Watchlist

The FPL Watchlist: Gameweek 30 update

Our Watchlist has been given a refresh ahead of Gameweek 30.

Since the last update, we’ve had confirmation of the fixtures in Double Gameweek 34. By extension, we know who is likely to double in Gameweeks 35-37.

It’s difficult to come up with a cover-all list as some Fantasy managers will be playing a Free Hit in Gameweek 34. Others may be Wildcarding in Gameweek 35. Each of us will have different transfer targets depending on our chip strategy.

So here, we’re mostly looking at the next six Gameweeks in isolation. But while that is the primary focus, we do give a nod to players and teams who we know will double – eg Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur – beyond this window.

MORE ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

Watchlist Gameweek 28

In this article series, we’re looking at the stand-out players over the medium term.

This is in contrast to the Scout Picks, which deals only in the upcoming Gameweek.

We rank players according to factors such as club injuries, form (last four Gameweeks), underlying numbers, forthcoming fixtures, Rate My Team’s points projections and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has increased in appeal or fallen in our reckoning since the previous Gameweek or if they are a new entry.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

Watchlist Gameweek 8

THE WATCHLIST: GOALKEEPERS

Our one and two are Rate My Team‘s top-value goalkeeper over the next six Gameweeks and the highest projected scorer.

Jordan Pickford (£4.6m) and David Raya (£5.0m) double in Gameweek 34, as do the three goalkeepers trailing in their wake.

There’s no Caoimhin Kelleher (£3.8m), though. While he is a great short-term selection, there is talk that Alisson (£5.7m) is on a collision course with a mid-April return – just before Double Gameweek 34.

Back to Pickford, and taking the liberty to slightly extend the Watchlist lookahead, Everton face five of the bottom six between Gameweek 32-37 (the Toffees themselves are the other team!).

Sean Dyche’s side are ranked sixth for the lowest expected goals conceded (xGC) tally this season, all the more impressive considering the fixture run they’ve just been on:

Raya’s Arsenal, of course, boss many of the underlying defensive number tables. First for most clean sheets, fewest goals conceded and lowest xGC.

The flip side is that the Gunners’ fixtures aren’t as good as Everton’s: trips to Manchester City and Spurs bookend the upcoming six-Gameweek run. They’ve already shut out City once this season, however, so if you’re capable of that, B-listers like Brighton, Wolves and Chelsea aren’t going to instil much fear.

Elsewhere, Dean Henderson (£4.4m) enters the Watchlist after Sam Johnstone (£4.4m) was ruled out for the season.

Outside of the top five, Djorde Petrovic (£4.5m) and Andre Onana (£4.8m) are two of the key targets for those on a Gameweek 30/31 Wildcard and Gameweek 34 Free Hit. Both face Sheffield United and Burnley before we get to their doubles, too.

THE WATCHLIST: DEFENDERS

With Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.5m) set to return in Gameweeks 32/33 to threaten Conor Bradley’s (£4.2m) minutes, and Andrew Robertson (£6.4m) currently dealing with a very short-term injury, good old reliable Virgil van Dijk (£6.5m) is our Liverpool defender of choice.

FPL’s leading defender for shots in the box this season, van Dijk is about as nailed as they come even in busy fixture periods. Liverpool enjoy arguably the best-looking double in Gameweek 34, with some favourable matches around it.

The Reds are second only to Gabriel Magalhaes‘ (£5.3m) Arsenal for clean sheets and fewest goals conceded.

Gameweek 34 doublers Rayan Ait-Nouri (£4.5m), Jarrad Branthwaite (£4.2m), Illia Zabarnyi (£4.5m) and Daniel Munoz (£4.5m) follow.

Zabarnyi and the budget-friendly Branthwaite have some sporadically good fixtures but pose limited goal threat. It’s the other way around with the attack-minded Munoz, who faces Liverpool and Man City immediately before his double.

AitNouri arguably strikes the best balance. Wolves face four of the bottom eight from Gameweeks 31-35. AitNouri, meanwhile, has created eight chances and had six shots in his last six run-outs alone. There’s a chance we might see him even further forward, too, given Wolves’ current injury crisis. In the second half of the FA Cup quarter-final against Coventry City, for example, he was moved into an even more advanced role. He ended up having seven shots in that game.

