Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks – Goals expected outside Man City and Liverpool games

We’ve included three attacking players from Liverpool and Manchester City for our final Scout Picks of the season.

The two title-chasing clubs may be the only ones with anything left on the line to play for other than proud, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be goals elsewhere.

Using the Scout Squad submissions by Paul, Neale, Az and Peter, and an analysis of the Fantasy Football Scout members data, we have come up with a XI for you.

For the last time in 2018/19, we line up in a 3-4-3 formation and at a total cost of £82.8m, we are £0.7m inside our budget.

Goalkeeper

Sergio Rico (£4.4m) finds himself in the Scout Picks at just the right time to make sure we didn’t go the whole season without including one of Fulham’s defensive assets. Name-checked by three of our pundits, and selected as the best option by Paul, the Cottagers’ shot-stopper faces a Newcastle attack that has managed just three big chances in their last six away matches, the worst of any team in that time. Meanwhile, no goalkeeper has more saves than Rico in their last six at home.

Defender

Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) was an easy inclusion for the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks. Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League outings and travel to Brighton on the final day of the season. The Seagulls are bottom of the league for shots on target, big chances and goal conversion over their last six at home. Laporte himself has added two attacking returns in the last six Gameweeks and his threat from set pieces is always in his favour.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.8m) is once again our chosen representative from the Liverpool defence. Price continues to be on the right-back’s side as well as his attacking potential. Compared to colleagues Andrew Robertson and Virgil van Dijk, the England international has the superior minutes per chance and minutes per chance created in the last six home matches. In that time, Liverpool are in the top two for fewest shots allowed in the box and big chances conceded.

Luke Shaw (£5.0m) completes our three-man defence ahead of Cardiff’s trip to Old Trafford. Manchester United may not be in the best form right now but the Bluebirds have been sufficiently poor on their travels this season that we believe a clean sheet at least is on the cards. In their last six away matches, Cardiff have been in the bottom two for shots inside the box and big chances. Meanwhile, Shaw himself has created more big chances than any other defender in the last six matches.

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) should be back in the Liverpool side on Sunday afternoon for the visit of Wolves following his concussion and he comes into Gameweek 38 as the Scout Squad’s unanimous best midfield option. The Egyptian remains on an incredible run of form that has seen him get at least one attacking return in each of his last six matches in a row – his longest stretch without a blank all season. In those fixtures, no player has registered more shots on goal, efforts in the box or shots on target than Salah either. Wolves might have a good record against the top-six but considering they rarely keep clean sheets, Liverpool’s Egyptian star certainly has what it takes to reward his owners in Gameweek 38.

Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) is our chosen Manchester City attacker for the trip to Brighton. In the last six away matches, none of his colleagues has managed more shots in the box or efforts on target, while he also has the best expected goals (xG) score among Manchester City players in that sample. That has translated to 11 attacking returns on the road this season, more than any of his team-mates in 2018/19.

Sadio Mané (£10.3m) has been one of the most reliable attacking options in home matches this season. The Liverpool man has 12 goals in his 11 Premier League outings at Anfield, which have come from some encouraging underlying statistics. In the last four at home he has the second-highest number of big chances among all players, as well as the second-best xG too. Just as is the case with Salah, Wolves’ have asked tough questions away at top-six sides in 2018/19 but are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Nathan Redmond (£5.5m) looks like one of the most appealing budget midfielder for Gameweek 38 as Southampton host Huddersfield on Sunday afternoon. The Terriers are bottom of the league for shots allowed in the box over the last six away matches, as well as for their 18 goals shipped. Meanwhile, Redmond currently ranks fourth for big chances and third for xG out of all players in their last four at home.

Forwards

Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) looks set to enjoy the final day of the 2018/19 season. In the last four home matches, no player has registered shots inside the box, more efforts on target or more big chances. That has yielded five goals and an assist ahead of a meeting with Chelsea at the King Power Stadium. The Blues are still without a clean sheet on the road in 2019, will be without the injured N’Golo Kanté and Antonio Rüdiger while doubts hang over the fitness of Andreas Christensen too. Furthermore, Chelsea come to Leicester just a few days after playing 120 minutes against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League, which will have almost certainly drained them physically and mentally.

