Scout Notes

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties – but Ings stays second in line at Villa

There was more to Leeds United v Everton and Aston Villa v Newcastle United than two spot-kicks but from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective, it was the main talking point from the Gameweek 2 matches at Elland Road and Villa Park.

FPL points predictions for Gameweek 3 and beyond 3

ASTON VILLA 2-0 NEWCASTLE UNITED

  • Goals: Danny Ings (£8.1m), Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m)
  • Assists: Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) x2
  • Bonus: Mings x3, Ings x2, El Ghazi x1

INGS CLINICAL – BUT SECOND IN LINE ON PENS

Danny Ings (£8.1m) shot to the top of the FPL forwards’ points table with a goal in Aston Villa’s 2-0 win over Newcastle United.

The lack of chances created for the England international is a bit of a concern, as the Villa striker ranks only joint-14th for goal attempts among players in his position this season (see the below table from our Premium Members Area).

But being clinical with relatively few opportunities comes second nature to the former Southampton man, who is the only current FPL forward whose shot-to-goal conversion rate was in excess of 20% in each of the previous two Premier League campaigns.

That killer instinct also helps on the Bonus Points System, with fewer baseline bonus points deducted for shots off target.

With the injured Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) and Leon Bailey (£6.5m) still to come back into the side, and Emiliano Buendia (£6.5m) yet to hit his best form, the hope is also that the rate of chance creation will increase so that Ings can marry his ruthless streak with more shots at goal.

Bailey and Watkins’ eventual inclusion in the Villa starting XI may also be good news for Ings with regards to penalty-taking duties.

Anwar El Ghazi (£6.0m) was confirmed as Villa’s first-choice penalty taker on Saturday, stepping up from 12 yards with Ings on the pitch.

But El Ghazi’s place in the team is surely at risk in the medium term when Dean Smith has a full squad at his disposal.

The major downside for Ings is fixtures, with Villa sitting bottom of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 4-10 and the September international break likely to be a jumping off point for many of us.

The forward did score five goals in 12 meetings with these sides last season, however.

DEFENCES FAIL TO CONVINCE

Despite the clean sheet, Villa’s backline will likely be off the menu due to the aforementioned fixture run and some unconvincing defending in Gameweeks 1 and 2.

Callum Wilson (£7.5m) wasted a one-on-one chance in a dominant opening 30 minutes for the visitors, with the Newcastle striker also being denied a penalty due to a tight offside call.

Tyrone Mings (£5.0m) is someone who could continue to prosper at the other end of the pitch, however: he was involved in both Villa goals, and the appointment of a set-piece coach in the summer should only add to his threat from free-kicks, corners and even throw-ins.

“I brought a set piece coach in in the summer and he’ll be taking plenty of kudos for that goal as well. It was a great finish from Danny Ings and a set-piece routine we have actually worked on in pre-season. Matt Cash has got a long throw and why not utilise it?” – Dean Smith

Matt Targett (£5.0m) looks like a ‘sell’, meanwhile, with Ashley Young (£5.0m) displacing him at left-back.

As for Newcastle’s ropey backline, they are joint-bottom for big chances conceded this season. A first-half knee injury to Isaac Hayden (£4.5m) will, barring further recruitment, make their 3-5-2 set-up look even more open when Southampton visit Tyneside in Gameweek 3.

It’s a pity that they aren’t tighter at the back, as Matt Ritchie (£5.0m) sits second behind only Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) for chances created this season.

Still, that more attacking mindset has helped elevate Wilson to fourth in the FPL forwards’ table for shots on goal.


Aston Villa XI: Martinez, Cash, Mings, Konsa, Young, Ramsey, Luiz (Tuanzebe 88), McGinn, Buendia (Philogene-Bidace 86), Ings (Wesley 91), El Ghazi.

Newcastle XI: Woodman; Fernandes (Joelinton 78), Lascelles, Schar, Murphy, Willock (Fraser 90), Hayden (S Longstaff 45), Almiron, Ritchie, Wilson, Saint-Maximin.

LEEDS UNITED 2-2 EVERTON

  • Goals: Mateusz Klich (£5.5m), Raphinha (£6.5m) | Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m), Demarai Gray (£5.5m)
  • Assists: Patrick Bamford (£8.0m), Liam Cooper (£4.5m) | Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.5m)
  • Bonus: Klich x3, Gray x2, Calvert-Lewin x1

CALVERT-LEWIN ON PENALTIES

As if being front and centre of Everton’s attacking play under Rafael Benitez wasn’t enough, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.1m) now seemingly has penalty-taking responsibilities in his locker.

