Spot the Differential

Willian a differential FPL route into an explosive Chelsea attack

On the face of it, last weekend seemed to return to type as the top three Fantasy Premier League points’ scorers had an average ownership of more than 15%. But they all happened to be defenders priced at £6.0m or less – or in John Lundstram’s (£4.8m) case, a midfielder that just happens to be listed as a defender.

In this climate of unexpected backline mega-hauls, the differentials also matched these tallies with double-digit points of their own from Lys Mousset (£4.9m) to Leandro Trossard (£5.8m).

This column’s picks also chipped in with attacking Fantasy returns for Christian Pulisic (£7.3m) and Sebastian Haller (£7.3m).

It’s time to look again at some other players that may be flying under the radar. Here are three differentials to have a think over for Gameweek 12:

Dele Alli

  • Ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £8.4M
  • GW12 fixture: Sheffield United (h)

It’s strange to think that a midfielder that has scored in excess of 40 Premier League goals over the past four seasons has an ownership of less than 1%.

In fact, it wasn’t that long ago that Dele Alli was a mainstay for FPL managers. However, form and fitness issues over the past 12 months have reduced his output and ultimately resulted in him losing his place in the England team.

Having said that, Alli has seemingly turned a corner with three full Premier League starts in a row that saw him score two goals for good measure.

Of course, it may seem a bit steep to purchase a player with his price tag after only recently returning to the first-team set-up.

But it can’t be discounted that, over the past four Gameweeks, only Pulisic and Ayoze Perez (£6.1m) have scored more goals than him among midfielders priced at £8.5m or less.

Alli’s two goals have come from three shots on target. While this highlights accuracy, the lacks of shots over 300 minutes is a minor concern.

Up next for Tottenham are Sheffield United. The newly-promoted team have proven their defensive credentials of late but they’ve conceded during their last two travels to the capital and Spurs’ attack will definitely challenge them.

Willian

  • Ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.1M
  • GW12 fixture: Crystal Palace (h)

Tammy Abraham (£7.9m) and Mason Mount (£6.9m) are currently among the most-owned players in Fantasy Premier League, while Pulisic has also demonstrated his worth of late.

But there’s a player from Chelsea’s old guard that is definitely worth considering if you’re looking for someone different.

Willian has started every Premier League game since Gameweek 5 and has also quietly racked up four attacking returns during his last five league outings.

Over the last six league games, he is ranked fourth for passes received in the final third (128) and sixth for touches in the final third (195) among midfielders priced at £7.5m or less.

Despite playing in an attack-minded team, the biggest concern with Willian is that Mount could offer more in terms of price per million with his marginally cheaper price.

Willian also takes set-pieces which adds to his appeal and he has averaged over ten attacking returns during the past four seasons, which shows his capabilities and importance to the team.

Chelsea this weekend face Crystal Palace, who have only kept one clean sheet in their past seven Premier League games. This should bode well for Willian and his teammates as Chelsea have scored 25 goals in 11 Premier League games this season.

Harvey Barnes

  • Ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW12 fixture: Arsenal (h)

Leicester seem almost unbeatable of late under Brendan Rodgers.

For now, they reside at the top echelons of the Premier League table, as they were during their unexpected title-winning season.

If they are to challenge the status quo again, then it will be players like Harvey Barnes who could make the difference in terms of durability across the season.

His FPL ownership is a fraction of Jamie Vardy’s (£9.4m) and yet Barnes has also chipped in by registering 23 points in his last three games. That’s no mean feat for a player priced at less than £6m, especially one that has proven to play across multiple midfield positions.

In his last six games, Barnes has had more touches in the final third than the likes of Son Heung-min (£9.6m) and Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m).

Barnes has also exceeded his attacking returns from last season in half the minutes played.

It’s clear that he’s getting better and could be a genuine fourth or fifth midfield option for those FPL managers that can’t afford the likes of James Maddison (£7.4m) or Youri Tielemans (£6.6m).

Leicester currently boast the third-best home record in the Premier League and on Saturday face an Arsenal team that have only won one away league match this season and are struggling to keep clean sheets.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 11

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691 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nolberto Solano
    • 8 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Take a hit on Sterling to Mane?

    1. PAL
      • 4 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      No.

    2. iL PiStOlErO
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        No

      • FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
        • 2 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        If you have other transfers planned out down the line, then sure!