After Bournemouth’s troubles on their travels earlier this season, Callum Wilson (£6.8m) has all of a sudden become the king of football on the road in the closing stages of the campaign. In the last four away matches, no fit player has been afforded more big chances or a higher xG score. Furthermore, in such games, Wilson is also second-best for shots on target, so he stands a good chance of converting his opportunities. His Gameweek 38 opponents Crystal Palace are in the bottom four for goal attempts conceded in the box over the last four home matches, are without centre-backs James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho while Scott Dann is now a doubt.

Shane Long (£4.7m) completes our Scout Picks team for Gameweek 38 as another option who gets to enjoy facing that travel sick Huddersfield side. We’ve already covered how vulnerable the Terriers will be when they come to Southampton, as Redmond also has decent points potential this week. Long himself has actually been afforded more big chances than the midfielder in his last four home matches, ranking third best in the whole league. His accuracy of 57% over that period suggests his chances of converted more big opportunities are quite high.

Substitutes

Budget man Yan Valery (£4.1m) gets a place on the bench for Gameweek 38 ahead of Huddersfield’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have not exactly been adept at keeping clean sheets under Ralph Hasenhüttl but their visitors on Sunday remain the division’s joint-lowest scorers on the road in 2018/19.

Like his colleague Wilson, Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) has been impressive on the road of late with six attacking returns in his last Premier League away trips. He will also get to play against a potentially makeshift Crystal Palace side who have struggled at home this season.

Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) is probably one of the few attacking Manchester United options we can be confident will get a start against Cardiff on Sunday afternoon. There is not a great deal of form to go on for the forward but given the Bluebirds are in the bottom three for shots conceded in the box over the last six away matches, he should get plenty of chances.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 38 is Karan14. He has opted for a 3-4-3 of Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Kompany, Laporte; Redmond, Bernardo Silva, Pogba; Wood, Mitrovic, Zaha

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

It was a win for the Scout Picks over Greyhead in Gameweek 37 by a 46-45 scoreline. fclackless‘s winning margin of 33 points (77-44) in Gameweek 10 is still the current target to beat.

3,966 Comments Post a Comment
  1. NATSTER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 12 days ago

    Shaw is also included in the scout picks despite the lack of CS recently.

    I have 5.2m to spend. Should I go Shaw or Kompany?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Komps

    2. Fantasydreamer
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Kompany

    3. Good Kompany
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Kompany given the choice

      • Make Arrows Green Again
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Definitely Vinnie

      • NATSTER
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Thank you very much 🙂

    4. lilmessipran
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 12 days ago

      latest on Robbo and Salah?

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Nothing more since yesterday. Both will play as is a must win game.

      2. S.Kuqi
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Both fit and trained today.

    5. Queens of the South Age
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Need to play one of these as only other option is Duffy.

      A. Jiminez
      B. Jota

      1. NATSTER
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Small difference. Jota for 1 more point if he scored.

    6. Shark Team
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Redmond or Wilson

      Thanks

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Wilson. People talk about Redmond like he's suddenly the next Messi. 2 pointer incoming.

        1. Shark Team
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Yeah I agree 🙂

      2. Yank Revolution
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Have both.
        If I had to choose, itd be Wilson as he's more consistent in FPL

    7. Yank Revolution
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Here's my team, any changes suggested?? 1 FT, 0.1 itb

      Jimenez out, Zaha in I have exact cash for - the other move I've thought about is Doh out as bench D insurance for Robertson.

      Leno
      Rob/TAA/Bednarek
      Sterling/Salah/BSilva/Redmond
      Kun/Wilson/Jimenez

      Jota/Doh/Lascelles (Boruc)

      1. NATSTER
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Not worth a hits on 2nd transfer.

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          No definitely not hitting. Just wondering which to do, if any

          1. NATSTER
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Jimenez then. He might score but Zaha is more likely to involve in any attacking points.

