Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. For Fuchs Sake
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    22 points clear, if my rival takes a hit, shall I not bother or just try and match him?

    1. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Stick. Let him do the chasing

  2. SenjorBob
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Currently 2 points behind first in my mini league, it has been ridiculously close all season and first place gets a tasty cash prize

    My team:

    Szczesny
    cahill - dawson - koscielny - zabaleta
    barkley - eriksen - nasri
    sturridge - aguero - suarez (c)

    bench: manonne - ramsey - shaw - bacuna

    0 FT and 2.2m ITB

    he has got yaya and i'm worried he will make the difference, should i bring him in for nasri and a -4 hit to try and play it safe?

    1. SenjorBob
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      really need some help on this

      1. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        What would be the other transfer? Yaya and?

        1. SenjorBob
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          already done my free transfer on rooney to sturridge

  3. @ocprodigy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Last call for Scout Picks Challenge entries: Scout Pick Challenge entries: http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/7327860

  4. Jacketts Potatoes
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Cash ML rival is 2 points ahead. He's taken a -4 so is technically 2 behind me.

    I'm concerned re game time (or even starts) for
    Mata
    Kun
    Rambo

    My bench is punch and rosenior

    Do I look at -4 hits?

    Maybe

    Punch/Rambo to sterling
    Or
    Mata to Haz/stevieG

    Please help guys, stressed

  5. There's Always One!
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Really tempted to get baines in for evra for a hit? Just can't see utd keeping a clean sheet

    1. Darsh
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Tempted as well... Not sure what to do really.

    2. jackx13
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Team? I considered the same move and didn't do it but I have Ward and Molsson to cover in Def.

      1. There's Always One!
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Back 4
        Evra. Azp. Kos. ( ward. Chester)

        1. There's Always One!
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          3*

          1. jackx13
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 16 days ago

            I don't think the hit is worth it then.

  6. supperspout
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    not feeling confident about having Ramsey, Aguero, Mata and then Chester, Stones (Distin will probably get the nod over him?) and Mutch on the bench. requires a hit?

  7. Le Blues
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Confused with who to pick as third defender
    Help would be appreciated.
    Gotta pick between Evra, Dann and Bruce.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Start Evra.
      Dann as 1st sub if Evra doesn't play.

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Yes, I think so with this.

  8. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    If Ramsey is a doubt to start today (FA Cup) would that make Giroud a doubt as well as he is Arsenal's main striker?

  9. The Baby-faced Assassin
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Mata > Hazard for -4?

    1. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      No

      1. zøphar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        why not? I say yes

        1. There's Always One!
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Because am not confident hazard will do much. And I think the utd game could be a high scoring game so I'd hope mata gets involved

    2. gera.bostock
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      i'm doing it.

  10. yer old da
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Worth a hit to drop Mata for Gerrard or Hazard? If so what one?

    1. supperspout
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      same decision... all i know which ever decision I choose it will be the wrong one

    2. Primprong
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Yes. Im thinking Gerrard has something to prove.

  11. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Am asking this a lot but the more responses the better.

    Stick or twist? Currently leading ML by 19 points.

    a) -4 Baker --> Any defender apart from Baines

    b) -4 Ramsey --> Sterling/Schlurrrrre

    c) -4 Mata --> Gerrard/Hazard

    d) No hit

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      What answer you would like to hear?

  12. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    have a feeling mata starts but does zip

    one of those typical mata united performances

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Do these feelings normally happen?

    2. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I feel the opposite. Think it could be a very open game. I say 3-3

  13. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Too risky to get Hazard?

    -4pts to replace Amalfi and bench Ramsey.

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Choice is Sterling or Gerrard, but I have both SAS too.

  14. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Thanks for the input, hit taken. Now to see if it will be worth while.

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Snap.

    2. supperspout
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      which hit?

  15. Darsh
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Bottom of last page, Ade or Lukaku for this week?

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ade

  16. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Thanks for the answers on the last page--pressing confirm on option 2 now.

  17. Jönny
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Last one of the season.... Start Azpi or Ward?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Azpi

      Ward 1st sub

    2. Aaron Ramessi - Straya
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      my gut feeling is ward, but logic suggests azpi

    3. Efan Ekoku Pops
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Azpi

  18. The King
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    My rival doesn't have Sturridge, dzeko, giroud, yaya, hazard or Ramsey

    I have them all, who do I captain?

    Chasing a 50 point lead!

    1. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Whoever you want as will need a miracle to catch him. 😉 (Hazard or Dzeko though)

  19. Van Dal
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    What would you rather have

    Sturridge Aguero Ramsey 14pt lead

    Or

    DZeko Gerrard Ward 10pt lead (but have covered two of 2nd place players)

  20. Thomass
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    I've got a Europa League final today! 😀

  21. Efan Ekoku Pops
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ramsey + Wickham > Sterling + Sturridge (-4)

    Worth it?

    1. The Baby-faced Assassin
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Yep!

    2. steevouk
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would

    3. SUPERMAN
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would say yes but probably depends on your bench. Word that wickham may not be playing.

  22. SUPERMAN
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Enjoyed reading the preamble this morning. Thank you Mark.

    Good luck to all you guys today and I hope you succeed in your quest to win your mini leagues or improve your rank etc.

    Come on captain Suarez and come on west ham.

  23. drughi
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    ramsey>schurrle worth a hit ?

  24. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Is vlaar to baines worth a -4, so I don't have to play bardsley/molsson?

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      yes

  25. The Pep Revolution
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Dzeko or Toure captain?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would say Yaya
      I consider Dzeko a bit of a lucky donkey while Yaya is a beast.

      1. The Pep Revolution
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Dzeko did very good last week though.

  26. jaco
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Start 3

    Kos
    Cahill
    Ward
    Zaba

    1. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Bench Ward

    2. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Start all 4

      1. jaco
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Then who to bench?

        Yaya mata Eriksen sterling
        SAS

        Ramsey Smalling

  27. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Would you start Evra, Fonte, or Ward?

    It's the 3rd DF in my team and I almost do the coin toss.

    1. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ward for me.

  28. Don Andres
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Good to go?

    Mannone
    Ivan - Zaba - Bardsley(or Vidic?)
    Ramsey - Mata - Yaya - Eriksen
    Suarez(c) - Aguero - Sturrigde?

    Or anything worth a hit?

    Currently 2pts ahead in my ML after rival did -4

  29. Blue Gaffer
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    De Gea (Davis)
    Alonso Azpilicueta Zabaleta (Jones) (Chambers)
    Sterling Eriksen Yaya Puncheon (Ramsey)
    Suarez Sturridge Aguero

    £0.1 in bank 1FT

    5 points ahead in ML.

    Should I buy anyone & are subs correct?

    Thanks everyone this season & good-luck today

  30. stephenl15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    At 10k, going for highest possible rank. Can't bring myself not to (C) Suarez but I really wanna take a punt. Anybody wanna help me not to captain Suarez. I have Dzeko, Sturridge, Yaya, Haz or Sterling.

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      dzeko, yaya and sturridge all have a good chance of scoring as good/better then suarez but if they dont you may drop alot in ranking