Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 27

Gameweek 31 is still some way off, but our latest selections have kind match-ups this weekend and are also in teams guaranteed to play in the round of fixtures that will be heavily affected by the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Two attack-minded defenders earn our seal of approval, while a cheap forward option at Everton is backed to deliver against Crystal Palace for a second time this season.

Oumar Niasse

We’ve been pondering Oumar Niasse’s potential as a budget third striker for a number of Gameweeks.

He’s started the last two matches for Everton and while Dominic Calvert-Lewin could push for minutes this weekend, the promising fixture with Crystal Palace appears to favour Niasse once again.

He turned the match in the reverse encounter, producing a goal and an assist back in Gameweek 12.

Despite making just seven starts this season, Niasse is second to only Wayne Rooney (10) for goals in the Toffees squad, with six.

Rooney, along with Gylfi Sigurdsson were left out of the side for the trip to Arsenal in Gameweek 26, but the pair both look set to be restored to the starting XI this afternoon.

Along with Theo Walcott, they can help provide Niasse with the service he needs to inflict further misery on the Eagles.

Sat in just 5.5% of FPL squads, Niasse is priced at just 4.8 and can, at last, become that perfect budget enabler, with the fringe benefit of offering a potential Gameweek 31 fixture at Stoke City.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

The news that Joe Gomez is set to miss Liverpool’s trip to Southampton means that we’ve turned back to Trent Alexander-Arnold, backing him for a profitable Sunday afternoon at St Mary’s.

The 19-year-old, who costs just 4.2 in FPL, has registered a goal and an assist over his last three Gameweek starts and has caught the eye this season with his attacking raids down the right flank.

His impressive underlying statistics showcase the potential.

Alexander-Arnold has produced a key pass every 61 minutes, superior to fellow full-backs Alberto Moreno (90), Andrew Robertson (105) and Gomez (125).

His attacking threat can reap rewards against a Saints side that have registered just one clean sheet in 13 home matches and have conceded more crosses down the left flank than any side over the last four Gameweeks.

The Reds defender has averaged four points per match over nine appearances, highlighting the fact he has been very productive when given the pitch-time.

What’s key regarding the right-back situation at Liverpool is the fact that Alexander-Arnold and Gomez may well rotate in a predictable fashion, with their European campaign recommencing on Wednesday night.

That could unlock one of Gomez or Alexander-Arnold as a secure picks in league matches.

As the more attacking of the two players, Alexander-Arnold may just get the nod for the “easier” home fixtures where Liverpool will be required to break down their opponent.

Given his budget price tag and the upside he offers, the 2.8%-owned Reds defender looks an ideal gamble for Gameweek 27, which may just have the staying power to reward beyond Sunday’s clash.

Daryl Janmaat

With three goals and one assist from just 13 appearances this season, Watford’s Daryl Janmaat has been one of the most potent defenders in FPL.

He scored a stunner in the 4-1 win over Chelsea, playing as a wing-back in the 3-4-2-1 system used by new Hornets head coach Javi Gracia.

Kiko Femenia remains sidelined through injury, so Janmaat now has the chance to cement his berth.

In terms of secure starters among defenders, only Chelsea’s Marcos Alonso (43.8) can better the Dutchman’s rate of a shot every 60 minutes this season.

That attacking threat could be a factor against West Ham United this afternoon as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches.

Janmaat’s appeal is also boosted by the fact that Watford have favourable home match-ups against Everton and West Bromwich Albion in Gameweeks 28 and 29.

In addition, the prospects for defensive returns appear strong – the only goal the Hornets have conceded in the three matches since Gracia took charge was Eden Hazard’s sublime effort on Monday night.

Priced at 4.8 in FPL, and with an ownership of just 0.4%, Janmaat is another canny differential in defence.

1,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. doy
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    How y'all feeling for this GW? Optimistic?

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yay 1st for the 1st time! 😉

      1. LǝgleSs e|even
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Whose your cap

        1. doy
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Salah (c). You can see my team in my profile too.

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Same addict feeling as always.
      First optimistic then excited, followed by nervous and in the end diissapointed.
      Story of my life really...

      1. doy
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Fair enough, I feel ya man.

    3. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Never been so pessimistic about returns whilst saving a transfer...hoping for 11 starters this week after last weeks fiasco.

      Pope
      Alonso Jones Duffy
      Salah(c) Sterling Son Milivojevic
      Kane(v) Aguero Wilson

      (Elliot Ogbonna Chilwell RLC)

      1. doy
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Good luck man, hoping Alonso and Jones plays for you! (Alonso for me).

  2. LǝgleSs e|even
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    If Wally gets 15 pts against Leicester, surely you can too?
    Cmon Aguero

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Please score a hatty before I flog you for Firms!

  3. Queens of the South Age
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Morning guys. Need some captain advice. 6th in my league and 90 points behind leader.