            1. Yank Revolution
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 12 days ago

              Agreed

      2. HIT ME!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        I like that move, go for it and good luck!

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Thx man

      3. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        I’d do jimmy to zaha or long

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Appreciate it

      4. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Differential Jiménez to Arnie?

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Yes, it would be, but Im not in dire need of differentials. And Arnie is sooo hit and miss and injury prone. Decent idea if Im chasing (but Im ensconced in the top 10 k)

      5. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Sound move. I actually prefer arnie. I'm the same on Robbo. Any rumours and I'm keeping back the 0.3 I need for kompany myself.

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Arnie hasnt scored an away goal since GW 5 tho

    8. Jellyfish
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Son & Jimmy > Redmond & Vardy for -4pts

      Do it yes or no?

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Tough one. Dont advocate for hits this week. Son out is a given tho, I'd focus more on that right now.

        1. Jellyfish
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          I am more inclined to bench Son and do Jimmy > Rashford as I have just enough to make that move and already have Holbjerg for saints mfd cover

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            No, do not do that. Can't have all that money tied up in Son on the bench. Gotta spend it on a new player

      2. HIT ME!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        I did same but Fraser instead of Redmond. Considering Vardy for C!

      3. Miles105
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Pondering over the same transfer just the fact I have to use hit is putting me off

    9. LSP FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 12 days ago

      Which for a -4?

      a) Robbo/Firmino->TAA/Vardy
      b) Martial/Firmino->Mane/Wilson

      Cheers

      1. LSP FC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        or just Firm->Vardy for free?

        1. Queens of the South Age
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Good option too but any other Liverpool attack? If not then I'd look to get mane. I went for Son and Firmino to Mane and Zaha. Was 0.1m away from Vardy.

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Good moves

          2. LSP FC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            I do have Salah (TC)

      2. Queens of the South Age
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 12 days ago

        B

      3. NATSTER
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        B

      4. Yank Revolution
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        B if no Salah. A if you have Mo.

      5. Good Kompany
          2 months, 12 days ago

          B... Robbo should be fine and there’s nothing to suggest he won’t be the fullback in the points this week. There is no harm in going Mane and Salah and Wilson covers Vardy on his day

      6. Athletic Nasherbo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 12 days ago

        Son & Jiménez > Redmond & Wilson -4

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Look up

      7. Puntastic
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Thoughts on these moves guys got 2fts?
          Currently ranked 11.5k so would be nice to finish in the Top 10k.

          Lloris
          Robbo / Shaw / Valery
          Sterling / Mane / Eriksen / Son!
          Aguero / Jimenez / Ings
          (Gunn /Jota / Jonny / Dunk)

          A) Son & Jimenez to Vardy & Fraser
          B) Son & Dunk to Laporte/TAA & Fraser (bench Jimenez)
          C) Son & Jimenez to Pogba/B.Silva & Mitrovic/Wilson

          Would appreciate your help! 🙂

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            A or B

          2. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            A for me amigo

        • S.Kuqi
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Why don't they even try to be braver with scout pics. Last gw of season.

        • nevins84
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Play JWP or Jimenez?

          1. NATSTER
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            JWP

          2. Hand of clod
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            JWP.

        • The Red Devil
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          A- jota to Fraser/Babel (-4)
          B-Hazard jota JWP
          To
          Salah Redmond 4.6 fodder (-12)
          C- JWP to Redmond (-4)
          D- Jimenez to zaha (-4)
          E- none

          If A, then start JWP or Jimenez?

        • Yank Revolution
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Im answering questions left and right, how bout some help up above eh gents?

          1. Tsssst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            I'll check it out fella

            1. Yank Revolution
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 12 days ago

              Gracias

              1. Tsssst
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 12 days ago

                If not, paste it here

                1. Tsssst
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 12 days ago

                  And see my question below if you don't mind

        • Tsssst
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Which two fellas to replace two of:

          Son
          Hudson-Odoi
          Jiminez

          Money no object but - 4 involved.

