Spot the Differential

In-form FPL differential Sancho set for favourable fixture run

Double Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds’ defence, Sancho’s form, Barnes injury latest: FPL notes
  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: LEI | eve | NOR + liv | ars | BRE

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) endured a slow start to his career at Manchester United following his summer move from Borussia Dortmund but has improved dramatically since the turn of the year.

In his last six matches, the winger has netted two goals and supplied three assists, blanking in just one of his five starts in that period. Notably, no midfielder has racked up more attacking returns, while he also leads the way amongst teammates for points, bonus points and points per start. His shot volume in that time isn’t significant (just nine have arrived in the box), but the quality of those attempts have been good, with three deemed ‘big chances’ by Opta.

Now, out of all cup competitions at home and abroad, United are one of three top-seven sides who are free to concentrate solely on league matches between now and the end of the season. They face struggling Everton and Norwich City soon, along with two clubs who have packed schedules over the coming two months, Leicester City and Liverpool.

Despite recent improvements, Gameweek 31 opponents Leicester have only managed one clean sheet on the road all season, while the advanced positioning of James Justin (£4.9m) and Timothy Castagne (£5.3m) last time out suggests Sancho could get some joy in behind.

As for United, at times they are still disjointed, but it’s worth noting that only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have recorded more big chances across their last six matches.

Sancho – who is fully rested after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the recent friendlies with Switzerland and Ivory Coast – is recreating the type of form he showed in the Bundesliga of late, and could be an effective midfield differential to capitalise on this kind run of fixtures.

JOEL MATIP

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: WAT | mci | MUN | EVE | new

Joel Matip (£5.0m) has been a real surprise package in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) since the turn of the year, averaging an impressive 7.3 points per start.

In his last six outings, the defender has racked up eight returns (one goal, two assists and five clean sheets) and 50 FPL points, more than any other team-mate bar Andrew Robertson (£7.3m), with who he is level with.

In an attacking sense, his threat is limited compared to others, but his marauding runs forward have become a regular occurrence this season and become a trademark of his playing style. It’s also worth noting that among colleagues, only Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), Sadio Mane (£11.7m) and Diogo Jota (£8.3m) have attempted more shots in the box than Matip in 2021/22.

The former Cameroon international is clearly in the form of his life and, as a result, has now completed 90 minutes in eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League encounters, a period which has seen the Reds keep seven clean sheets. Ibrahima Konate (£5.1m) could, of course, impact his minutes going forward, but the feeling is that Matip is first-choice, and with the title still up for grabs, he is surely in pole position to start most matches.

After back-to-back shut-outs against Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal in Double Gameweek 29, Liverpool are currently at their defensive best as they continue to challenge for the Premier League title. They have kept 17 sheets in 29 Premier League matches this season, and boast the division’s third-best backline, with their 20 goals conceded only marginally more than Manchester City and Chelsea.

This weekend’s opponents – Watford – are also in poor attacking form, scoring just three goals in six road trips under new boss Roy Hodgson.

Loading up on Liverpool assets is a no-brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to the premium defenders, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Matip.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £7.7m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu + bur | MUN | LEI | liv | CHE

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) has been struggling for form in recent weeks, but given that Everton are one of only two sides who ‘double’ in Gameweek 31, he might just be worth considering.

The 25-year-old showed glimpses of his quality in Gameweek 29, as he produced an excellent assist for Alex Iwobi’s (£5.8m) late winner against Newcastle United.

Now, the Blues’ number nine will be determined to show last season’s 21 goals in all competitions wasn’t just a flash in the pan, and will almost certainly have benefitted from some rigorous training sessions over the international break, something Frank Lampard touched on in Friday’s press conference.

“The break has been positive for Dominic (Calvert-Lewin). He was playing short of fitness. We’ve worked well with him over the last couple of weeks. Without putting undue pressure on him… he’s in a good place.” – Frank Lampard on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

However, there are wider issues that make this a risky punt: the Toffees have won fewer away points than any other side in the Premier League this season, while just one goal in their last six matches against Premier League opposition is also a concern.

On a more positive note, they do have two further fixtures still to be arranged, which should result in two further ‘doubles’ during the run-in.

Calvert-Lewin is quite simply the biggest scoring threat for Frank Lampard, and if they are to get back on track, there is a decent chance he will be central to it.

477 Comments Post a Comment
  1. sentz05
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    James or Cancelo?

    1. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Cancelo

      1. Baron Penguin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Cancelo

      2. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I'm greedy, I've got both.

