Spot the Differential

Willian a differential FPL route into an explosive Chelsea attack

On the face of it, last weekend seemed to return to type as the top three Fantasy Premier League points’ scorers had an average ownership of more than 15%. But they all happened to be defenders priced at £6.0m or less – or in John Lundstram’s (£4.8m) case, a midfielder that just happens to be listed as a defender.

In this climate of unexpected backline mega-hauls, the differentials also matched these tallies with double-digit points of their own from Lys Mousset (£4.9m) to Leandro Trossard (£5.8m).

This column’s picks also chipped in with attacking Fantasy returns for Christian Pulisic (£7.3m) and Sebastian Haller (£7.3m).

It’s time to look again at some other players that may be flying under the radar. Here are three differentials to have a think over for Gameweek 12:

Dele Alli

  • Ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £8.4M
  • GW12 fixture: Sheffield United (h)

It’s strange to think that a midfielder that has scored in excess of 40 Premier League goals over the past four seasons has an ownership of less than 1%.

In fact, it wasn’t that long ago that Dele Alli was a mainstay for FPL managers. However, form and fitness issues over the past 12 months have reduced his output and ultimately resulted in him losing his place in the England team.

Having said that, Alli has seemingly turned a corner with three full Premier League starts in a row that saw him score two goals for good measure.

Of course, it may seem a bit steep to purchase a player with his price tag after only recently returning to the first-team set-up.

But it can’t be discounted that, over the past four Gameweeks, only Pulisic and Ayoze Perez (£6.1m) have scored more goals than him among midfielders priced at £8.5m or less.

Alli’s two goals have come from three shots on target. While this highlights accuracy, the lacks of shots over 300 minutes is a minor concern.

Up next for Tottenham are Sheffield United. The newly-promoted team have proven their defensive credentials of late but they’ve conceded during their last two travels to the capital and Spurs’ attack will definitely challenge them.

Willian

  • Ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.1M
  • GW12 fixture: Crystal Palace (h)

Tammy Abraham (£7.9m) and Mason Mount (£6.9m) are currently among the most-owned players in Fantasy Premier League, while Pulisic has also demonstrated his worth of late.

But there’s a player from Chelsea’s old guard that is definitely worth considering if you’re looking for someone different.

Willian has started every Premier League game since Gameweek 5 and has also quietly racked up four attacking returns during his last five league outings.

Over the last six league games, he is ranked fourth for passes received in the final third (128) and sixth for touches in the final third (195) among midfielders priced at £7.5m or less.

Despite playing in an attack-minded team, the biggest concern with Willian is that Mount could offer more in terms of price per million with his marginally cheaper price.

Willian also takes set-pieces which adds to his appeal and he has averaged over ten attacking returns during the past four seasons, which shows his capabilities and importance to the team.

Chelsea this weekend face Crystal Palace, who have only kept one clean sheet in their past seven Premier League games. This should bode well for Willian and his teammates as Chelsea have scored 25 goals in 11 Premier League games this season.

Harvey Barnes

  • Ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW12 fixture: Arsenal (h)

Leicester seem almost unbeatable of late under Brendan Rodgers.

For now, they reside at the top echelons of the Premier League table, as they were during their unexpected title-winning season.

If they are to challenge the status quo again, then it will be players like Harvey Barnes who could make the difference in terms of durability across the season.

His FPL ownership is a fraction of Jamie Vardy’s (£9.4m) and yet Barnes has also chipped in by registering 23 points in his last three games. That’s no mean feat for a player priced at less than £6m, especially one that has proven to play across multiple midfield positions.

In his last six games, Barnes has had more touches in the final third than the likes of Son Heung-min (£9.6m) and Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m).

Barnes has also exceeded his attacking returns from last season in half the minutes played.

It’s clear that he’s getting better and could be a genuine fourth or fifth midfield option for those FPL managers that can’t afford the likes of James Maddison (£7.4m) or Youri Tielemans (£6.6m).

Leicester currently boast the third-best home record in the Premier League and on Saturday face an Arsenal team that have only won one away league match this season and are struggling to keep clean sheets.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 11

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691 Comments Post a Comment
  1. KAPTAIN KANE
    • 3 Years
    6 months, 18 days ago

    GTG?

