Scout Notes

FPL review: Mudryk bright, Mitoma v March, Maddison returns

The Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from two of Saturday’s Premier League fixtures are discussed in our latest Scout Notes article.

Here we focus on Liverpool v Chelsea and Leicester City v Brighton and Hove Albion.

The numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data for every single Premier League fixture this season.

READ MOREFPL Gameweek 21: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus points + statistics

FALLEN FPL GIANTS

According to LiveFPL’s ownership statistics, the average Fantasy manager in the top 10,000 owns 0.6 Chelsea players and 0.3 Liverpool assets.

We’re a far cry from the days in which our FPL squads were packed full of picks from each side and there was little on show on Saturday lunchtime to further interest in anyone other than Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.6m).

Kepa walked away with yet another haul after supplementing his clean sheet with save/bonus points, taking his points-per-match average to 5.2 – a number that is unbeaten by any other first-choice goalkeeper.

Liverpool seldom threatened Chelsea’s goal with any real quality. Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) was again quiet, having only one shot for the third match in a row, while not one of Cody Gakpo‘s (£8.0m) seven efforts caused much consternation.

Above: Mohamed Salah’s expected goal involvement (xGI) was just 0.10 in Gameweek 21

The Reds’ shut-out – their first since October – arrived more by luck than judgement. Debutant Mykhailo Mudryk (£7.0m) had a couple of clear sighters, Benoit Badiashile (£5.0m) should have scored from a set piece, Thiago Silva (£5.4m) hit the post from close range and Kai Havertz’s (£7.8m) strike was chalked off for a marginal offside.

“Massive, massive. So, directly after the game you cannot forget the chances they had, where we defended in the last seconds with a block. But tomorrow I don’t remember them anymore, it’s just a clean sheet and it feels really good. So, how I said, there are things we have to build on, that’s what we will do.” – Jurgen Klopp on Liverpool’s clean sheet

Trent Alexander-Arnold‘s (£7.3m) annus horribilis continued: he didn’t even get to benefit from the clean sheet points, with a midweek injury reducing him to a substitute role. A belated return to training also meant that a fit-again Darwin Nunez (£8.8m) had to make do with a second-half cameo.

A FIRST SIGHT OF MUDRYK

Mudryk’s debut came early in the second half and he immediately looks like one for the FPL watchlist. Pacey and direct with his dribbling, his stats might show only one shot on goal but he was in the thick of things. That registered effort came from six yards after a waltz into the Liverpool area but he was also inches away from connecting with a cross from the right and then should have finished first time, rather than attempted to control the ball, with an almost identical delivery.

“That was really good. He’s only been with us a couple of days. He will only get better the more he is with us, and the more we understand each other, but promising signs. He will get supporters off their seats. His dribbling action is really high. He knows where the goal is.

“We had 45 minutes as his maximum, ideally around 35 minutes. We felt it as the right time to put him in, he is a fit boy and has trained a lot. He’s not played since November so it would have been a risk to play him from the start.

“I am happy for him to get his first minutes and start his career with us.” – Graham Potter

FINE MARGINS FOR MARCH + MITOMA

Kaoru Mitoma (£5.0m) v Solly March (£5.1m) would have been a coin-toss decision for a considerable number of FPL managers ahead of Saturday’s deadline.

The two players had polarising fortunes in Gameweek 21, with Mitoma walking away with a double-digit haul and March blanking.

Talk about fine margins (and ‘variance’), though. Mitoma’s excellent strike came from his only shot of the game, an effort that carried an expected goals (xG) value of just 0.02. March, meanwhile, missed the below chance after kicking the ball, Mitrovic-style, onto his standing foot. Mitoma would have claimed the assist for the below effort, it should be said, but at least the ‘big chance created’ helped him secure maximum bonus points.

The third member of Brighton’s cut-price, in-form trio, Evan Ferguson (£4.6m), lost his place in the starting XI but replaced positional rival Danny Welbeck (£6.5m) midway through the second half and grabbed a late equaliser. Game-time might always be more of a question mark than it is with Mitoma or March but this goal won’t have done his Gameweek 22 prospects any harm, while Ferguson remarkably now sits top of the FPL form table among forwards.

Pervis Estupinan (£4.5m) claimed assists for both of the Seagulls’ goals and now sits a fine seventh among FPL defenders for chances created this season.

It was another positive attacking display from Albion, who have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight league matches. They’ll be without Alexis Mac Allister (£5.4m) in Gameweek 22, however, after he picked up his fifth booking of the season on Saturday.

‘BIG-CHANCE’ BARNES, MADDISON RETURNS

The rate of ‘big chances’ falling to Harvey Barnes (£6.7m) was something we mentioned in last week’s Scout Notes after a defeat to Nottingham Forest and here he was again getting another gilt-edged opportunity against Brighton, this time converting.

