Preamble

The Pre-Match Preamble – Gameweek 38

I can’t say I’ll be sorry to see the back of this season. Those of you who have sampled this article regularly, or had the misfortune to listen to my bleating via the ScoutCast, will know that I’ve suffered somewhat. The rank doesn’t lie – this is my worst ever Fantasy Premier League campaign.

I’ve wasted words and breath attempting to analyse what’s gone wrong and, while I can point to some bad luck along the way, I’ve little doubt that my season has been tainted by errors of judgement and stubbornness to go with the “wisdom of the crowd”.

At least I can comfort myself by the fact that I’ve left the season with some lessons learned: nine months of struggle have at least helped me come up with the following pointers:

  • React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
  • Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
  • Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
  • Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
  • Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers.
  • Only sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
  • Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
  • If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.

Few of these will come as a surprise to most of you. You’re seasoned Fantasy managers, right? You know this stuff. I thought the same.For some reason, however, I’ve either been in the dark on these principles, or I’ve just been far too stubborn to apply them. I’d say it was 25:75 in that respect. Personally, I’ve been taken by surprise on just how much the bonus system favoured centre-backs over your run-of-the-mill full-back, while my reluctance to jump on bandwagons has punished me.

I mentioned some of these in last week’s ScoutCast and Granville, wise old whining head that he is, pointed out that “every season is different”. A cliché for sure, but an essential point to consider.

We can have our lists of rules and principles to follow but the fact remains: each season we are given new problems to solve and have to react and shape our strategies accordingly. The list above may have worked better for me this season – it could be next to useless next time out.

That’s the beauty of this game we play. Guiding principles are great and undoubtedly can help you out – but they can only get you so far. Most of use are pretty convinced that succeeding in Fantasy Football requires you to go with your gut and ride your luck, almost in equal measure.

The ten sets of 22 players each weekend aren’t aware of the methodical thinking we’ve put in – they’re not working with us or conspiring against us – not even Aleks Kolarov. We can construct best-laid plans and hope they aren’t ripped up by the whims of a Premier League manager or a reckless challenge and card-flapping referee. If they are, we have to ensure that we don’t give in to frustration and go again the following week, reacting to what we’ve seen, what’s unfolded and what we’ve learned. Or in my case, the following season.

I’ll be back in a few months, then, oozing positivity and seeking a season more like that of Luke Weston and Tom Fenley than my own experience over the last nine months. Those two Scout league names tussle for the Fantasy Premier League crown today, with Borna Gamulin sandwiched between them. Best of luck to those guys – and all the Fantasy managers who soaked up this and any of our articles and other efforts this season. It’s been a pleasure, even in this most bruising of seasons.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,491 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jar Jar Winks
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Play Ramsey or eriksen

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Eriksen by a distance

    2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Tough one. If Ramsey starts behind Sonogo as one post suggested, that would be great, but Erikson is safer.

  2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    No minileague implications today, but I am 10 points off my OR rank target (top 100,000 after a miserable start that had me 2,300,000 in GW 7, and still outside 1,000,000 in GW11!). Do I need a differential (c) or just stick with Suarez?

    Mannone (Boruc)
    Terry, Evra, Coleman (Ward, Olsson)
    Erikson, Nasri, Toure, Sterling (Amalf)
    Sturridge, Suarez, Aguero

    1. fatherted
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Luis will take his frustrations out on Newcastle...Simples!

    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Rely on the team to make the 10pts. Captain Suarez.

    3. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      *GW 12

  3. Puffy73
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Evra or Shaw?

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I would play Evra in the hope of attacking points.

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      It's Evra or Fonte for me.

      Leaning to Fonte now.

    3. Puffy73
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Really tricky one, and I keep changing my mind! :-/ Be glad when we cant make any more changes.

    4. WipWapJaws
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Evra, Southampton have been unable to score since Jay Rod went down injured and most of their attacking players seem to be injured

  4. justgiving.com/JonnyChard
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Captain out of Yaya, Suarez, Aguero? 🙂

    Thanks!

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Suarez unless seriously chasing.

      1. justgiving.com/JonnyChard
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Seriously chasing, but rival will be captaining Yaya!

  5. PlayON
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Killian here from http://www.playon.co.uk

    A quick note to say that there is only 2 hours left to enter the £1,000 Guaranteed game for the matches today.

    If you're new to PlayON, it's weekly fantasy football so it doesn't matter if you haven't played before, you can pick a team from scratch and be at no disadvantage. We are also giving FREE ENTRY to the £1,000 game, worth £5.50, to all new sign-ups between now and 13.00.

    You can sign up or enter at http://www.playon.co.uk

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Hey Killian.

      Next season is there anyway you can add a filter so you can group by price range?

      It's a nightmare scrolling through to the find the price range you have left into bank.

      1. PlayON
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Hi Evs,
        That's in our new website and mobile site - being released for the World Cup in 3 weeks time.

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Stunning 😎

    2. stephenl15
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Free entry for new users? I'm gonna give it a go 🙂

      1. PlayON
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Hi StephenL15,
        You should have received your free entry now

  6. Aaron Ramessi - Straya
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    am i crazy to play ward over azpi?

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      nope

    2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ye

  7. karankachiefs
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    I thought Ramsey was fit to start?