Jamaal Lascelles (£3.9m) looks set for more game time in the run-in after Sven Botman (£4.5m) was ruled out for the rest of the season. Newcastle’s underlying defensive numbers have deteriorated to the point where Fantasy managers may not want any significant outlay on Eddie Howe’s side, so at least Lascelles doesn’t break the bank.

The Magpies, along with Diogo Dalot‘s (£5.2m) Manchester United, Malo Gusto‘s (£4.2m) Chelsea and Pedro Porro‘s (£5.9m) Spurs, all look set to double in Gameweek 37. The Lilywhites blanking in Gameweek 34 shunts Porro down a bit in our subjective standings but just to reinforce the point we made in the introduction, that’s not an issue if you’re using a Free Hit in that Gameweek.

THE WATCHLIST: MIDFIELDERS

Mohamed Salah (£13.1m) and Bukayo Saka (£9.1m) will be forming the backbone of many Gameweek 31 squads, if not this week. Something to play for in the form of a title race? Check. Rarely rested by their respective managers? Check? Elite underlying numbers? Check. A double in Gameweek 34 and some decent fixtures around it? Check.

Sandwiched by Salah and Saka for points per start this season are Cole Palmer (£5.8m) and Son Heungmin (£10.1m). Both will really come into their own from Gameweeks 35-37, when Chelsea and Spurs double twice. But it’s important not to lose track of what comes before, too. They are the third and fourth top midfielders for projected points over the next four Gameweeks, for instance, even ahead of Saka. Chelsea face three of the bottom five, while Spurs entertain strugglers Luton and Nottingham Forest and clash with West Ham and Newcastle, who are in the bottom six for xGC in 2023/24. Not bad fixtures at all, even if Gameweek 34 is a blot on both their copybooks.

Pablo Sarabia (£4.7m) leads the charge for the Gameweek 34 budget doublers. Given a minutes boost thanks to injuries to Wolves’ first-choice front three, he’s also on set plays at Molineux. His key pass frequency (one every 32 minutes) is only bettered by five players (minimum 1,000 minutes) over the season.

With the Double Gameweek blinkers well and truly off, Bryan Mbeumo (£6.7m) reemerges onto the radar. He’s averaging the same points per match as Phil Foden (£8.1m) this season, albeit now losing penalties to Ivan Toney (£8.2m).

Without a double Brentford may be but this run here is stupendously good. Quality over quantity springs to mind.

THE WATCHLIST: FORWARDS

Once again, the Gameweek 34 doublers – Dominic Solanke (£7.2m), Darwin Nunez (£7.5m), Matheus Cunha (£5.5m) and Jean Philippe Mateta (£4.9m) – get a bump as Blank Gameweek 29 targets like Toney and Ollie Watkins (£9.0m) slide just a little.

Solanke and Cunha have the advantage over Darwin in that they are likely to be rotation-proof nearer Gameweek 34, although the fit-again Cunha may be gradually reintroduced into the Wolves XI this week after time out with a hamstring injury. Once he’s up and running, there’ll be little doubt over his minutes – something we can’t say about Darwin, especially when Diogo Jota (£8.0m) returns.

Watkins won’t be an easy sell for many but with no doubles to come, and Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool still to play in the next eight Gameweeks, there’s logic behind lowering him here.

Ahead of Solanke, Darwin, Watkins and even Erling Haaland (£14.3m) for shots in the box over the last six matches is Rodrigo Muniz (£4.6m). Fulham are top of the ticker for fixtures around (but not including) Double Gameweeks 34/37; another example of a team we could easily neglect in the final two months due to ‘double’ myopia.

Haaland Foden


125 Comments Post a Comment
  1. putana
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    really torn on wildcard between isaak + garnacho OR muniz + maddison. which do you guys prefer?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      M&M.

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        This

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      What other Spurs players do you have?

      1. putana
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        son and udogie

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      BB fh left?

      1. putana
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        yes. fh 34 bb 37

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Really depends on how often you'd play both, I & G can stay til GW37 whereas you'd probably use 2 transfers on Ms.

      1. putana
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        yea that's the problem. Just like m and m for the next two weeks

    5. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      I would say M&M but there’s a tight turnaround with games and with Fulham’s striker options I’m not sure on Muniz playing 90 mins. Then again, he doesn’t need to play 90 to bag a couple of goals.

      How about Gordon & Cunha?