    Pope
    Soyuncu | Tomori | Lundstram | Rico | Janmaat
    Salah (VC) | Sterling | Mane | KdB
    Kane (C)

    Button | Connolly | D. Luiz | Greenwood

    0ITB, 1FT

    Thanks

    1. DA Minnion
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      It's different. That's for sure.

      1. KAPTAIN KANE
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Cheers

    2. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      6 months, 18 days ago

      True to your name, I like it

      1. Tempestic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 18 days ago

        That is the most budget 5 at the back I've ever seen... WOW 5 Premium...! Fair play, if the budget defenders keep performing u could be golden tbf.

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Nice one cheers

    3. Nabs Kebabs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      like the approach here

      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        would prefer it a lot more if Sterling was downgraded and Vardy partnered Kane though

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Thanks, that's the eventual plan I think, perhaps next week with 2FTs

        2. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Or maybe Salah sacrificed

  2. Phlajo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    6 months, 18 days ago

    Tough week, based on fixture difficulty at least...

    Got 1 FT and 0.4 itb - would really like to roll transfer over IB.

    Pope (Button)
    Alexander-Arnold, Lundstram, Tomori
    Mané, Sterling, Mount, De Bruyne
    Vardy, Maupay, Abraham¨

    Bench: Montoya Söyüncü Cantwell

    What do you think? G2G? Benchorder, yes/no etc?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Looks good, you're all set.

      1. Phlajo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Thx 🙂

    2. Tucker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      You're good to roll the transfer imo

    3. Gideons Rolling Another One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Exactly the same team as me expect for Tomori.

      I’m considering KDB + Maupay out for Jimi and Tielemans. Although Maupays stars are good!!

      1. Phlajo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Would definitely not do those transfers. KdB season keeper for me unless injuried

    4. Teddy Brewski
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      All good. Soy first on bench though

  3. DA Minnion
    • 7 Years
    6 months, 18 days ago

    I'm seeing Norwich predicted line ups with Cantwell starting. Thoughts , will he won't he?

    1. Park the bus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      he was obviously left out last week but it didn't seem to have any effect as they were poor and lost 2-0. couldn't say what that means ahead of this week

    2. RoboVanBasten
        6 months, 18 days ago

        My guess is he will start

      • Rainer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Where?

        1. DA Minnion
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Team news section here for a start.

          1. Rainer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Not the FFS team news.

            1. DA Minnion
              • 7 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Sorry you re right. Must have dreamt it.

    3. HurriKane
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Man city without Ederson and Laporte is like Liverpool without Alisson and VVD.

      Wouldn't be surprised if liverpool score 3 goals past city shambolic backline right?

      1. DA Minnion
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Wish I had got rid of sterling instead of Salah for Mane.

      2. Atwood
        • 9 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Ederson will start for sure

        1. HurriKane
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          He's been ruled out by Pep

          1. Atwood
            • 9 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            I still don't think he's telling the truth!

        2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Pep said he's out

        3. DA Minnion
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          He won't according to pep

    4. Atwood
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      2FT's
      Aguero > Vardy sound good?

      Pope
      TAA - Lundstram - Tomori
      Mane - KDB - Mount - Yarmolenko
      Aguero - Abraham - Jiminez

      Button - Soyuncu - Rico - Dendonker

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        The money left over does.

    5. 11 smelly shirts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Whom would you play this weekend?
      A Harry Wilson
      B McGinn
      C Walker

      Thanks for your feedback!

    6. faver
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Sterling + Greenwood > Tammy and Maddison? Will WC after IB anyways and have 2 FT's

      1. Skogen89
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        yes

        1. faver
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          I can also get Vardy + Tielemans

      2. Tucker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Mulling over the Sterling downgrade and Greenwood upgrade myself, but in my case down to Tielemans and up to Vardy. Those transfers make a lot of sense for free imo, but it's one of those that requires a leap of faith!

        1. faver
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Without Ederson I can see City lose this game. And Liverpool may leak one goal. Hard to predict but I can see 1-1 draw without big hauls. On the other hand Tammy and Maddison can score a brace in their games. But Leicetser also can win 2-0 with 2 Vardy goals from open play, when Maddison is not going to be involved. I can see Gunners game to be harded than everyone think and putting 2 eggs in this game doesnt make me comfortable. Thats why I want to go with Tammy and Maddi

    7. The King
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      KDB -> Son for free?

      Have Sterling

      Cheers!

