Metrics

Selection of top 10k FPL managers wasted initial Wildcard

A small portion of the current top 10,000 Fantasy Premier League managers took a leaf out of David Wardale’s book and ‘Wasted their Wildcard’ in the first 20 Gameweeks of the season.

Just under 97.08% of those in the top echelon of the game used the chip which was available to them between Gameweek 1 and late December, meaning that just under 3% did not.

These were not even inactive players either. I looked at their teams and confirmed that most of them are actually active managers who change their teams every week.

It could be the case that they did not know the chip expires before the turning of the year, which seems more likely than them knowing the expiry date and not using the chip even to take a couple of hits for free.

The percentage of managers in an overall random sample of 50,000 teams that didn’t use the first Wildcard chip is around 49%.

Taking a closer look at those teams, we find that they are mostly inactive, hence the informal name of ‘dead teams’. So, we know there is a minimum of around 45% inactivity in the game at this point.

The actual percentage will be bigger since many dead teams may have used their Wildcard early in the season before they stopped playing the game.

A future article will look at that question in more detail to quantify the definition of a dead team and calculate how many of them exist.

The arrival of the second Wildcard encouraged 2.55% of the top 10,000 managers to use it right away this week. Their most selected players are shown below.

The resulting chip usage percentages in the top 10k are as follows

ChipTop 10k usageOverall usage
Wildcard2.55%3.64%
Bench Boost9.97%16.76%
Triple Captain11.77%26.21%
Free Hit12.93%19.84%

It is interesting to note how low those percentages are in the top 10k. In previous seasons, it was the case that many managers who enter the top 10k early are those who utilized their chips earlier and took the advantage over more experienced managers who delay their chips till the blank and double Gameweeks.

The percentages in the table above show that most of the managers who are currently enjoying outstanding overall ranks were not particularly helped by the usage of early chips. In fact, no chip has been used by more than 13% of the top 10,000 managers.

The figure above shows that around 75% of the top 10,000 managers have all of their chips intact. If they hold onto them for around 10 more Gameweeks when the blanks and doubles usually start, then we could see something different this year.

As three-quarters of active managers have all the freedom to deploy their chips in any order to cover the double and blank Gameweeks, it might be more challenging to rise up the ranks using late chips strategies like last season.

We will keep monitoring chip usage in the top 10k in the following weeks as we’re entering the second half of the season.

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2,716 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Football Heaven
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Owning Pogba, who would you rather have rich or martial?

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I have Richarlison but looking to Get Martial for Fanderson after Spurs match

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        To have both

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Own all 3, Rich is doing nothing so Martial wins.

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Rich testing patience. Martial hmm probably him after spurs... if he’s nailed and Utd look like a double up is waranted

    4. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I think Martial is the player to get Ole's style suits him to the T.

    5. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I own all 3 and Rich will be gone soon. Everton useless.

  2. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Last Man Standing Update

    Current safety score = 12
    Top score = 58
    LMS average = 24.3

    7 games + autosubs to go.

    Average Players Played: 3.7 out of 12.01
    Captain played = 38.7%

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

  3. james 101
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    What would you change?

    Fab
    Digne Doherty Zanka
    Salah Son Fanderson Pogba. Hazard(c)
    Kane(vc) Jiminez

    (Eth. AWB. TAA. Quaner)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Looks a save then Son + whoever out.

    2. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldn’t be benching TAA

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Exactly.

      2. james 101
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Sorry. Set up for current week.

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Play TAA. Salah captain?

  4. Spacemonkey
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Hi!
    Aubameyang + Lingard + Fraser + Paterson ->
    Salah + Hazard + Kamara + Masuaku/Oriol Romeu
    for -8 points?
    I have van Dijk, TAA, Alonso and Pogba.
    Will be outpriced with this combo before next deadline. (It would be the first -8 hit in 11 years of playing the game.)
    Would appreciate your thoughts! Would you do it?

    1. Spacemonkey
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks!

  5. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    FYI:

    @fpl_statistics
    A wild card onslaught is gaining momentum. Expect overly enthusiastic predictions whilst the volumes are high. Whenever the total volume of WC transfers for a player exceeds the effective transfers for that player, then predictions for that player become extremely difficult

    1. Gorbitz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Very helpful. Thanks.
      Im sitting here with 2ft and really wanna wait til tomorrow to do anything.

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        No worries, hoping the predictions are overly optimistic
        Luiz is the only one FPLstats and Fantasyfootballfix both estimate rising if that helps

        1. Gorbitz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Great. So fix doesnt estimate a rise for TAA?

  6. sozopol
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Rich, Fandy - - > Pogba, Delofeu, +0.3?

    For free

    1. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

  7. Goonsquad245
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Sorry, RP as bottomed!

    Anderson, Alonso, Son -> 4.3, TAA, Salah (-4)? 4.3 would be permanent bench fodder.

    Other options are sell Rashford instead of Anderson, or do nothing and keep Son!

