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The Numbers Game – Final Day Differentials

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We’re approaching the final Gameweek of the season as Fantasy managers brace themselves for one last throw of the dice. With many a mini-league still on the line, we’ve turned to the members data in order to dig out some differentials for your afternoon perusal.

Analysing both the midfielders and strikers separately, we assessed those players with an ownership under 10% in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) who have offered the greatest goal threat from inside the box over their last six matches.

We then created a members table, factoring in the likes of big chances and key passes, to offer further comparison of our featured options.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

870 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Frank Black
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    Graham will score an insane goal tonight.

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    1. Lyonnais
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      * Billy Jones

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    2. Guidinho
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      Him scoring any goal would be insane enough to blow my mind

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    3. Jax
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      *Sanchez

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    4. Breadbin
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      No need.

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  2. mad_beer ✅
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    A 0-0 result would close the gap down to 5 for me in my ML. I'm praying.

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    1. fatherted
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      3 of the last 6 have been.

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    2. Jax
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      unlikely that arsenal will go 3 games without a home goal.

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  3. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    Last Man Standing Live Scoreboard

    https://goo.gl/qbhpgE

    Winner takes all tonight.

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    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      Good luck to you all and bloody well played 🙂

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  4. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    Did Wenger just say that Walcott is gonna start on Sunday?

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    1. Breadbin
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      Not sure, TV is off at the moment.

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    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      did he?

      music to my ears if he did

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      1. Jax
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        He will start on sunday imo. wenger will rest cazorla, giroud, bellerin and probably koscielny.

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    3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      no, said he is important tonight and he is important sunday too

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      1. Heels_Over_Head
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        are you sure he fully pronounced the "r"?

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  5. Heydudes13
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    ➡

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    1. Breadbin
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      Harper.

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      1. Heydudes13
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        BOOM

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        1. Breadbin
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Wide open space - Mansun.

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  6. meerlight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    Just got in from work and the first thing I did was check the lineups. Of course, I never doubted that caz would start.

    Time to pull up a chair and pour a glass of wine...

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  7. Guidinho
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    I genuinely think Sanchez will not play next weekend so a likely replacement

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    1. Jax
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      i think he will.

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  8. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    Thinking of saving my SKY transfer in case of rotation last game, or does that not make sense?

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  9. The Raging Bull
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 4 days ago

    the Sterling debacle seems very odd. He's seeking 150k+ pw, however, Arsenal won't dish out that salary as they're reluctant to offer 100k+ to Walcott and neither will Spurs. Chelsea aren't interested in him which leaves Man City. Now, are City really interested? or is that Sterling's agent cooking up porky pies as a tactic? if City aren't interested, then that leaves Sterling in a bit of bother.

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    1. Bouncebackability
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      City need English players.

      But then again, Sterling doesn't play for Arsenal so City are less likely to go for him.

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    2. Punty
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      He doesn't demand more than 100k, he wants to be at a team that can win trophies and doesn't believe Liverpool is that team anymore

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      1. The Raging Bull
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        money was always the issue. To avoid being tagged 'greedy' he's done a u-turn and used the old chesnut 'want to win trophies' excuse.

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    3. Guidinho
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      City or Chelsea would come in for him, especially when they need to up their homegrown players.

      Agreed Arsenal wont touch him.

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    4. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      He can always go abroad, especially since fans of every club resent him now.

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    5. Licky
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      He isn't looking for 150k+ though. He actually said even if the club had offered him 100k he wouldn't have signed, the issue is with where the club are heading under the Brodge.

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    6. pundit of punts
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 4 days ago

      Don't think it's about the money. More about ambition of the club.

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      1. The Raging Bull
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        Ambition! this troll believes he's a special talent! Deluded lad!

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      2. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        Don't think anyone can say that money is nothing to do with it. Trophies or not, money is likely playing a big part here.

        He hasn't even been playing 1st team football all that long and hasn't exactly set the league alight this season yet he is claiming he needs to be winning titles. He is still developing and can't even use his left foot. Shocking behaviour from him and his agent although that's what football is all about nowadays.

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  10. Jay_
      9 years, 4 days ago

      My money would be on 'need competion' the only one with Ramsey

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      1. Jay_
          9 years, 4 days ago

          RF to TM

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        • TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          🙂

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      2. Long Juan Silva
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        A friend showed showed me the South Park Wiener song before I started watching GoT and now I can't take it seriously any time the theme music comes on.