‘Get the ball to Calvert-Lewin’ seems to be the Toffees’ mantra and the England striker has had more shots in the box (nine) and efforts on target (six) than any FPL asset this season, adding another four of each of those on Saturday.

He is top for expected goal involvement (xGI) among Premier League players in 2021/22, too, despite not being fully match sharp.

“He’s had a problem with his toe. He has not been doing full training sessions in the last 10 days. You can see the quality he has but he is missing a little bit of the stamina to finish the games in the way he wants to finish them.” – Rafael Benitez on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Calvert-Lewin was the man to step up from 12 yards on Saturday in the continued absence of Gylfi Sigurdsson (£6.9m), having been fouled himself for Everton’s first-half penalty.

“It’s something I’ve wanted for a while [becoming Everton’s penalty-taker]. I’ve been ready to step in and take that responsibility. 

“I spoke to the manager before the first game of the season, we had that conversation. He put me on the pens and thankfully I put one away against Leeds.” – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Above: Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s xG shotmap (taken from the Premium Members Area) in 2021/22 shows how close to goal his nine chances have been.

BUDGET GRAY IMPRESSES

Calvert-Lewin on Everton penalties - but Ings stays second in line at Villa 3

Two of Everton’s £5.5m midfielders combined for their second goal.

Abdoulaye Doucoure‘s (£5.5m) slightly more attacking remit under Benitez is something we highlighted last week and it was he who teed up Demarai Gray (£5.5m) to score, the latter arguably being the Toffees’ stand-out player at Elland Road on the left wing of a 4-4-2.

“It [Gray’s goal and performance] is an indication we have a player trying to do his best. At the same time, he is pushing the players around him, because the competition is good in each position.

“Gray and Townsend are giving us competition in the wide areas and that will only be positive for the team and the strikers.” – Rafael Benitez

TWO GAMES, ZERO CLEAN SHEETS

A total of 34 shots were shared equally in this match, which doesn’t sound like a great advert for either defence on paper.

Indeed, Everton and Leeds are two of 11 sides who have yet to register a clean sheet this season, and the Whites have allowed more shots on target than any other team.

If we’re clutching at straws regarding the set-piece-taking Lucas Digne (£5.5m) and co, we can say that preventable, individual Michael Keane (£5.0m) errors have accounted for two of the goals that Everton have conceded in 2021/22, with the other a Raphinha (£6.5m) howitzer.

But there were shaky moments in either side’s backline, and this was a good advert for the absent Diego Llorente (£4.5m) and Ben Godfrey (£4.9m), arguably the two sides’ most accomplished centre-halves.

Patrick Bamford (£8.0m) and Raphinha at least got back among the FPL attacking returns, the latter racking up an eye-catching six shots – a Gameweek high among FPL assets, even if all bar his goal came from outside the box and they amounted to a combined xG of 0.18.

Leeds United XI: Meslier, Ayling, Cooper, Struijk, Firpo (Shackleton 60), Phillips, Dallas, Klich (Roberts 60), Raphinha, Harrison, Bamford. 

Everton XI: Pickford, Keane, Coleman, Mina, Digne, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi (Townsend 75), Gray (Delph 83), Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin (Kean 90). 

ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW FROM GAMEWEEK 2

FPL Gameweek 2 round-up: Sunday goals, assists, bonus and injuries 4
646 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Let's gooo Antooniooo!!!

  2. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Thank you Lord. Barnes starts.

  3. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    So does Barnes start or not?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
        2 years, 8 months ago

        He's on the team lineup on twitter so looks like it, but late changes can mean that is false

      • THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        According to sky sports app he starts….

      • just a man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Starts

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Need a Coufal masterclass today

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        As long as Antonio has nothing to do with it anyway

        1. Original Sin
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          That's it

      2. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yes, he needs to assist Barnes for a brace

    3. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Coufal and Antonio to turn my very below average week into a belter.
      Come on boys!

    4. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Harvey you absolute belle
      😉

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Haha what a whirlwind of emotions this last ten minutes as a Barnes owner has been!! Haha

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Set up for more disappointment, don't worry about it!

          1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Haha atleast we can hope from the start and not the bench mate!! Haha those extra appearance points might come in handy in mini leagues at the end of the season!!

        2. R.C
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          You'll feel more emotions when he misses his chances. He's a troll lol

    5. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Wouldn't be surprised if Barnes was about to be benched, but Vestergaard's injury changed Rodger's plans. You can't play 3-5-2 with just 2 CBs.

      1. R.C
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Do we know how long Vestergaard is out for?

      2. Marvin Moon
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        He did at Liverpool. Emre Can played in a back 3 quite a bit before Brenden got the bullet.

