Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

Double Gameweek 30+ FPL Lessons Learned

915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Last piece of the puzzle - which trio scores hire/Doherty or no Doherty?

    A) Martinez, Doherty, Martial (3-5-2)
    B) DDG, Saiss, Rashford (3-4-3)

    1. Holding Matip
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A, but try Martial > Bruno

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        He probably has him already.

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'd put money on B scoring more in the run in.

      CS for wolves where Doh doesnt get attacking output, Saiss will ourscore his BAPS.

      DDG/Rashford combined easily outscore Mart/Mart

      1. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Why’s that?

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Which part?
          The Saiss part, small sample set, but in the last 6 games, Doh has 6 bps, Saiss has 6, and Doh has alot more attacking returns,
          Up until his assist on Sunday, Saiss was again ahead on baps.

          The 2nd part, like I said, pretty confident that DDG/Rash will score fair few more than Mart/Mart

  2. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Liverpool mid over KdB on FH a slam dunk call?

    KdB + VVD
    Mo/Mane + 5.3

    1. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Not for me; A

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers

        That’s the way I’m set up right now

  3. No_Mo_Salah?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Really can't decide on having a Liverpool mid. Next two matches not easy and rotation always a risk with packed gwks and end of season. Madness to go without and only TAA?

    1. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Nah do it. Liberate yourself!

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No if their replacements/upgrades elsewhere are nailed on picks like Rich or Vardy.

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      At this point, anything could work. Its not madness, but I'd be uncomfortable without one of Salah/Mane.

      Saying that, I've dropped KDB on my WC, so that could be madness in some eyes, but the funds helps elsewhere(ie DCL over Nketiah), but for sure I'll be uncomfortable every time city play.

      The potential upside is that if is benched/doesnt return, I'm catching pretty much everyone, vice versa if he hauls! But im going for it.

      1. No_Mo_Salah?
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers all. A few more hours to decide but erring on not having them and having more nailed players with a stronger bench.

  4. Hect.OR 98th
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Alli and Doherty or
    B. Son and Saiss?

    1. Mr_Barbs
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A because of Doherty

      1. the vanisher
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        B because of Son

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          This, B for me.

    3. Hect.OR 98th
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      cheers all

  5. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Final WC positions. Thoughts?

    A) Lascelles, Barnes, Mane, Son
    B) Lascelles, Pogba, KDB, Son
    C) Ritchie, Pogba, Barnes, Salah

    Pope, Martinez
    TAA, Doherty, Saiss, Holgate, XXX
    Bruno, Foden, XXX, XXX, XXX
    Rashford, Jimenez, DCL

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  6. TheDragon
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bench fodder - 5th midfielder

    Any reason not to just go Guendouzi instead of Saka to save a few ££?would be my third bench player typically

    1. Holding Matip
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes, I would for a third bench player

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Go Guendo yes

  7. The Legend Squad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed

    I’ve got £5m ITB, but to spend it I would need to take a -4. Hold or hit?

    McCarthy
    TAA Gomez Lascelles
    KDB Salah Bruno Traore
    Rashford Ings Jimenez

    Button Stephens Hayden Williams

    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Save FT

      Get Doherty next week?

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Provided Gomez plays that’s a lovely side

      Quite possible to put together a great FH for 102 this week

    3. Greko82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I would save it. My only worry is that Traore and Doherty could potentially fight for a similar position.
      And I am a Doherty owner

  8. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On WC, keeping Aubameyang means I can only have one of son or Rashford
    I'd like to keep Aubameyang for the next 2 fixtures, particularly home to Norwich
    Thoughts?

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I would hold, Auba great cap differential in 32

      1. The Red Devil
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I know right, I'll probably have to get bergwijn DCL

  9. FPL Pillars
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Wow finally happy with WC team. WC are so stressful 🙁

    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Let’s see it ...

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        If he was happy he would have posted it, haha. Don’t torture him anymore...

      2. FPL Pillars
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        It’ll probably change 😆
        Argh!

  10. the vanisher
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    thoughts on my WC team?

    Martinez (Martin)
    TAA Holgate Saiss (Lascelles) (Ngakia)
    Salah KdB Barnes Bruno Son
    Jimenez Rashford (Nketiah)

    1. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Be prapred for a Barnes benching tonight

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Be prepared for Barnes deuce tonight

    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Don't like the Martinez pick, but understand why you pick him. Other than that, looks pretty good and template.

    3. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Not what you want to hear but I think Son is causing slightly too much weakness elsewhere (Keeper, No Doherty, very thin bench)

  11. Zebrahimović
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best 4.5 Defender?

    1. Zebrahimović
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Have Lascelles/Robinson already

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Holgate for 4.4

  12. MESSINHO
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    on WC

    * - Martin

    TAA - Doherty - Saiss - Lascelles - Holgate

    KdB - Mane - Bruno - * - Guendouzi

    Jimi - Rashford - *

    A) Pope + Martial + DCL (play 3-4-3)
    B) DDG + Son + Nketiah (play 4-4-2, rotating Lascelles and Holgate)

    Thanks!

