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Members August 23

FPL Gameweek 3 – Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

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Out latest article analyses the Opta-driven expected goals (xG) data that is available to subscribers in the Members’ area.

As well as taking a look at the expected goals scored and conceded for all 20 Premier League teams after two Gameweeks of the season, we assess the highest-performing forwards, midfielders and defenders in terms of their own personal expected goal involvement (xGI).

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2,868 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Dirty Harry
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    What are people doing with Davies. I really feel I should have taken a -4 to bring in Alonso for set and forget when I could have afforded it, but now I'm priced out of that move I was looking at.

    Anyone with Davies, what is you plan? Wait and see?

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    1. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      If you have a 4.5 mid, you can spend 4 points to swap them to Hudson-Odoi to save the .1

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      1. Dirty Harry
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I have a 5.0 mid, but 0.7 short now that Alonso went up and Davies dropped. Quite annoying.

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        1. Clintymints
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          I feel your pain. Had to spend -8 (instead of -4) after missing a .1 riser

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'm bringing Marcus in for a set and f'ing forget.

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    3. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Davies has great underlying stats. Keep him.

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    4. BLANKET DEFENCE
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      hoping to change him to wan bissaka to get the funds to do Mahrez to hazard.

      already have Robertson and Mendy do I don't mind having to choose one out of the other three defenders each week (Tomkins, Cook, AWB)

      Also think hazard will be the best chelsea option when hes back

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  2. andrinho
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A) Schlupp & Mkhi
    or
    B) Pereira & Richarlison

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    1. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A if schlupp is likely to keep his spot

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    2. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B for me

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    3. ignis88
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B easily

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    4. 50 Shades Oshea
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

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  3. Gearoid
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    2FT, 0ITB. What should my priority be?
    A. Pickford to Ederson
    B. Mee to Alonso
    C. Bilva to Mane
    D. Firmino to Auba
    I would dowgrade Arnie to generate funds.
    E. Just downgrade Arnie and roll FT and cash to next GW
    F. Something else

    Pickford Stek
    Mee Mendy Robertson AWB Peltier
    Salah Bilva Mkhi Richarlison Stephens
    Arnie Aguero Firmino

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      If you can do B in one move then so that

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  4. Hardly Athletic
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Playing wildcard. A or B?

    a. 3-4-3

    Ederson
    Mendy - Alonso - Alexander-Arnold
    Salah - MANE - Mkhitaryan - Richarlison
    Aguero - WILSON - MITROVIC

    Subs: Hamer - Guendouzi - Tomkins - Wan-Bissaka

    b. 4-4-2

    Ederson
    Mendy - Alonso - Alexander-Arnold - Tomkins
    Salah - Mkhitaryan - PEDRO - Richarlison
    Aguero - AUBAMEYANG

    Subs: Hamer - Wan-Bissaka - Guendouzi - KAMARA

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B out of those.

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    2. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I think B but I don’t like TAA personally, card magnet

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    3. A La Pelle
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

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    4. Big Ping
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A

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    5. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A for me

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  5. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Current front 8, fill in the blanks:

    Miki, Salah, XX, Richarlison, Fraser
    Aguero, Ings, XX

    1. Hazard, Kamara (3-5-2)
    2. Some 4.5, Aubam (3-4-3)

    I have Alonso just as an FYI if anyone believes in cover (I don’t for the record)

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

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    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      1

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  6. Snikii
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hey guys and gals, what do you think?
    Auba,Pedro,TAA or Zaha,Mane,Robo?

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    1. Bendy Busdriver
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      a for me

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Auba group, slightly. Purely for fixtures.

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      1. Snikii
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Its so close...

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    3. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B with wilson or arna instead of zaha

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      1. Snikii
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Dont trust Wilson and Arna has terrible fixtures, why dont you like Zaha?

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        1. Totti
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          let's change the question 🙂
          why you like him?

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          1. Snikii
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            good fixtures, in a good team, played well. Played even better last season. For a 7 mil he seams like good value.

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  7. points ineed
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    mane captain??