Above: Harvey Barnes has had at least one big chance in nine of his last 11 appearances. Here is how he ranks compared to other FPL midfielders in that time.

“He’s always a threat, Harvey. Maybe his final pass wasn’t so good today but he was in there, he read the flick on well and it was nice to get a goal from a corner.” – Brendan Rodgers

Also noteworthy for FPL managers was the return to fitness of James Maddison (£8.0m), who made his first appearance since the World Cup as a second-half substitute. Leicester’s next four fixtures will be a deterrent to most of us but Maddison will soon be back in the Fantasy reckoning, with his average of 5.9 points per start in 2022/23 only beaten by two other midfielders – Mitoma and Martin Odegaard (£6.9m) – who we’d consider regular starters.

Haaland Foden


550 Comments Post a Comment
  1. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Cancelo sub again ffs

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Nahhhh. Really? If so, cool. Does Rico start?

      1. The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Very good sign for Rico

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Cancelo can only play well in his natural position, left back. Pep plays with 3 atb when they have possession and he prefers Ake as a LCB there while the RB(Lewis does better currently in that role) goes in the midfield position. Cancelo can't play as a mid as good as Lewis.

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        This

  2. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Cancelo ... What a joke

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I play him with gabriel bench, hope he wont cameo

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Nah, jokes are meant to be unpredictable.

    3. Mika-eel
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Should've just taken the -4 and got rid. It's the hope that kills you.

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Yep. I actually thought he played well vs. MUN. Must be something in background for him and Foden

        1. Mika-eel
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Gone for me after 23, if not sooner.

  3. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Foden not even in squad I believe

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Correct - already confirmed by City journalist

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Foden must have angered Pep this season. He was fantastic early on then all of a sudden he is benched indefinitely.

      1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        That or injury/illness/fitness

      2. El Presidente
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Yeah something's up

    3. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Foden needs to find a new club..

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      For me this is the surprising one

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Then Laporte probably comes in.

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      After Pep saying couldn’t play well without him!

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      That's a weird one, Laporte or rare Gomez start?

  4. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Pep you are gonna be missed by everyone but mostly from FPL managers when you leave PL baldy

  5. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Holding cancelo this long is a huge mistake.... Shaw the one to come from the bench anyway 1 pointer maximum from both..

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Indeed. Maybe more aggressive is the way to play.

  6. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Ake benched

  7. Digital-Real
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Oh Mahrez

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Let's go!

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      We love you

  8. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Cancelo even not start when ake bench ffsss

  9. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    31. Ederson
    5. John Stones
    8. Ilkay Gündogan (C)
    9. Erling Haaland
    10. Jack Grealish
    14. Aymeric Laporte
    16. Rodrigo
    17. Kevin De Bruyne
    25. Manuel Akanji
    26. Riyad Mahrez
    82. Rico Lewis

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Substitutes:

      18. Stefan Ortega
      2. Kyle Walker
      3. Rúben Dias
      4. Kalvin Phillips
      6. Nathan Aké
      7. João Cancelo
      19. Julian Alvarez
      20. Bernardo Silva
      80. Cole Palmer

      1. Podorsky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        How reliable is this?

    2. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      3 for 3 thankfully

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Same. Very fortunate.

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      So Laporte LB, or Lewis LB & Akanji RB?

    4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Harsh on alvarez

    5. SmasherLagru
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I benched akanji too damit

  10. FCHaalandaise
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 months ago

    One last week for Akanji then phew!

    1. Gizzachance
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Hasn’t he been one of the more nailed players?
      Only have Haaland, got shot of cancelo 2 gw ago for botman, 2cs already
      Think I may avoid more pep roulette for the dgw go with 3 ars who are more guaranteed

      1. FCHaalandaise
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 4 months ago

        2 5 2 2 1 1 1 since week 14

        He's a goner

        1. Gizzachance
          • 9 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Why else I got rid of cancelo, city not keeping many cs with whoever you have

  11. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    31. Ederson
    5. John Stones
    8. Ilkay Gündogan (C)
    9. Erling Haaland
    10. Jack Grealish
    14. Aymeric Laporte
    16. Rodrigo
    17. Kevin De Bruyne
    25. Manuel Akanji
    26. Riyad Mahrez
    82. Rico Lewis

    Bench
    18. Stefan Ortega
    2. Kyle Walker
    3. Rúben Dias
    4. Kalvin Phillips
    6. Nathan Aké
    7. João Cancelo
    19. Julian Alvarez
    20. Bernardo Silva
    80. Cole Palmer

    1. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Sometimes one is better off just doing those minus fours before a double. Mahrez 16 points better off than Foden and he starts again Foden out gives me Greenwood who just comes in for a 1 pointer.

