691
Spot the Differential

Willian a differential FPL route into an explosive Chelsea attack

On the face of it, last weekend seemed to return to type as the top three Fantasy Premier League points’ scorers had an average ownership of more than 15%. But they all happened to be defenders priced at £6.0m or less – or in John Lundstram’s (£4.8m) case, a midfielder that just happens to be listed as a defender.

In this climate of unexpected backline mega-hauls, the differentials also matched these tallies with double-digit points of their own from Lys Mousset (£4.9m) to Leandro Trossard (£5.8m).

This column’s picks also chipped in with attacking Fantasy returns for Christian Pulisic (£7.3m) and Sebastian Haller (£7.3m).

It’s time to look again at some other players that may be flying under the radar. Here are three differentials to have a think over for Gameweek 12:

Dele Alli

  • Ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £8.4M
  • GW12 fixture: Sheffield United (h)

It’s strange to think that a midfielder that has scored in excess of 40 Premier League goals over the past four seasons has an ownership of less than 1%.

In fact, it wasn’t that long ago that Dele Alli was a mainstay for FPL managers. However, form and fitness issues over the past 12 months have reduced his output and ultimately resulted in him losing his place in the England team.

Having said that, Alli has seemingly turned a corner with three full Premier League starts in a row that saw him score two goals for good measure.

Of course, it may seem a bit steep to purchase a player with his price tag after only recently returning to the first-team set-up.

But it can’t be discounted that, over the past four Gameweeks, only Pulisic and Ayoze Perez (£6.1m) have scored more goals than him among midfielders priced at £8.5m or less.

Alli’s two goals have come from three shots on target. While this highlights accuracy, the lacks of shots over 300 minutes is a minor concern.

Up next for Tottenham are Sheffield United. The newly-promoted team have proven their defensive credentials of late but they’ve conceded during their last two travels to the capital and Spurs’ attack will definitely challenge them.

Willian

  • Ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.1M
  • GW12 fixture: Crystal Palace (h)

Tammy Abraham (£7.9m) and Mason Mount (£6.9m) are currently among the most-owned players in Fantasy Premier League, while Pulisic has also demonstrated his worth of late.

But there’s a player from Chelsea’s old guard that is definitely worth considering if you’re looking for someone different.

Willian has started every Premier League game since Gameweek 5 and has also quietly racked up four attacking returns during his last five league outings.

Over the last six league games, he is ranked fourth for passes received in the final third (128) and sixth for touches in the final third (195) among midfielders priced at £7.5m or less.

Despite playing in an attack-minded team, the biggest concern with Willian is that Mount could offer more in terms of price per million with his marginally cheaper price.

Willian also takes set-pieces which adds to his appeal and he has averaged over ten attacking returns during the past four seasons, which shows his capabilities and importance to the team.

Chelsea this weekend face Crystal Palace, who have only kept one clean sheet in their past seven Premier League games. This should bode well for Willian and his teammates as Chelsea have scored 25 goals in 11 Premier League games this season.

Harvey Barnes

  • Ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW12 fixture: Arsenal (h)

Leicester seem almost unbeatable of late under Brendan Rodgers.

For now, they reside at the top echelons of the Premier League table, as they were during their unexpected title-winning season.

If they are to challenge the status quo again, then it will be players like Harvey Barnes who could make the difference in terms of durability across the season.

His FPL ownership is a fraction of Jamie Vardy’s (£9.4m) and yet Barnes has also chipped in by registering 23 points in his last three games. That’s no mean feat for a player priced at less than £6m, especially one that has proven to play across multiple midfield positions.

In his last six games, Barnes has had more touches in the final third than the likes of Son Heung-min (£9.6m) and Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m).

Barnes has also exceeded his attacking returns from last season in half the minutes played.

It’s clear that he’s getting better and could be a genuine fourth or fifth midfield option for those FPL managers that can’t afford the likes of James Maddison (£7.4m) or Youri Tielemans (£6.6m).

Leicester currently boast the third-best home record in the Premier League and on Saturday face an Arsenal team that have only won one away league match this season and are struggling to keep clean sheets.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 11

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691 Comments Post a Comment
  1. KAPTAIN KANE
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    GTG?