    6. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Couf/Barnes/Toni... GO GO GO!!

    7. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Just messing with a WC team. I’m not going this week.

      Sanchez
      TAA,Periera,James
      Fernandes,Jota,Greenwood,Raphinia,Gray
      Lukaku,DCL

      Foster,Dennis,Tanganga,Livramento

      0.7m remaining with this team. No Salah!

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I’m probably getting gray in this week. Looks like a third striker along with Rich and DCL at times

        1. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Yep, I was impressed with Gray.

      2. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Great team

      3. Meechoo115
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Salah in for Bruno. Downgrade Pereira and I like

        1. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I’ll tinker with that. Jota might go if I do that.

      4. Vlekz
          2 years, 8 months ago

          What happens to Greenwood when cavani plays? Isn't it between pogba and Greenwood for 1 spot then?

          1. potatoace
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            If they don't get rice or bissouma you can see pogba eventually falling back in to cm

          2. The 12th Man
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Plenty of options 7.5m and under when that happens.

      5. bdwhite91
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Let's all freak out before the official lineup is out xD

        1. Marvin Moon
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Twitter is for fools.

      6. Original Sin
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        4 players in this match. Cresswell, Ben, Barnes, Vardy...hoping for a goal fest where Antonio blanks. Possible?

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Vardy Partyyyyyy

          1. Original Sin
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Yayyyyy

      7. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Imagine the SCENES if it turns out Leicester have signed Ashley Barnes and it’s him that starts

        1. Zimo
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Lol wtf 😆

      8. Thewoodyhorse
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Cue the "how much will Ronaldo cost" comments

        1. R.C
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          He wants a UCL team.. only team he'd go to is United then.. surely not?

          1. JONALDINHO
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Or City

        2. Ógie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          The return of the prodigal son?

      9. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Why is fabianski still starting over areola he’s been in decline for the last two years

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Just waiting for the next stinker for an excuse to drop him.

        2. JohnnyRev7
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Moyes just waiting for the perfect Flapianski game to bring in Nipple Man.

      10. Original Sin
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Current team: Need to change Gundo for a -4?
        Sanchez
        Cresswell--- Shaw---Amartey
        Bruno--- Salah--- Gundo--- Barnes--- Benrahman
        Vardy(C)‐-- Antonio
        Bench: Steel ---Tsimi ---Ayling---Obafemi

      11. JONALDINHO
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Antonio, Benrahma and Barnes all start. Excited for tonight!

      12. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Phew. Glad those leaks were wrong. Let's go Barnes and Antonio

        1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Me too mate!! Have the same two!!! A brace a piece would be lovely!!

        2. Original Sin
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Vardy Cresswell Ben as well

      13. MOZIL
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thomas seems like a good value at 4.5

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Straight down to 4th choice full back after Bertrand and Castagne back to fitness most likely straight after IB

        2. JohnnyRev7
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Yeh, had him before Forfana preseason and then the whole LEI defence got injured so I looked elsewhere. They were extremely lucky to keep a CS against WOL last week (yes, I'm looking at you Traore) and I doubt they'll keep a CS tonight. One to monitor.

      14. Podge
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Nil all suit everyone then ?
        😉

        1. Rassi
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          As a Schmeichel owner I am ok with that.

          1. TyroneGAA
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            I’m aiming for a benrahma double and a Antonio pen save from Schmeichel i own all 3 lol

      15. Firminooooo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Would be lovely if Barnes get 60min……don’t expect a return.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          FPL General says 59.

        2. Rassi
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          3 pts would be a victory.

      16. Jordan.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        why wouldnt anyone pay 24m for ronaldo ,plus 25m wages ,50million shirts repays that ,ronaldo mugs,stickers,mirrors,clocks,teacups,plus hes probably got 2 years at least left,hes hardly razor ruddock,absolute no brainer...

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Would be unreal to see him at United again

        2. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Pens that remove his shirt whenever you click it?

          1. Ógie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Nice grav 😆

            1. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              Thanks. I saw it earlier and knew it had to be mine

        3. Ógie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Indeed

          He has kept himself in great shape and could still do a job at any club in the world.
          Also would be a great inspiration and role model to younger players in the dressing room.

        4. Marvin Moon
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          The whole shirt sale thing is a bit of a red herring. Most clubs have a yearly fee agreed with the shirt manufacturer. Unless they're all bought from the club shop only the shirt manufacturer will make more money.