  2. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    If currently on WC and planning to BB with as many doublers as possible in DGW34, what would be your optimum 2 x GK's & 5 x Def's?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Raya and Pickford

      There's enough cheaper players at the back to mix it up how you like

  3. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Sorry, guys. Been stuck abroad without internet for a week.

    No route to Salah this GW, so thinking Save FT or Reguilon to Gusto?

    Areola
    P.Porro — Gabriel — P. Torres
    Saka — Son — Foden — Palmer — Bowen
    Haaland — Watkins

    Turner — Morris — Doughty — Reguilon [1FT + 2.0m ITB]

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Gusto

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      MONTE CRISTO broadband down then?

      Yeah Gusto

      But I would get Darwin and Salah in next week though.

  4. Lav
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Does it make sense to drop Gordon on WC for Madders/Johnson for 1 week? I have no FH for rest of season.

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      yeah Gordon has not great fixtures GW33/34 as they are away aren't they?

  5. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Neto (Turner)
    Gusto, Gabriel, Moreno, (Estu, Doughty)
    Saka, Salah, Son, Palmer, Foden
    Watkins, Solanke (Seymeno)

    Is anything worth a hit.

    A. Munoz for Estu? -4
    B Roll

    GW 31
    1. Watkins to Haaland
    2. Watkins to Darwin?
    3 WC to
    Pickford (Onana)
    Gusto, Gabriel ,RAN, Braithwaite, Munoz
    Saka, Salah , Son, Palmer, Diaz
    Cunha, Darwin Haaland. (Son, Palmer to Eze, Olise GW34) and BB34?

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      As a matter of interest, why Onana so popular when doesn't have a DGW34? If BB'ing is that not a lost opportunity? How about Neto?

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        without a WC playing Sheff Utd at home is hopefully a 6 pointer

        1. Jafooli
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 27 days ago

          Ah okay, noted...

          1. kingcolesy
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 27 days ago

            Seems to spotfire gw35 well too, people with Fh34

  6. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Has CPL improved, particularly in defence since Hodgson left?

    And if so, which CPL defender would you recommend?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Munoz (C Richards at 3.9 is budget is tight).

      His goals against spain was top draw last weekend.

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-13229591/Wild-celebrations-ensue-Daniel-Munoz-scores-screamer-Colombia-1-0-against-Spain-thanks-sensational-assist-Liverpool-star-Luis-Diaz.html

      (see twitter post in article)

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Cheers Crunchie...

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 27 days ago

          No worries

          1. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            1 month, 27 days ago

            Is Munoz pretty nailed and attacking?

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 27 days ago

              That's the consensus but Palace and clean sheets might be hard to come by

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Dunno. But Johnstone out hinders their CS potential.

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Ah yeah, good point, cheers Green & Red...

  7. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Bryan Mbeumo still top of BRE midfield points, despite not playing for 13 x GWs.

    He could well be back in our teams before the end of the season...

  8. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    BHA Mid's & Fwd's is a classic case of sharing points. Apart from possibly Gross, none of them really got going consistently, despite the fanfares at the start of the season....

  9. GreennRed
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    New pod, Dial F for Football.

    Has potential, not sure how much.

    https://open.spotify.com/episode/2ZPZl9gajn1rxsbGaHf7sF?si=LG9gJ5XSSfmWKBNz1URZfA

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      DGW29, Dial F for fiasco...

  10. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Appreciate it's total guess work, but who you reckon will get more games - Kelleher or Bradley?

    Allison or TAA closer to return?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Trent closer I think

      2 games

      Allison 3 weeks

      But there's 3 games in 9 days or so

  11. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Predicted line-ups has Ait-Nouri playing left wing, is that correct?

    1. Skid Vicious
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Correct.
      He seems to do a lot of cutting into midfield.

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Cheers Skid, reckon that will continue with Hwang back or think he'll revert?

        1. Skid Vicious
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          1 month, 27 days ago

          Good point.
          Possibly when Hwang returns he'll revert to the more usual wing back positioning.

          I watched a couple of his games recently without Hwang or Neto and he reminded me of how Trent roams into midfield, yeah but on the opposite side

          1. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            1 month, 27 days ago

            Cool, cheers...

  12. Lav
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Bench 1 for Muniz:

    A. Haaland
    B. Foden
    C. Gordon
    D. None

    1. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A

      1. popcoin
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Meant B

  13. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Captain Salah or Son?

    Or Palmer?

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Salah

    2. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      I’m going Palmer

    3. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Palmer.