    Pope
    Soyuncu | Tomori | Lundstram | Rico | Janmaat
    Salah (VC) | Sterling | Mane | KdB
    Kane (C)

    Button | Connolly | D. Luiz | Greenwood

    0ITB, 1FT

    Thanks

    1. DA Minnion
      • 7 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      It's different. That's for sure.

      1. KAPTAIN KANE
        • 2 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Cheers

    2. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      True to your name, I like it

      1. Tempestic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        That is the most budget 5 at the back I've ever seen... WOW 5 Premium...! Fair play, if the budget defenders keep performing u could be golden tbf.

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 2 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Nice one cheers

    3. Nabs Kebabs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      like the approach here

      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        would prefer it a lot more if Sterling was downgraded and Vardy partnered Kane though

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 2 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Thanks, that's the eventual plan I think, perhaps next week with 2FTs

        2. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 2 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Or maybe Salah sacrificed

  2. Phlajo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Tough week, based on fixture difficulty at least...

    Got 1 FT and 0.4 itb - would really like to roll transfer over IB.

    Pope (Button)
    Alexander-Arnold, Lundstram, Tomori
    Mané, Sterling, Mount, De Bruyne
    Vardy, Maupay, Abraham¨

    Bench: Montoya Söyüncü Cantwell

    What do you think? G2G? Benchorder, yes/no etc?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Looks good, you're all set.

      1. Phlajo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Thx 🙂

    2. Tucker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      You're good to roll the transfer imo

    3. Gideons Rolling Another One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Exactly the same team as me expect for Tomori.

      I’m considering KDB + Maupay out for Jimi and Tielemans. Although Maupays stars are good!!

      1. Phlajo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Would definitely not do those transfers. KdB season keeper for me unless injuried

    4. Teddy Brewski
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      All good. Soy first on bench though

  3. DA Minnion
    • 7 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    I'm seeing Norwich predicted line ups with Cantwell starting. Thoughts , will he won't he?

    1. Park the bus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      he was obviously left out last week but it didn't seem to have any effect as they were poor and lost 2-0. couldn't say what that means ahead of this week

    2. RoboVanBasten
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      My guess is he will start

    3. Rainer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Where?

      1. DA Minnion
        • 7 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Team news section here for a start.

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Not the FFS team news.

          1. DA Minnion
            • 7 Years
            4 days, 10 hours ago

            Sorry you re right. Must have dreamt it.

  4. HurriKane
    • 7 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Man city without Ederson and Laporte is like Liverpool without Alisson and VVD.

    Wouldn't be surprised if liverpool score 3 goals past city shambolic backline right?

    1. DA Minnion
      • 7 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Wish I had got rid of sterling instead of Salah for Mane.

    2. Atwood
      • 9 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Ederson will start for sure

      1. HurriKane
        • 7 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        He's been ruled out by Pep

        1. Atwood
          • 9 Years
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          I still don't think he's telling the truth!

      2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Pep said he's out

      3. DA Minnion
        • 7 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        He won't according to pep

  5. Atwood
    • 9 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    2FT's
    Aguero > Vardy sound good?

    Pope
    TAA - Lundstram - Tomori
    Mane - KDB - Mount - Yarmolenko
    Aguero - Abraham - Jiminez

    Button - Soyuncu - Rico - Dendonker

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      The money left over does.

  6. 11 smelly shirts
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Whom would you play this weekend?
    A Harry Wilson
    B McGinn
    C Walker

    Thanks for your feedback!

  7. faver
    • 4 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Sterling + Greenwood > Tammy and Maddison? Will WC after IB anyways and have 2 FT's

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      yes

      1. faver
        • 4 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        I can also get Vardy + Tielemans

    2. Tucker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Mulling over the Sterling downgrade and Greenwood upgrade myself, but in my case down to Tielemans and up to Vardy. Those transfers make a lot of sense for free imo, but it's one of those that requires a leap of faith!

      1. faver
        • 4 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Without Ederson I can see City lose this game. And Liverpool may leak one goal. Hard to predict but I can see 1-1 draw without big hauls. On the other hand Tammy and Maddison can score a brace in their games. But Leicetser also can win 2-0 with 2 Vardy goals from open play, when Maddison is not going to be involved. I can see Gunners game to be harded than everyone think and putting 2 eggs in this game doesnt make me comfortable. Thats why I want to go with Tammy and Maddi

  8. The King
    • 5 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    KDB -> Son for free?

    Have Sterling

    Cheers!

