Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Guys, can i get some opinions plsss..really worried i am gonna lose my ML

    Rivals team:
    mannone
    dbl chel def + flanagan
    nasri yaya mata eriksen
    suarez aguero sturridge

    my team + 10 points
    mannone
    zaba evra vlaar
    aj yaya mata salah (barkley)
    suarez aguero rooney

    his team is brilliant for this gw..my options:
    A: salah + rooney >> eriksen + sturridge (-4)
    -

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      A looks like the option to go for.

      1. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        lol didnt get a chance to finish...view other options below TM...really sticky situaion

    2. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      if i do A,
      - my lead will be 6 points and he will def win with cahill/azp/nasri/flanagan compared to my zaba/evra/vlaar/aj 🙁

      B: salah + rooney >> gerrard + adebayor
      - i will have a better chance as the sides are more different

      C: vlaar + rooney >> baines + adebayor (-4)
      D: vlaar + rooney >> cahill + sturridge (-4)

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Cover his 2 best differentials. Cardiff goal & you probably win.

    3. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      AJ instead of Salah...

      1. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        i am sure salah wont start whereas AJ has a small chance of starting

        1. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          AJ I'm pretty sure won't start..Salah as well..Do Salah only if you're sure he won't start..

    4. decisions
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would

  2. decisions
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Who to lose for sterling? Both bench fodder for mata

    A: Ramsey
    B: puncheon

    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      A

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      B

    3. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      A

      1. decisions
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Damn.. I was leaning towards puncheon!!

    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Lol

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Smooth. 😀

    3. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      hahahaha

  3. Jimbo123
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ramsey or Mata ----> Gerrard or Hazard ??

    1. modigliani
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Having this same dilemma,

      do we know that Hazard will definitely play?

    2. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would do Ramsey to Hazard if you have the funds.

  4. Dago
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Bench one Ward Alonso or AJ?

    1. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      AJ

      1. Dago
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        I have same problem as you but chasing an 8 point lead. The other option is AJ to Sterling for a hit. What do you reckon?

        1. LewanGOALski
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Don't spread the gap IMO

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      AJ

    3. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ward.

  5. LewanGOALski
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Who to play:

    A. Ward
    or
    B. Sterling(-4)

    ?

    *I'm leading by 6 pts only

    1. Dago
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ward I reckon. U need Sterling to potentially score more than 10 points to make it worth while.

  6. For Fuchs Sake
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ah my rival who is 22 points behind has only done one transfer so far, I bet he does another one at the deadline 😉 Can't work out who his transfer is by the TV

  7. Albert Cole
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    I know my rival doesn't have Sturridge. I have him. Do I captain him? Chasing a 18 point lead.

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Oui!

    2. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Yep

    3. LewanGOALski
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      definitely

  8. gera.bostock
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Next year will be better Mark. Thanks for your hard work.

    Fighting for 2k rank and my mini league. Good luck to everyone.

  9. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Any Metro players about? I just want to check that the deadline is 12.00

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Worth a 25pt hit to get rid of Mata for Haz just for the one game? I could play Barkley in stead but I'm worried he won't get a full game either.

  10. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    4 of Gerrard's last 5 double figure hauls have come away from home. (NEW)

    Schurrle's 2 of 3 double figure hauls have also come away from home. (car)

    Only 1 of Hazard's 4 previous double figure hauls have come away from home.. (car)

    Making me edge towards Schurrle

    1. Jimbo123
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Schurrley not.....

  11. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Is vlaar to ivan or baines worth it for a -4 so I don't have to play molsson or bardsley?

  12. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Aguero Rooney & Amalfitano
    To
    Sturridge Dzeko & Gerrard/Sterling

    For -8pts

    Rival in second place has Dzeko & Sterling!!!

  13. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ramsey > Gerrard worth a hit?

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      No.