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He is one of the candidates

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  8. Bendy Busdriver
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    salah and ings
    or
    dilva and aubs?

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Salah just because of ownership, but it does show how expensive he actaully is

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    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      sa la la la la and ings

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  9. Sterling is £11Mill..…
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone got kelechi

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    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Considered it but it's that Liverpool game sandwiching two away games that is off putting.

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      1. Fantastisk
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        A

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  10. Bad Kompany
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    How do you think arsenal will/should line up in their next few games vs easier opposition?

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    1. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Same way imo

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      5-4-1

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      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Interesting. Haven’t heard this from anywhere before

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        1. BadgersBoys
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Yea, Wenger says he prefers it.

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          1. Bad Kompany
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Wenger?

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            1. BadgersBoys
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Yep, Wenger. Back as chief decision maker. Unpaid role seemly but 3x tea breaks per day.

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  11. DanLynch
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    arnautovic or ings?

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    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Ings until West Ham have settled

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  12. Twisted Saltergater
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Dropped Hazard. As much as I want him, no need to take the risk until I see how he plays vs Newcastle (being without their first and second choice RB, is so tempting though).

    1. Hazard + Zaha + Ings (1st sub)
    2. Salah + Ings + Kamara (1st sub)

    So have gone for 2 and will re-evaluate next week 🙂

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    1. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      why would you start with him and then transfer him out when he will play more against easier teams

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Brought him in (and out) on a WC... sorry, didn't state that.

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        1. Bad Kompany
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          That makes more sense. I have salah and hazard. I think Salah will tear it up this week but than am unsure if he’s worth his price tag after that

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    2. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard will tear it up mate

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        No doubt, but can do Salah > Hazard next week if he starts at Newcastle and looks sharp.

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        1. El Lobito 10
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Lol my thoughts too man!!

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    3. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      You pu*sy

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      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        😀

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  13. TOBY1
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Mane or Aguero captain?

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    1. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      The guy who scored the hat trick last week and plays a promoted team that has shipped a bunch of goals

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      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        4 goals conceded in 2 games. Not quite bunch is it

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        1. El Lobito 10
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Fair enough. It wasn't against free scoring teams though.

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    2. toerag
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      kun

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  14. El Lobito 10
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts? WC

    Foster (Hennessey)
    TAA Mendy Alonso (Pereira, AWB)
    Pedro Salah Mane Richa Mkhi
    Aguero Ings (Kamara)

    Want a strongish bench. Would love Hazard but would have to downgrade Pereira and swap out Mane. So difficult this year!

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    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      EXACTLY the same squad except Ederson + Hamer over your two.

      Salah > Hazard might be an option next week 🙂

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      1. El Lobito 10
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Yer ah know mate, we discussed it yesterday. 😀 Great minds let's hope!

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        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          yeah, I remembered immediately after clicking send lol

          Made a few changes today so didn't expect another team to be quite so similar. Am loving Pereira as an alternative defender should there be rotation elsewhere.

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          1. El Lobito 10
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Yeah him and AWB to be honest

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    2. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Really good team this. The only player I don't like is Mkhi but that's my personal preference who knows, gl.

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      1. El Lobito 10
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks mate, appreciated

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  15. andrinho
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Transfer in:
    a) Richarlison
    or
    b) Mkhitaryan

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    1. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

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    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Richarlison for sure

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      1. El Lobito 10
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Nothing sure about Richarlison tbh. Apart from that he went about 50 games without hitting a barn door last year

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        1. Totti
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          50 games !!!
          anyway he's the best midfielder now in fantasy plus mkhitaryan did nothing last year with arsenal and this year goal and assist comparing to 3 goals fe richarlison

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          1. El Lobito 10
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Lol I exaggerated just a wee bit 😀 yeah mate, I have him too. I got both. Doubt over both I suppose as can be inconsistent.