      1. 11 smelly shirts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        6 months, 18 days ago

        No

    8. TeddiPonza
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 18 days ago

      Which team on wildcard?

      A.
      Gazzaniga Button
      ROBBO Trent Lundy Rico Tomori
      Mane KdB MARTIAL MOUNT Dendo
      Jimmy Vardy Tammy

      B.
      Gazzaniga Button
      LASCELLES Trent Lundy Rico Tomori
      Mane KdB SALAH DOUGLAS Dendo
      Jimmy Vardy Tammy

      Thanks.

      1. The King
        • 6 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        A

      2. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        A

      3. Tucker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        A for sure

      4. RoboVanBasten
          6 months, 18 days ago

          A, but not sure about Mount.

          1. TeddiPonza
            • 9 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Could do Tomori to 4m and Mount to Pulisic?

      5. Tucker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Pope/McGovern

        TAA/Otamendi/Soy/Tomori/Lund

        Salah/Sterling/KDB/Mount/Cantwell

        Abraham/Jiminez/Greenwood

        2 FT and in need of some help. Do I:

        (A) Join the Vardy Party for free: Sterling and Greenwood > Tielemans and Vardy

        (B) Join the Vardy party and take a hit: Sterling, Greenwood, Otamendi > Martial/Maddison, Vardy, and Rico

        (C) Wait to join the Vardy party: Downgrade Otamendi > Rico or cheaper

      6. AzzaroMax99
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        G2G?

        Pope
        Taa Tomori Lunds
        Salah Sterling Martial Yarmolenko
        Vardy(C) Tammy Wilson

        Button Soyuncu Hayden Hanley**

        Only dilemma is Lunds or Soyuncu 🙁

      7. OptimusBlack
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        If you have All (Kün- Sterling - KDB)
        would you choose any of those
        A-Kün + Mount > Jiménez + Martial
        B- Kün + KDB> Rashford + Manè
        C- Sterling > Manè

        1. 11 smelly shirts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          6 months, 18 days ago

          I'm somewhere between A and C. If you have 2 FT A, otherwise C. Wouldn't take a hit for it

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 7 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Thx mate

        2. Kip
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          I’d keep KDB and Mount, so C) out of those

      8. The Mighty Whites
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        1FT, 2.3 ITB, thoughts?

        Pope, Button

        TAA, Pereira, Lundstram, Lascelles, Rico

        Mane, KdB, Maddison, Mount, Nakamba

        Vardy, Abraham, Jimenez

      9. Champions united
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Whom to bench

        Lunds
        Soy
        Taa
        Lasc
        Rico

        1. Kip
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          I’m more or less in the same boat. Would probably bench Lascelles

      10. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        Any suggestions for this team? 1ft, 2.7m itb. Wilson > jiminez?

        Pope
        Taa soy lund
        Mane kdb Maddison mount
        Vardy Tammy Wilson

        Button Rico dunk dendo

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 1 Year
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Yes I would

          1. Disturbed
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Cheers

      11. Rainer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        So the only thing to take from Peps presser is that Ederson starts behind Rodri...

      12. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        What do we think to Maupay + KDB to Jimi and Tielmans ?

        Or save it?

        I prefer to keep Sterling rather than KDB.

      13. Silecro
        • 2 Years
        6 months, 18 days ago

        im on wildcard and have team set up except...have exactly 0.4 left to choose between Mane & Salah. Who should I take going forward?

        1. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 18 days ago

          Mane

        2. RoboVanBasten
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Salah

          • Soto Ayam
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Malah

          • Fnug
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            YES OR NO:
            KDB + Cantwell --> Maddison + Mount (-4)

            Pope
            TAA, Lundstram, Tomori, Rico (Mings)
            Salah, Sterling, Maddison, Mount (Douglas Luiz)
            Vardy (c), Jimenez, Abraham

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 10 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Will Mount cover the -4?

          • King Henrik
            • 8 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            2ft with 2.6 itb. Any ideas for this lot ?

            Roberto
            Soyunci Trent Tomori Lundstram
            Sterling Kdb Mount Maddison
            Aubamayang Abraham

            McGovern McGinn Kelly Greenwood

            1. claretparrot
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Can you get to VArdy and Jimi from Auba and Greenwood? If so that feels like a no-brainer

              1. King Henrik
                • 8 Years
                6 months, 18 days ago

                Yes I can. I was thinking Martial in for McGinn and Auba to Vardy ?

