Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.
Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory). And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.
We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on. If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.
We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom. That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.
We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.
GAMEWEEK 24 REVIEW
It was a great week for the Mr Crowd Wisdom, with 5 correct predictions beating the community average of just 3.98. That included two Exact Score picks and two Close picks, resulting in green arrows on the global leaderboard.
GAMEWEEK 25 PREVIEW
Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW25:
And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:
With a double gameweek, Man City are far and away at the top of the predicted goals chart. City are expected to score two more goals than the next highest team. If anyone knew which players would start both games, they’d be the ideal captain choice!
Despite two home matches Everton are only third in predicted goals, with Chelsea ahead of them thanks to their home tie with Huddersfield.
In defence, Chelsea appear likely to keep a clean sheet, with Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Burnley offering the budget-friendly defender options.
Here are the picks we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.
Tottenham 2 – 1 Newcastle
Brighton 1 – 1 Watford
Burnley 1 – 1 Southampton
Chelsea 2 – 0 Huddersfield
Crystal Palace 2 – 1 Fulham
Everton 1 – 1 Wolves
Cardiff 1 – 2 Bournemouth
Leicester 1 – 2 Man United
Man City 2 – 1 Arsenal
West Ham 1 – 2 Liverpool
Everton 1 – 2 Man City