Spot the Differential

Strong form and fixtures for budget differential Mousset ahead of Gameweek 15

Last Gameweek may have seen a high-owned defender in Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m) topping the scores for the round but there were many unheralded players also making a mark.

In fact, of the top seven points-scorers, five had single-digit ownership. A shout-out must also go to this column’s picks, with Dele Alli (£8.5m) and Danny Ings (£6.2m) also registering healthy Fantasy returns of 15 and nine respectively.

With the short turnaround between Gameweeks, we go again with some additional low-owned choices at hand.

Here are three differentials that are worth considering for Gameweek 15.

Lys Mousset

  • FPL ownership: 5.8%*
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW15 fixture: Newcastle United (h)

With four goals and three assists in the last six Gameweeks, it’s becoming hard to ignore Lys Mousset.

The former France under-21 international has been something of a surprise package this season. Prior to this campaign, he had only scored three Premier League goals in 58 games. And yet he seems to have come of age since his club-record switch over the summer.

He’s had direct involvement in 47% of Sheffield United’s goals since August, which is all the more remarkable when considering that he’s only started five league games. In fact, at the moment, he’s averaging a goal every 100 minutes played.

The biggest concern with Mousset is his lack of minutes. He may have cemented his place in the starting line-up of late, but he’s yet to play a full match for the Blades and his fitness is still a slight issue.

Jordan Ayew (£5.1m) is in the same price bracket as him and has played double the number of minutes but has admittedly been involved in fewer goals for Crystal Palace.

Even if Mousset’s minutes are limited, he has demonstrated that he has an eye for goal when it matters and Sheffield United have a good run of games between now and the end of the year. Up next are a Newcastle United team that have conceded 16 goals in seven games on the road this season.

*less than 5% ownership at the time of writing this article.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW15 fixture: Manchester United (a)

It made sense to tip him last time out and he validated his selection with a brace; Alli is still a bona fide differential as things stand and he gets the nod again.

Alli’s minutes were limited last season primarily due to fitness and injury issues. His total of nine attacking returns in 2018/19 was by some distance his worst during his time as a Premier League player and he is already just four off his goals and assists tally from last season.

It’s clear that already under Jose Mourinho he has become more clinical. For now, at least, it seems he doesn’t even need lots of touches in advanced areas to make a mark. As an example, in Gameweek 14, Ilkay Gundogan (£5.2m) and Christian Pulisic (£7.5m) had more touches in the final third than Alli and yet they failed to register any Fantasy returns .

Aside from touches, Alli is a clear and obvious goal threat. Last Gameweek, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.2m) was the only midfielder to have more shots on goal compared to him.

However, Alli had more big chances than any other midfielder listed in FPL.

Some may say that he exceeded his xG, but the fact of the matter is that he took his chances and was probably unlucky not to score a hat-trick. Up next for Tottenham is a visit to Old Trafford, with Mourinho returning to his old club.

United’s backline have struggled to keep clean sheets since his departure and it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if this rejuvenated Tottenham team ended up registering numerous goal attempts in this encounter.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW15 fixture: Norwich City (h)

Danny Ings (£6.2m) may have been stealing the headlines as Southampton’s most viable FPL asset. However, there is another player among their ranks that also has made a noticeable impact.

Ward-Prowse has now scored three goals in his last four league games and his 83rd-minute match-winning strike was key on Saturday in lifting the Saints’ fortunes.

He averaged a goal every 277 minutes played last season, which is far from spectacular in the grand scheme of things, but nevertheless reasonable for an unheralded budget midfielder. He is also a regular on set-piece duties, which adds to his value.

In a similar way to Alli, he’s hardly been making a name for himself with touches in the final third. However, over the past four Gameweeks, he is ranked joint-second for goal attempts, joint-first for shots on target and joint-first for big chances among sub-£6.0m midfielders.