    Fab Hamer

    Alonso Robbo Digne Doherty AWB
    Hazard Son Pogba Richarlison Anderson
    Kane Jimenez Rashford

    Thanks!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Looks decent but be prepared for another hit if tonight.

      1. Goonsquad245
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Certainly going to wait, I have 4.4 for my mid at the moment so could take 2 more price changes (I’d be OK with a 4.2 mid) or could just get Lovren instead for time being.

        Thanks TM!

    2. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Don't like it for a hit, can you do Alonso, Son out only?

      1. Goonsquad245
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I wish!

  8. F_Ivanovic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Alonso > TAA has always been my plan but I hate being forced into it because of price changes given how neither side has played yet and there's a 10 day break + FA cup/league cup inbetween.

    1. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Could something happen in the games that would make you change your plan? Injuries, I guess, anything else?

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah - an injury to any of my players over the next 10 days would make me change my plan. Bringing Salah in is a luxury/ideal move for me but I don't think having Eriksen + Alonso instead is going to be bad.

  9. Bobby
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    would be good to know how fellow haz captainers are feeling - seeing kane, auba and son haul today has put me a bit on edge!

    1. DR0GBA
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      felt very confident before the weekend started and even during the Spurs game I still felt confident

      starting to have doubts though...

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Expecting a blank tbh. Anything else is a bonus.

      1. Bobby
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        this sounds like the best way to approach this. My stoicism may be tested if Kante scores again instead.

    3. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Feeling fine - right decision regardless of the outcome. If you’re results oriented in this game you’re in for a rough ride.

      1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I looked at the top HOF people there are a good few Hazard captainers so it must not be that bad a choice!

        (I am a slightly biased Hazard captainer though)

    4. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Had to watch my vice captain get 12pts last week whilst I waited for mine to play - here's hoping Haz can "do a Pogba" 🙂

      1. Bram
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I admit I was feeling better about it when Arsenal were 2-0 and Auba was blanking though ..............

    5. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Hoping for an assist or two, just need some of his useless teammates to step up.

  10. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which of Kane or Auba would be better to offload to get in Salah?

    Both looking good and nice fixtures. Thinking I should keep Auba considering price and just relentless scoring and looking more dangerous all round + cheaper.

    1. Numb
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Auba

    2. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Sell Auba

    3. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      auba - significantly worse fixtures with Chelsea and City in the next 4. Spurs have 5 good ones in a row.

  11. Shatner's Bassoon
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Thanks all for selling F Anderson before he plays two of the leakiest defences in the league.

    Is this purely because he blanked against Burnley? 😐

    1. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I'm about to, to enable Pogba, see my post above. I like Fandy, but not quite enough

      1. Shatner's Bassoon
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I guess for Pogba ultimately that makes sense but I don’t think I’d do those moves with the fixtures next GW.

        Giving Richarlison BOU, and waiting until Pogba’s gone to Spurs seems better IMO.

    2. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Who's selling? He's not down on FPLstats yet... I might get rid but only to get Arnie instead.

      1. Shatner's Bassoon
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Just seen some comments on here. I guess depends who you’re bringing in but doesn’t seem worthwhile to me.

    3. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I think he has to go for me to fund Salah. Not happy though!

    4. TRIPOS TOPPER
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      sold him for Pog

      if I had more money in the bank would have sold Richy as everton playing awful

  12. james 101
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Relatively happy with this squad now.

    What change would you make next?

    Fab Eth
    Digne Doherty Zanka AWB TAA
    Salah Son Fanderson Pogba. Hazard
    Kane Jiminez Quaner

  13. lordkippe
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which changes would you make ?

    Foster/Hart

    Alonso/Robbo/Digne/Doherty/AWB

    Hazard/Pogba/Richarlison/Snodgrass/Hojbjerg

    Kane/Auba/Jimmi

  14. Kuzser
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    How do I get Salah in that team? 2ft, 0.8itb
    1) Auba, camarasa, trippier -> kamara, Salah, lovren for -4
    2) Auba, camarasa, trippier -> ings, Salah, taa for -4
    3) sane, lingard, trippier-> Salah, 4.5, taa for -4
    4) sane, auba, lingard-> Salah ings pogba for -4
    5) just get taa, get Salah after gw22

    Team is:
    Fab 4.0
    Trippier Schindler Digne awb Pereira
    Sane hazard Anderson lingard camarasa
    Auba Kane Jimenez

    1. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I like 4 or 5

  15. Andy Mac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    On WC. Couple of Qs please guys....

    Best GK for next 8 weeks: Fabianski / Patricio / Etheridge ???

    Better cheap 4th mid (5.5 or less, got Camarasa already): Deulofeu / Brooks / Other ???

    1. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I'm going with deulofeu over brooks, and I have Camarasa too

  16. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Assuming no injuries Auba to Arnie and Anderson to Salah (-4) for team below next week. Yes or No?

    If no would you forget Salah and play Anderson Auba next week carrying transfer to week 23?