    A - Kane
    B - Salah
    C - Sanchez

    Nobody above me has Sanchez and all but 2 have Kane. Everybody has Salah. Currently on Sanchez for the real differential.

    Thanks for any tips!

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      If you feel it's the time to try and catch up go for Sanchez. Also depends on chips left in your league. Can still catch 90 points

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks. I wasted free hit earlier in season and triple captain on Kane for those 9 points. Think most still have them all left.

    2. LǝgleSs e|even
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Everybody has Salah. You can say that again

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Everybody had Salah. 🙂

        1. Queens of the South Age
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          *has. Dammit.

    3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Salah. Go for a differential elsewhere. Captain diff too risky

    4. CostaCoffee
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I’d go Kane, don’t think many will captain against Arsenal

    5. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'd cap Salah.

  4. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play mkhi or Choupo?

    1. LǝgleSs e|even
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mkhi

    2. Queens of the South Age
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I've got Choupo but I'd say go with Mkhi. Hoping for a high scoring game.

    3. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mhki fo sho!

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ta

    4. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mkhi

    5. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      😆 😆
      Obviously Mkhi, not even close

  5. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Good morning all

    Who is this weeks go to captain choice?

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      When in doubt, cap Salah!

    2. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Hazard

  6. AusBest11
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Transfer or hold? 1FT and 0.7m ITB

    Pope (Adrian)
    Alonso Jones Otamendi (Ogbonna Long)
    De Bruyne Sterling Salah Ibe (Albrighton)
    Vardy Ayew Kane

    Who should I get in. I will need take a hit to ship out Otamendi, Jones or Alonso for Mawson or Bauer if I need to get in Walcott, Shaqiri, Mkhitarayan for Albrighton.

    Or straight swap to Deulofeu for Albrighton.

    Any advise is much appreciated.

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'm guessing you will not FH in GW31 right?

  7. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Fernandez or naughton?

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Fern

  8. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one of

    Stones
    Mee
    Daniels

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Stones, he probably won't play.

    2. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Daniela

  9. davies
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Salah or Kane captain?

    1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mo

  10. Dazzrb
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play Mee or Fernandez?

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Fern.

    2. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mee

    3. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Who in goal?

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      F

  11. InvertedWinger
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Help greatly appreciated!
    A) Ogbonna (WAT)
    B) Dunk (stk)

    1) Lingard (new)
    2) Richarlison (whu)

    1. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Have to play one from each set! Currently on B1

    2. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A1

    3. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A2 (if you're confident Richarlison starts)

    4. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B1. Close call between Oggy & Dunk though.

  12. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Last time...have a real headache here

    Bench one:
    1.Wilson
    2.Walcott
    3.Son
    4.Shaq

    1. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Shaq

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        On him now 😉

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      wow all so tough to bench...who else do you have in your mids and fwds?

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Firmino Kun Salah Sterling

        1. doy
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Can't bench any of those 4 haha. I'm slightly leaning towards Sonny for you but given that you don't have Kane and how explosive Sonny can be......it's a very tough call. Come to think of it, I'd bench Theo or Shaq...leaning towards Shaq! I reckon he has the lowest 'ceiling'. Having said that, he burnt me last week as my 1st sub.

          1. Atimis
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            Same here last week!

    3. CostaCoffee
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Son

    4. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'm captaining Wally and Wilson plays against one of the worst teams in the league(lost last 5, conceded 14 in the process)

    5. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson imo

    6. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I will just toss a coin 😀

    7. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      We have the same forward 8, except I have Pogba where you have Walcott.

      I have Son on bench, but considering a switch to Shaqiri.

      The NLD early kick off has me with Son on bench. Hate early kick offs.

      Predicting a Son blank... and fear for his game time.

  13. el polako
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Just one thing I cant decide on, would you play:
    a) Gundogan at home to Leicester
    b) J. Ayew at home to Burnley

    ?

    1. InvertedWinger
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Ilkay

    2. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I would play Gundogan

    3. el polako
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks Gents !

  14. mookie
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    No Wally as differential? They picked Niasse... lol

    1. CostaCoffee
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Wally ain’t much of a differential now, he’s in the scout picks

      1. mookie
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, it makes sense.

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      7.4% ownership.....differentials are usually < 5%.

      1. mookie
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ah, okay. Thought it was less than 10%.

        1. doy
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Niasse's currently on 5.6% ;-).

  15. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Captaincy

    Dullard choice: Salah
    Safe choice: Aguero
    Speculative choice: Kane
    Gambler's choice: Hazard

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Shit choice: rest of the players

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I had Salah captain last week. For some reason I don’t fancy him and looking at Kane. Hmm...

    3. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'd seriously consider Hazard if i had him.

