Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 20 and beyond

Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

2,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Did Foden to Son and instantly regretted it.

    If I FH does that transfer still stand or get removed?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      you get foden back

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      also something something 12 years mate

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        12 years a slave?

      2. mojoindojo
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        In his defence FH is fairly recent

    3. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Transfer gets undone.

  2. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Edouard or Antonio?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Edouard for the punt i like. just done be surprised if you have to use another ft to get him out relatively soon

  3. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Jota Foden Bowen Gallagher
    Ronaldo Antonio

    (Gunn Livra Saka* Laca*)
    1 FT & 0.1m

    A) Save FT
    B) Laca & Foden ➡️ Son(c) & King/Broja -4
    C) Ronaldo & Saka ➡️ Salah(c) & King/Broja -4

    Thoughts?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just Laca to Broja, IMO.

    2. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

    3. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      please dont hit out foden and ronaldo before their fixtures... please

    4. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C imo, I'm in the same boat

  4. EmreCan Hustle
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Good morning DZ.

    Lacazette+Bilva+Ramsdale >>> Kane+Bowen+DDG(-8)?

    Ramsadale (X)
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Son Bilva Gundogan Jota
    Lacazette (X) Antonio
    -----------------------------------------------
    Foster (X) King ESR (X) Duffy (!)

    1FT. 2.5M.

    Good moves?

    Thanks.

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Seems dramatic to me.
      Could you do it by moving ESR > 4.5 instead of Bilva?

      Could definitely work out though.

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        yeah this. definitely wouldnt hit out any city players before brentford

        1. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          or just do laca to broja and esr to bowen or maddison

          1. EmreCan Hustle
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers. Kane doesn't interest you this week?

            1. Scholes Out For Summer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              Bilva + 8 could honestly match Kane + Bowen + DDG imo

              Like it wouldnt be a shock

              1. EmreCan Hustle
                • 11 Years
                2 years, 4 months ago

                I get your point. It does worry me. I'll reassess.

      2. EmreCan Hustle
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers.
        It's definitely a risk removing Bilva. I would keep him if I can. But I'm not interested in a cheap 5th mid. Having ESR on the bench has worked out great over the last month. I would prefer to keep that going.

        1. RogDog_jimmy
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          That’s fair enough on ESR.
          Easy to think of the keeper move as it’s own independent -4 to pay off long term.

          Then Bilva + Laca > Bowen + Kane for -4 seems entirely reasonable to me.

          Fortune favors the brave or something like that. Hope it works out!

          1. EmreCan Hustle
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers mate!

  5. Neo-Viper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Moura Marcal Ronnie

    or

    Bsilva Amartey Kane

    Marcal and Amartey mostly on bench with BWilliams.

    No Ronnie means I would only have DDG as the United cover.

    Thanks

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      i like A

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers!!

  6. Cali
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Considering one more transfer. Which one?

    A) Martinelli to Bowen
    B) Martinelli to Maddison
    C) White to Regulion

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B honestly

    2. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C. Keep Martinelli

    3. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  7. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Laca + saka --> King + Jota (-4)

    not too crazy right? scared to watch liverpool without Salah

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      anyone? 🙁

    2. _Gunner
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes for Me

    3. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      So Jota is the Salah safety net?

    4. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If it satisfies the need to play 11, then yes.

      If you want Salah, then get Salah.

  8. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    750k->215k in 7 weeks
    We move.

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      we take those

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      ...Mark sliding the other way in the same period...
      194k->245k
      *gulp

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1.9m to 500k in last 10.

      Slowly but surely…

  9. Ze_Austin
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Edouard is a punt and a half. You'd need him to turn his season around exactly when you buy him

    1. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Lack of other options this week though.

  10. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Lacazette>Antonio for a -4 and move King to only bench player - worth it?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      i reckon watford will score a couple. West ham has been poor defensively

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        cheers, it would be cover for inevitable rotation, but I reckon it's hard to pay off the 4 points

  11. SoulShakinTex
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can barely field 11 this week, and a bit lost for ideas. Team feels stale, rank is slipping and Salah/Dennis to Ronaldo/Martinelli-move did not pay off. Any ideas here before I start chopping?!

