Rate My Team

FPL points projections: Salah and De Bruyne lead the way in Double Gameweek 36

Our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points projections for Gameweeks 36-38 are available to read for Premium Members of Fantasy Football Scout.

These have been freshly updated after Friday’s press conferences to take into account any injuries and rotation risks.

With two matches in Gameweek 36 and a rest already out of the way last weekend, it’s little surprise to see Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) topping the list of projected scores for the week.

As for the premium battle elsewhere, it’s Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) – another to have warmed the bench in Gameweek 35 – who leads the way, with the Tottenham Hotspur duo of Son Heung-min (£11.0m) and Harry Kane (£12.4m) further down the list.

Subscribers can see the players heading the points projections tables for both this upcoming Gameweek and the following two in the images below but you can get the full picture by clicking here.

You can even get a breakdown of the points, from attacking returns to clean sheets, by clicking here.

Our Rate My Team tool, meanwhile, can give you an approximation of how many FPL points your own team will score over a series of Gameweeks. We’ve more details on this below.

GAMEWEEK 36: FPL POINTS PROJECTIONS

GAMEWEEKS 36-38: FPL POINTS PROJECTIONS

WHAT IS RATE MY TEAM?

Rate my Team (RMT) is a tool designed to give you an approximation of how many FPL points your team will score over a series of Gameweeks. This takes into account captaincy, vice-captains and automatic substitution points.

WHAT ARE PROJECTIONS?

Projections come in two forms – Season Projections and Six-Gameweek Projections (SGP).

Season projections show algorithm-generated predictions for every FPL player. This includes goals, assists, clean sheets, minutes played, bonus points, yellow cards and, most importantly, FPL points.

SGP shows algorithm-generated predictions for every player’s FPL points in each of the next six Gameweeks, calculating their points per million value over this period. These numbers are the same numbers as the ones used in RMT.

HOW ARE THE VALUES FOR RATE MY TEAM AND PROJECTIONS CALCULATED?

The values are generated by an algorithm that uses both current and historical data. There is also constant human monitoring so that the model can respond quickly to news, injuries or tactical changes that otherwise the algorithm may underestimate.

We do this to generate the best values with as little bias as possible.

HOW DO I LOAD MY TEAM INTO RMT?

To load your team into RMT, you need to type in your FPL ID.

If you can’t find your FPL ID, instructions on how to find it are on the Rate My Team page.

WHAT DO XM AND ADJP MEAN?

Placing the cursor over a player’s predicted FPL points in a Gameweek will show an xM score and an adjP score.

xM stands for expected minutes – It’s the number of minutes the algorithm is predicting a player to have. Note that this isn’t an exact Gameweek specific prediction but rather an average number of minutes. Therefore, while a player might be expected to play 90 minutes, their xM will be lower since there’s a chance they might miss the game or get substituted.

adjP is the expected points – how many points the algorithm predicts a player will score in the week if they were to play 90 minutes.

Both of these values combine to generate a final score.

WHY DOES RMT SAY TO START A PLAYER WITH A LOWER PREDICTED SCORE THAN A SECOND PLAYER?

Usually, this occurs because the algorithm predicts that a player (usually a goalkeeper) will either play the full game or won’t feature at all.

Player A – High adjP, very low xM – Low RMT score

Player B – Medium adjP, very high xM – Medium RMT score

Whilst Player A is unlikely to play, the most common scenarios is that they’ll either be given 90 minutes or none at all. Therefore, RMT thinks it’s worth starting him to make use of the high adjP if he plays, otherwise the safer option of Player B will autosub in.

Therefore it suggests picking Player A over B, despite the former appearing to score lower on RMT. 

WHEN DO UPDATES HAPPEN?

While there’s no fixed update timetable, it is pretty much continuous.

Monday tends to have a big update after the weekend’s events. Thursday and Friday will have updates in the evenings following any news that emerges from pre-match press conferences.

CAN I SEE A FULL LIST FOR ALL PLAYERS IN RMT?

You can find the complete list here. It can also be found by clicking the “Players” option in the sub-menu under “Rate My Team” on the main Premium Members Area menu.

CAN I ORDER BY SCORES FOR ONE GAMEWEEK?

From the list of all players in RMT or projections, just click on the Gameweek header to sort the players by that Gameweek’s predicted score.

HOW DO I CHANGE THE GAMEWEEKS I VIEW RMT OVER?

At the top of the Rate My Team page, whilst you have your team loaded, you can select “First Gameweek” and “Last Gameweek”. By default, the first Gameweek will be the next Gameweek and the last Gameweek will be in six Gameweeks’ time, but these can be manually altered to suit your research.


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Join now to get the following:

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  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
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  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

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1,397 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Simmich
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 18 days ago

    What to do here! 1ft, 0.1itb

    Ramsdale
    Robbo Cancelo Cash
    Barnes Salah(c) Saka Kulu Mount
    Dennis Kane

    Been toying with:
    Mount, Kane, Robbo > Mahrez, Jesus, Trent but not sure the -8 is worth it?

    1. petefa
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Can you afford
      Mount, Kane > KDB, Jesus?
      That's what I did

      1. Simmich
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 18 days ago

        That's what I wanted to do but don't have the funds! Unless I do Robbo to a Che defender instead for the -8

  2. ran
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Cash > Coleman/Tavares or keep?

      1. CostaCoffee
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Why would you sell

    • kanuforpresident
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Best def to replace Kilman with (4.5 or under) for GW 36 and 38 (will FH in 37)

        (A) Fofana
        (B) Tavares
        (c) Holgate
        (D) Geuhi

      • sklarface
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Richarlison or Jesus this week? Can only get one

      • 50pipsDaily
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        A) Laporte & Richarlison

        B) Matip & Jesus

      • JAYPEE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        White and Raphinha to Laporte and Gordon for a -8?
        YES or NO

        1. CostaCoffee
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Yes for me

      • CostaCoffee
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        White out for a hit yes or no? Would have to be a defender under 4.9 so leaning towards no atm

      • JAYPEE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        White and Raphinha to Laporte and gordon for -8 BB active? YES OR NO