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        1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          yup, my wife and i sing that version............. cant hear anything else

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          1. Long Juan Silva
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            One wie-ner next to an-oth-er wie-ner

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            1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjzC2DRgEo4

              for everyone else

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      3. Jordan.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        sanchez gets hacked down and the great santi cazorla rifles home the spot kick to make it 5-0 to the gunners.....

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        1. Breadbin
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Ridiculous post.

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          1. Jax
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            lol

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          2. Jordan.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            replying then is even more ridiculous ,you miserable twat...

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            1. fatherted
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Lol

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            2. Breadbin
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              I can assure you it's not more ridiculous.

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            3. Old Man
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              It's

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        2. fatherted
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          After the not assisting Giroud Sanchez hattie

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          1. Heydudes13
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Should be renamed Father Dougal after that Maths.

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      4. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        So Giroud hatty comming ? 🙂

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        1. Jax
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          nah.

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        2. Breadbin
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          I don't know.

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      5. Leaf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        Come on ozil the forgotten man of the dgw

        Time to step

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        1. Jax
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          who?

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      6. Dr Dream
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        Hard luck to all those Coquelin owners...unlucky.

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        1. Jax
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          owner singular

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          1. Dr Dream
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Hard luck to the Coquelin owner...unlucky.

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        2. Breadbin
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          They're permanently unlucky to have the kind of judgment to pick him 😉

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        3. Long Juan Silva
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Must... resist... making another childish joke

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        4. Long Juan Silva
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Hard Coq! hahaha

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          1. Long Juan Silva
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            🙁

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            1. walkman666
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              LOL!

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      7. The Nuttman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        Interesting choices, will probably captain one of the mids.

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      8. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 4 days ago

        So given the full-strength lineup today, how many Arsenal players do we think will miss WBA?

        I imagine Giroud and Rambo will for starters..

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        1. Breadbin
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          1-2.

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            nooooooooooooooooo *shakes fist*

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        2. Dr Dream
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Why ?

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Rambo is injury prone and 2nd place is unlikely now so no point risking them with the cup final less than a week later.

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            1. Dr Dream
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              I can't see it Sinik. We tend to over egg the pudding with rotation risks. Wenger may well be hell bent on the team playing another game together for all we know,..

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              1. sinik
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                I don't know, just makes no sense to me. He has a meaningless game vs WBA, a team with nothing to play for, as 2nd place is likely out of reach for them anyhow and has a cup final less than a week later..seems like a stupid risk.

                But then again, Wenger isn't always the most calculating

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        3. Jay_
            9 years, 4 days ago

            I've sold both and feeling good about it now

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          • Heydudes13
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Minimum of 3 injuries tonight.

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          • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            gabriel or chambers for kosc
            walcott for ramsey
            coquelin for cazorla

            I'd imagine those 3 are high on wenger's list

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          • Sánchez
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Why does anyone have to?
            They want to land 2nd place

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            1. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              which they're 5 points off of. a draw vs Southampton is all City need

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              1. Sánchez
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                So a soton win makes it possible

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                1. sinik
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 4 days ago

                  a Soton win who has only managed to beat Palace, Burnley, Hull and Villa in their last 13 matches and hasn't won away from home since they barely beat QPR 1-0 and Newcastle 2-1 3 and 4 months ago respectively

                  I don't see any chance of City losing

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                  1. sinik
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 4 days ago

                    a Soton who has only*

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        4. sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          People expecting a rout today will likely be disappointed.

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          1. Breadbin
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            As always. This place is full of dreamers.

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            1. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              dreamers is a nice way of putting it haha

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            2. walkman666
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Right? Hat tricks, penalty saves...As if these occur every game week. There are more goals in say hockey than there are shots on goal in this sport. It makes for a frustrating set of fantasy scoring rules.

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        5. Sunden
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Anyone else want to transfer out all of their arsenal mids/forwards? Rotation risk with the FA cup final upcoming, and WBA 4 CS in last 5 games (vs Palace, Pool, United, Chelsea). I have sanchez, cazorla, giroud atm, 2FTs

          I'm chasing a 30ish point lead in ML, and leader is unlikely to transfer out any of his arsenal players.