    1. 11 smelly shirts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      No

  9. TeddiPonza
    • 9 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Which team on wildcard?

    A.
    Gazzaniga Button
    ROBBO Trent Lundy Rico Tomori
    Mane KdB MARTIAL MOUNT Dendo
    Jimmy Vardy Tammy

    B.
    Gazzaniga Button
    LASCELLES Trent Lundy Rico Tomori
    Mane KdB SALAH DOUGLAS Dendo
    Jimmy Vardy Tammy

    Thanks.

    1. The King
      • 5 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      A

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      A

    3. Tucker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      A for sure

    4. RoboVanBasten
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      A, but not sure about Mount.

      1. TeddiPonza
        • 9 Years
        4 days, 8 hours ago

        Could do Tomori to 4m and Mount to Pulisic?

  10. Tucker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Pope/McGovern

    TAA/Otamendi/Soy/Tomori/Lund

    Salah/Sterling/KDB/Mount/Cantwell

    Abraham/Jiminez/Greenwood

    2 FT and in need of some help. Do I:

    (A) Join the Vardy Party for free: Sterling and Greenwood > Tielemans and Vardy

    (B) Join the Vardy party and take a hit: Sterling, Greenwood, Otamendi > Martial/Maddison, Vardy, and Rico

    (C) Wait to join the Vardy party: Downgrade Otamendi > Rico or cheaper

  11. AzzaroMax99
    • 3 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Taa Tomori Lunds
    Salah Sterling Martial Yarmolenko
    Vardy(C) Tammy Wilson

    Button Soyuncu Hayden Hanley**

    Only dilemma is Lunds or Soyuncu 🙁

  12. OptimusBlack
    • 6 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    If you have All (Kün- Sterling - KDB)
    would you choose any of those
    A-Kün + Mount > Jiménez + Martial
    B- Kün + KDB> Rashford + Manè
    C- Sterling > Manè

    1. 11 smelly shirts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      I'm somewhere between A and C. If you have 2 FT A, otherwise C. Wouldn't take a hit for it

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 6 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Thx mate

    2. Kip
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      I’d keep KDB and Mount, so C) out of those

  13. The Mighty Whites
    • 4 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    1FT, 2.3 ITB, thoughts?

    Pope, Button

    TAA, Pereira, Lundstram, Lascelles, Rico

    Mane, KdB, Maddison, Mount, Nakamba

    Vardy, Abraham, Jimenez

  14. Champions united
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Whom to bench

    Lunds
    Soy
    Taa
    Lasc
    Rico

    1. Kip
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      I’m more or less in the same boat. Would probably bench Lascelles

  15. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Any suggestions for this team? 1ft, 2.7m itb. Wilson > jiminez?

    Pope
    Taa soy lund
    Mane kdb Maddison mount
    Vardy Tammy Wilson

    Button Rico dunk dendo

    1. ‘Tis the Season
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Yes I would

      1. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Cheers

  16. Rainer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    So the only thing to take from Peps presser is that Ederson starts behind Rodri...

  17. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    What do we think to Maupay + KDB to Jimi and Tielmans ?

    Or save it?

    I prefer to keep Sterling rather than KDB.

  18. Silecro
    • 1 Year
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    im on wildcard and have team set up except...have exactly 0.4 left to choose between Mane & Salah. Who should I take going forward?

    1. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Mane

    2. RoboVanBasten
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Salah

    3. Soto Ayam
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Malah

  19. Fnug
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    YES OR NO:
    KDB + Cantwell --> Maddison + Mount (-4)

    Pope
    TAA, Lundstram, Tomori, Rico (Mings)
    Salah, Sterling, Maddison, Mount (Douglas Luiz)
    Vardy (c), Jimenez, Abraham

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Will Mount cover the -4?

  20. Pukki Blinders
    • 8 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    2ft with 2.6 itb. Any ideas for this lot ?