      1. Magerost
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Ramsey->Hazard worth one? 😉

          1. Moin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            yup!

          2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Yes yes yes

            1. Magerost
                10 years, 16 days ago

                Time to bring him in, and stop this spamming 😉

            2. Tmel
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              0.5 from affording that 🙁

              1. Moin
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                go for Schurrle

        • The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Sterling yes

      2. There's Always One!
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Is Evra to baines worth a hit?

        1. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Defenders not worth a hit atm

        2. LewanGOALski
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Nah

      3. Magerost
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Any way to tell if youre rival has touched his team except tranfers?
          He hasnt made any, and hoping he have forgot to change his team also.

        • Viper
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Rival still hasn't made a change. Hopefully he misses the deadline and Suarez (c) is a differential! 😛

          1. Moin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            haha All the best!

          2. Magerost
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Same here! One up!

          3. Grumpy Camel
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Please help lads. 13 points behind and 1FT
            My team

            Mannone (Harper)
            Azpil Alonso Demi (dann chester)
            Yaya eriksen Ramsey mata (noone)
            Suarez Aguero(c) Rooney

            His team

            Mannone
            Vidic jones ward vlaar chester
            Oscar yaya nasri sterling januz
            Suarez dzeko studge

            Move Rooney to which differential?
            Take a hit for hazard from mata?

          4. PINKFISH (SANCTIONED AND GA…
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            All the relegated teams play at home today.

            So the question is one of pride or capitulation? My thoughts.

            Goals Goals Goals = Torres/ Chamakh/ Gayle/ Podolski.

            And Luiz ___Yes him ...OOP maybe and a good option today.

            1. In Like Flynn.
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              You've had some brave differentials over the season PinkFish and you deserve for some of them to pay off.
              Good luck today.

              1. PINKFISH (SANCTIONED AND GA…
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                Tx Flynn __ Get on Luiz today I think. GL! 🙂

          5. SenjorBob
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            nasri to yaya for a hit?

          6. EWH2020
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Mata to ....

            A) gerrard -4
            B) sterling -4
            C) schurle -4

            Is it worth it?

            1. Moin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Mata will start IMO

          7. The Pep Revolution
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Eriksen or Sterling?

            1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Sterling

          8. Art Vandelay
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Evra or Dann gents?

            1. Moin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Dann

          9. Super Silva Haze
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Who to captain

            Hazard
            Yaya
            Aguero
            Ade
            Suarez
            Eriksen

          10. shiffo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            Kolarov hasn't started 2 games in a row in over 4 months, any reason why it would be different this time around?

          11. Magerost
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Fecking hell, dreamt my team was hacked, and Nasri scored but he was on my bench.
              Happy when I woke up!

            • JoeJitzu +42
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Who to bench?

              Mata Yaya Eriksen Sterling Ramsey
              Sturridge Suarez Dzeko

              1. Super Silva Haze
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                Rambo

            • FPL Daniel
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Will Kun Wickham Mata all start?

              1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                kun yes
                wickham no
                mata yes

                in my opinion

              2. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                Unlikely.

            • In Like Flynn.
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Metro Game:

              Worth a 25pt hit to get rid of Mata for Haz just for the one game? I could play Barkley in stead but I'm worried he won't get a full game either.

            • RabMac
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 16 days ago

              Something to help take people's mind off the transfer/captain headache.

              What is your main goal today and how would you like things to look at the end of the day?

              My main goal is to try and move from 2nd to 1st overall for all GW3 starters which is doable and would love to be in the top 10K which is more challenging.

              1. Jimbo123
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 16 days ago

                Yaya and Sturridge doing fook all would be delightful

                1. RabMac
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 16 days ago

                  I think a lot people want that. I need Suarez to blank if I am to have a realistic chance of top 10K and 1st overall for GW3 starters.

              2. Magerost
                  10 years, 16 days ago

                  Top10K and win monthly prize in ML.
                  So far behind 1st nearly given up, still a prize for 2nd 😉

                  1. RabMac
                    • 10 Years
                    10 years, 16 days ago

                    How far you off 10k mate?