Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ppp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    How likely are Mata/Aguero to play?
    Either worth a hit to Hazard/Dzeko?

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Mata 80%
      Aguero 99%

      nope..maybe Mata --> Hazard worth a hit

  2. Moin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Not taking a hit!!! Hope Puncheon, Cazorla, Mata and Eriksen deliver good today!!!

    All the best everyone!!

  3. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Ok, so this is how it's gonna be.

    Roo(c)
    Mata (vc)

    I'm sure that if Roo bothers to travel he will start, if not. Mata will be the benefitian and play in the hole behind RvP. No hits and a strong bench to cover if it cash and burn.

    1. RabMac
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      I'm guessing your not in the top 500K. 😉

      1. The Shoonchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I'm guessing he is a Man Utd supporter 😛

      2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Im ranked at 3k, but i aint your average sheep.
        id 2394245

        1. RabMac
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Nice rank but I must say I am surprised you are that high if these are the decisions you make.

          What you are proposing could leave you without a captain as it is unlikely Rooney will even make the bench and Mata is a rotation risk.

          1. Camp No No
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 15 days ago

            Maybe it's because he's high that he makes such decisions?

          2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 15 days ago

            It is the last week, it is a desperate attempt to climb to top1k and make up nearly 30p in ml. By doing what everyone else does, there is no chance.
            This has high risk but also extremely high gain and i do think Mata will start.

            1. RabMac
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 15 days ago

              I think Mata will start as well but I can't see Rooney being anywhere near the starting XI or bench.

              Most people will captain Suarez this week so most captains will be differentials in my opinion.

              1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 15 days ago

                There you go, now you see picking Roo is not hurting anything, but if he play there is so much gain....

                well, captaining Suarez can easily crash and burn to. What if City takes anearly lead with 2-0, can easily see pool players loose there wits when they hear that.

                1. RabMac
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 15 days ago

                  I just see no benefit in captaining someone who has very little, if any chance at all, of playing.

                  Mata is risky but at least it has some merit.

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      No United player worth captaining IMO..Southampton are not an easy side to defeat..

    3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      People are getting rid of both, since neither are likely to play.

    4. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Oh dear maybe it's time to give up mate

  4. Qubit
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Any feedback on which option folk prefer greatly appreciated:

    a) Welbeck, Aguero and Mata to Dzeko, Sturridge and Hazard

    b) Mata and Noone to Sterling and Schurrle. (and play 4-5-2)

  5. Blue Gaffer
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Lost on previous page

    De Gea (Davis)
    Alonso Azpilicueta Zabaleta (Jones) (Chambers)
    Sterling Eriksen Yaya Puncheon (Ramsey)
    Suarez Sturridge Aguero

    £0.1 in bank 1FT

    5 points ahead in ML.

    Should I buy anyone & are subs correct?

    Thanks everyone this season & good-luck today

  6. Chris_Fàbregas #DOOS…
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    DON'T PANIC.

  7. Master Kane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Will Aguero really be risked this afternoon?

    1. Efan Ekoku Pops
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      I don't see it. Coming off injured after less than 30 mins last week then starting today doesn't add up.

    2. Ed
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Hope so, they are going for the title afterall - don't think pelle will really care about the world cup

      1. Camp No No
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        As Chilean he might hope that Aguero doesn't make it there. 😉

  8. Primprong
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Bench one!

    Coleman, Zaba, Ward, Azpili.

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ward. Simple.

    2. Paris Ganja Man
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ward or Coleman.

    3. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Ward

  9. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Mark next season....

    " The Empire Strikes Back " 😉

    Well done again this season with the site, it goes from strength to strength every year

    Evs

    1. thetinkerman
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Agreed. The site has come on leaps and bounds this year and although his FPL performance doesn't deserve much credit, his and the team's hard-work has paid off for sure!

    2. PINKFISH (SANCTIONED AND GA…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Fantasy Footballs number one site, great stuff. 🙂

    3. The Blackadder
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      My one goal after my ML was chasing you down in 'the old farts' league Evs, 4pts behind you....I'm coming for you 🙂

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        😯

        1. The Blackadder
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Take it as a compliment mate.....tho I do have to set myself some better targets in life lol

  10. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    A. Rooney -> Adebayor, play Puncheon instead of Ramsey.

    B. Rooney & Ramsey -> Adebayor & Hazard, 4 point hit

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Avoid hit A..

  11. SenjorBob
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    nasri > yaya worth a hit if chasing 2 point lead and my rival has yaya? confident i could play it safe and gain points elsewhere

    1. supperspout
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      this is literally my exact situation

      1. SenjorBob
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        haha nervy end to the season, what are you thinking?

        1. supperspout
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          ive gone without yaya, 2 point should be do=able, scared of yaya

  12. Demí
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Looks like no kids from Giggs today. Has to be good for Mata's starting prospects surely

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2625474/James-Wilson-wont-travel-Man-United-squad-play-Southampton-despite-scoring-debut-double.html

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Fingers crossed.