        I did it yesterday as I thought Sterling was dropping, But I did it because I have 2.5m in the bank to upgrade another play. So I would otherwise have postponed for too long.

        Now I can do Tomori -> Robertson during IB

        1. FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
          • 2 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          But it's not an easy yes or an easy no. It solely depends on your plan. I value transfers a lot and if there was ever a time to take a hit to get Sterling out, it is definetely now

      • Twitter: @Ze_Austin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Nope

    3. el polako
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Im going to sell Sterling for Mane and then captain LFC player.
      Feck it, its a game after all lets live a little.

      - Vardy & Jimenez owner.

      1. iL PiStOlErO
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Brave move. Goo luck.

          1. iL PiStOlErO
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              *d

          2. Nomar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 days, 10 hours ago

            Good for you, sir.

            Got to take some risks at some point, may as well be now.

          3. FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
            • 2 Years
            4 days, 10 hours ago

            Do you have Abraham? He is my captain atm

        • GreennRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          https://youtu.be/Ia7yZhYDyDk

          Klopp press conference.

        • The_Bucc
          • 1 Year
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          A) Yarmo + Maupay > Maddison + Mousset
          or
          B) Auba + Maupay > Vardy + Jimenez

          1. iL PiStOlErO
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              A

          2. PAL
            • 4 Years
            4 days, 10 hours ago

            Which 3 would you start out of Lundstram, Soyuncu, Tomori, Rico and Williams?

            1. PAL
              • 4 Years
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              Brandon is quite likely to start against Brighton so I guess it could be worth giving him a chance?

            2. iL PiStOlErO
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Tomori, Lund and Willems

              • Flaming Flamingo
                • 3 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Tomori, Rico and Williams for me

            3. Nomar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              Barnes looks like a very good differential to have, especially if wildcarding over the IB.

            4. Connor Wickham
              • 6 Years
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              Lost on old article..

              No Vardy the obv downfall but possibly an above ave gw if United show up.

              Gazza
              Lundy tomori rico
              Salah kdb Son(c) mount martial
              Rashers Abraham

              Button Soy Fredericks Greenwood
              4.5itb

              Anything worth a hit? Probably add TAA and Robbo and try turn rashers into vardy near future.

              Good luck all!

              1. Nomar
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Get Vardy for Rashford

                1. HarryB29
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Tough call whether thats worth the -4 or not

                  1. Nomar
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    That move pays off over the long term.

                    Beyond me why the fudge you would want 3 Utd attackers, though.

                    1. FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
                      • 2 Years
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      He got 2... Greenwood do not count as he is 4.3

                      1. Nomar
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        4 days, 10 hours ago

                        ???????

                    2. Connor Wickham
                      • 6 Years
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      If Son red stood I would have got vardy in for hit and ditched Greenwood. Your advice is sound but decided against vardy this week now and no doubt foolishly hoping for the best. Ill be the party pooper! Sequence of poor decisions puts me in the spot, wildcard in back pocket at least.

            5. Goonerly
              • 1 Year
              4 days, 10 hours ago

              Best Cantwell replacement?
              Max. 6.8m.

              1. Bat Man
                • 2 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Tielemans

                1. iL PiStOlErO
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    This

                2. Nomar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Barnes.

                3. faver
                  • 4 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Have to be Yuri

              2. Bat Man
                • 2 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Want to get rid of Haller to a cheaper striker to be able to upgrade KDB to Mane soon if I need to. Who should I get:
                A. Jota
                B. Ings
                C. Deulofeu
                D. Save

                1. FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Don't like any of these options tbh. I would get Jimenez

              3. Az
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 10 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                WILLIAN

                BLUURRGGHHH

                Nice article tho, am considering a Hudson-Odoi to Barnes move after this GW.

                1. Twitter: @Ze_Austin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  *Baptized Willian

                2. FC Hakkebøf (Chopped…
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Do you feel confident on him getting enough gametime? Getting rid of Odoi might be premature. Let's see how he gets on if Mount is injured

                3. SkekTek (AKA: AnzhiBabakin)
                  • 4 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Agreed - Barnes over Perez, easy switch to Trossard one day.
                  As a maverick man Az. Do you prefer Son or Martial as a CHO replacement?