  12. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    This is the expected lineup

    Ederson
    Lewis Stones Akanji Laporte
    KDB Rodri Gundo
    Mahrez Haaland Grealish

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Aka:
      Ederson
      Stones Akanji Laporte
      Lewis Rodri
      KDB Gundogan
      Mahrez Haaland Grealish

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Yes when they have the ball...

  13. bench boost for every gamew…
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Si it's either Greenwood or Shaw in for Foden.
    At least Kevin starts..

  14. NJ MetroStars
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    the man city defense is like the minefield in rambo 4

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Ederson says hi

  15. ZeBestee
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    At least Pep plays Mahrez. Am sure the pressure is getting on him a little bit. When you have form players, start them before they lose their run.

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I’m sure I saw an interview where he said he was left out earlier this season because “he knew what he did”

      Looks like that issue has passed and he’s now Peps favourite again

  16. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Akanji or Stones for cancelo? money no issue so i will pass lewis

    1. Oggle22
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Neither not guaranteed starts and Cty don't keep clean sheets

    2. FCHaalandaise
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I'm selling Akanji unless he hauls immensely today.

      Done with Pep def minefield and crap returns

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Neither

    4. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Stones seems to be the most reliable pick whatever that means for City

    5. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      The answer is as always, none.

  17. Sandy Ravage
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Does Lewis start again?

    1. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yep

    2. FCHaalandaise
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Maybe scroll up and read about 423 posts

      1. FCHaalandaise
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Or wait seconds til now for the next 423 confirming lineup

        Either one works

    3. Mika-eel
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Seems like it with Cancelo beched.

  18. Oggle22
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Trying to be clever and going Ake for his double over a Newcastle defender has back fired massively!

  19. El Presidente
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    I think at this point is no City defense if you don't like Ederson

    1. FCHaalandaise
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Indeed

    2. Gizzachance
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Agree

    3. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Ederson is a bad Gk pick historically.
      Lewis is not bad at 3.9
      As an Ake owner I’m gonna keep him for blank gw25 hoping Pep will pick him against his old team, I also think he’s a starter now that Cancelo is dropped forever

  20. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Well I was wrong about a Haaland benching, have to hope he doesn't go crazy now

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      First time I’ve seen pep being critical of Haaland in his interview post match saying he’s not making the right runs

      If he doesn’t do well today you might be right.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Kdb may still get more points than him today.

  21. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    So Pep changes 2 players from last game:
    Laporte in for Ake
    KDB in for Alvarez

  22. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Is Gnonto a clear pick for you over Toney in GW22 with the extra game?

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      No, Toney is not the one to bet against 😉

    2. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Not for me, Leeds have too many attackers

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      For me, Yes.

  23. Eze Really?
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    After Pep's blabbering I thought Aki was the ony sure fire defensive starter.

  24. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Fraud

  25. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    City and Arsenal big dogs will get their rest in the Cup I would expect most of those benched today to play in that

  26. The Mentaculus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Leeds:
    Meslier, Ayling, Koch, Wober, Struijk, Roca, Adams, Harrison, Aaronson, Rodrigo, Gnonto

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Ayling might be a punt for the doubles

      1. The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        You could get a knighthood for the mere suggestion (if he's around..?)

        1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
          • 10 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Arise Sir Daisy

  27. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Glad I didn't take Mahrez out for a hit last night for price changes which didn't even materialise.

    Sometimes it's easy to get stuck on a train of thought and do something rash.

  28. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    How many folks still holding Cancelo & Foden, I bet some have both ✅

    1. Chalobah's Witness
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      still got Cancelo because there's not a single reason to put Rico Lewis ahead of him but this is the second I'm going to get rid. Pep is such a donkey.

      1. George Sillett
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        "Pep is such a donkey"
        What does this even mean ?

      2. Mirror Man
          1 year, 4 months ago

          There's two managers involved here. One in professional sport and one in a fantasy game. The real manager made a decision weeks ago and the fantasy manager hasn't reacted to it. But Pep is the donkey. Good one.

          1. Chalobah's Witness
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 year, 4 months ago

            Guardiola is desperately trying to make some smart moves because he can't explain the big gap to Arsenal.
            Playing Rico for Cancelo, however, is in no way smart and takes its revenge week after week. We all know Guardiola and what a fraud he is. Just play your best team and don't overthink every bs decision.

            1. Mirror Man
                1 year, 4 months ago

                😆

      3. Jordan.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        cancelo has 12 points over the last 11 g/w,what on earth happened????

        1. Sailboats
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Fall from grace