    Fabianski
    AWB Van Dijk Digne Kolasinac
    Salah Hazard Pogba Richarlison
    Kane Arnie

    Steele Jimenez Doherty Gunnarsson

    1. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I think you can get away with that with Hazard (c)

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

  17. EgyptianKing
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Would you do Kane and Son out // Firmino and Salah in?

    The team would become:
    Fabianski
    Alonso, Robertson, Digne
    Salah, Sterling, Pogba, Hazard, Snoddy
    Firmino, Jimenez

    Hamer, Bissaka, Balbuena, Kamara

    1. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Why do you want to sell Kane?

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        You’re right. Just trying to fit Salah in, but Kane is in fact a must for next GWs I guess

      2. EgyptianKing
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Sterling and Snoddy out // Salah and Camarasa in seem a good move in your opinion?

        1. Goonsquad245
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Monitor Alonso tomorrow - a move for a LIV defender could be best

          1. EgyptianKing
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            I already own Robertson.

            Alonso and Sterling out // TAA and Salah in?

    2. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Spurs have scored 17 goals in four games. Madness to get rud of both offensive assets.

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yes, namely this duo, which is amazing. I am just trying to fit Salah in and as Son will be unavailable soon, that would allow me to upgrade him to Salah.

        But I’ll look at other alternatives, definitely

        1. Royal5
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          I'd defo keep one of them.

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Firmino flash in the pan. Id keep Kane.

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers mate.

        I’ll probably just bring Camarasa and Salah in, taking Sterling and Snoddy out

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Watch out for Cama injury. He was subbed off because a knock

          1. EgyptianKing
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            https://mobile.twitter.com/vicama8/status/1080205406775980032

            This seem a good sign however

  18. Jones Kusi
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Is it worth bringing in TAA for Kolasinac if you already have Robertson?

    1. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

  19. migas2k7
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Best richarlison replacement?

    1. Goonsquad245
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I’d defo give him BOU

    2. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      BOU, sou, hud, WOL, wat.... i wouldn't be getting rid. Nobody in that price range is better.

      1. migas2k7
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Iwobi?

  20. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Would you do Rich to Pogba? I have the exact cash and 2FT.. I could also wait and do Anderson to Pogba next week.

    Cheers

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Pog

  21. noahzark22
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I'm am currently tied pointwise* with the great Mark Sutherns. ranked ahead since I have fewer transfer hits.

    *However, I'm 46 from 5 and he's 2 from 1

  22. TLF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I missed the Everton Leicester match today so will have to wait until MOTD for the highlights. How did Richarlison play ? Anyone stand out ?

    1. noahzark22
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      6.5-7

    2. Shatner's Bassoon
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Not brilliant. Semi-anonymous even though he was up against Danny Simpson.

      Walcott stood out as being so far past it, it’s laughable.

      1. TLF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. I'll keep a look out for Walcott in the highlights, I think it's safe to say he won't be coming into me team again this season.

  23. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    2FT. Sane / Son to Salah / Camarasa worth it? Would have 0.1m left. Cheers

    Fabianski Patricio
    Robbo Doherty Digne Holebas ABB
    Hazard Sane Son Pogba Richarlison
    Kane Rashford Jiminez

    1. sozopol
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, since son is leaving

    2. EgyptianKing
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      You consider Camarasa a good pick?

      I am considering Sterling and Snoddy out // Camarasa and Salah in

      1. _Ninja_
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Picks up the odd goal and assist. Will be bench fodder for me anyway. Need get Salah in.

  24. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Shipped City assets for this week. Now have one FT and 4.0itb to spend. Will hold a bit but getting the question out.

    1) Go ahead and upgrade Son to Raz or Sane?
    2) Upgrade Pereyra to City?
    3) Son, Pereyra > Salah, Camarasa (-4)?

  25. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Richarlison dropping with the fixtures he has. Gotta love it.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Form over fixtures.

      1. TheSteel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        What better way to rediscover form than BOU sou hud

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Have.. to... stop... knee.

    3. Shatner's Bassoon
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Giving him BOU to get his act together.

  26. Gríma Wormtongue
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    if you had to sacrifice one?

    A) Kane
    B) Pogba
    C) Aubameyang
    D) Hazard
    E) Salah

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Pogba

    2. Ibra
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Auba

  27. Number 5
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I have 2 FT to use with this team, no idea what to do, 2.9 ITB -

    Button
    AWB Kola Digne
    Sterling FAnderson Sané Richarlison
    Kane Auba Jiminez

    (Fabianski, Jiminez, Badnarek, Doherty)

    Help appreciated! Thanks

    1. Number 5
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      One of Jiminez should be Pogba!

  28. Lionac
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Best set it and forget it GK up to 4,5 price?

  29. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which?

    A- Sane snod richar luiz -8 to salah taa brooks romeu
    B- sane richar luiz -4 to salah westwood/romeu bednarek
    C- sane auba holebas -4 to salah taa 7.3 forward

  30. i am jose mourinho
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Dont you guys think its time to get back mancity players after this gw?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Could be.