                4. ZimZalabim
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  what moves did u make this week ?

                  and what are your thoughts on son or alli in for mount ?

              4. Ask Yourself
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Willian doesn’t take set pieces anymore does he? At least not what I’ve seen. That’s what put me off a little as he is fantastic otherwise but martial just edged it for me

                1. jtreble
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 9 hours ago

                  Yes he does. Have a look at the “Set Pieces” section on here.

              5. K_UN_DE_BRU_YNE
                • 2 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Start:
                Rico(new)
                Or,
                Janmaat(nor)

                1. Bat Man
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Jannmat

                2. Nomar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Rico

              6. OptimusBlack
                • 6 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Who can/maybe score more pts this GW v.s Liverpool ?
                A- Sterling
                B- Kün
                C- KDB

                1. Nomar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  C

                2. in sane in de bruyne
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Impossible to say

              7. Kellz86
                • 2 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Bold to go Mane (c) over Vardy/Abraham?

                1. Pukki Party
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  I'd cap Vardy if i owned

              8. SOTHPAW
                • 1 Year
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                A, Good to go
                B, GTG
                C, G2G

                Roberto
                TAA, Tomori, Lord Lund
                Mane, KDB, Maddison, Son
                Vardy(C), Abraham (V), Jimenez

              9. Pukki Party
                • 2 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Better option? 0.1 difference in price, good fixtures for both.

                A) Ings
                B) Harvey Barnes

                1. Nomar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Barnes

                2. Carlton_Goal
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Not much in it, would probably go Barnes just because of how injury prone Ings is

              10. Carlton_Goal
                • 3 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Any thoughts on Traore or Djenepo as a short term punt? Need a cheap mid to fund another move and still have my wildcard so can take a bit of a risk

                1. Nomar
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Traore looks decent for the price he is.

                2. Flaming Flamingo
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  I like Djenepo, but he's not guaranteed to start. Traore is a no-go as far as I'm concerned.

                3. JohnRoss
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Traore could be a shrewd move

              11. Nomar
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                4 days, 10 hours ago

                Are we already in “must win” territory for Norwich tonight?

                I know there’s a long way of the season to go yet, but surely this is a game they have to target getting 3 points from to stop their slide?

                1. TheDragon
                  • 1 Year
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  This is one of the things that makes me think Pukki (c) might be a good idea

                  1. Nomar
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Verily, ‘‘tis why I asked it!

                    1. TheDragon
                      • 1 Year
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      I’m normally very dull in the way I play FPL but I’ve not got Vardy (could still get for a -4) and I just think it might be an ok week to live a little and give the armband to Pukki.

                      Your thoughts?

                      1. Nomar
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        4 days, 10 hours ago

                        Well, I think this is already the first 6 pointer of the season.

                        One or both of these teams looks like they’re going down. If I’m a Norwich player this is the game I believe we have to win.

                        On that basis I’ve kept Pukki this GW. If Norwich are going to win he’s going to have to score.

                        It’s a gamble but playing it safe hasn’t really worked well for most of us this season, so..........

                2. Cantwell on these things.
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  No. There's 78 points still to play for after tonight.

                  1. Nomar
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Read it again.

                    I know there are plenty points to play for, but losing becomes a habit and the more a team down the bottom loses the more ingrained that losing mentality becomes.

                    Sometimes there are pivotal games in a team’s season. This, to me, looks like being one of them for Norwich.

                    Win this and they can kick start their season again. Lose to arguably the only team worse than them in their division and what does that now do the players confidence or the fans confidence going forward.

                    1. Cantwell on these things.
                      • 2 Years
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      I read it again and no it's still not a must win. That's just an empty cliché until it literally is just win or get relegated.
                      Every game is a chance to arrest the slide but despite the table being as it is, Watford are not a worse side. This is not a case of well if we can't beat Watford at home then who can we beat? Spurs didn't beat Watford at home. In fact they should have lost.

                3. Connor Wickham
                  • 6 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  I'll be cheering for Watford that's for sure!

                4. JohnRoss
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Not sure the players themselves actually believe they can survive relegation.

                  As the saying goes, if you believe you can or you can't then you're probably right.

                5. Would Ed Woodward
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    It's a classic 6 pointer! Both teams need to win.

                  • Traction Engine Foot
                    • 1 Year
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Stand by for a 0-0..