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Mata will score a goal and get an assist I'm confident!

      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I see this as a safe home-win.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Mata differential c in the hole behind Rvp

  13. # Young Gun SEAMUS #
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    get eriksen or sterling ( also have sas )

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Eriksen then..try and take a punt on Schurrle

  14. Vpan
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    1) Mata -> Gerrard

    or

    2) Ramsey -> Sterling

    for a hit ?

  15. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Sterling or Schurle? Have Suarez and Gerrard frim liv already

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Go on, take a punt on Shirley 🙂

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        I am not sure he will start or play more than 60 min.

        Good luck man and Verce luck next season

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      For whom? Schurrle is a good choice

  16. stephenl15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    At 10k, going for highest possible rank. Can't bring myself not to (C) Suarez but I really wanna take a punt. Anybody wanna help me not to captain Suarez. I have Dzeko, Sturridge, Yaya, Haz or Sterling. Repost

    1. Paris Ganja Man
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Dzeko is the next best captain pick in my opinion

      1. stephenl15
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Better than Suarez?

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      In the same boat. Going suarez myself

      1. stephenl15
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        This boringness is killing me haha. Cue Dzeko YY Sturridge hattricks

    3. rdpx
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      i am between Suaz and YY.

      Leaning to YY.

    4. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      If you're looking for rank, go for the highest scorer. Suarez.

  17. Paris Ganja Man
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Who should I start out of Mata Puncheon and Coleman. Only one please!

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      I would start Mata.

      1. Paris Ganja Man
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        cheers boss

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Mata

  18. Bolasie
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    A, Johnson
    B, Arnautovic -4
    C, Sterling -4

  19. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Captain

    A) Sturridge
    B) Aguero

    ML leader 24 points ahead and have none of A and B

    1. Paris Ganja Man
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      A. Aguero's game time remains a doubt

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Thanks, agree

  20. JoJoRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    hazard or schurlle?
    How likely both to play %

  21. The Blackadder
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    I think my ML rival has overslept as he was drunk last night 🙂 still no transfers made with 25 mins to go. Leaves me with a decision to make drop Mata for Schurrle or Hazard -4, will put me 26pts behind.

    1. ppp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      If you do it, do Hazard. I'm pondering the same move, but leaning towards keeping mata, although my poor bench (vlaar in if he doesn't play) does worry me

  22. Call Me Old Fashioned
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Mannone
    Alonso Cahill Ward
    Ramsey Mata Yaya(v) Nasri
    Aguero Sturridge Suarez(C)

    Marshall Punch MOlsson Chester

    Mata, Ramsey or Punch for the bench?

    1. SenjorBob
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      deffo bench ramsey

  23. DonTheSpecialOne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    I'm tempted to Get Lukaku. Aguero and Wickham -> Dzekp and Lukaku (-4)? Or just keep kun?

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Why Aguero out?

      1. DonTheSpecialOne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Afraid he's off after 10 mins as usual

        1. Royal5
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          I can´t see City scoring many today tbh. Isn´t West Ham pretty tight at the back? Feel I´m covered pretty good without Dzeko. Got Agu, Yaya and Nasri.

      2. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        Imagine the burn if you kept him for this long, you sell and he starts. He´s their best player, if he is fit he will start imo. Not sure he is fit though 😛

        1. DonTheSpecialOne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 15 days ago

          Yeah good point. Hate this 😛 Cheers mate!

  24. Thomass
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Come on Liverpool! 😀

    “One Manager, One Dressing Room, One Club”

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      One title ➡ Manchester.

  25. JeremyBentham
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Different crowd repost! 16pt lead in ML - should I block rival by doing Lallana to Gerrard for -4?

    Or leave it as is?

    #StickorTwist

  26. JoeSoap
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Order of your preference:

    A. Mata>Gerard
    B. Aguerro>Sturridge
    C. Ramsey>Sterling

    Would you take a hit for any of these transfers?

    1. jonny77
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Depends on whether you are holding a lead or chasing and who your rival has.

      1. JoeSoap
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 15 days ago

        ML won. Playing for fun now!

  27. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    think newcastle will stifle liverpool today

    1. Demí
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 15 days ago

      Reckon i should get Bony over Suarez then?

  28. Whitman2013
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    hi guys is it worth keeping/playing wickham?

  29. jonny77
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Does this team check out, chasing a rival but also trying to maintain a lead on one with Sturridge (C)

    Manonne
    Cahill, Zabaleta, Skrtel
    Mata, Ramsey, Toure, Hazard
    Sturridge (C), Dzeko, Suarez

    (Marshall, Baker, Chester, Noone)

  30. Ich bin Klopp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 15 days ago

    Chances of Mannone being rested after Poyets recent comments?
    Might use my transfer to bring in a decent gk backup