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            1. Totti
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              me too have both 🙂
              but he was asking who to pick out of those so i think richarlison for the form

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  16. Dr. Rog
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A) Auba & Kante & Zaha
    B) Hazard & Zaha & Ings
    C) Laca & Pedro & Zaha
    D) Pedro & Auba & Ings

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    1. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      D

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    2. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      D

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    3. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'm leaning towards hazard

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  17. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Why so many wildcards after just 2 gw’s?

    What the heck am I missing?

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    1. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Stealing a march init

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Alcohol.

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    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      It's panic. Pure and simple.

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      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        How can you panic after just 2 weeks season starts? I don’t get it

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    4. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mark and ville ronka wc so now everyone is wc

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      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Actually this could be one of the main reason why, cheers.

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        1. Bad Kompany
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          I hope mark doesn’t show his team early. Otherwise everyone will just copy it

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    5. Twisted Saltergater
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I went:

      Tosun over Richarlison
      Mahrez over Mane
      Firmino over Aguero

      Have used the WC to bring in the above, plus Alonso, Pedro, Mkhitaryan, Pereira, Ings and Ederson.

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  18. cheeky_ash
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Patience has just got the better of me.....I must be mad but have decided to play an early WC. This is my current WC team....?

    (Fabianski) - Foster
    Alonso - (Stankovic) - Robertson - Mendy - (Wan-Bissaka)
    Richarlison - Salah - Pedro - Mané - Mkhitaryan
    (Kamara) - Agüero - Ings

    0.2 ITB

    I'm considering
    A. Aguero -> Aub
    B. Robertson + Fabianski -> TAA + Ederson
    C. Leave as is
    D. Something else....if so....any suggestions?

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    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      C

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    2. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A- Don't do that
      B- That wouldn't be terrible. Not a bad move. Slightly sideways maybe
      C- It's not a bad team, not sure about Pedro long term though with Hazard coming back.

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    3. Snikii
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      change the keepers deffinitely. Not sure about Ederson, but look at Hennessey maybe

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      1. cheeky_ash
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        CPL on my radar...so I'll look at CPL fixtures will a rotation with him

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    4. Khark
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Don’t consider A lol

      Aguero the golden boot man

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      1. cheeky_ash
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Possible rotation incoming

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        1. Khark
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Aguero capable of scoring twice in a 10min cameo though.

          Rotation doesn’t worry me with Aguero

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  19. Totti
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    A)Best 4.5 million instead of boly?

    B) Best 4 nailed defender but not bissaka

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    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Tomkins

      Nobody

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      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        already owning bissaka
        don't want to double-up palace defence
        any other suggestion?

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    2. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B) Bennet

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      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        is he nailed?

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  20. Monya Meow Meow
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is there a reason people are starting Ings over both Fraser & Rich this week?

    I have all 3 and Ings is first on my bench, just wanted to know the thought process behind it.

    Cheers.

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    1. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Ideally you start Ings AND Richarlison. That's what I'm doing.I wouldn't bench Rich for Ings ever. I'm benching Fraser for Ings.

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      1. Monya Meow Meow
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Fraser has a history of good returns against Everton though

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      BSE.

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      1. Monya Meow Meow
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        What's BSE?

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        1. BadgersBoys
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Mad Cow Disease.

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          1. Monya Meow Meow
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Lolz ok, I'm assuming you would bench Ings as well then?

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  21. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is King to Wilson a silly sideways move?

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    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe

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    2. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Somewhat yes. He's already dropped too. King could easily score next week and make you regret it. If King still seems like a passenger then kick him next week.

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    3. RussWells89
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I’ve done this to free up funds to get Alonso in

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    4. toerag
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      wondering whether to stick with king or go -4 for ings...

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    5. Red Wasabi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Check out Wilson’s stats compared to King’s.

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  22. Newms
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hamer
    Mendy, Robertson, Kabasele
    Salah, mkhi, Maddison, Richardson
    Aguero, Firmino, Mitrovic
    Subs Patricio, Billing, Peltier, Wan B

    2FTs already changed Eriksen for Mkhi. £2.5m itb
    A) Alonso in for Kabasele
    B) Auba in for Firmino
    C) Hold and see how Hazard and Auba do

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    1. cheeky_ash
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      A

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  23. stat
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Not sure how he hasn't been caught yet, but there's a guy called "Rishab Sharma" who has literally made over 4000 teams on FPL, occasionally with the same team name.