                6. Michelle Davin
                  • 2 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Aguero & Mount(if injured)
                  To
                  Vardy & alli

                  A)Yes
                  B) No

                  1. Nomar
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Just the first one.

                  2. Daniel - The Veteran
                    • 10 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Mount trained yesterday apparently

                7. Daniel - The Veteran
                  • 10 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Hi Ryan owners.

                  Are you ready for the penalty save against Utd this weekend?

                  Bottom line, don't bench him.

                  1. TheDragon
                    • 1 Year
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    No one is benching Ryan against anyone

                    1. Nomar
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 9 Years
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      Especially as their other keeper in that situation is probably Button anyway! 😀

                8. CC22
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Yarmolenko to Maddison, Tielemans or Martial?

                  Already got Vardy.

                  1. JohnRoss
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Maddison I think

                9. Takedog1
                  • 5 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Roberto
                  soy, taa, vvd, lunstrum
                  sterling, mane, mount, martial,
                  jimmy, Vardy

                  subs - Montoya , mggin, Wickham,

                  a) vvd out for mginn
                  b)lunstrum out for mggin
                  c) leave it

                10. ToooooooOon
                  • 8 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Any news on the mount situation yet?

                  1. ZICO SENNA
                    • 8 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    What i was just wondering

                    1. Goonerly
                      • 1 Year
                      4 days, 10 hours ago

                      Apparently he trained yesterday..

                      1. ZICO SENNA
                        • 8 Years
                        4 days, 10 hours ago

                        Yeah i heard that also, do we not get a lampard presser today?

                        1. ToooooooOon
                          • 8 Years
                          4 days, 10 hours ago

                          Yeah I saw that too, i'm hoping there'll be a lamps press conference today. Anyone know if/when that will be

                          1. ZimZalabim
                            • 3 Years
                            4 days, 10 hours ago

                            130
                            half an hour to go

                          2. Corgzzzz
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 4 Years
                            4 days, 10 hours ago

                            2.30pm today

                            1. Corgzzzz
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 4 Years
                              4 days, 10 hours ago

                              Sorry. 1.30

                              1. ZICO SENNA
                                • 8 Years
                                4 days, 9 hours ago

                                Awesome cheers corgzzzz

                                1. Corgzzzz
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 4 Years
                                  4 days, 9 hours ago

                                  Hello mate, I would appreciate your views on this.
                                  GW13 and I will wait on the IB...…..

                                  A) Lowton & Hanley out for TAA and Robertson ( what I had planned to do )
                                  Or.
                                  B) Hanley, DSilva / Mount out for TAA and Son ( have KDB and Mane )

                11. joelsprylar
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Who to play?

                  Soyuncu
                  Diop
                  Hayden

                  1. ZICO SENNA
                    • 8 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Soy sauce

                12. TheDragon
                  • 1 Year
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Which 3 of these to start?

                  A) Mendy
                  B) CHO
                  C) Rico
                  D) Lund
                  E) Soyuncu

                  1. ZICO SENNA
                    • 8 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    BCD

                  2. YouReds
                    • 5 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    BCE

                13. Manani
                  • 8 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Who to play

                  Rico Lund Soyu

                  1. TheDragon
                    • 1 Year
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    In that order I think.

                  2. YouReds
                    • 5 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Rico

                14. YouReds
                  • 5 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Who would you play out of:

                  a) Lund (tot)
                  b) Lowton (WHU)

                  1. L.O.Rosickyismyson
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    lund

                  2. JohnRoss
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Lund

                15. Goonerly
                  • 1 Year
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Is this team G2G?

                  Pope
                  Tomori - Lundstram - Soy/VVD
                  Sterling - KDB - Mount - Tielemans - Mané
                  Vardy (C) - Tammy

                  Bench: Fredericks - Soy/VVD - Greenwood

                16. Weasel51
                  • 3 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  KDB >> Mane (-4) worth it this week?

                  It's a transfer I'm going to make very soon anyway.

                  1. Flaming Flamingo
                    • 3 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    I'd go for it in that case

                17. waltzingmatildas
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 days, 10 hours ago

                  Either if these worth a hit?
                  A) maupay to jota
                  B) cantwell to Barnes (bench lundstram)

                  1. JohnRoss
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    4 days, 10 hours ago

                    Not for me. Possibility maupay could score