    1. WipWapJaws
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I believe he is fit, but there are whispers that he (and other regulars) will be rested for the cup game

  8. Viper
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    *Throw me out a suggestion please..

    A. Rooney -> Adebayor, play Puncheon instead of Ramsey.

    B. Rooney & Ramsey -> Adebayor & Hazard, 4 point hit

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      A

    2. There's Always One!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      B

  9. drughi
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    cahill or ivanovic ? need a replacement for jones as I dont want to play vlaar

  10. Phillips
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Anyone care to share any pearls of wisdom over Aguero's chances of starting?

    1. WipWapJaws
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Flip a coin 🙂

      1. Phillips
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Been doing that all morning 😀

        1. WipWapJaws
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          I have got him and will start him, but then I am chasing my ML leader and am going for broke.

  11. Thomass
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Who do you all want to win the league?
    Liverpool or Manchester City?

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Liverpool

      1. Thomass
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Good lad want Pool to win it too

        1. NATSTER
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          +1

        2. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          Just be nice to see a team that hasn't won it win it from my point of view

    2. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      pool

    3. beric
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Liverpool

  12. Reckoner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Is the general thinking Aguero starts but Ramsey doesn't?

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ramsey starts but doesn't play full 90mins thats the general thinking..

    2. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      The general thinking is no one has a clue

    3. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Ramsey could be saved for the final. That sounds sensible for me.

      Aguero ... it's a guesswork.

    4. Towsor44
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Aguero himself seems very keen to play a part

    5. Aaron Ramessi - Straya
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      yes, but it could go either way

      1. Towsor44
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Agreed. With the amount of games he's missed, he prob needs to play to get a medal 🙂

    6. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      No wisdom of crowds here. More of a Schrödinger's cat question.

    7. beric
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Both start and so does matata

  13. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Quick help please.

    A. Hazard -4
    B. Sterling -4
    C. Gerrard -4

    Note I have both SAS if that's matter.

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Hazard def

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Thanks MOIN. Leaning to that too. He will start, right?

        1. Moin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 16 days ago

          yup! he should

  14. Louis
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    11 points behind the top 10k. Yaya or Suarez captain??

    1. rdpx
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      I've gone YAYA but everyone seems to think LS is way to go.

      Not sure I understand thinking as LS has not done much for weeks and YY is in fine fine form, as ever.

  15. Spencer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Help please guys.

    Rival has finally made his transfer and I think he's brought Dzeko in. His team:

    Speroni
    KOSCIELNY - DISTIN - Azpilicueta
    STERLING - Ramsey - Puncheon - GERRARD
    Suarez - LUKAKU - DZEKO

    ADRIAN - NOLAN - FONTE - BENNETT

    My team currently:

    Speroni
    ZABALETA - DANN - Azpilicueta
    YAYA - Ramsey - Puncheon - JOHNSON
    Suarez - AGUERO - ROONEY

    DDG - EVRA - LIVERMORE - VLAAR

    So:

    I'm 9 points behind already.

    Q1. Rooney to Sturridge, or Dzeko (to block his transfer)?
    Q2. Worth taking a hit to do AJ -> Schurrle or Sterling (to block his player)?

    Thanks guys!

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Dzeko

    2. Aaron Ramessi - Straya
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      get studge and schurrle imo

      1. Moin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        This! but I say Odemwingie and Schurrle..

    3. Van Dal
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Dzeko imo

      1. Spencer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 16 days ago

        Thanks guys.

  16. thegreathoudini
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Mannone
    Demichelis / Coleman / Evra
    Eriksen / Mata / Yaya Touré / Puncheon
    Dzeko / Suárez (C) / Rooney

    Boruc / Barkley / Davies / Olsson

    Rooney > A) Sturridge B) RVP

  17. r0nh
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Women 🙂

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      with beards?

  18. Jimbo123
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Bench Ramsey or Mata?

  19. waldo666
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    which of these for a -4 hit?

    A) Ward -> Ivanovic

    B) Jelavic -> Lukaku?

    1. FEBRI DS
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      B worth a punt

  20. FEBRI DS
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Evra, Ramsey, Mata, Rooney -----> Baines, Eriksen, Gerrard, Sturidge?

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Big hit but sure takes allot of uncertainty away

  21. Ich bin Klopp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Reepost...
    Chances of Mannone being rested after Poyets recent comments?
    Might use my transfer to bring in a decent gk backup

  22. Van Dal
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    MARR
    What would you rather have

    Sturridge Aguero Ramsey 14pt lead

    Or

    DZeko Gerrard Ward 10pt lead (but have covered two of 2nd place players)

    1. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      The second I think.

  23. There's Always One!
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    I don't think utd will keep a cs yet am still playing evra over ward. What's that about?

  24. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ramsey > Sterling, Gerrard or Schurrle? (For a hit)

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      Have SAS?

      If yes, I'd go Schurrle.

      If not, I'd go Sterling.

  25. Dejan Savicevic Il Genio
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Last call: sturridge&eriksen or bony&hazard ??

  26. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    A) Vlaar to ivanovic/skrtel -4
    B) borini to sturridge -4
    C) play molsson and borini

    1. Dejan Savicevic Il Genio
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      B imo

  27. Ian Davis
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Ramsey > Schurrle (-4) worth it?

  28. The Assassin-Faced BabyDave
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    mannone to play?

    1. Aaron Ramessi - Straya
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 16 days ago

      should do

  29. XecutionerX
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Having waited for the 11th hour. It's now decision time

    Ramsey to Sterling for a hit?

    This is the team:
    http://i.imgur.com/OSgScB4.png

  30. Hubert
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 16 days ago

    Nicely summed up Mark