  16. @FPLDIARYFPL
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Start 2

    A Arni
    B Wilson
    C lingard

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      BC

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      BC

    3. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      You still have Arnie and Lingard? Did you take a break from the game for 4 weeks?

  17. Crabwalk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Oh God, using that tool I’ve just discovered I’d have been better off stopping playing the game after GW5.

    That’s how badly this season has gone.

    1. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Link?

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Damn.

    3. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Ouch! That sounds really bad.

      Nice grav btw

    4. Rash
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Gw 24 id be about 40 points better off 🙁

  18. Frank Koscielny
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Bench order?
    1. Mee (swa)
    2. Quaner (bou)
    3. Kenny (cry)

    1. L'Aeroplanino
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      in that order

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers

      2. doy
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        agreed.

  19. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    should I do?

    a. Willian > Wally

    b. Lingard > Wally

    c. Lingard > Deulofeu and bench Willian?

    d. Play Willian, Bench Lingard and roll FT....

    Help pls 🙂

    1. estheblessed
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Keep Lingard... It's Newcastle!

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I did Willian>Deulofeu so will probably troll me

    3. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      b

  20. estheblessed
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who would you FT in for Mahrez?

    a) Ibe
    b) Son
    c) Deulofeu
    d) Arnie
    d) Save

    1. thom830g
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      c

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C.
      If you don't have Theo, then him.

    3. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'm keeping because i don't like any of the replacement options. He has two nice home games after City, so might keep him a little longer.

  21. thom830g
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who will most likely play in GW 31? Been gone for a while so not fully updated. Thanks!

    1. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Defly: Liverpool, Watford, Everton, Stoke
      Likely: Huddersfield, Palace

      1. thom830g
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers! Maybe Bournemouth also if WBA lose their FA Cup tie against saints?

        1. doy
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          yup, need SOT to beat WBA in the FA Cup! Follow @BenCrellin on Twitter, he is a blank/double gameweek guru!

          1. thom830g
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 3 months ago

            Cheers mate! Really appreciate it

  22. Oscar Slater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    So, what's the consensus on Aguero's minutes today - assuming City are travelling along comfortably?

    59?

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      60 mins job done I think

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      80ish....LEI are no pushovers away to City...won 4/6 there.

    3. mookie
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I think he'll get around 60, no matter what the score is.(owner)

    4. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Depends on Scotland around an hour mark.

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Score*

        Crikey, massive spell check fail 😀

  23. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    If chasing, Sterling(c) over Salah?

    1. Clump
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      It's been mentioned by the scouts lots lately......
      If chasing go safe (dull) and let others take the risks.
      Softly, softly, catchy monkey!!!!

  24. Oven Glover
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    They usually nail one or two of these differentials. Might as well bench Ayew and start Niasse.

  25. doy
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is Ota to Janmaat for a -4 madness? I have Sterling & Aguero as City cover.

    1. Oven Glover
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Crazy

    2. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes. Have a lie down.

    3. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I have a slight fear that Ota will be rested.

    4. Visionaries
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, pointless

    5. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'll hold fire, thanks gents.

  26. Clump
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Need to use a FT or lose it.
    Kenny to ????
    Form & Fixture defender up to 5.3.
    Ta, you lovely people.

    1. Oven Glover
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Mawson?

      1. Clump
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Was thinking this. Fancy a goal out of him.
        Ta.

    2. Visionaries
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Naughton/Fernandez
      Mee
      Mawson

      1. Clump
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ah, cheap swans option to save cash. Nice.
        Have pope so will discount Mee.
        Ta!

    3. JackQualt
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      If he’s your 5th then maybe go with Trent? I like the logic of the article

      1. Clump
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Need a nailed on player.
        Thanks though.

    4. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Janmaat, Mawson, Fernandez, Bauer, Shawcross, Mee

      1. Clump
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Ta

  27. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Best def 5.5 max with upcoming fixtures / week 31 in mind

    1. thom830g
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      vvd

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      VVD

    3. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Maguire

  28. Rash
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Niasse? Seriously 😆

  29. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    g2g? Or Dunk to Fernandez? 1ft
    DDG
    Alonso Jones Dunk
    Salah(C) KDB Sterling Lingard
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Elliot Yedlin Chilwell RLC

    1. Rash
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      G2g

    2. doy
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yup solid move. I did Oggy to Fern myself this week.

  30. Hochoki
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Foster
    Alonso Otamendi Bauer
    Salah Sterling Hazard Lingard Allen
    Aguero Firmino

    Elliot Quaner Daniels Dunk

    0.7 ITB & 1 FT left

    a) Foster/Elliot to Fabianski
    b) Lingard to Shaqiri
    c) Otamendi & Lingard to Fernandez & Walcott (-4 hit & will have enough money to bring in kane for aguero)
    d) Save FT

    1. Rash
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save