Paddy Says

Paddy Says – Gameweek 22

The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

1,025 Comments Post a Comment
  1. MiguelAngel
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Alli & Defoe > Firmino & Costa (have Eriksen)

    1. Gaffa914
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yes

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      2FT? If so could be good.

      1. MiguelAngel
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Currently...

        Heaton
        Alonso Toby P.Jones Daniels
        Sanchez(c) Eriksen Alli
        Giroud Ibra Defoe

        Pickford Capoue De Roon Amat

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No. Firmino out of form snd fixtures not so good from next week

  2. Gaffa914
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Best cheap striker to swap for gray? Got a budget of 7.9

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Defoe surely

      1. Gaffa914
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Yes was thinking that cheers mate

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Keep Gray for next week.

  3. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Eriksen to Cout FT? Got Alli too

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yes

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      sell alli

    3. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Captain cout

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Why Alli over Eriksen?

    4. MiguelAngel
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Thinking similarly. I may do Alli > Firmino

    5. Qubit
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Good lord no. Id lose Alli first.

    6. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Sell Alli & Erik for Firm & Cout

  4. Mr.Costa
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Monreal + Carrol -> Brunt + Lukaku (-4) worth it? Cannot bring in Lukaku without taking a hit..

  5. Playing_the_Numbers
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Hi Guys,

    I am on WC. Is this the best I could get? I am chasing 100 points in my ML.

    Valdes
    Rose / Alonso / Baines
    Alexis / Alli / Stanislas / Coutinho / Firminho
    Ibra / Giroud

    Bencj: Jaku, Holgate, Love

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Too much pool. Dump firmino.

      1. Playing_the_Numbers
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        But he is going to play 'false 9' since Coutinho is back.

  6. Littlefish92
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who to capitan ?

    A. Sanchez or giroud v burnley
    B. Hazard v hull
    C. Kun v Tottenham

    1. v12w12
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B for me

  7. Evans
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    One week punt ?

    A) Costa
    B) Pedro
    C) Coutinho
    D) Firmino

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      A

      1. Evans
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        But your in ..

    2. MiguelAngel
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      C or D

    3. Elijah's Wood
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      A or B

    4. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      D

  8. nonprophet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Please help. No replies previous pages.
    Heaton pickford
    Alonso Evans lovren Jones amat
    Phillips Stanislas Alexis lallana Fletcher
    Kun Ibra kane.
    Should I do kun to costa/lukaku? Seems risky. Any ssuggestions please

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Get a gravatar and you´ll get more replies. http://www.gravatar.com

      1. nonprophet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Really?

        1. Arn De Gothia
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Really!

          1. La Roja
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            Really?

    2. Evans
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Stick

    3. Gaffa914
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Think u might need a spurs mid or hazard

    4. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Costa

    5. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Keep kun. Great fixtures after this. Give him a chance before you spread the money he saves you

    6. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks people. Helps a lot. Love this site. Is stanislas to crazy captain choice, or lallana ?

  9. Klopp's Kids
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who to captain out of Hazard, Sanchez, Ozil or Ibra?

    On Ibra(C), Hazard(v)

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Im 50/50 on haz/alexis. keep changing allthetime. sry, cant help

    2. v12w12
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      50/50 on Haz and Ibra for me....so maybe you should go Haz 🙂 I keep changing as well. I might end up doing Captain roulette which I've never done before 🙂

    3. Ephurion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'm on Sanchez atm. Hazard is somewhat of a differential already.
      Also Sanchez wanna score all the time even though they're up 4-0

  10. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    @footballFormlab expecting a goalfest in the liverpool vs Swansea game

  11. timPgoodwin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    What do do with this squad, 1FT but willing to go -4 (or possibly 8) and I have 2.1M in the bank ...

    Grant - Pickford
    Evans - Amat - Alonso - Pieters - Chambers
    Hazard - Alli - Siggy - Sanchez - Fletcher
    Giroud - Carroll - Ibra

    Toying with Alonso captain too.

  12. sergioaguero67
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Giroud to Costa?

    Wise move?
    Please help.