          • Skogen89
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Do you belive Mount will play tomorrow?

            1. Fudgy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Yes

            2. DA Minnion
              • 7 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Coin toss

              1. Skogen89
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                6 months, 18 days ago

                suppose i have too much value tied up in him so wont sell anyway. ty for feedback

          • Joey Barton and Friends
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Pope (Button)

            Rico - Lund - Soy (Tomori/Cresswell)

            Sterling - KDB - Salah - Mount - Madisson

            Vardy (c) - Tammy (Greenwood)

            Very tempted to do Cresswell, Mount and Greenwood to Jiminez, Willems and 4.7 midfielder for Jiminez's fixtures

          • Champions united
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Which 2 should be benched

            1.Lunds
            2.Soy
            3.Taa
            4.Lasc
            5.Rico
            6.Cantwell

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              2 and 4

            2. La Vida Latte
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              2 and 6

          • andres
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Do I play this team or use the cash to upgrade somewhere for a hit?

            Pope
            TAA Soy Lund
            Mane KDB Mount tielemans
            Abraham Vardy jimenez

            Kelly, Pieters, Cantwell 4.7 ITB

          • Igzie08
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Play 1:

            A) Mendy
            B) Saka
            C) Yarmo
            D) -4 and bring someone in

          • ChelseaGuy
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Who to get?
            1) Salah (says heart)
            2) Mane (says brain)

            1. La Vida Latte
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Right now 2. Best form and not any niggling injuries to limit his gametime.

            2. Skogen89
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              2

            3. Rainer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              No brainer!

            4. ChelseaGuy
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              TA all..Mane it is then

          • La Vida Latte
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Play two of these:
            A) Grealish (wol)
            B) Lundstram (tot)
            C) Jaanmat (nor)
            D) Mendy (liv)

            1. Skogen89
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              ab or ac

              1. La Vida Latte
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                6 months, 18 days ago

                Thanks! I am on AB right now with C first on bench, so we seem to agree.

          • ChelseaGuy
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            Bottomed

            Who to get?
            1) Salah (says heart)
            2) Mane (says brain)

            1. ChelseaGuy
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Sorry. Was having a loading error

            2. TheDragon
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Listen to your heart, There’s nothing else you can do

            3. Silecro
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              im having exact same dillema. Would go with Mane but competing with my friend who has him and robbo and me going against him with trent & salah is just way more fun 😀 but yeah, mane is probably better choice right now

          • TheDragon
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 18 days ago

            In light of Mount news, does CHO start tomorrow?

            1. Rainer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 18 days ago

              Pulisic probably needs a rest, I’d hope and gamble with CHO, instead of a -4.

              1. TheDragon
                • 2 Years
                6 months, 18 days ago

                He has been my worst transfer in if the season

            2. Soto Ayam
                6 months, 18 days ago

                What is the mount news pl?

                  1. Soto Ayam
                      6 months, 18 days ago

                      Cheers. I'd figure mount will start if he's in the squad. Same happened last time ibthink

                      1. Brimble82
                        • 1 Year
                        6 months, 18 days ago

                        Tough to call it I'd say. Coin toss.

                1. Would Ed Woodward
                  • 1 Year
                  6 months, 18 days ago

                  No idea if Mount is gonna start though, it's Mount or CHO imo, I can already tell I'm gonna probably be annoyed by a Mount cameo with a Rico CS on the bench.

                  1. TheDragon
                    • 2 Years
                    6 months, 18 days ago

                    As long as one of them plays I’ll be ok (ideally CHO with a Mount no show)

                    Both not playing and I’m in serious trouble

                    1. Would Ed Woodward
                      • 1 Year
                      6 months, 18 days ago

                      I think one will play but you risk a cameo starting both.

              • Lignja
                • 3 Years
                6 months, 18 days ago

                2ft 0.3m itb What to do with this team?

                Pope
                Taa, Rico, Lundstram, Soyuncu, Kelly
                Sterling, Kdb, Mount, Cho, Dendoker
                Aguero, Abraham, Vardy

                Looking to keep Aguero since he is my diferential in mini leagues and i expect him to start... Need one of Salah/Mane (Salah would also be diferential)