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Same

    3. Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Nasty choice to be made. Got to be cancelo just because he doesn’t seem to get injured as much

  2. Espanyolie
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Cancelo

  3. CRAZY TRAIN
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Play Ait Nouri or Ramsey?

    1. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Ramsey

  4. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    2FT 0ITB - FH + BB remaining

    Ramsdale*
    TAA* Robbo Cancelo Doherty
    Salah Saka Raphinha Kulu
    Kane Broja

    Foster - Kilman Ramsey Jimenez*

    A) TAA + Jimenez > James + Weghorst
    B) Kilman + Jimenez > James + Mateta/Cucho (benched)
    C) Jimenez > Weghorst and roll FT

    1. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      C

  5. De Gea is GOAT
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    LIV fans! Who starts up front tomorrow? Mo/Mane/Jota? Thanks all

    1. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I agree, Diaz only real threat IMO but he played later than the others.

    2. Marty McFly
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino hasn’t been away on international duty so I think his chances of a start are high.

      We play benfica in midweek which looks perfect for Dias.

      I’d go Firmino, Salah and Mane vs Watford.

    3. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Jota firmino salah

    4. De Gea is GOAT
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all!

  6. Baron Penguin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Son, Kane, TAA to Salah, Kane, Doherty/Chalobah/Roberts?

    1. Ëð
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Kane to Kane?

      1. Baron Penguin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        My bad, Son Watkins TAA out

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Not worth a hit imo

  7. Wakanda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez
    Rudiger Doherty Robertson
    Saka Foden Havertz Salah
    Wood Weghorst Kane

    Steele Tsimkas McArthur Mitchell

    -4 for this lineup. GTG ?
    looking to benchboost on GW31 with 2 changes to Steele(pope) and Tsimkas(Livra) in next 2 week

  8. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    A) Ramsdale > Pope
    B) TAA, Ramsey > Chalobah, Havertz -4
    C) TAA, Ramsey > Roberts, Havertz -4
    D) Hold

    Ramsdale*
    TAA*, Robbo, Cancelo, Rudiger, Saiss
    Salah, Son, Kulusevski, Raphinha
    Weghorst

    Foster, Broja, Ramsey, Jimenez*

  9. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Most going Salah captain then this week or Kane?
    No fears of a benching?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Have both, I'm going with Salah

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Kane for me

  10. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    can someone tell me in the Members Section of this site, what's the difference of sorting the data for example, 4 gameweeks vs 4 matches?

    1. Marty McFly
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      If a player has had a double gameweek in the past 4 gameweeks then 4 gameweeks would show 5 matches.

      4 matches shows 4 matches irrespective of when they were played.

      Use the minutes per filters and set it to gameweeks to give you recent form.

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      "Gameweeks" will include DGWs and blanks. So, if Player A had a DGW in his last 4 GWs, he'd have 5 matches if you select "last 4 GWs"

      But even if he had doubles or blanks, or missed some games due to injury/suspension, "last 4 matches" will always include the previous 4 games of that season in which Player A featured for at least 1 minute

  11. Mark Colonel
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Who is more nailed, Mateta or Cucho ??

  12. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Sorry to repost.On WC
    Bowen - Sancho worth it?
    Who best to replace ASM with?

  13. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Just about to go Jimi to weghurst , but Just seen that weghurst only scored 1 goal in 9 games !

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      City one of the doubles too

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Issue is who else to replace with Jimi with ?’

        1. nico05
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I'm unsure got the same problem with ASM

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Tempted by DCL as alternative

    2. Ëð
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I'd do it for free but not for a hit

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers it’s for free so not much to lose really

    3. mdm
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      He is due then

  14. Ëð
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    G2G? Or worth using FT on TAA -> James?

    Sanchez
    TAA, Robertson, Cancelo
    Salah (c), Son, Kulu, Foden, Martinelli
    Weg, Broja

    (Foster, Livramento, Dennis, Dalot)

    1FT, £1.6m ITB.

    1. Louis99
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I think save, g2g

      1. Ëð
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, worth keeping onto Foden for one more week?

