Community Submissions

Baseline Bonus Point System (BPS) Scores For Defenders

In Gameweek 8 I conducted some research into the baseline BPS, which are used to calculate bonus points in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. I did this by looking at how many BPS per minute (BPS/min) they received after removing those allocated for goals, assists and clean sheets. This shows which defenders are the most likely to get FPL bonus points in the event of their team keeping a clean sheet, providing no other defenders in their team get attacking returns. Three months on, I’ve updated this and worked out the baseline BPS/min scores for the main four to six defenders from each Premier League club at the Gameweek 21 mark.

Team by Team BPS/min scores

Arsenal:
Monreal: 0.188
Koscielny: 0.186
Mertesacker: 0.179
Chambers: 0.166
Gibbs: 0.160

Aston Villa:
Clark: 0.149
Hutton: 0.139
Vlaar: 0.137
Cissokho: 0.120

Burnley:
Shackell: 0.154
Trippier: 0.153
Keane*: 0.137
Duff: 0.132
Mee: 0.119

Chelsea:
Luis*: 0.188
Azpilicueta: 0.181
Terry: 0.178
Cahill: 0.155
Ivanovic: 0.149

Crystal Palace:
Ward: 0.127
Delaney: 0.116
Kelly: 0.110
Dann: 0.100

Everton:
Distin: 0.205
Stones*: 0.199
Jagielka: 0.196
Baines: 0.186
Coleman: 0.150

Hull:
Robertson: 0.169
Dawson: 0.152
C.Davies: 0.150
Chester: 0.146
Bruce*: 0.140

Leicester:
De Laet: 0.142
Konchesky: 0.132
Morgan: 0.124
Wasilewski: 0.120

Liverpool:
Sakho*: 0.202
Skrtel: 0.190
Lovren: 0.171
Moreno: 0.145

Manchester City:
Clichy: 0.193
Demichelis: 0.175
Kompany: 0.165
Kolarov*: 0.156
Zabaleta: 0.146
Mangala: 0.139

Manchester United:
Jones*: 0.196
Rojo*/Smalling*: 0.176
Evans*: 0.175
Shaw*: 0.170

Newcastle:
Coloccini: 0.152
Dummett: 0.130
Janmaat: 0.124
Williamson: 0.123

QPR:
Isla: 0.154
Caulker: 0.133
Dunne: 0.115
Yun*: 0.086

Southampton:
Fonte: 0.178
Alderweireld: 0.158
Bertrand: 0.148
Clyne: 0.141

Spurs:
Vertonghen/Rose: 0.164
Fazio: 0.150
Walker*: 0.118

Stoke:
Pieters: 0.150
Wilson: 0.145
Cameron: 0.138
Shawcross: 0.127
Bardsley: 0.107

Sunderland:
PVA: 0.169
O’Shea: 0.149
Reveillere*: 0.146
Brown: 0.141
Vergini: 0.117

Swansea:
Williams: 0.194
Fernandez: 0.176
Rangel: 0.172
N. Taylor: 0.164

West Brom:
C.Dawson: 0.152
Baird*: 0.143
Lescott: 0.142
McAuley*/Wisdom: 0.138
Pocognoli: 0.115

West Ham:
Tomkins: 0.153
Reid: 0.143
Cresswell: 0.139
Jenkinson: 0.122

* = has played less than 900 minutes over the season (10 games).

I have purposely left out players that played earlier in the season and now have a very little chance of regaining their spot e.g. Dier.

Top 10 baseline BPS/min magnets

(excluding <900 min players)

1) Distin (0.205)
2) Jagielka (0.196)
3) Williams (0.194)
4) Clichy (0.193)
5) Skrtel (0.190)
6) Monreal (0.188)
7=) Baines/Koscielny (0.186)
9) Azpilicueta (0.181)
10) Mertesacker (0.179)

Conclusions

Comparing this with the same analysis I did earlier in the season, only Phil Jagielka, Ashley Williams, Leighton Baines and Cesar Azpilicueta remain in the top 10. Williams is Mr. Consistent – his score of 0.194 is exactly the same as it was in Gameweek 8. Jagielka and Baines’ scores have risen slightly over the season, and Azpilicueta, the runaway leader earlier in the season, has dropped off.

A big shock is Distin leading the way. Despite playing in 11 Premier League games this season, Everton haven’t kept a clean sheet with him in the side, which means his baseline BPS/min score means little.

In Gameweek 8, four full-backs and six-centre backs made up the top 10. The same numbers make up the top 10 now.

Looking at the top Premier League clubs that usually finish seasons strongly in terms of defensive performances, Azpilicueta remains the top choice in terms of BPS and John Terry has a clear edge over Branislav Ivanovic. Among Manchester City’s ranks, Gael Clichy is the key magnet for BPS, although he continually faces competition for a place with Aleksandar Kolorov. For Arsenal, Nacho Monreal’s lack of security of starts propels Laurent Koscielny to the top of the north London club’s realistic BPS magnets.

60 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    This is sensational. The one I have my eye on most from this is Koscielny. He looks like a good source of points when Arsenal's fixtures improve.

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      I wish I had room

    2. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      ab christened Kos the burger as he tended to get 2 BAPs with a Clean Sheet

    3. HVT
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      In my 1ft punt before Wc I went Giroud over Kos....
      🙁

  2. JK - Cønt ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Fonte is so far clear of the other Saints options. If he starts delivering attacking points he'll come flying up the standings

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Absolutely. The only games where Saints kept a CS and Fonte DIDN'T get bonus were the 8-0 and 4-0 wins over Sunderland and Newcastle. He's surely due a goal too...

