasu, Livramento, Reguilon, James, TAA (C).
    ESR, Son, Salah.
    Toney, Lukaku.

    Gunn, Gallagher, Hwang, Gilmour.

    0.6 ITB and 1 FT.

    Cheers and good luck all!

  11. Mesh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Dennis or King long term?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis til Jan

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pre AFCON King, post AFCON probably Dennis.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis for me.

      All this talk of players under or over performing against xG ignores the fact that some players are just more clinical and accurate.

  12. Chris_White
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Walker or ESR to start?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      ESR

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      ESR

  13. El_Gigante
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    On GW16 WC
    A. Regulion, ESR
    B. Davies, Bilva/Gundo

    (Davies would be first on the bench most weeks.. with Regulion more of a benching headache)

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  14. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What changes should I make to my WC team?

    Dea Gea
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
    Salah Jota Esr
    Kane Toney Dennis

    Bench: Gunnerson White Luiz Brownhill

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      none

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I can put Silva instead of Toney OR Dias instead of Reg OR King instead of Dennis

    2. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Swap kane for ronaldo

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I will after this game. Anything else?

    3. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rumours (and rumours alone) of little Ronaldo injury. Would stick with Kane and go for Ronnie next week

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yup thats what Im doing. Anthing else youd change

  15. Peteski29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    2 FTs and 0.2itb. Want to roll 1 of the FTs and no idea what to do with the other. Any suggestions? Had thought of possibly Livra to Johnson but is he nailed?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Son Raphina
    Toney Wilson

    Foster Livra Antonio Brownhill

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn’t change a thing

      1. Peteski29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks that was my initial thought, don't really want to burn a FT though

    2. Max City
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      nothing wrong with Livra >> Johnson move

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You can always switch out Foster too.

      1. Peteski29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Foster to Bachman?

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Brownhill to Luiz maybe?

    5. GoonerSteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn't sell Livramento. I might even play him.

      Currently I am starting Antonio instead of him though.

  16. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Team GTG? Rolling a FT this week

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA James Cancelo, Rudiger
    Raphinha Salah (C) ESR Jota
    ASM Toney
    SUBS - Antonio Gallagher Duffy

    Antonio should he stay or go?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Stay

    2. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Stay

  17. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) play Livra
    B) Semedo ➡ Alonso -4 (Bench Livra)

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A, this week.
      Avoid the hit IMO.

    4. GoonerSteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I sold Alonso for Regullion this week. I definitely wouldn't bring him in for a hit, especially if you have Livra as cover.

  18. Mooster©️
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which one should I play?
    A Antonio
    L Livramento
    K King

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      L

    2. Max City
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alphabet joke gone wrong?

    4. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      L

    5. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      L

    6. GoonerSteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I have the same dilemma but Dennis instead of King.

      I am going with Antonio I think. West Ham are the best team out of the three and Antonio, on form, can score well against anyone - although Chelsea not the greatest I admit. Cant see Watford doing much against City though so I think it is a coin toss between Antonio and Livra and going with the attacker.

      Currently.

  19. Monya Meow Meow
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Armstrong or Dennis?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Den

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis

    3. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. Monya Meow Meow
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks guys

  20. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play one.
    A. Dennis
    B. White
    C. Gallagher
    D. Antonio
    (Currently on A with BCD as bench order)

    1. lets talk about 6
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I just responded to you why imo Antonio is dead last lol

    2. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I don’t have White but have the other three and I’m playing Dennis.

  21. lets talk about 6
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start white or Antonio?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      White.

      Antonio has neither form nor fixtures

  22. JorisLa
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I Have 2 FT but don't see any moves this week.
    Any tips?

    Ramsdale / Foster
    TAA / Cancelo / James / Rudiger / Livramento
    Salah / Jota / Bernardo S. / Raphina / Allan
    Kane / Toney / Gelhardt

    got .7 ITB

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      switch Allan then?

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This. Everton crap and better fodder options.

        1. JorisLa
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Is Douglas Luiz a good option?

          1. Max City
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            I would have him

    2. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Livra to Dier.

      1. JorisLa
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes that looks perfect. thanks.

  23. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play one from
    A Rudiger (playing James)
    B Antonio
    C Gallagher

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  24. Timon
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    start Livra or Mbuemo?

    Can transfer anyone of them as well. 1FT, no funds ITB

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Livramento

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Livra

  25. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Semedo & Jimenez --> Cancelo & Dennis worth a -4?

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      hmm.. probably

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      May not pay off this week given unlikely both Cancelo and Dennis return, but probably good moves

  26. kime67
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Why do spurs always play on sunday?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Because they are depressing

    2. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Europe. Not this weekend, I know, but usually

  27. LoneWolf1989
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Tomiyasu or Gallagher to start

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tom

      1. LoneWolf1989
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers pal

  28. Balls of Steel
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can I get away with saving a transfer this week guys?

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Dier
    Salah (C) Son Jota
    Antonio Toney Wilson

    Foster Mbeumo Livra Brownhill

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yep

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yup

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers guys 😉

  29. scholey
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is it too risky to trade Bowen to Jota during Christmas? I have Salah and TAA and Bowen is the only player expensive enough to make it happen in one go. West Ham's form is poor but its future fixtures are good. Thanks!

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do it, he's already caught up with Mane!

      1. scholey
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers pal

  30. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1 FT... what to do?

    A) Save FT
    B) Livra to Reguilon

    Will do Raph to Jota tomorrow with exact funds

    Just worried if Reguilon will be benched this week, as I will start Livra