        1. Louis99
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Definitely, looks like many are thinking of even getting him in

  15. Calum Undisputed
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    WC31 FH33

    1. 442 (gamble on 3dgw players)
    Pope Guaita
    Cancelo James Robbo Doherty White
    Salah Martin KDB Gordon Barnes
    Kane Weg Cucho

    2. 541 (No dgw players, ramsdale fit)
    Ramsdale Schme
    Cancelo James Robbo Doherty Cresswell
    Salah Martin Mahrez Havertz Barnes
    Kane Broja Cucho

    3. 442 (2burnley essential moving on)
    Pope Guaita
    Cancelo James Robbo Doherty White
    Salah Martin Mahrez Havertz Barnes
    Kane Weg Cucho

    Hi All 1,2,3? comments? Thanks
    extra post for diff opinions. sorry n thanks

  16. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1:

    A. Taa
    B. T.Silva
    C. Doherty

    Rest of team:
    Ramsdale
    Robertson
    Salah Kulu Raph Saka Martinelli
    Kane Wehgorst

    Dubravka ***** Broja Saiss

  17. HD7
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Would like to hear your view on my WC, mates:)

    Pope
    James Robbo Cancelo White
    Salah Saka Kulu
    Adams Kane Weghorst

    Dubravka Maddy Schar Fraser

    BB33 and FH in 37.
    I will get Villa player/s after 33 if they have DGW35+36.

    1. Louis99
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Nice team. Not convinced on Weghorst though personally

  18. Louis99
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    No playing keeper behind Ramsdale so need him replaced...

    A) Ramsdale + Coutinho > Schmeichel + Havertz (-4)
    B) Ramsdale > Pope (play Coutinho)

    Appreciated guys!

    1. Ëð
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      A

  19. el polako
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Stringer Bell from dealing with fiends to dealing with fifa.

  20. Our Tiny Windows
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Who are you three favourite differentials?

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      your*

  21. basilfawlty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    3rd time lucky asking this - surely someone can reply?!

    A. Saiss, Jimenez > Cancelo, Weghorst
    B. Digne, Saiss, Jimenez > James, Cancelo, Mateta (-4)
    C. Saiss, Coutinho, Jimenez > Cancelo, Havertz, Weghorst (-4)

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I’ve got exactly the same dilemma and struggling. Think B. Palace look good whereas Burnley/Weghorst poor and I’d gladly have Digne out rather than lose Coutinho James and Havertz perhaps similar for rotation and points). Good luck

    2. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      B

  22. Stamford B
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Any suggests?

    Ramsdale Steele
    James Trent Cancelo Davies
    Salah KdB Kulu Saka Martinelli
    Kane
    Broj Gelhardt Amartey

    2fts 0.1 itb

  23. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    For GW 31 & 3Who is better to have ?
    A- Cancelo & James
    B- Salah

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      tough one- maybe A!

    2. Fodderx4
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go with A, both can haul. Depends if you think Mo is the best captain or not though and who else you'd captain.

  24. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Planning to FH 33, WC 35, BB 36 (i think!). With that in mind:

    A) Ramsey -> Gordon (free). Play 1 of Watkins or Broja (have to play a striker!). Coutinho 1st sub in case of TAA or Saka no shows.

    B) Ramsey & Watkins -> Gordon and DCL (-4). Coutinho or Broja 1st sub.

  25. el polako
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Women allowed at the draw. Wow !

  26. MGD
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Robertson - Doherty - Tierney
    Salah - Kulusevski - Raphina - Gordon
    Kane - Antonio - Watkins

    Ramsdale- ramsey - TAA - Thomas

    Worth going TAA -> Cancelo, and if yes who to bench?

    What will you do? 🙂

  27. TheYogaDaddy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale* (Dubravka*)
    White Rudiger Kilman Doherty TAA*
    Barnes Raphinha Saka Salah (Ramsey)
    Kane (Broja) (Jimenez*)

    1 ft, 0.8 itb

    Suggestions here? Planning on 33 BB and 36 FH.

  28. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    On WC what do I need to change here?
    Pope
    TAA James Doherty Cancelo (Livra)
    Salah Sancho Raphina Saka (Ramsey)
    Dennis Kane (Broja)
    Thanks guys

  29. Fodderx4
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Would you sell Doherty & Jiminez for Cancello & Mateta for free?
    Would just need Mateta for BB (can be any other striker up to 5.30m)

    I may take a hit for a keeper if Ramsdale & Dubravka are out too.

    a) yes
    b) no
    c) no hit and get a keeper and play Doherty

  30. el polako
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Wonder how much they've paid Tim Cahill to promote Qatar as a country?