It’s sometimes easy to forget that Ward-Prowse is an England international and, if we’re being critical, he’s not truly fulfilled his potential to date. Yet, with a generous fixture run, starting with Norwich at home, it could be the impetus that he needs to continue his recent goalscoring run and perhaps score more than 100 FPL points in a season come May.

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1,233 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Fantasy123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Quick vote to confirm what I already know (roll the transfer you fool)

    A) pope -> hendo
    B) rico -> kelly
    C) martial -> pulisic
    D) save

    0itb 1ft

    Pope
    Lord Chillwell Aurier
    Mane Maddison Martial Son
    Aub Vardy Tammy

    Button Rico Dunk Donkey

    1. Zenith UK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      I'd actually do Pope > Hendo. Why not?

      1. Bavarian
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 8 days ago

        This

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Sure you can afford A?

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      A

    4. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      I did A this GW. So would recommend that transfer:)

    5. Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Pope hendo easily especially if for free (I did it for a hit thinking it will pay off medium term)

  2. De Gea is GOAT
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Anyone considering Mane over Vardy as cap?

    1. Zenith UK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Not after he stung me last week

    2. Bavarian
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Not me

    3. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Only those with the world's biggest sofa for the Leicester game.

      1. Monkey Hanger
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 8 days ago

        Just don't watch it. Plenty to choose from.

        1. Jarvish Scott Talent
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 8 days ago

          That's true, but won't make a difference the outcome.

          1. Monkey Hanger
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 8 days ago

            Prefer the guillotine, to the Chinese water torture. 🙂

    4. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      No, Auba yes but still think Vardy is the way to go due to his EO.

    5. De Gea is GOAT
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      What was i thinking. The party goes on!

  3. swobe
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Martial -> Maddison ?

    Pope
    Lord TAA Soy (Aurier, Diop)
    Mane Son Pulisic Maddison (Bantwell)
    Jimi Vardy(C) Ings

    GTG?

    1. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      GTG

  4. Villa Velour
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Bench one:

    A) Robbo (already playing TAA)
    B) Chilwell

    Rest of team is Lund, Pulisic, Son, Mane, Maddison, Ings, Jimi, Vardy.

    1. Donblaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      i would play A and B ahead of Lund, but I am an Owl so you might want a more neutral opinion!

  5. gomez123
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Sod it, Going Vardy/Kane/Auba up top!!...all on pens....madness Y/N

    1. Gentle_Turks
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Not a wise use of funds imo.

    2. checkit_j
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Y

    3. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Decent imo

      So much value in midfield and the back and huge upside

  6. pjanns
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    repost. Sorry. - I'm GTG right?

    Hendo
    Lunds - Soy - TAA
    Maddison - KDB - Mane - Son
    Vardy - Abraham - Jimmy

    (Cantwell - Rico -Montoya)

    1. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      anyone? 🙂 Opinions appreciated.

    2. Donblaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      looks v.good to me

    3. Sloths
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      You're good 2 go!

  7. TheTinman
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Martial injured or just rubbish?

    1. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Are you asking if the injury rumours are rubbish or if Martial is rubbish?

      1. TheTinman
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 8 days ago

        Both

  8. yer old da
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Is this order right i.e. start Tammy and bench Tomori?

    Pope
    TAA, Soyuncu, Lundstram
    Mane(vc), Son, Martial, Pulisic
    Vardy(c), Tammy, Jimenez

    Subs: Gazzaniga, Tomori, Dendoncker, Rico

    1. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Yes. GTG

    2. President Giggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Yep, I'm doing the same

  9. Maddamotha
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Do we really think Palace will keep a CS against Bournemouth?

    1. swobe
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      no

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      yes

    3. AuFeld
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      I don't think so. CPFC has the highest expected goals against over the last six game weeks.

      1. Maddamotha
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 8 days ago

        Hmmm interesting! I guess Pope > Hendo is the better move. Can definitely see a CS against Newcastle.

      2. Jullepuu
        4 months, 8 days ago

        They had the toughest fixture run lf the season..