    Rams*/Sanchez
    TAA/Cancelo/James*/Reg/Livra*
    Jota/BSilva*/Bowen/Gallagher*/Martinelli*
    Ronaldo/Watkins/Lacazette*

    1) Rams to DDG
    2) Martinelli to Gray
    3) BSliva and Laca to Son and King/Edouard for a hit
    4) Time to move Livra out?
    5) Other idea?

    1FT, 0.9 ITB

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Made that exact move myself last week and feel pretty bleh about it now.

      Also similar feelings of staleness.

      I’d focus on bigger questions. Who do you want to get long term - and who would you like to get rid of asap (for long term).

      Hopefully they line up. If not then you got choices.

      Rams > DDG can be parsed out as a separate decision - long term and should pay off.

      Lacazette is the next biggest player to move for me. Bilva + Laca > Son + King seems worth a -4 to me long term.

      So that’s my thoughts.

      1. SoulShakinTex
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks man, much appreciated. It’s been hard to plan long-term while also just trying to field a full team, and the backbone of my team seem to have lost some momentum in the process (James, Bernardo, Livra, maybe even Gallagher come to mind). Triple Arsenal was never my plan, but unsure now on who to lose. Laca to DCL could be a punt, great fixtures but he prob needs time. Silva/Laca to Son/King looks good longer term, but feels wrong to lose only attacking City asset before Brentford. Also agree with you on the keeper as a seperate issue, and may just stick with Sanchez for now. Livra should go, but never seem to get around to it. Transitional phase, that’s what this is.

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      3 with King

      1. SoulShakinTex
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thx!

  12. ManofKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any thoughts on why Ben Davies missed the last match?

    1. Zimo
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rotation

  13. Pringle
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who would you say is the best cheap goalkeeper now?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      always been sanchez

  14. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which is better?

    A- Antonio + Gray
    B- Bowen + DCL

  15. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Veering towards a Foden captaincy over the likes of Son and Jota - too risky?

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I have him as Captain right now. Ronaldo (vc).

      No Son or Salah - I’m wary of Jota getting only 60 mins or so.

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’d play it safe with Son. Could be another 1 pointer

  16. jose1
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Are those who are brining DDG in for Rambo not concerned about wolves game not being postponed?

    1. _Gunner
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Match still on Monday.
      I think it's the best move

  17. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Am I fine to save my transfer this GW?

    Bachmann
    TAA Cancelo Alonso Davies
    Salah(c) Son(vc) Gallagher
    Ronaldo Pukki Dennis

    Sanchez Livra Brownhill ESR

    1. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Definitely. You’re in for a good score imo. Must have a high team value

      1. Dthinger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. It’s 102.9 so not great but also not terrible.

  18. TheYogaDaddy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Pick 2 going forward:

    a. Bowen
    b. Gray
    c. Jorginho

    1. DDG
    2. Lloris
    3. Sanchez

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A3

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A3

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A2

    4. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A1

  19. djskope
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Regarding Guaita - can any Palace fans shed some light please?

    Seems to be a strange vacuum of information about his fitness and return date.

    If he is ruled out, why isnt he even flagged on the FPL site?

    I dont want to break up my Ramsdale + Guaita pairing for DDG if I dont have to, and the deadline is in just 8 hours 😕

    Bought him in a while back, specifically to cover Ramsdale's next 3 fixtures :'-/

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      My understanding is that he dislocated his finger and then got covid.

      This is based on what I’ve read on here - I ain’t no Palace fan.

  20. House Frey Wedding Planner
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    How many hits are people taking this gw?

    Thinking of doing a -8 for the first time this season as only have 9 players available (including Johnson at West Ham) and no keepers

    1. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I did -4 each of the last two game weeks, but seem like I won't need to take any this time around.

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Considering a -4.

    3. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      It’s either no hit or a -8 for me.
      Still not sure.

  21. gart888
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Good to go? Seems insane to roll a transfer, but things seem okay right now!