          1. Jordan.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            alright then just the clicky pens then ,my mrs xmas present sorted

            1. Marvin Moon
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              She's a very lucky woman.

              1. Jordan.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                nah stuff that ,they will be at least a tenner each.

        5. @persecuted_by_mods
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Because he'll suck up all the chances and goals for his own numbers, it may not necessarily improve the team

            Ask juve

            1. Jordan.
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              would suit palace then

        6. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Benrahma hat trick, Antonio 1st minute red card please to make me happy

          1. PocketZola
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

        7. Parsnips
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          When to sell tsimikas?

          1. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            After price rise and before Livramento price increase

          2. PocketZola
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Now

          3. JohnnyRev7
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            After his rise tonight.

            Please encourage all your casual league players to buy him. Tonight.

            Thanks.

        8. twisterteo
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Do you guys think Dele will keep his place if Kane comes back next GW?

          1. PocketZola
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Yeah but he's not good

        9. Darthshearer
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Antonio you best deliver tonight boi

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            As long as Benrahma assists

        10. @persecuted_by_mods
            2 years, 8 months ago

            I like Gary Neville and he normally talks sense but when it comes to Man Utd and especially Ole, all the ex pros are absolutely blinkered and bend over backwards to protect him

            1. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 8 months ago

              If Bruno wasn't at UTD they would struggle for top 4 in my opinion. He literally drives that team

              1. R.C
                • 6 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Loads of teams are like that though, remove the talisman and they're no good

              2. @persecuted_by_mods
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  They did, they were 14th or something when he joined! Ole is a decent manager, but nowhere near the level of klopp Tuchel and Pep

              3. Ógie
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Carra is the same when it comes to Liverpool and he should be kept away from doing match commentary on their games imo.

                Even Keane with his uncompromising honesty finds it hard to stick the knife in Ole.
                It's understandable really considering the history these people have had together.

              4. Firminooooo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                27 games unbeaten run away from home in the Premier League. Ole the clown has to go.

                1. @persecuted_by_mods
                    2 years, 8 months ago

                    27 away games unbeaten trophy is on the way

                    We'll see how long it lasts with fans back

              5. Miro
                • 13 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Well my punty start isn't going exactly as planned ... Havertz, Pepe, Iheneacho, White, Digne ... All look like falling in price before next gw, some of them for the second time ... Should I WC now ?

                1. Rigid Digit
                  • 7 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  At least you din't have Aubameyang (I did).
                  I feel a right old punt now
                  Havertz and Auba swapped out this week for Saka (?) and Lukaku

                  1. Miro
                    • 13 Years
                    2 years, 8 months ago

                    Seems like good moves... Altough Auba didn't look that bad yesterday, think he could be decent option from gw4. The price falls are painful though...

                    1. Rigid Digit
                      • 7 Years
                      2 years, 8 months ago

                      With Ødegaard behind, he might just get back to previous form
                      (rest of the Team looks a bit of a mess though)

                      Might be tempted (from GW4 if things settle to spring-clean and get him back up-front with Luk)

                2. NATSTER
                  • 13 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  If it was me, I would. Not a bad way to shuffle and protect value.

                3. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
                  • 7 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  How many transfers you got? Just get rid of pepe and iheneacho. Pepe is arsenal's brightest spark but I wouldn't touch them at the minute until they find form

                  1. Miro
                    • 13 Years
                    2 years, 8 months ago

                    2 FT... Thing with Iheneacho is they play Norwich next. Any chances he could start you think ?

                    1. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
                      • 7 Years
                      2 years, 8 months ago

                      There's a chance, but I wouldn't bet on it.

                4. BobbyV
                  • 10 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  Deary me...do it...do it now

              6. R.C
                • 6 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Conte at Arsenal would be a game changer.

                Hearing talks about it but not strong rumours

                1. Sad Pablo Arsecobar
                  • 7 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  Conte wouldn't dare!

              7. GoonerSteve
                • 14 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Shaw to Reece James?

                1. potatoace
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  Not entirety a bad move. There will be rotation though.

                2. Old Man
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  James is a fantastic FLP asset ... or at least he would be if he nailed down a place. While Azpi keeps going there will always be question mark and I'm not sure if he'll ever be a shoo-in for midfield.

              8. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                • 7 Years
                2 years, 8 months ago

                Anyone feeling a bit of Kane next week?
                Watford at Home

                1. R.C
                  • 6 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  Son mate

                  1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                    • 7 Years
                    2 years, 8 months ago

                    Have him already

                2. Indpush
                  • 6 Years
                  2 years, 8 months ago

                  I am, along with Son if looks to start.

                  1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                    • 7 Years
                    2 years, 8 months ago

                    Same!