  14. popcoin
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Either of these worth it, considering points over the next two GW’s?

    A) Foden -> Gordon (-4)
    B) Saka -> Gordon (-4)
    C) Saka -> Son (-8)

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Nope

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Noo

  15. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Correct in saying that MUN players vs shu in 34 is about equal to half (maybe more) the DGW players?

    1. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Give us a chance

    2. Skid Vicious
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Yes Sir that is my logic.

      I had to blow my WC a few weeks back as I'd hit a massive dip in form.
      So I'm building a team not too over heavy on double gameweekers.
      I'm aiming for quality over quantitiy of minutes

  16. kingcolesy
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Udogie over porro worth it?

    1. kingcolesy
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      The worth question is it worth jao pedro double 37 over semenyo(BRE) single 37

    2. bailllie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      If you want the funds for other moves then yes. Otherwise, keep Porro.

  17. bailllie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    WC Team : Thoughts?

    Kelleher, Dubravka,

    Gabriel, Porro, Gusto, Lascelles, Baldock

    Salah, Son, Saka, Palmer, Sarabia

    Haaland, Solanke, Darwin

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Chips left? Baldock is an eyesore.

      1. bailllie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        FH and Bench boost. Baldock was only there to free up funds.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 27 days ago

          Both GKs will probably need to go by BB37.

  18. Rex Lapis
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    GK to rotate with Onana? Will play FH34 and BB37
    already have 3 CHE

  19. Hazardous1221
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Thoughts on this wildcard? 0.0m ITB

    Vicario
    Udogie, Bradley, Gusto
    Salah, Son, Saka, Palmer
    Haaland, Darwin, Jackson

    Onana, Garnacho, Lascelles, Gabriel

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Looks good.

  20. kingcolesy
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    I was so happy to wildcard porro out 2 weeks ago and now today he's popped back in. Think it has something to do with that blank

  21. xtremesid
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Bench 1
    1. Saka
    2. Foden
    3. Solanke

    Bench 1
    1. Saliba
    2. Coufal

  22. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Better option here folks? Plan to wc next gw

    A. Baldock > gusto -4 and bench Gab
    B. Save

    Dubravka
    Gabriel pau doughty
    Salah Son saka Maddison palmer
    Watkins Toney

    Areola morris baldock regulion

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Do you think Gusto gets a CS? Pretend Gab gets 1 point and work from there.

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Slight chance that Gab doesn’t play and have no bench

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Are you going to get the -4 back in one week selling Baldock ? Gusto just as likely to get 1 point or 5 points

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        If Gab doesn’t play then I don’t have any bench cover. Worth the hit to get in gusto?

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 27 days ago

          Yes

  23. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Which is better ??
    A- Play Gabriel
    B - Paly Doughty
    C- Doughty > Gusto for -4 & Bench Gabriel

    1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      C could really pay off

    2. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      B

  24. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Is Richarlison back and fully fit ?

    Is he a nailed start now for Spurs after that routing from Fulham ?

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Thanks

  25. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Which one do you prefer of the two?

    A) Gomez
    B) Zabarnyi

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      C) sew a cow’s udder to your cheek.

      C

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      how are you stuck with this decision. That's awful.

  26. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Who can get more pts this GW ?
    A- Saka MCI (A)
    B- Garnacho BRE (A)

    1. NZREDS
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Im debating the same! Transfers done but this is the last decision hurdle

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 27 days ago

        Okay when u decided tell me

    2. Boberella
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      B

  27. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Foden + Solanke > Salah + Muniz for -4?

    1. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Yes

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      Could backfire spectacularly

    3. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      yes

  28. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Hi all which would you have moving forward?

    a. Darwin (have Salah & Bradley)

    b. Watkins

    Cheers

    1. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      B. It's not an accident that he's the highest scoring forward.

  29. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Start 2

    A) Ait-Nouri
    B) Branthwaite

    1) Odegaard
    2) Garnacho

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A 2

    2. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A2

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A2

    4. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 27 days ago

      A2 or play WC...

  30. Fred the Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 27 days ago

    Final thoughts on this WC before I hit the sack?

    Petrovic Kelleher
    Gabriel Gusto Pedro Lascelles Maguire
    Salah Saka Son Richarlison Palmer
    Haaland Darwin Muniz

    ITB: 1.2

    Planning to bench Saka and start Muniz