    Gunn
    TAA Cancelo Rudiger James
    Foden Jota Bernardo Son(C)
    Antonio Dennis

    (Ramsdale) Livramento (Watkins) (Martinelli)

    1. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Save! I was in your position before Wilson went down.

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah, looks fine. I’m in a similar boat. I feel like all my transfers the last three game weeks have been to fix a shortage of players. I’ve forgotten how to make a transfer just to get a better player

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Save

  22. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Laca -> Antonio (bench Dalot)
    B) Laca and Wilson -> Kane (c) and Broja
    C) Save (no bench)

    Sanchez
    James, TAA, Reguillon, Cancelo, Dalot
    Son, Jota, Foden, Bowen
    King
    Ramsdale*, ESR*, Laca*, Wilson*

    1. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Any word on the severity of Wilson's injury? If he's out any length of time I'd move him, but otherwise I'd save.

      1. Dthinger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        It looked like he pulled his calf.

      2. FPLtfs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Something with his calf. Had to go off, even though it was only 1 minute left of the 1st half. Not sure we’ll get info before the deadline.

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Hooky
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B. Howe said Wilson will probably be out for weeks if not months. Didn't look good at all.

      1. FPLtfs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers! Noticed it looked bad, but didn’t read Howes comment. Thanks! If he’s out for weeks he’ll need to go, as Gart888 stating above.

  23. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on FH20 & WC21?

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on your team… might be too early to use the chips if not necessary

  24. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    sanchez
    cancelo alonso taa
    bsilva salah(C) foden jota
    dennis antonio watkins

    subs steele tierney livra esr

    1mil itb. was thinking of esr and watkins to DCL and moura for -4.

    gtg?

  25. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I sell Salah to buy CR7 and I want Salah back even I must take -4.
    A. Buy back Salah (C)
    B. Foden -> Son and keep CR7 (C)
    Thanks.

  26. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    After watching yesterday’s game (ManU vs Newcastle), I might get Lloris…and have him alongside Ramsdale. That would mean not getting Reguilllon… Lloris is nailed to play every game in DGWs, which Reguillon isn’t. Thoughts?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Reg will score more pts than Lloris.

  27. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you do the below for -12?

    Saka + Laca + Watkins + Sa > Son + Antonio + Broja + Degea

    Or just -8 without Watkins > Antonio? (that would mean playing Livramento)

    1. Letsgo!
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      if u need to -12, might as well use chip?

      1. _Gunner
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        already used my FH, so don't know what to do know

    2. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      -12 very rare works out. I'd take -8 at most if you cannot field at least 9 players.

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        yeah agree on this. maybe just -8 at the most

    3. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      That’s a big hit in an uncertain time. What’s the rest of your team?

  28. Salarrivederci
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I want Salah back so I’ll bring Salah back.

    A: Ronaldo+Saka -> 6.4+Salah (-4)
    B: Ronaldo+Ødegaard->5.7+Salah (-4)
    C: Ronaldo+Gilmour->4.6+Salah (-4)

    We don’t knowwhat GW21 brings, but will probably take a hit or two. Then FH GW22

    Current team:
    Ederson
    TAA-Cancelo-James-Dias-Rudiger
    Son-Jota
    Ronaldo-Maupay-King
    ——————
    Ward, Gilmour, Saka, Ødegaard

    1. _Gunner
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A with Gray/ Gallagher or Bowen

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        If only I could bring in two mids..
        Salah will take up the midfield spot..

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What about Ronaldo to Kane FT…and upgrading Odegaard to Maddison/Bowen/Gallagher next week?

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, but then I would probably just save and watch the Salah owners celebrate anyway 🙂
        Kane and Ronaldo are just headaches

  29. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Worth bringing in Kane for Laca for -4, even though I seem to have 12 players with A game?

    DDG
    James, Rudiger, Cancelo, TAA
    Bilva, Foden, Jota, Son, Bowen
    Dennis

    Subs: Steele, Broja, Laca, White

  30. Sailboats
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Maddison or Moura for the short/medium term?

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Both are good picks, I might get Maddison next GW..let’s see