          For transfers in I'm focusing on players I think will do well, and rival won't get:
          Lukaku, 2 from Mata/Yaya/Bolasie, and possibly Kane->Ulloa(-4)

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Exactly.

            My planned moves are:
            Rambo + Giroud > Mata + Lukaku for free

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            1. Sunden
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              I like those tranfers. Hull needs to attack, should give united a few good chances on the counter, and Mata seems to be on penalties as well. Lukaku is more of a gut feeling for me, but even though spurs are 6th in the league, they're still a bad team defensively(more goals conceded than for example sunderland, hull, palace)

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              1. sinik
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                Lukaku is also on pens! 😉

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                1. Sunden
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  9 years, 4 days ago

                  Yeah I forgot about that:p Had him benched for his hattrick gw38 two years ago, hoping he will finish this season with a similar score:p

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                  1. sinik
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 4 days ago

                    Fergie going out with a record in Fergie style haha

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                    1. Sunden
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 11 Years
                      9 years, 4 days ago

                      Those points and I would have won my ML 3/3 years instead of 2/3:/

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          2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            anyone can get rotated last day, not alot of teams have anything to play for

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            1. Sunden
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Yeah I suppose you're right. But even if mentioned arsenal players should start, I don't really see them getting that many points, as Pulis is likely to defend, especially since they play away.

              It's also a bit about just giving it a last try to win ML with some punts, even though it's always gonna be a long shot:)

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            2. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Everton seem to be playing for pride still and United won't rotate too much..LVG will want to end the season with a win after the unfortunate end to the Arsenal match

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        6. Norco
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          Skrtel + Kane > Morgan + Lukaku for -4

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        7. Dr Dream
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 4 days ago

          I'm on my way back...Just found a veteran's team to join...Happy days.

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            congrats!

            I'm still 3 months out 😐

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            1. Dr Dream
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              What with ?...I've been out for nearly three years with a busted Achilles.

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              1. sinik
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                broken metatarsal..same leg as the one I busted my ACL in 2 years ago

                was on crutches nearly 9 weeks..only started weight bearing in my boot 2 weeks ago..should be another 2-4 weeks left before I'm completely free of it all but not going to rush back to be safe

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                1. Heels_Over_Head
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 4 days ago

                  and speedy recovery to you sir

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                  1. sinik
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 4 days ago

                    cheers..honestly been worse than the ACL..yeah that one needed surgery, but I was still walking a week after injury and a week after surgery..my leg is so atrophied now from no weight bearing for 2 months 😐

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              2. Heels_Over_Head
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                wow

                huge congrats !

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              3. sinik
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                and I've had soreness to the Achilles and even that sucked..can't imagine busting it ugh...welcome back 🙂

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                1. Dr Dream
                  • 11 Years
                  9 years, 4 days ago

                  Thanks Sinik...Yeah it's bad doing the Achilles.

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          2. Heels_Over_Head
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 4 days ago

            excellent

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        8. Jay_
            9 years, 4 days ago

            Rival has Mignolet in goal, would love a pen save from Panti tonight, instant Karma, those jammy late points was a killer

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            1. Jay_
                9 years, 4 days ago

                *were

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              • Old Man
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                Jammy? Great skill and judgement.
                🙂

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            2. Acquafresca
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Gerrard Captain Fantastic -

              Do you have a link to Tiesto's new Club Life?

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              1. Klopp's Kids
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4pGcURv46Y

                Tiesto - Secrets
                Dzekos and Torres - For you

                were released before. Haven't heard it yet but have it downloaded on my computer.

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                1. Acquafresca
                  • 12 Years
                  9 years, 4 days ago

                  Cheers.

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            3. PGR
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Chasing 12 points on the last day of the season. May well go Walcott(c)

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              1. In Like Flynn.
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 13 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                That should give it away nicely.

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            4. Cov
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Benteke to be rested on Sunday?

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              1. sinik
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 4 days ago

                not after that whooping..he'll want morale higher going into the cup final

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            5. Heels_Over_Head
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              will Don Vito stay at Sunderland? or where will he go? will he thrive again?

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            6. Wilshere Knowledge
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Wilshere on the right, Guidino.

              😉

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            7. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/05/20/the-dugout-discussion-arsenal-versus-sunderland/

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            8. Heydudes13
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Gw fail 🙁

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            9. Werkself
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 4 days ago

              Panti dead?

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