Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Grounderz
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    More sources on Ramsey! 😡 at meself couldn't find anything.

  2. TheRealDog
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Repost:
    ML rival only 8 points behind. With doubts over Aguero, Mata and Ramsey's minutes, and no substitutes, would injured 5th mid->Sterling (-4) and bench Ramsey be worth it? He has Sterling as well and won't hit. Hard decision.

  3. S.Kuqi
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Kolarov starting today?

  4. The Pep Revolution
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Are the following transfers worth taking a 12 point hit?

    A. Rooney to Dzeko

    B. Chester to Baines

    C. Nasri to Sterling (has to be done to get Dzeko)

    D. Mata to Eriksen

  5. cruyff81
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    What's the story with Wickham? Was reading there that he could be rested,

    Rested for what?

    Surely he will be starting today?

    1. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Poyet has subbed off Connor Wickham around the hour mark in each of the last two due to ongoing knocks and could hand Jozy Altidore a start instead. He won't risk him imo.

  6. Louis
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Gerrard or Sterling?

    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Sterlo

      1. Louis
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Are you getting Sterling JD?

        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Getting hazard

    2. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Gerrard

      Sterling score better when Sturridge isnt playing

    3. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Sterling

  7. Blue Gaffer
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Need some advice on the following potential transfers:

    Wickham---Sturridge
    Mata---Sterling
    Jones----Naughton (-8)

    Would leave me with

    De Gea (Davis)
    Alonso Naughton Zabaleta (Azpilicueta) (Chambers)
    Sterling Eriksen Yaya Puncheon (Ramsey)
    Suarez Sturridge Aguero

    Currently 5 points ahead of rival these point hits would leave me 3 points behind.

    & Are subs correct.

    1. Ikey Warrior
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Leave the Naughton sub altogether and play Azpilicueta.

      If you can afford Wickham to Dzeko alone, that'd be best.

      If you're in the lead, you don't want to be throwing it away with hits in the last gameweek of the season.

  8. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Who is the best option to replace mata?
    A) sterling
    B) gerrard
    C) schurrle

    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Hazard

    2. Hay Number 2
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Sterling

    3. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      A

  9. Hay Number 2
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Good article and good advice. I've had decent year this year, but the greatest advice is the one regarding form. Strike whilst the irons hot. But one thing that's done me well is taking 5 rolling game weeks at a time and where possible trust your team and save the odd transfer.

  10. Ikey Warrior
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Dzeko or Sturridge?

    1. Hay Number 2
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      I went sturridge

    2. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      went for Sturridge myself

    3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Sturridge. No question for me as I would have had to remove another City.

  11. Optimus.
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Kolorov is not going to start is he? 😐

    1. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      tbh, I think he will start

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Want to know the same. Rival has him and hope Lolarov to do his trademark 5 mins cameo.

    3. filobiz
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      why you say that? i bloody hope he does!

  12. Louis
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Bench Wickham or Ramsey?

    1. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Wickham

    2. Hay Number 2
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ramsey.....go with form

  13. Grumpy Camel
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Please help lads. 13 points behind and 1FT
    My team

    Mannone (Harper)
    Azpil Alonso Demi (dann chester)
    Yaya eriksen Ramsey mata (noone)
    Suarez Aguero(c) Rooney

    His team

    Mannone
    Vidic jones ward vlaar chester
    Oscar yaya nasri sterling januz
    Suarez dzeko studge

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Rooney to Lukaku as free transfer...start Dann ahead of Alonso..

    2. supperspout
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      not feeling confident about having Ramsey, Aguero, Mata and then Chester, Stones (Distin will probably get the nod over him?) and Mutch on the bench. requires a hit?

  14. LewanGOALski
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Who to play:

    A. Ward
    or
    B. Sterling(-4)

    ?

    *I'm leading by 6 pts only!

    1. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ward

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ward..and hope for a CS..as I'm also hoping for a CP CS..

  15. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    anyone sitting here with just over 45 mins with dozens of transfers in mind but no idea what to do?

    1. Qubit
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      nah, just you mate. 😉

    2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      yup.

    3. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Over here!

    4. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Yup. The latest I've ever left it with no clue!
      What are your options?

    5. Magerost
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Only one transfer, Ramsey->Haz or Gerrard

      • Qubit
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Do what ive done. Ive got 2 plans and ive narrowed it down to i think the less spectacular option that gives me the best chance of being able to field 11 decent players with a sub or 2.

      • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        just going to have to hit the confirm button on one of them and hope in the last few mins 🙁

        will regret it straight away too

      • Hay Number 2
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        That was me last night, go through your team narrow down who are the 1/2 you wanna get rid of and go with your gut. Sometimes all the differing opinions on here can make you sway in your judgement.

      • Viper
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I've managed to break mine down to Gerrard/Hazard or Schurrle in for Ramsey..

      • Jacketts Potatoes
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Yes and it's really stressing me out

      • Arvin-ation
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        15 monutes no?

    6. Art Vandelay
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Any love for Yaya (c) if chasing?

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Defo. Do it!

        1. Art Vandelay
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Cheers. Only chasing 9 points but few differentials.

      2. Moin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Lukaku (c) if you're chasing!

        1. S.Kuqi
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          nope. Yaya much better.

      3. filobiz
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        yeah i'm 31 behind and it's on his arm at the moment. i have suarez, aguero, gerrard, sterling, eriksen, to choose from. big up yaya!!!! sorely tempted to give it to suarez tho....

    7. Torres76
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Here is my team for today

      Mannone
      Kosch, Iva, Evra
      Yaya, Nasri, Sterling, Ramsey
      Ageuro Suarez (c) Sturridge

      Lewis, Mata, Ward, Bruce

      1. Should I sell Ramsey or Aguero for say Dzeko and someone else?
      2. Play any of the subs?

      Cheers to you all.

      1. Torres76
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Really need some help please..

        1. Hay Number 2
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Mata instead of Rambo, good to go otherwise imo

    8. @FPLStrategist
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Starting chances of

      1) Aguero
      2) Ramsey
      3) Mata

      ?

      1. Moin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        99%
        50%
        80%

    9. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Final Gameweek! All the Best Everyone!!

      You all reckon Cazorla will get some points today? and Who are you all captaining? My captain is set on Suarez..

      1. LewanGOALski
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Suarez(c) as well here o/

      2. Hay Number 2
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I'm going Suarez also

    10. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Thank god this season is almost over. Good riddance FPL 2013/14. It will forever be a blot on my ranking history 🙁

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        wow. nice ranks in previous seasons.

      2. drughi
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        opposite for me, my best season so far

      3. Zep
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I echo these sentiments exactly...

    11. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Best forward for 7.4 or less?

      1. LewanGOALski
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Odemwingie

        1. LewanGOALski
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          or Ade

        2. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          This!

      2. Qubit
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I think you know the answer to that one. Its Adebayor.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Looks like 3 answers so far.

        2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Aree--I thought he was 7.5 😳

      3. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Bony

      4. Notorious
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Adebayor or Odemwingie .

    12. SenjorBob
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      2 points behind first in my mini league, my rival has yaya toure and i don't. should i take a -4 hit to change nasri to toure? as i am worried he might make the difference today

    13. Yome
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Chance of Mata starting?

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        80-90%

        1. Yome
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Been reading some United forums, Giggs could be playing a mix of youngsters and established players, not sure now

      2. Qubit
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Slightly wrong question. Should be chances of Mata playing at all and of getting points. The answer to that question is probably not very high.

    14. Stats King-@football2space
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      PUNT on Lukaku , Adeb or Bony ?

      1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Ade for me.

      2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        ade at home so him

      3. Stats King-@football2space
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        k thnx guys

    15. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Which of these front eight is the best?

      1. Mata, Erikson, Toure, Nasri, Sterling
      Suarez, Aguero (Wickham)

      2. Erikson, Toure, Nasri, Sterling (Amalf)
      Suarez, Aguero, Sturridge (-4)

      3. Mata, Erikson, Toure, Sterling (Amalf)
      Suarez, Aguero, Dzeko (-4)

      In a nutshell, Mata-Nasri, Nasri-Sturridge (-4), or Mata-Dzeko (-4)?

      1. Torres76
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Nasri + Slurrydge

    16. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Should I change anything

      Mannone
      Evra. Azp. Kos
      Yaya. Sterling. Eirksen. Mata
      Aguero. Suarez C. Dzeko

      Boruc. Ramsey. Ward. Chester

      Ive used my ft. But I can afford anybody. Just not sure if anyone is worth a hit

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        looks great

    17. drughi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      should I play vlaar or get ivanovic/cahill/ mertesacker for a hit ?

    18. # Young Gun SEAMUS #
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      play eriksen for ramsey

      or

      play sterling for johnson

    19. Louis
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      11 points behind the top 10k. Yaya or Suarez captain?

    20. DonTheSpecialOne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Aguero -> Dzeko worth a transfer? Considering keeping Kun