    1. Mark-O
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Giroud is more explosive than Costa

    2. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not with upcoming fixtures

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No

  13. HellasLEAF
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    So.

    Giroud or Sanchez C.

    Why do I so badly want to go Giroud..

  14. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Do you think Kane + Benteke to Giroud + Lukaku (2 FTs) is worth it?

    Already have Eriksen and can do Hazard to Alli next GW.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Kane is the best Spurs asset right now. IMO the best striker in the game, you'd be crazy to take him out.

      Find another way to get Lukaku/Giroud?

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Got 2 FTs and no cash in the bank, so nothing on really. I know I want to sell Hazard next week though and I think a mid of Alli, Eriksen, Sanchez, Phillips is what I want but I also don't want 3 Spurs attackers.

        Is Kane really worth the 2.0m+ over Alli? The money saved there gets me Lukaku rather than Benteke and Baines rather than Cedric.

  15. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Folks, is it worth taking a -4 to swap Pogba and Barragan to Mirallas and Bellerin?

    Or just use my ft on Pogba to Firmino and play Pieters?

  16. MiguelAngel
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Firmino or Cout for this week?

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Either good choice. Think Firmino will be back to form with Couthino back meself

  17. SALVA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    C band to

    A) Haz
    B) Sanchez

    Got Gru but not Costa.

    1. v12w12
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      A

  18. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    G2G?

    Hennessey
    Mustafi - Baines - Luiz
    Sanchez(c) - Hazard - Pogba - Phillips
    Rondon - Giroud - Ibra

    Grant - Jones - De Roon - Holgate

    Choice is between Jones and Baines for me. Team is not template as I am chasing in ML so going for differentials such as Pogba, Rondon, Giroud, Mustafi.

  19. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Cech (Grant)
    Chambers - Alonso - Brunt (Ake,Pieters)
    Lallana - Alli - Sanchez(c) - Phillips (De Roon)
    Giroud - Kane - Costa(vc)

    Good to go? Still not sure who should get the armband, want to give it to Costa but afraid he might not start

  20. alfast1c
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Bench 1 plz, having big troubles!!!

    Courtoa
    Alonso-Jones-Baines-Lovren
    Eriksen-Firmino-Lalana-Sanchez-Philips
    Kane-Giroud
    Pikford-Amat-Diomande

    1. Christophe Savage
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      jones

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Jones

    3. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Lovren

  21. Jasoooooooo
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Hey lads, is Bellerin gonna start do you guys think? I'm thinking of getting him in but I'm not sure if I should pull the trigger or get another Arsenal (or Chelsea) defender in

  22. Luz1978
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Guroud & snodgrass out

    Costa and firminhio or ciutinho in?

    Help please!!!!

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Surely not Giroud out

    2. SALVA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No.

  23. Eric the King
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Wilson likely to start for Bournemouth this weekend?

    1. makaveli123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        ?

        1. makaveli123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Check the scout tweets.

    2. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No

  24. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Start Stanislas or Alli? Got no other Spurs coverage

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Stan

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      All out attack maybe

    3. Ephurion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'm looking at City.
      I don't really wanna play a defender against them, but I'm sure as hell not benching my heavy hitting attackers against them either.

  25. drughi
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Origi and lallana > Wilson and coutinho, yay or nay ? Wilson with 2 good home games and origi probably out of favor.

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Wilson not nailed

  26. Jigger & Pony
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Worth getting Alonso in for a hit? Or play Baines Brunt PJones (Pieters)?

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not for a hit.

    2. SALVA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Dont take hit.

    3. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers guys

  27. prichardson311
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    What to do with Sterling?

    Keep or swap him for Pedro or someone else?

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      pedro good shout if for free

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I have the same questions about Lallana, and it depends on their performances this gw. Antonio / WIllian are another options

  28. Klopp's Kids
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Captain Check? Ibra here.

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      sanchez

    2. Jigger & Pony
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Haz

    3. makaveli123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Ibra

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Costa

  29. The special 5
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    How do we expect Liverpool to line up?

  30. AllyS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Looking for Chelsea attacking coverage. Am I mad to do one week transfer of eriksen to hazard?