  13. Rover
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else considering tripling up on Spurs? Assuming they will rotate heavily for the bournemouth game, then that aside they have:
    WHU (9d) shu (4d) EVE (6d) ARS
    With Mourinho's comments on Aurier and Bergwijn/Moura, I'm looking at getting Son + Alli + Aurier

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Don't do it. Even a double-up is ill-advised. I'm at the point where I'm having 2nd thoughts about Son, but too chicken to break from the template.

      1. Rover
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks. Surely one Spurs mid is a must given their fixtures, but yeah will rethink the second and might go for Rich instead.
        Who would you replace Aurier with for

  14. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    How is this WC team?

    Martinez
    TAA Doherty Saiss
    Salah (c) Bruno (vc) Son KdB
    Rash Jimi DCL

    Subs: Martin Lascelles CTaylor Guendouzi

    Punt on Martinez as I find it difficult to find 0,7m to upgrade to Pope.

    Thanks.

    1. jdogg
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      like it.x

    2. abaalan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Really like this team. I've just fiddled with my WC and got similar (Mane and Holgate instead of Salah and Saiss due to money issues). Am tempted to go with it.
      Just worried that Arsenal def was already a mess....

  15. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on

    1) Sarr, Mount, Pulisic, or Berg?

    2) Pope or Patricio till gw37? have doherty already

    3A) Awb + Rashford + Bruno + 0.5m vs.
    3B) Aurier + Son + Bruno

    Leaning towards 3B ie. with Rashford and hope that Alli/Kane overshadow Son

  16. fkmzcgp
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Final WC places to fill...

    Pope - Button
    TAA - XXX - XXX - Lascelles - Robinson
    Salah - Bruno F - Son - KDB - Saka
    Jiminez - XXX - Greenwood

    A) Aurier, Doherty and DCL
    B) Holgate, Saiss and Rashford

    1. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  17. abaalan
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Help...on WC:

    A) 3-5-2 with Richie, Holgate, Martial, Nketia
    B) 3-4-3 with Lascelles, Saiss, Guendouzi, Rashford

    1. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. jdogg
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      b.x

  18. MikeLowrey
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Justin or Lascelles on field?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Lascelles.

    2. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Justin

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      JJ

  19. jorgenoj
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who do I downgrade to get DDG?

    A) Saka --> Guendouzi (5th midfielder, 343)
    B) Justin --> Holgate

  20. JBG
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on this FH team :

    Patricio-(Button)
    TAA-Doherty-Soyuncu-(Robinson-Prodl)
    Mane-Son-Martial-Fernandes-(Guendozi)
    Jimenez-Rashford-DCL

  21. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is either of Laporte to Doherty or Grealish to Traore worth a -4?

    Wolves face possibly the worst two teams in the league next two weeks

    1. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Laporte > Doherty

      Get it done!

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        My finger is itching!

        Will be done anyway and thinking it could be worth -4 before they play Bournemouth!

  22. Tsssst
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    YELP.

    Leno Hendo
    TAA Baldock Lundy Targett Doherty
    Grealish KDB Mahrez Cantwell Fernandes
    Auba Nketiah Aguero

    A. Take a 4/8 point to: fix GK, Aguero > Jimenez and Grealish > Son
    or
    B. Free hit (no WC)

    1. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ouch

      FH just I think but that’s a stinker really - at least in 32 you can save yourself the gk transfer.

  23. Fishy
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Gone for free hit over wildcard what do we think?.
    Schmeichel 
    Aurier taa Doherty 
    Traore fernandea richarlison salah
    Rashford vardy jota
    Martinez lascelles Robinson saka

  24. Better Call Raul
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Worth taking out Grealish or Mount for a -4?

    Could afford Mahrez just about or get Bergwijn

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe not for -4

  25. JELLYFISH
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    which is better?

    a) Alli and Sterling
    b) Son and KDB

    1. jdogg
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B.x

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B by mile

  26. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would you play Sarr or Saka this GW?

  27. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    changes to wc? 0.0itb
    Martinez
    Trent Doherty Lascelles
    Salah KDB Son Bruno
    Rashford DCL Jiminez

    Button Holgate Guendozi 3.9.

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Identical 1st eleven to me

  28. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    For me, One of nkietiah/saka/lacelles/ngakia will be starting Every week.

    With that in mind. Would u downgrade saka to guendouzi and upgrade lacelles to Maguire?

    Maguire could play every week as the 4th defender

  29. Bob B
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Martinez, Rashford, Boly (Guendouzi)
    B. DDG, Martial, Holgate (Nketiah)

  30. ludaslol
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On WC. Hopefully last decision

    A) TAA Richarlison
    B) KDB Ritchie

    Patricio
    Doherty Maguire x
    Son Martial Bruno Salah x
    DCL Jimi

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A