      Here's a list of his teams and their IDs: https://pastebin.com/raw/E3uww8CN

      Feel free to report him to FPL since it's unfair on the rest of us who play by the rules and only have 1 team: https://fantasy.premierleague.com/help/

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      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        A few days ago someone posted a league where the same guy had like 10 teams and all of them were going for the highest he score

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        1. stat
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Yeah, the guy that was top on Saturday

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        2. BadgersBoys
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Serious amount of work going into maintaining 4k teams. Do we know which is the highest ranking? 🙂

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          1. stat
              5 years, 9 months ago

              I think it might be this one:
              https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/1001928/event/2

              He's also in a couple of leagues with other people who have tons of accounts:
              https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/leagues/standings/193030/classic
              https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/leagues/standings/222783/classic
              https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/leagues/standings/199851/classic

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          2. lugs
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Jesus, and here was me worried that my Zombie team would get caught 😆

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            1. BadgersBoys
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Reported.

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          3. Khark
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            4000 teams.

            That man, get a life you absolute loser.

            Jeez

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            1. BadgersBoys
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Living the dream.

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          4. Goonermeister
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Wow what a loser

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          5. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Rishab Ruth Sharma

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          6. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            He's must havr spent about 3 days with no sleep picking teams and for what?

            Don't report him, study him

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            1. stat
                5 years, 9 months ago

                Probably made a bot to manage the whole situation

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          7. ZTF
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Lukaku or Auba? I've noticed the Auba hype but don't really get why he's a better option than Lukaku

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            1. Tsparkes10
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Fixtures and Lukaku is a donkey... also aubam takes pens

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            2. Khark
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Mourinho.

              Lukaku probably a left back this season

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          8. Bad Kompany
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Score predictions?

            Huddersfield vs Cardiff
            Man U vs Spurs

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            1. ZTF
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              1-0
              2-1

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            2. La Roja
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              1-1
              1-2

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            3. Chilli Heatwave
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              2-0
              1-1

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            4. Zilla
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              1-0
              1-0

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            5. Bad Kompany
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Cheers all!

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            6. toerag
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              2-0
              2-2

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            7. lugs
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              0-0
              1-0

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            8. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              1 1
              1 4

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          9. Joyce1998
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            g2g on this WC team??

            ederson, hamer
            alonso, mendy, taa, awb, bennet
            salah, amne, mki, rich, 4.5
            kun, zaha, wilson

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            1. Chilli Heatwave
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              G2g, like it. Only concern is Chelsea cover

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              1. Joyce1998
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 9 months ago

                alonso will do the job 😉

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          10. Tsparkes10
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Plan to make 2 transfers this week and 2 week after with a 4 point hit... Out: Diop, Firminho, Ozil, Lucas
            In: A) Pedro, Aubam, Brooks, Alonso
            B) Iwobi, Mitro, Hazard, Alonso

            Any advice is appreciated

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            1. Joyce1998
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              iwobi not nailed and pedro looking sharp atm but might be rotated with hazard, its a trciky one hahah

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          11. Joyce1998
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            *mane

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          12. Gorbitz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            For the next 10 gws:
            A) D Silva
            B) Mkhi

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            1. Tsparkes10
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Loool cant predict 10 gameweeks but personally David silva for me. As city have too much class and Mkhi may get rotated if slacking.

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          13. Chilli Heatwave
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Auba dilva
            Or
            Salah mitrovic

            On wc.

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            1. Tsparkes10
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Auba Dilva for me

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            2. Khark
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Just shows the reality of not owning Salah lol.

              A all day long for me but people will say B just because of Salah.

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            3. Lord Flashheart
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              Not auBa Dilva - Salah Mitrovich

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            4. El Lobito 10
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              A. I take risks though

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