          1. Fraser
          2. Redmond
          3. Vardy
          4. Wilson
          5. Long

          TIA

          1. Big Jari Litmanen
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Fraser/Wilson

          2. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Def one of the Bmouth boys and probably Vardy. But thats based on everyone saying Chelsea will rest a bunch of people, which Im not positive about (what has Sarri said?)

            1. Tsssst
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 12 days ago

              Cool. No saints attack does concern though

              1. Yank Revolution
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 12 days ago

                I hear ya...I just cant recommend getting in a Soton attacker over a BMouth one (Fraser and Wilson usually involved in their goals).

          3. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Fraser Redmond

        • fclackless [RoboKlopp]
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Good luck against the scouts Karan ... a 32 point thrashing is allowed but no more please 😉

        • Shark Team
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 12 days ago

          What do you think of those moves guys?

          OUT: Son & Jimenez

          IN: Pogba & Wilson

          *P.S. I have 2 free transfers

          Thanks a lot.

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Yes

          2. Big Jari Litmanen
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Yes

        • AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          If you have to play Cathcart or Doherty, is a city defender worth a hit?

          1. NATSTER
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            I don't think so. But, if push, only Laporte.

        • Big Jari Litmanen
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Which is the best option?

          A) Jota > Fraser
          B) Jiménez > Wilson
          C) Hazard > Mané
          D) Two of the above for -4

        • Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Rashford or Arnie? Cannot decide, there will be lots of goals between WHU and Watford but still Cardiff away... thanks for the help lads...

          1. S.Kuqi
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Arnie

          2. Big Jari Litmanen
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Rashford’s head has gone & has been awful recently. Go for Arnie

          3. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Arnie

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 12 days ago

              Thx lads

        • LewanGOALski
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Anything worth a hit here?
          3.3 itb

          Defending 2-point lead in ML

          Foster
          TAA - Valery - Doherty
          Salah - Sterling - Bilva - Deulofeu - Redmond
          Kun - Rashford

          Ryan - Jimenez - Duffy - Dunk

          thx

        • AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Which two would you play from? Nb. Playing Robbo (doubt)
          A. Cathcart
          B. Doherty
          C. Jota
          D. Llorente (have Eriksen).
          E. Valery (have Gunn, may have Redmond).

        • Sid07
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Have 2ft
          1) son + Jimi to Salah + long
          2) son + Jimi to Pogba + vardy
          3) Doherty + son to Robertson + pogba

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            2
            3 if no Allison or TAA

            1. Sid07
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 12 days ago

              Have TAA

              1. Yank Revolution
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 12 days ago

                Then 2

          2. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            1

        • fr3ddy
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 12 days ago

          No Calvert-Lewin in the picks?

          1. Lazaretti
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Injured

        • syke63
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Hazard to Mane to complete a -8?

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            ick, but why the hell not

        • Garfield1001
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Best defensive option this week?

          Already have Laporte and VVD.

          1. Root
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            TAA

          2. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            TAA

        • S.Kuqi
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Taa, Robbo and Pva

          1. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Exact Same back 3 here

        • AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Any Robbo owners still selling?
          Seemed like many were yesterday

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            No

          2. nibby
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            Nope. He will play

        • nibby
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Help Needed Fellas!!! Chasing my league opponent by 5 point.

          My Team:
          Foster
          TAA Robertson PVA
          Sterling Eriksen Redmond Fraser Pogba
          Kun King
          Subs: Jimi Doherty Duffy

          Opponents team:
          Leno
          VVD Laporte Lindaloef
          Sterling Eriksen Bilva Deloufou Mane
          Lacazette Rashford

          Who should i cap?
          A) Redmond (risky but might work well)
          B) Kun (safe pick but got a feeling brighton wont make it easy game)

          Thanks!

          1. AllStars
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 12 days ago

            B

        • Daniel Exeter
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 12 days ago

          I’m leading a head to head league. Up against a ‘dead’ team but made of quality players.

          With my FT should I just block him. I can do Son > Pogba. And block his pogba.

        • Polar_Bear
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 12 days ago

          Two transfers: Son --> Salah
          Firminho --> Long
          Is a -4 for Jimenez to Wilson/Arnie worth it (likely Wilson)? Competitors don't have them