        1. AuFeld
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          4 months, 8 days ago

          Valid point. They are also dealing with a lot of injuries in their defense as well.

          1. Jullepuu
            4 months, 8 days ago

            Hodgson is pretty defensive minded

            1. AuFeld
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              4 months, 8 days ago

              I agree. How do you think their back line will line up? PVA, Tomkins, Kelly, and Sakho?

              1. Jullepuu
                4 months, 8 days ago

                PVA Tomkins x Kelly

                Kelly becomes Ward at some point.
                X is one of Dann, Sakho Cahill
                For today's game I think it's Sakho or maybe Dann

  10. TheDragon
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Bench one:

    A) Mount
    B) Tielemans
    C) Soyuncu

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      ive got Cantwell instead of Tiele and im going Mount

      1. TheDragon
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 8 days ago

        Why? Think he will be benched?

  11. Jamb0
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Start Tomori (AVL) or Lundstram (NEW)?
    Leaning towards Lundstram

    1. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      never bench Lundstram

    2. Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Shouldn't even be a discussion..

  12. Donblaster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    A) Mount
    B) Alli (-4)
    C) Pulisic (-4)

    1. pjanns
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      A

    2. Sloths
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      B

  13. KLOPPTOMANIA
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Mount to Zaha?

    Pope/Gazza
    TAA, Tomori, Soy, Lundstram
    Mount, Mané, Son, KdB
    Rashford, Vardy
    (Cantwell, Kelly, Greenwood)

    1.2 itb

  14. Don Rogers FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Play one of

    A) martial
    B) cantwell
    C) baldock

    Which order the next two on the bench?

    Also have, and playing, Lundy & Mousset

  15. Lachkov
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    What are the chances that Pulisic gets benched? Everyone else at Chelsea was already rested in recent games, you have also Willian, Pedro, Hudson-Odoi and Mount for 3 attacking forward positions, so 2 players will be benched.
    I don't know who to bench: Pulisic, JWP, Lundstam, or even Son or Söyüncü.
    All of them are nailed starters and except for Son have great fixtures. Still, benching Pulisic at home to Villa seems like a bad decision altogether.

    1. Sloths
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Having the same quandry. I can't bring myself to bench against Villa and yet I know he's going to get rolled off the bench with 10 minutes to go for his 1 point 😛

  16. falafel
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Salah, Mendy and Greenwood to Kane, Zaha and Willems! Thoughts?

  17. Runaway
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Play one:

    A) Mount

    B) Mousset

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      B

  18. Shanty Toon
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Mount or Martial to Alli?

    No other cover for either team. Leaning towards getting rid of Martial and giving Mount one more week.

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Martial I reckon as that will give you an extra mil to play with next week wont it?

  19. Nightf0x
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    ryan (buton) soy taa lund (kely lowton) mane mount son kdb (dendo) vardy ings laca

    Which and whom?
    A) laca to jimy mouset ayew tammy
    B) mount to zaha puli madds tiele
    C) lowton to sheff. Def.
    D) 2 from both above with -4
    E) roll ft
    F) lowton laca -4 to chilwel/periera moust

  20. Lindelol
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Start
    1. Tammy
    2. Tomori

    1. Sloths
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Tammy.....much higher ceiling

    2. La Roja
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Gotta start Tammy if you still have him

    3. Sloths
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Lets be honest 2 points is probably all Tomori will bring

  21. gellinmagellan
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Button Pope
    TAA Lundstram Soy Dunk Rico
    Salah KDB Mount McGinn Dendoncker
    Kane Vardy Ings

    2 FT and 2.0 ITB. What changes should I make?

    A) Kane > Auba Mount > Alli
    B) Kane > Jiminez McGinn > Son/Alli

    Something else?

  22. Phlajo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Connolly or Tomori as first sub? (Starting Tammy,)

  23. Old Man
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Just seen that the first match is at 7:30 - just in time!