    Roberto
    Soyunci Trent Tomori Lundstram
    Sterling Kdb Mount Maddison
    Aubamayang Abraham

    McGovern McGinn Kelly Greenwood

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Can you get to VArdy and Jimi from Auba and Greenwood? If so that feels like a no-brainer

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 8 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Yes I can. I was thinking Martial in for McGinn and Auba to Vardy ?

  21. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Do you belive Mount will play tomorrow?

    1. Fudgy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Yes

    2. DA Minnion
      • 7 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Coin toss

      1. Skogen89
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        suppose i have too much value tied up in him so wont sell anyway. ty for feedback

  22. Joey Barton and Friends
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Pope (Button)

    Rico - Lund - Soy (Tomori/Cresswell)

    Sterling - KDB - Salah - Mount - Madisson

    Vardy (c) - Tammy (Greenwood)

    Very tempted to do Cresswell, Mount and Greenwood to Jiminez, Willems and 4.7 midfielder for Jiminez's fixtures

  23. Champions united
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Which 2 should be benched

    1.Lunds
    2.Soy
    3.Taa
    4.Lasc
    5.Rico
    6.Cantwell

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      2 and 4

    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      2 and 6

  24. andres
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Do I play this team or use the cash to upgrade somewhere for a hit?

    Pope
    TAA Soy Lund
    Mane KDB Mount tielemans
    Abraham Vardy jimenez

    Kelly, Pieters, Cantwell 4.7 ITB

  25. Igzie08
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Play 1:

    A) Mendy
    B) Saka
    C) Yarmo
    D) -4 and bring someone in

  26. ChelseaGuy
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Who to get?
    1) Salah (says heart)
    2) Mane (says brain)

    1. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Right now 2. Best form and not any niggling injuries to limit his gametime.

    2. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      2

    3. Rainer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      No brainer!

    4. ChelseaGuy
      • 2 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      TA all..Mane it is then

  27. La Vida Latte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Play two of these:
    A) Grealish (wol)
    B) Lundstram (tot)
    C) Jaanmat (nor)
    D) Mendy (liv)

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      ab or ac

      1. La Vida Latte
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        Thanks! I am on AB right now with C first on bench, so we seem to agree.

  28. ChelseaGuy
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    Bottomed

    Who to get?
    1) Salah (says heart)
    2) Mane (says brain)

    1. ChelseaGuy
      • 2 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Sorry. Was having a loading error

    2. TheDragon
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Listen to your heart, There’s nothing else you can do

    3. Silecro
      • 1 Year
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      im having exact same dillema. Would go with Mane but competing with my friend who has him and robbo and me going against him with trent & salah is just way more fun 😀 but yeah, mane is probably better choice right now

  29. TheDragon
    • 1 Year
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    In light of Mount news, does CHO start tomorrow?

    1. Rainer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      Pulisic probably needs a rest, I’d hope and gamble with CHO, instead of a -4.

      1. TheDragon
        • 1 Year
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        He has been my worst transfer in if the season

    2. Soto Ayam
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      What is the mount news pl?

        1. Soto Ayam
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          Cheers. I'd figure mount will start if he's in the squad. Same happened last time ibthink

          1. Brimble82
            • 1 Year
            4 days, 9 hours ago

            Tough to call it I'd say. Coin toss.

    3. Would Ed Woodward
      4 days, 10 hours ago

      No idea if Mount is gonna start though, it's Mount or CHO imo, I can already tell I'm gonna probably be annoyed by a Mount cameo with a Rico CS on the bench.

      1. TheDragon
        • 1 Year
        4 days, 10 hours ago

        As long as one of them plays I’ll be ok (ideally CHO with a Mount no show)

        Both not playing and I’m in serious trouble

        1. Would Ed Woodward
          4 days, 10 hours ago

          I think one will play but you risk a cameo starting both.

  30. Lignja
    • 2 Years
    4 days, 10 hours ago

    2ft 0.3m itb What to do with this team?

    Pope
    Taa, Rico, Lundstram, Soyuncu, Kelly
    Sterling, Kdb, Mount, Cho, Dendoker
    Aguero, Abraham, Vardy

    Looking to keep Aguero since he is my diferential in mini leagues and i expect him to start... Need one of Salah/Mane (Salah would also be diferential)