  3. FALCAO & MOU
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    What do you guys think about Forster and Leicester goalkeepers for wildcard?

  4. RubeRx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    You did this during your vacation? 😎

    An intelligent, ideally constructed, well researched post is so rare on this site

    Appreciate the time and effort put into this

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Did this the day I got home from my trip. 🙂

  5. Blue Bombers CFC
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Baines and pva or Fonte and Bertrand?

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      The Saints for me

  6. Tiggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Great analysis, though I'm hoping the order changes drastically in the second half of the season.

    I have none of the over 900 min top 10.

    (Terry/Jones/Hutton/Wasi/PVA)

  7. HVT
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Thanks Innsie, great post appreciate the hard work.

    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    The case for Terry strengthens still

  8. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Terrific work, thank you!

    Monreal being top at Arsenal is a shocker!

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Not nailed enough

      Kos was good to me last season, I just don't know how to fit him in

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        No, I would never consider him. Still surprising though. If I weren't going cheap at the back I'd get Kos for sure. Their fixtures are excellent soon.

        1. JK - Cønt ⭐
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 4 months ago

          I want him I just don't know who to get rid of

          JT, Fonte, PvA, Hutton, McAuley

  9. Ludo
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Brilliant. Cheers!

    1. Ludo
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Something worth noting though - combinations.

      Monreal's scores were very high at centre back, which boosts his score.

      Ashley Williams has been king when playing with Amat or Bartley, but Fernandez has generally outscored him when they've been paired together. I'm sure there are plenty of other examples, too.

      1. President John F. Keninnsie
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Good point Ludo. I'm not so sure that I've got the time (and effort 😉 ) to go through all the games individually to see if Monreal played as a CB etc etc. but you make a good point!

  10. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    I think you can expect some vouchers at the end of the month.

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      😯

      It's a bit early for that sorta talk, GW 😉

  11. The Generalator
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Please fellow typers, really need some help and guidance with this one 🙂

    I've had CO$TA from the start and reluctant to get rid, but Austin will give me the funds to get a Saints defender and upgrade Chadli to Fab.

    (I have Forster)

    Help!!!!!!!!

    1. EAGLES (0 Chelsea players)
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Dropping Costa was the best decision I've made this season...since I've dropped my rank has shot up. Now obviously its not solely dropping Costa that's been the reason. But don't be afraid to take risks man, play your game.

  12. The Generalator
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    nice article !

  13. EmreCan Hustle
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Brilliant Work Innsie!!

  14. SC not pearls before swine
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    This article caused my 79th facepalm over buying Mangala...

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      😆

  15. Chambo
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Nice, very nice!

  16. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Briliant briliant article. Well done man

  17. Bouncebackability
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Good stuff Innsie.

  18. A.T
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Interesting stuff Innsie. Thanks.

  19. The Non Flying Dutchman
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    I am WC'ing and currently have Aguero but I really don't want him yet.

    best case scenario he starts but it will still be his first start in a while and he will be taken off early.

    Also I know Arsenal aren't great but they have Kos back and Coq (much better than Flamini).

    Also I'm sure Neville's words will be ringing in his ears so he will be more defensive than usual

    Hence I'm thinking to play Rooney (and captain over Kane) for a couple of GW's.

    I expect Van Gaal will realise he screwed up and play Rooney as a striker.

    Crazy? If not Rooney then who?

  20. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Great article, thanks Innsie.

  21. Blue Lion
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Terrific work bud.. Are you seriously on a holiday??
    I am glad i helped in planting a sensational seed inside your head.
    lol.

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Got back from my holiday yesterday BL, so the timing was good 🙂

  22. Clump
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Great work. Well done that man.

  23. Pav A Nice Day
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Brilliant article. The gap between Azpi and Ivanovic is stunning

  24. Walsh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Thanks, mate.

  25. The3rdTurd
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Good stuff!

    Baseline BPS is something I also track, I keep the numbers in graphical format, updated weekly here:

    http://tinyurl.com/2014-15FPLstats-BaselineBPS

    (My stats are baseline BPS per 90 minutes, which I think gives a more intuitive number than baseline BPS per minute, but essentially it's the same thing, and I'm happy to confirm my numbers appear to be the the same as yours x 90).

    One other filter I apply to my stats is home v away breakdown. Here's the top 10 for each (minimum 450 minutes played):

    Home games:

    Koscielny
    Clichy
    Azpilicueta
    Distin
    Mertesacker
    Williams
    Skrtel
    Fernandez
    Chambers
    Smalling

    Away games:

    Jones
    Distin
    Jagielka
    Monreal
    Baines
    Williams
    Skrtel
    Robertson
    Clichy
    Fonte

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Great stuff 3rdTurd, thanks for sharing.

  26. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Fantastic

  27. Zasa
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    What a post Inns, cheers for this. Kos & a nice Arsenal double-up could be fitting for their nice run soon.

  28. President John F. Keninnsie
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Thanks all for the nice words and feedback. I'm glad you lot find it useful 🙂

  29. ILOVEBAPS
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 months ago

    Great work Innsie and it has solidified my choice for one of my defender spots which everyone seems to dislike. 🙂

    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 months ago

      Who? 🙂

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 months ago

        Clichy 😉

        1. President John F. Keninnsie
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 4 months ago

          Could turn out to be gold...